If you’ve been following recent updates, most notably those associated with the Upcoming Events page, you already know that we now display a meta-odds feature — average odds from about a dozen sports books.

I thought it would be interesting to compare results of UFC 152 and how we stacked up versus the gamblers.  We ended up doing pretty good , though this is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds.  Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary rating that is primarily focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.  Either way, both systems have their place in determining who to expect to win the fight.

Back again, to see if we could repeat the success with UFC 153… and here we go.

Note: Moraes/Forte and Marcello/Madadi are excluded as at least one fighter in each was unranked/inactive.

Ratings vs. Gamblers Scoreboard

^ – Pre-fight divisional difference was not factored into rating difference.

Keep Reading

Just over a year ago, we rolled out a community adjustment and posted a blog entry about it.

Although the adjustment was helping, the problem is actually getting worse at a faster rate than before.  It’s also now spreading into the female ranks.

As such, we will be rolling an adjustment out every six months and upon the next update, will roll out a retroactive adjustment to the Japanese community effective 7/1/2012.