Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Garbrandt (05-22-2021)

May 17, 2021
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Rob Font (18-4-0, -124) vs. [#9] Cody Garbrandt (12-3-0, +100)
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#29FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#13BW] Sergio Pettis (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#26BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-03-02: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Rob Font 2003.06 +103.05 61.56%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1948.96 +62.84 56.83%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1998.89 +59.80 58.52%
WHR Rob Font 1886.07 +117.44 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 154, Cody Garbrandt 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -159) vs. [#27] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +129)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Hermansson -159 58.43%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1908.02 +137.66 65.22%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1931.73 +183.36 69.06%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2013.37 +249.32 80.77%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1870.17 +234.08 74.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Edmen Shahbazyan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Carla Esparza (17-6-0, +128) vs. [#6] Xiaonan Yan (13-1-0, -156)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #39 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#46SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -156 58.14%
Elo K170 Carla Esparza 1791.53 +87.21 59.83%
Elo Modified Carla Esparza 1702.21 +27.82 53.04%
Glicko-1 Xiaonan Yan 1647.61 +28.55 54.10%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1630.58 +36.65 54.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 301, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#4] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0, -159) vs. [#24] Norma Dumont (5-1-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#23FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#48BW] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1
2018-08-05: W vs. [#15FW] Mariana Morais (16-11-0) via MD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Felicia Spencer -159 58.43%
Elo K170 Felicia Spencer 1517.16 +204.50 71.79%
Elo Modified Felicia Spencer 1557.03 +190.50 69.72%
Glicko-1 Felicia Spencer 1572.49 +301.12 84.98%
WHR Felicia Spencer 1551.98 +278.64 78.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felicia Spencer 350, Norma Dumont 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Felicia Spencer leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) vs. [#105] Chris Barnett (21-6-0)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (3-0-0)
2020-09-25: W vs. [NA] Ahmed Tijani Shehu (0-1-0) via TKO in 0:58 of round 1
2019-10-10: W vs. [*] Rashaun Jackson (5-3-0) via SD ()
2019-09-08: W vs. [*] Yoon Jae Shim (5-4-0) via TKO in 3:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1706.26 +257.42 76.42%
Elo Modified Ben Rothwell 1696.41 +266.27 76.24%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1755.33 +321.61 86.43%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1638.41 +236.36 74.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 224, Chris Barnett 239
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#15] Raulian Paiva (20-3-0, +129) vs. [#21] David Dvorak (19-3-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Raulian Paiva (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#32FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#185BW] Mark De La Rosa (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2019-08-10: L vs. [#18FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (17-3-0) via TKO (Cut) in 2:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Dvorak (3-0-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#42FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#56FLY] Bruno Silva (11-6-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-27: W vs. [*] Arsen Taigibov (15-3-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds David Dvorak -157 58.31%
Elo K170 Raulian Paiva 1718.64 +2.57 50.29%
Elo Modified Raulian Paiva 1702.38 +0.95 50.11%
Glicko-1 David Dvorak 1763.18 +56.86 58.11%
WHR David Dvorak 1695.48 +133.99 64.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raulian Paiva 315, David Dvorak 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#77] Jared Vanderaa (12-5-0, +161) vs. [#134] Justin Tafa (4-2-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Vanderaa (2-1-0)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#31HW+] Sergey Spivak (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2020-11-04: W vs. [#154HW+] Harry Hunsucker (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:34 of round 1
2019-12-19: W vs. [*] Tony Lopez (64-32-0) via in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-2-0)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#80HW+] Carlos Felipe (10-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-08: W vs. [*] Juan Adams (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 1
2019-10-05: L vs. [#170HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Justin Tafa -197 63.38%
Elo K170 Jared Vanderaa 1422.90 +202.78 71.63%
Elo Modified Jared Vanderaa 1483.12 +113.37 62.16%
Glicko-1 Jared Vanderaa 1497.75 +148.29 70.13%
WHR Jared Vanderaa 1427.09 +144.41 65.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Vanderaa 91, Justin Tafa 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#138] Joshua Culibao (9-1-1, -250) vs. [#187] Yilan Sha (17-6-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Culibao (1-1-1)
2020-10-03: D vs. [#61FW] Charles Jourdain (11-3-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-02-22: L vs. [#139WW] Jalin Turner (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 2
2019-03-01: W vs. [*] Josh Payne (8-9-0) via TKO in 3:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yilan Sha (2-1-0)
2020-12-26: W vs. [#856LW] Tanzhao Wang (3-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 1
2020-11-27: W vs. [#751LW] Nuerdebieke Bahetihan (18-12-0) via UD ()
2020-09-25: L vs. [#180LW] Zhu Rong (17-4-0) via KO in 2:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joshua Culibao -250 68.11%
Elo K170 Yilan Sha 1458.70 +2.84 50.32%
Elo Modified Yilan Sha 1447.79 +0.33 50.04%
Glicko-1 Yilan Sha 1483.79 +66.15 59.41%
WHR Yilan Sha 1376.76 +23.23 52.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Culibao 231, Yilan Sha 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#29] Stephanie Egger (5-2-0, -145) vs. [#32] Sarah Alpar (9-5-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#17FLY] Tracy Cortez (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#81BW] Cinja Kiefer (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-07-28: W vs. [#35FW] Reina Miura (12-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Alpar (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#17BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (10-6-0) via TKO (Punch and Knee) in 4:21 of round 3
2019-08-13: W vs. [*] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:55 of round 2
2018-11-30: W vs. [#28BW] Joselyne Edwards (10-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stephanie Egger -145 56.33%
Elo K170 Sarah Alpar 1286.53 +27.21 53.10%
Elo Modified Stephanie Egger 1295.30 +31.24 53.41%
Glicko-1 Stephanie Egger 1304.32 +81.66 61.54%
WHR Stephanie Egger 1294.14 +95.08 60.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Egger 224, Sarah Alpar 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#99] Damir Hadzovic (13-6-0, -120) vs. [*] Yancy Medeiros (15-7-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Damir Hadzovic (1-2-0)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#36LW] Renato Carneiro (14-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-06-01: L vs. [#48LW] Christos Giagos (19-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#179LW] Marco Polo Reyes (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yancy Medeiros (0-3-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#26FW] Lando Vannata (12-5-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#8LW] Gregor Gillespie (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2018-02-18: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Damir Hadzovic -120 51.69%
Elo K170 Yancy Medeiros 1595.67 +19.99 52.28%
Elo Modified Yancy Medeiros 1620.81 +57.57 56.27%
Glicko-1 Yancy Medeiros 1619.18 +67.75 59.63%
WHR Yancy Medeiros 1496.24 +9.00 51.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damir Hadzovic 434, Yancy Medeiros 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#70] Claudio Silva (14-2-0, -129) vs. [#91] Court McGee (19-10-0, +104)

Last 3 Fights: Claudio Silva (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#28WW] James Krause (28-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#242WW] Cole Williams (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Danny Roberts (17-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:37 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Court McGee (0-3-0)
2020-10-03: L vs. [#30WW] Carlos Condit (32-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#20WW] Sean Brady (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#83WW] Dhiego Lima (15-8-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Claudio Silva -129 53.46%
Elo K170 Claudio Silva 1755.24 +286.96 78.77%
Elo Modified Claudio Silva 1765.82 +234.85 73.65%
Glicko-1 Claudio Silva 1804.53 +264.26 82.07%
WHR Claudio Silva 1743.75 +262.91 76.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudio Silva 217, Court McGee 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#77] Bill Algeo (14-5-0, -121) vs. [#121] Ricardo Ramos (14-3-0, -103)

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (2-1-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#134LW] Spike Carlyle (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-29: L vs. [*] Ricardo Lamas (20-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-08-13: W vs. [#353FW] Tim Dooling (9-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#63FW] Lerone Murphy (10-0-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#214FW] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#309BW] Journey Newson (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bill Algeo -121 51.90%
Elo K170 Ricardo Ramos 1607.84 +13.94 51.59%
Elo Modified Bill Algeo 1631.84 +19.68 52.15%
Glicko-1 Bill Algeo 1651.59 +57.83 58.25%
WHR Bill Algeo 1620.74 +56.41 56.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bill Algeo 175, Ricardo Ramos 311
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#56] Bruno Silva (11-6-2, -290) vs. [#493BW] Victor Rodriguez (5-3-0, +229)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#78FLY] J.P. Buys (9-3-0) via TKO (Punch) in 2:56 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#26FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (13-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#21FLY] David Dvorak (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: L vs. [#58BW] Adrian Yanez (13-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:46 of round 1
2020-02-26: W vs. [#710BW] Jared Mazurek (8-2-0) via TKO in 3:33 of round 2
2019-05-17: W vs. [#797BW] John George (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -290 70.98%
Elo K170 Bruno Silva 1451.39 +183.02 69.76%
Elo Modified Bruno Silva 1437.58 +160.64 66.89%
Glicko-1 Bruno Silva 1460.49 +179.65 73.77%
WHR Bruno Silva 1438.86 +128.47 64.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 63, Victor Rodriguez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Damir Ismagulov (22-1-0, -564) vs. [#86] Rafael Alves (19-9-0, +402)

Last 3 Fights: Damir Ismagulov (3-0-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#17LW] Thiago Moises (15-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#69LW] Joel Alvarez (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [*] Alex Gorgees (7-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Alves (3-0-0)
2020-08-25: W vs. [#122FW] Alejandro Flores (18-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:55 of round 2
2019-04-26: W vs. [*] Felipe Douglas (16-5-0) via TKO in 2:18 of round 2
2018-06-29: W vs. [*] Beibit Nazarov (16-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:30 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Damir Ismagulov -564 81.00%
Elo K170 Damir Ismagulov 1934.59 +195.28 70.93%
Elo Modified Damir Ismagulov 1940.80 +214.80 71.92%
Glicko-1 Damir Ismagulov 1980.32 +210.18 77.03%
WHR Damir Ismagulov 1889.14 +209.15 72.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damir Ismagulov 630, Rafael Alves 270
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Rob Font
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Rob Font vs. Cody Garbrandt
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-5-16

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