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Fight Matrix

Top 10 Light Heavyweights: One Year Ago

Posted on April 22, 2008 by Jason

To follow-up on Oleg’s excellent Light Heavyweight articles, I decided to run the current code on the database, to simulate what the ratings would look like one year ago today.  The “Diff” column shows the ranking difference between then, and today.

Rank Diff Fighter Record Points
1 2 Chuck Liddell
Last Fight: 12/30/2006 [UFC]
20-3-0
514
2 4 Mauricio Rua
Last Fight: 2/24/2007 [PRIDE]
16-2-0
349
3 4 Sokoudjou
Last Fight: 4/8/2007 [PRIDE]
4-1-0
290
4 NR Dan Henderson
Last Fight: 2/24/2007 [PRIDE]
22-5-0
286
5 3 Ricardo Arona
Last Fight: 4/8/2007 [PRIDE]
13-5-0
206
6 5 Quinton Jackson
Last Fight: 2/3/2007 [UFC]
26-6-0
177
7 5 Wanderlei Silva
Last Fight: 2/24/2007 [PRIDE]
31-7-1
171
8 1 Tito Ortiz
Last Fight: 12/30/2006 [UFC]
16-5-0
170
9 7 Ryoto Machida
Last Fight: 4/21/2007 [UFC]
10-0-0
168
10 1 Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Last Fight: 2/24/2007 [PRIDE]
12-3-0
164

Ratings Run Date: April 22, 2007

UFC 83: Rankings Impact

Posted on April 22, 2008 by Oleg

While George St. Pierre solidified his position atop the welterweight division with a victory over Matt Serra, with six middleweight bouts UFC 83 had the biggest impact on the 185 lbs weight class.

  • [#17] Demian Maia, [#18] Jason MacDonald, and [#20] Jason Day all blasted into the Top 20 with impressive stoppage wins.
  • Michael Bisping made his middleweight debut at #30.
  • Nate Quarry improved to #49 with a lopsided decision over Kalib ‘Running Man’ Starnes.
  • [#50] Ed Herman, [#53] Joe Doerksen, [#57] Alan Belcher all fall to the bottom half of the Top 100.  Starnes falls to #80.
  • [#5] Rich Franklin’s victory over [#41] Travis Lutter had no significant impact on either man’s rank.
  • Former #99 Evan Tanner is displaced from the Top 100.

In the lightweight division, Mac Danzig makes his 155 lbs debut at #33.  Mark Bocek drops out of Top 100, while Rich Clementi and Sam Stout sit at #24 and #35 respectively after their bout.

In the official Fight of The Night, Jonathan Goulet improved to #25 in the welterweight division with a KO victory over Kuniyoshi Hironaka.  Hironaka falls to #61.

MMA Rankings Updated: 4/20/08

Posted on April 20, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Results from various recent cards have been added to the database.  Notable recent cards include those from UFC, Bodog, KOTC, and CageWarriors.
  • Some historical bouts added to database.

As a result of UFC 83, Georges St. Pierre is now #1 on the Division Dominance list!

Best of the Rest: Top Light Heavyweights outside of UFC

Posted on April 19, 2008 by Oleg

Last week, we examined the top light heavyweight fighters who are currently competing in the Ultimate Fighting Championship.  As mentioned, the UFC has the 205 lbs division in a tight chokehold; according to our ranking, sixteen of  the Top 20 active light heavyweights call the Octagon their home.

With the UFC so heavily invested in the division, no other MMA promotion has been able to put together a competitive stable of light heavyweights.  Still, there are a few fighters not locked into Zuffa contracts who have the skills and talent to give the UFC’s best a run for their money, and the name recognition to pique the interest of MMA fans.  With Tito Ortiz claiming he is on the way out of the UFC as well, there may be an opportunity here for another promotion – if they are able to sign most of these fighters.

Here is a look at the six of the Top 20 light heavyweights outside of the UFC:

Keep Reading

Next rankings update scheduled for 4/20/08

Posted on April 16, 2008 by Jason

The next rankings update will occur on 4/20/08.  This will undoubtedly be a big update, so make sure to check us out!

MMA Rankings Updated: 4/13/08

Posted on April 13, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Rating code updated to v1.17b.  Corrected bug related to transition between quality performance penalties and inactive penalties, in the event where a fighter qualifies for both.
  • Database updated with recent shows.  Most notable changes result from the YAMMA show.  Note: Could not grab the Cage Rage 4/12 results as they were not readily available.  This happens pretty often, but just figured I’d mention it as we have some Cage Rage fans that visit.

A look at the UFC’s Light Heavyweight division

Posted on April 12, 2008 by Oleg

When Zuffa – the parent company of the Ultimate Fighting Championship – purchased and subsequently dismantled Pride Fighting Championship in 2007, MMA fans worldwide expected that majority of the best fighters in the world will be consolidated under the UFC banner.  So far, the results have been decidedly mixed.  While three out of five UFC title belts are held by former Pride FC fighters,  the heavyweight division is still as much in shambles as it was two years ago, and a number of middleweight (185 lbs) contenders are scattered throughout various organizations.  In the lightweight division, Marcus Aurelio is the only Pride competitor who has stepped inside the UFC Octagon to date.

The only place where Zuffa had an undeniable success of consolidating the top talent is MMA’s marquee division – the light heavyweights (205 lbs).  Not only is UFC the home to the undisputed champion of the world at 205, they also employ all of the Top 5, 9 of the Top 10, and 14 of the Top 20 LHW fighters, according to the latest Fightmatrix.com ranking.

This would be a great time for the UFC to hold a Gran Prix-style tournament.  Alas, Zuffa brass are staunchly opposed to the tournament format.  Fortunately for the fans, we get the next best thing to a tourney: except for Mauricio ‘Shogun’ Rua, all of the UFC’s top light heavyweights are slated to step into the Octagon over the course of the next few events.

Here is a closer look at what is coming up for the warriors of the light heavyweight division:

Keep Reading

Intermediate Update Launched: 4/9/08

Posted on April 9, 2008 by Jason

There are several important changes to take into account before viewing this update.

Notable Info

  • Rating code updated to v1.17.
  • Code Change: Removal of quality performance exemptions for those who are stopped in recognized title bouts.
  • Code Change: Acceleration of fighters who have early career trends of decisively beating higher-ranked fighters without quantifiable weakness in results.
  • Ranking Page Change: Fighters are now ranked if they have a bout in the previous 450 days (was 1 calendar year).  Calculation-wise, this only has an impact on the division dominance list.  However, for this update, it had no impact whatsoever.
  • Ranking Page Change: Those in the inactivity penalty stage will now have mauve colored last bout information.
  • Bouts added to database.  Total count is now approximately 48,200 professional bouts.

The reason for the code changes was a result of some former champions hanging onto higher positions than they deserved, and proven fighters being beaten by barnstorming “up and comers”.  These were perceived problems and were able to be isolated via programming logic.

As a result, this stirred up two controversial results.  Tim Sylvia and Wanderlei Silva both dropped out of their respective Top 10 lists.  We would be happy to discuss these instances in our forum.

Intermediate Update planned for 4/9/08

Posted on April 7, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Code update to 1.16.  Expanded on prediction-based launching.  Assisted the elevation of fighters who continually and decisively beat higher-rated fighters without quantifiable weakness in outcome.  This is a relatively minor change.
  • Matt Serra and Ricardo Arona will have been inactive for more than one calendar year, and will be dropped from the rankings until they have another bout.
  • Addition of a few minor shows.

MMA Rankings Updated: 4/6/08

Posted on April 6, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Ratings include effects from recent EliteXC, GCM Cage Force, Fatal Femmes, IFL, and other minor shows.

The next planned update is on Sunday, April 13.  However, there may be an intermediate release in the middle of the upcoming week if I decide to release a prediction-based code change that I am testing.

MMA Rankings Updated: 4/3/08

Posted on April 3, 2008 by Jason

Notable Information

  • Changes from recent UFC, KHAN, HEAT, and other shows.

Kenny Florian moves into the Lightweight Top 10, while Thiago Alves blasts his way into the Welterweight Top 5!  Check out all of the divisions to see the various changes caused by these recent shows.

The next update will be on Sunday, which will display the effects from the FatalFemmes and EliteXC shows, as well as others.

MMA Rankings Updated: 3/30/08

Posted on March 30, 2008 by Jason

Notable Information

  • Code updated to 1.15b.  Re-worked technical decision outcome consideration. Fixed bug in draws which could occur in fights w/ huge gap in points.  Reduced extreme upset protection, relying more on past results then prediction.
  • Effects from shows in past week, as well as old shows recently added.

Rankings Updated: March 27, 2008

Posted on March 27, 2008 by Jason

Rankings have been updated on March 27, 2008

Notable Info

  • Rating code updated from 1.13c to 1.14b.  Changes related to situations in which fighters come back from inactivity.  Especially those who have had good performances in their 1st and 2nd bouts back.  This has caused moderate reshuffling throughout the divisions, but leaves the top 25s relatively untouched.
  • Shows from the past week (WEC, Pancrase), as well as old bouts have been added to the database.

Expect the next update to come on Sunday.

Next ratings update on Thursday (After WEC 33)

Posted on March 23, 2008 by Jason

Information

  • WEC 33 results, as well as recently added bouts.
  • Updated basic code for properly placing fighters coming back from inactivity.  This will cause minor effects throughout the divisions, especially for those who had recent instances of inactivity, as well as their recent opponents.

Easter Sunday Rankings Update

Posted on March 23, 2008 by Jason

Rankings posted.  Data from March 23, 2008.

Notable Changes

  • Ratings code updated to 1.13c. GTR modification, support for technical decisions/draws (rare), code cleanup.
  • Rankings expanded to Top 100 for Lightweight through Heavyweight.
  • Rankings expanded to Top 50 for Bantamweight, Featherweight, and Women’s.
  • Rankings expanded to Top 25 for Flyweight.
  • Fighter names are now hyper-linked and directed to the fighter’s Sherdog profile.
  • Approximately 250 bouts added since last update for shows in March 2008.
  • Approximately 160 bouts added since last update for shows prior to March 2008.

Now that the weight classes are expanded so far in the thinnest divisions (Women, Bantam, Fly), it is almost a certainty that we are mistakenly excluding fighters toward the bottom of the lists due to lack of division assignment.  If you feel there is a fighter that should be in one of the lists, please feel free to ask us for their current division assignment for verification.

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