MMA Ranks – Page 43 – Fight Matrix

Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-07-2020)

Posted on June 7, 2020 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (2020-06-06)

Posted on June 1, 2020 by Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0, -582) vs. [#6] Felicia Spencer (8-1-0, +417)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#25FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Nunes	-582		81.52%
Elo K170	Amanda Nunes	2024.67	+498.24	90.69%
Elo Modified	Amanda Nunes	1987.37	+417.36	86.14%
Glicko-1	Amanda Nunes	2050.60	+477.15	93.98%
WHR	Amanda Nunes	2142.16	+172.97	68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 175, Felicia Spencer 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0, +120) vs. [*] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0, -146)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #20 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (0-3-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cody Garbrandt	-146		56.63%
Elo K170	Raphael Assuncao	1855.29	+53.47	56.08%
Elo Modified	Cody Garbrandt	1825.74	+10.56	51.16%
Glicko-1	Cody Garbrandt	1844.49	+9.92	51.43%
WHR	Cody Garbrandt	1940.75	+56.03	56.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Assuncao 294, Cody Garbrandt 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raphael Assuncao leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Aljamain Sterling (18-3-0, -114) vs. [#5] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0, -109)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #24 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#75FW] Cody Stamann (18-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#17BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#68BW] Mario Bautista (8-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Aljamain Sterling	-114		50.53%
Elo K170	Aljamain Sterling	2120.72	+176.70	69.15%
Elo Modified	Aljamain Sterling	2086.47	+207.28	71.25%
Glicko-1	Aljamain Sterling	2143.59	+220.63	78.08%
WHR	Aljamain Sterling	2043.07	+26.15	52.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 364, Cory Sandhagen 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 1-0
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MMA Rankings Updated (05-30-2020)

Posted on May 31, 2020 by Jason

Notable Info

“WHR” (Whole History Rating) is now available within the current ranking pages.
- - WHR is yet another mathematical system that is based on Elo, but is drastically different. While the standard, Elo, and Glicko rating systems are executed once to produce ratings output, where ratings move incrementally after each bout, the WHR system depends on numerous iterations to build the current ratings. In doing this, the system is able to use knowledge derived from previous iterations to build a supposedly more accurate picture as it can also use what fighters and their chain of opponents did before AND after their respective bouts. You can read more about that system here -> https://www.remi-coulom.fr/WHR/. There is also more info in the FAQ page. Note: The actual WHR ratings have been increased by 1750 points as a display-level modification, so the rating point values match up better with Elo and Glicko for comparison purposes. WHR ratings as posted are likely to change in the coming days as we dig in to try and improve prediction rate.
Glicko-1 ratings reduced by 500 points. This is a display-level modification so the ratings match better with Elo (which start at 1000 instead of 1500) and WHR systems.
For the new “Underrated” and “Overrated” designations, we’re moving over to an Olympic-type model by dropping the highest and lowest ranks of the 4 mathematical ranking systems, before making the calculation.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns (2020-05-30)

Posted on May 25, 2020 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[*] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1, 170.5lb, -186) vs. [#9] Gilbert Burns (18-3-0, 170.5lb, +154)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#24WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#55WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Tyron Woodley			62.28%
Elo K170	Tyron Woodley	2247.91	+118.23	63.18%
Elo Modified	Tyron Woodley	2185.79	+80.41	58.71%
Glicko-1	Tyron Woodley	2251.86	+69.91	59.93%
WHR	Gilbert Burns	2036.36	+250.28	75.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 455, Gilbert Burns 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (259)
[#12] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0, 255.5lb, -110) vs. [#27] Augusto Sakai (14-1-1, 259.5lb, -114)

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#43HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#28HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#26HW+] Marcin Tybura (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#70HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Augusto Sakai			50.42%
Elo K170	Blagoy Ivanov	1855.20	+95.84	60.78%
Elo Modified	Blagoy Ivanov	1931.69	+175.41	68.31%
Glicko-1	Blagoy Ivanov	2001.18	+201.28	76.9%
WHR	Blagoy Ivanov	1866.91	+95.43	60.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 210, Augusto Sakai 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (150)
[#169] Spike Carlyle (9-1-0, 150.0lb, +120) vs. [#170] Billy Quarantillo (13-2-0, 149.5lb, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#264FW] Aalon Cruz (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1807LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#596WW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#236FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-07-23: W vs. [#247FW] Kamuela Kirk (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [*] Adrian Vilaca (8-3-0) via KO in 4:32 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Billy Quarantillo			56.63%
Elo K170	Billy Quarantillo	1670.65	+143.40	65.82%
Elo Modified	Billy Quarantillo	1685.99	+105.25	61.32%
Glicko-1	Billy Quarantillo	1751.74	+132.13	68.15%
WHR	Billy Quarantillo	1870.58	+94.99	60.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Spike Carlyle 91, Billy Quarantillo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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New Feature Launched: Overrated / Underrated Icons

Posted on May 24, 2020 by Jason

On the divisional ranking pages, you’ll notice two new icons next to some fighters: AND .

The presence of this icon means that the fighter’s average ranking for the three purely mathematical systems we have (2 Elos and Glicko-1) are vastly different than the FightMatrix standard ranking. As such, is displayed when the Elo/Glicko average rank suggests the fighter should be much higher ranked and is displayed when the opposite occurs.

To be more specific, if:

(Elo/Glicko/WHR < FightMatrix * 0.4) THEN
(Elo/Glicko/WHR < FightMatrix * 0.5) THEN
(Elo/Glicko/WHR < FightMatrix * 0.667) THEN
(Elo/Glicko/WHR > FightMatrix * 2.5) THEN
(Elo/Glicko/WHR > FightMatrix * 2.0) THEN
(Elo/Glicko/WHR > FightMatrix * 1.5) THEN

Examples:

Elo/Glicko/WHR #15 & FightMatrix #32 =
Elo/Glicko/WHR #3 & FightMatrix #5 =
Elo/Glicko/WHR #13 & FightMatrix #18 = [nothing]
Elo/Glicko/WHR #47 & FightMatrix #15 =

As of now, these will only display on the current divisional ranking pages.

UPDATE: With the addition of WHR, we are dropping the highest and lowest fighter ranks before performing this calculation.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-24-2020)

Posted on May 24, 2020 by Jason

Close Decisions and DQs… What If?

Posted on May 18, 2020 by Jason

Last year, we added support for a slightly modified version of the Glicko-1 rating system and I posted a pretty thorough article about it here.

I proved a few things that I already knew, but most notably that it’d be more accurate to treat split decisions and majority decisions as draws, than to treat them as full wins. Prediction rates were highest when I assigned a win value (max=1.0) of 0.55 to split decisions and 0.61 to majority decisions. This means that the loser in these cases receives the remainder of the win value. The same thing very likely applies to close unanimous decisions, but we’ll keep it simple for now. For the record, in a draw situation, 0.50 goes to both fighters.

Disqualifications are another strange outcome too. After watching them happen in MMA, gut feelings tell you that in most cases, they are freak occurrences. We have to count them in the official results, because if we didn’t, fighters would use them to bail themselves out of bad situations unless thoroughly penalized. Unfortunately, there aren’t too many of them, which makes them a poor subject for analysis.

So, what happens if we run the rating system against the pro bout database where we treat split and majority decisions as draws and ignore DQs? Well, wonder no more!

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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-17-2020)

Posted on May 17, 2020 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris (05-16-2020)

Posted on May 16, 2020 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0, +130) vs. [#16] Walt Harris (13-7-0, -158)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#8HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-04-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#34HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [#42HW+] Sergey Spivak (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1836.95) [+120.35] – Win%: 63.41
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1860.35) [+58.47] – Win%: 56.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alistair Overeem (1805.87) [+11.27] – Win%: 52.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 161, Walt Harris 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alistair Overeem leads 3-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0, -194) vs. [#16] Angela Hill (12-7-0, +162)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #30 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#22SW] Randa Markos (10-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6SW] Carla Esparza (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#99SW] Konklak Suphisara (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#43SW] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#54SW] Ariane Carnelossi (12-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 63.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1627.84) [+102.04] – Win%: 61.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1619.37) [+80.08] – Win%: 58.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Claudia Gadelha (1599.79) [+50.98] – Win%: 59.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 315, Angela Hill 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 2-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#14LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0, -132) vs. [#21] Dan Ige (13-2-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#32FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#54FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#153FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Ige (1935.29) [+99.08] – Win%: 61.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1887.89) [+10.73] – Win%: 51.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Edson Barboza (1909.09) [+57.43] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 252, Dan Ige 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-10-2020)

Posted on May 12, 2020 by Jason

Notable Info

Some male fighters were erroneously shifted to female in the last update. This has been fixed.
All-Time Rankings updated again after UFC 249.
5/12 UPDATE – Ratings regenerated with minor bug fix, partial forgiveness on a double penalty situation exposed by Dominick Cruz. The fix only affects the ratings of a handful of ranked fighters.

Fight Matrix Program – Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira (05-13-2020)

Posted on May 11, 2020 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Anthony Smith (33-14-0, -173) vs. [#11] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0, +143)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#43MW] Karl Roberson (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Smith – Win%: 60.62
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Smith (2080.27) [+125.09] – Win%: 63.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Smith (2091.57) [+163.18] – Win%: 67.14
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Anthony Smith (2088.13) [+156.02] – Win%: 76.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 347, Glover Teixeira 242
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#30] Ben Rothwell (37-12-0, +124) vs. [#22LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0, -150)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#12HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#47LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-13: L vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ovince St. Preux – Win%: 57.33
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ovince St. Preux (1733.16) [+31.62] – Win%: 53.60
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ovince St. Preux (1757.42) [+18.91] – Win%: 52.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ben Rothwell (1735.59) [+5.80] – Win%: 51.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 158, Ovince St. Preux 228
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) vs. [#35] Drew Dober (22-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#18LW] Francisco Trinaldo (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#50LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#90LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#438FW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#16LW] Beneil Dariush (18-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Hernandez (1843.03) [+75.41] – Win%: 58.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Hernandez (1817.88) [+56.68] – Win%: 56.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexander Hernandez (1824.03) [+53.17] – Win%: 59.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 298, Drew Dober 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Hernandez leads 2-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje (05-09-2020)

Posted on May 3, 2020 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#2/#6DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0, -179) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0, +150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #10 ranked Lightweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-07: W vs. [#8LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-08-25: W vs. [#113WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Ferguson – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Ferguson (2326.98) [+147.38] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Ferguson (2265.16) [+142.16] – Win%: 65.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tony Ferguson (2285.64) [+124.10] – Win%: 71.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 336, Justin Gaethje 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Justin Gaethje leads 3-2
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#9DD/#2P4P] Henry Cejudo (15-2-0, -222) vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0, +181)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#8BW/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2016-12-30: L vs. [#25BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-47)
2016-06-04: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2016-01-17: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Henry Cejudo – Win%: 65.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Henry Cejudo (2247.66) [+229.12] – Win%: 74.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Henry Cejudo (2163.15) [+213.73] – Win%: 71.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Henry Cejudo (2199.49) [+209.55] – Win%: 81.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 336, Dominick Cruz 1226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dominick Cruz leads 4-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0, -285) vs. [#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-0-0, +229)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#6HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#26HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-11-02: W vs. [#38HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#147HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 70.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Francis Ngannou (2149.39) [+337.67] – Win%: 82.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Francis Ngannou (2133.52) [+301.99] – Win%: 78.95
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Francis Ngannou (2117.05) [+278.58] – Win%: 88.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 315, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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