Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar (2021-01-16)

10 Jan , 2021,
Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2/#5DD] Max Holloway (21-6-0, -166) vs. [#5] Calvin Kattar (22-4-0, +137)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (22-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (22-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#5BW] Frankie Edgar (24-8-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#12FW] Dan Ige (14-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#18FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-11-09: L vs. [#8FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (18-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -166 59.66%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2132.00 +123.39 63.73%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2153.01 +188.83 69.57%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2258.75 +234.27 79.39%
WHR Max Holloway 2061.61 +176.56 69.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 189, Calvin Kattar 185
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#17] Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1, +124) vs. [#40] Tom Breese (12-2-0, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Omari Akhmedov (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#13MW] Chris Weidman (15-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#18MW] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#32MW] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#113MW] K.B. Bhullar (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#56LHW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Breese -150 57.33%
Elo K170 Omari Akhmedov 1841.39 +131.46 64.58%
Elo Modified Omari Akhmedov 1843.73 +77.49 58.40%
Glicko-1 Omari Akhmedov 1866.98 +41.48 55.94%
WHR Omari Akhmedov 1780.45 +50.79 55.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Omari Akhmedov 161, Tom Breese 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[*] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0, -285) vs. [#34] Jingliang Li (17-6-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#7WW] Neil Magny (24-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 4
2017-12-16: W vs. [#33WW] Mike Perry (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-16: W vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#7WW] Neil Magny (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#26WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2018-11-24: W vs. [#99WW] David Zawada (17-5-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Santiago Ponzinibbio -285 70.82%
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2127.97 +322.60 81.37%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 2104.35 +279.65 77.28%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2169.99 +299.35 84.85%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 2005.98 +225.72 73.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 791, Jingliang Li 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Santiago Ponzinibbio leads 2-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#68] Joaquin Buckley (12-3-0, -272) vs. [#90] Alessio Di Chirico (12-5-0, +217)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#134MW] Jordan Wright (11-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#147MW] Impa Kasanganay (8-1-0) via KO (Spinning Back Kick) in 2:03 of round 2
2020-08-08: L vs. [#11MW] Kevin Holland (21-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (0-3-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#32MW] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#42MW] Makhmud Muradov (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#11MW] Kevin Holland (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -272 69.85%
Elo K170 Joaquin Buckley 1647.13 +178.44 69.32%
Elo Modified Joaquin Buckley 1644.41 +188.71 69.55%
Glicko-1 Joaquin Buckley 1659.59 +182.10 74.04%
WHR Joaquin Buckley 1591.11 +109.87 62.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 56, Alessio Di Chirico 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#36] Carlos Condit (31-13-0, -163) vs. [#57] Matt Brown (22-17-0, +135)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Matt Brown is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (1-2-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#88WW] Court McGee (19-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-04-14: L vs. [#52WW] Alex Oliveira (22-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Matt Brown (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#29WW] Miguel Baeza (10-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2019-12-14: W vs. [#105WW] Ben Saunders (22-13-2) via KO (Elbows) in 4:55 of round 2
2017-11-11: W vs. [#74WW] Diego Sanchez (30-13-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Condit -163 59.29%
Elo K170 Carlos Condit 1737.20 +24.63 52.81%
Elo Modified Carlos Condit 1750.92 +42.27 54.61%
Glicko-1 Carlos Condit 1783.43 +78.19 61.07%
WHR Carlos Condit 1655.70 +71.72 58.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 105, Matt Brown 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Condit leads 2-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#93] Carlos Felipe (9-1-0, -197) vs. [#138] Justin Tafa (4-1-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (2-1-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#176HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#36HW+] Sergey Spivak (11-2-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-27)
2017-05-20: W vs. [*] Francisco Sandro da Silva (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#168HW+] Juan Adams (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 1
2019-10-05: L vs. [#176HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [NA] David Taumoepeau (1-3-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Felipe -197 63.47%
Elo K170 Carlos Felipe 1456.94 +195.11 70.92%
Elo Modified Carlos Felipe 1519.77 +157.04 66.54%
Glicko-1 Carlos Felipe 1546.88 +233.43 79.31%
WHR Carlos Felipe 1487.48 +256.01 76.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Felipe 105, Justin Tafa 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Felipe leads 1-0
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#30] Sarah Moras (6-6-0, -245) vs. [#36] Vanessa Melo (10-8-0, +196)

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Moras (1-2-0)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#12BW] Sijara Eubanks (6-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#76FLY] Liana Jojua (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 3
2019-05-04: L vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Melo (0-3-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#15BW] Karol Rosa (13-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#13BW] Tracy Cortez (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-21: L vs. [#5BW] Irene Aldana (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sarah Moras -245 67.76%
Elo K170 Vanessa Melo 1210.26 +8.93 51.02%
Elo Modified Vanessa Melo 1247.27 +3.95 50.43%
Glicko-1 Vanessa Melo 1247.26 +8.49 51.22%
WHR Vanessa Melo 1285.35 +64.78 57.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sarah Moras 248, Vanessa Melo 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#218] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0, +180) vs. [#595] Austin Lingo (7-1-0, -225)

Last 3 Fights: Jacob Kilburn (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#74FW] Billy Quarantillo (15-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-10-10: W vs. [*] Javanis Ross (4-3-0) via TKO in 1:34 of round 1
2019-08-02: W vs. [#446LW] Deivison Francisco Ribeir (27-12-0) via TKO in 0:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#130FW] Youssef Zalal (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-02: W vs. [#596FW] Chris Hatley Jr. (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1
2019-03-22: W vs. [#882WW] Angel Cruz (6-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Austin Lingo -225 65.97%
Elo K170 Jacob Kilburn 1402.30 +115.67 62.91%
Elo Modified Jacob Kilburn 1422.72 +72.66 57.88%
Glicko-1 Jacob Kilburn 1428.14 +81.02 61.45%
WHR Jacob Kilburn 1306.42 +8.93 51.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jacob Kilburn 406, Austin Lingo 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#60] Dusko Todorovic (10-0-0, -159) vs. [#83] Punahele Soriano (7-0-0, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (3-0-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#202MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2019-08-27: W vs. [*] Teddy Ash (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#61WW] Michel Pereira (26-11-0) via TKO in 4:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Punahele Soriano (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#155MW] Oskar Piechota (11-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1
2019-06-18: W vs. [#192MW] Jamie Pickett (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-10-19: W vs. [#274MW] Jhonoven Pati (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:36 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dusko Todorovic -159 58.64%
Elo K170 Dusko Todorovic 1673.21 +133.18 64.76%
Elo Modified Dusko Todorovic 1717.11 +127.54 63.61%
Glicko-1 Dusko Todorovic 1737.41 +149.87 70.32%
WHR Dusko Todorovic 1683.63 +115.32 62.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dusko Todorovic 105, Punahele Soriano 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#49] Nik Lentz (30-11-2, +131) vs. [#98] Mike Grundy (12-2-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Nik Lentz (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#15FW] Arnold Allen (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2019-02-17: W vs. [#31LW] Scott Holtzman (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Grundy (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#31FW] Movsar Evloev (13-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#137FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Fernando Bruno (16-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Grundy -157 58.52%
Elo K170 Nik Lentz 1727.69 +24.21 52.76%
Elo Modified Mike Grundy 1725.75 +10.36 51.13%
Glicko-1 Nik Lentz 1759.40 +33.27 54.77%
WHR Nik Lentz 1705.92 +61.87 57.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nik Lentz 357, Mike Grundy 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#48] Ramazan Emeev (19-4-0, -264) vs. [#99] David Zawada (17-5-0, +211)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazan Emeev (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#215WW] Niklas Stolze (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#15WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-15: W vs. [*] Stefan Sekulic (12-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: David Zawada (1-2-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#186WW] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (15-3-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-11-24: L vs. [#34WW] Jingliang Li (17-6-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3
2018-07-22: L vs. [#108WW] Danny Roberts (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ramazan Emeev -264 69.28%
Elo K170 Ramazan Emeev 1917.29 +313.92 80.76%
Elo Modified Ramazan Emeev 1900.43 +230.30 73.27%
Glicko-1 Ramazan Emeev 1959.47 +230.66 79.05%
WHR Ramazan Emeev 1840.07 +171.97 68.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ramazan Emeev 175, David Zawada 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#102] Nassourdine Imavov (9-2-0, +134) vs. [#143] Phil Hawes (9-2-0, -162)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#153MW] Jordan Williams (9-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#294MW] Jonathan Meunier (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#598WW] Mateusz Gluch (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Phil Hawes (3-0-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#379MW] Jacob Malkoun (4-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 1
2020-09-08: W vs. [#418MW] Khadzhimurat Bestaev (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2020-01-19: W vs. [#573MW] Yuri Fraga (13-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Phil Hawes -162 59.12%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 1591.84 +106.78 61.96%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 1623.77 +80.27 58.70%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 1654.02 +87.68 62.36%
WHR Nassourdine Imavov 1582.17 +52.90 56.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 105, Phil Hawes 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#29] Joselyne Edwards Laboriel (9-2-0) vs. [*] Yanan Wu (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards Laboriel (2-1-0)
2020-07-03: W vs. [NA] Pamela Gonzalez (2-5-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [#35BW] Sarah Alpar (9-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2018-09-01: W vs. [*] Brenda Gonzales (9-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:53 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yanan Wu (1-2-0)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#38SW] Mizuki Inoue (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-24: W vs. [*] Lauren Mueller (5-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:00 of round 1
2017-11-25: L vs. [#46FLY] Gina Mazany (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Joselyne Edwards Laboriel 1286.00 +41.89 54.77%
Elo Modified Yanan Wu 1334.42 +3.06 50.33%
Glicko-1 Joselyne Edwards Laboriel 1386.24 +12.81 51.84%
WHR Joselyne Edwards Laboriel 1343.53 +19.73 52.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joselyne Edwards Laboriel 197, Yanan Wu 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#26] Ricky Simon (17-3-0) vs. [*] Gaetano Pirrello (15-5-1)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (1-2-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#31BW] Ray Borg (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#6BW] Rob Font (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#19BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gaetano Pirrello (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Enzo Maria Iezzi (7-6-0) via TKO in 2:11 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Percy Herrera (8-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:13 of round 1
2018-05-05: L vs. [#430LW] Joziro Boye (15-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1792.96 +405.66 86.45%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1720.12 +317.98 80.09%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1722.23 +308.42 85.51%
WHR Ricky Simon 1650.40 +230.96 74.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 248, Gaetano Pirrello 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Calvin Kattar
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Calvin Kattar
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-1-10