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Fight Matrix

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 26, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

UFC 317: Charles Oliveira vs Ilia Topuria

Posted on June 25, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

UFC 317: [#3 LW, #2 UFC] Charles Oliveira vs. [#1 FW, #3 UFC] Ilia Topuria

June 28, 2025 – T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Betting Odds, Tale of the Tape & Analytical Breakdown

The main event of UFC 317 pits two elite finishers against each other in a high-stakes lightweight clash. Former champion and submission specialist Charles Oliveira faces undefeated featherweight king Ilia Topuria, who moves up in search of a second-division legacy.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter Record Age Reach Rank
Charles Oliveira 35–10 (1 NC) 35 74″ #3 LW / #2 UFC
Ilia Topuria 16–0 28 69″ #1 FW / #3 UFC

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst

I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira (06-28-2025)

Posted on June 23, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1DD][#5P4P][#1FW][#1FWUFC] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0, -417) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0, +321)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-02-17: W vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#22LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -417 77.25%
Elo K170 Ilia Topuria 2330.19 +23.95 53.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2305.68 +31.04 54.45%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2407.19 +20.65 52.97%
WHR Ilia Topuria 2276.84 +94.62 63.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ilia Topuria 28.4, Charles Oliveira 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 245, Charles Oliveira 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#4P4P][#5DD][#1][#1UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0, -259) vs. [#5][#4UFC] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0, +211)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#14FLY] Kai Asakura (21-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2024-05-04: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#6DD][#2FLY] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2023-06-03: L vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -259 69.17%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2201.64 +360.73 88.86%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 2112.27 +258.94 81.62%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2188.07 +255.80 81.34%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 2045.28 +204.80 76.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexandre Pantoja 35.2, Kai Kara-France 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 203, Kai Kara-France 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 5-2
.

Flyweight (125)
[#13P4P][#6DD][#2][#2UFC] Brandon Royval (17-7-0, -118) vs. [#13][#10UFC] Joshua Van (14-2-0, -102)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #14 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#6FLY] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#4P4P][#5DD][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#38FLY] Bruno Silva (14-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2025-03-08: W vs. [#45FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Royval -118 51.73%
Elo K170 Brandon Royval 2042.96 +190.25 74.93%
Elo Modified Brandon Royval 1871.32 +52.49 57.50%
Glicko-1 Brandon Royval 1918.10 +43.45 56.22%
WHR Brandon Royval 1812.29 +129.14 67.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 32.8, Joshua Van 23.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 259, Joshua Van 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 19, 2025 by Jason

We’re on a losing streak.  Gotta get it together!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree (06-21-2025)

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6][#6UFC] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0, +132) vs. [#11][#8UFC] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0, -160)
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -160 58.81%
Elo K170 Jamahal Hill 1926.61 +42.10 56.03%
Elo Modified Jamahal Hill 1913.55 +73.14 60.37%
Glicko-1 Jamahal Hill 1990.07 +96.99 63.61%
WHR Jamahal Hill 1806.38 +38.93 55.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamahal Hill 34.1, Khalil Rountree 35.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 154, Khalil Rountree 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#16][#12UFC] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0, -113) vs. [#17][#13UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0, -108)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (0-3-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-09-14: W vs. [#56LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-04-06: W vs. [#164LW] Christos Giagos (20-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -113 50.53%
Elo K170 Rafael Fiziev 1897.31 +7.72 51.11%
Elo Modified Rafael Fiziev 1897.44 +17.85 52.57%
Glicko-1 Ignacio Bahamondes 1979.74 +37.43 55.36%
WHR Ignacio Bahamondes 1881.86 +39.41 55.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rafael Fiziev 32.3, Ignacio Bahamondes 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 105, Ignacio Bahamondes 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0, -286) vs. [#71] Rizvan Kuniev (12-2-1, +230)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#9P4P][#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#205HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-4-0)
2022-03-11: W vs. [#227HW+] Anthony Hamilton (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -286 70.97%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2008.33 +363.39 89.01%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2003.36 +328.99 86.92%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2078.02 +336.12 87.38%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 1975.80 +212.36 77.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Curtis Blaydes 34.3, Rizvan Kuniev 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 329, Rizvan Kuniev 305
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0
.
Keep Reading

UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley

Posted on June 11, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Kamaru Usman (20–4–0, NR / #5 UFC) vs. Joaquin Buckley (21–6–0, #6 WW / #7 UFC)
June 14, 2025 – State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA, USA

Betting Odds Snapshot

  • Buckley: –225 to –270 (i.e., implied 69–73% favorite)
  • Usman: +190 to +235 (implied 30–34%)

Analysis: Buckley enters as solid favorite due to recent momentum, while Usman is viewed as the high-upside underdog against an opponent on a six-fight win streak .

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst

I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Betting Guide: 6 Key Fighters to Watch at UFC 317

Posted on June 11, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Credit

UFC 317 promises an electrifying night of mixed martial arts action in Las Vegas. The event, held at the T-Mobile Arena, is set for Saturday, June 28, at 10:00 PM EDT. This card features a compelling main event and a high-stakes co-main event.

Additionally, a crucial title eliminator bout will shape the future of the Flyweight division. This guide highlights key fighters whose journeys and recent performances make them compelling watches for an informed audience.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley (06-14-2025)

Posted on June 9, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#6][#6UFC] Joaquin Buckley (21-6-0, -273) vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0, +212)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#11WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-10-05: W vs. [#16WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#37MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (0-3-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -273 69.54%
Elo K170 Joaquin Buckley 2203.42 +32.44 54.65%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2191.46 +40.90 55.86%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2319.42 +49.08 57.02%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2039.52 +62.39 58.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joaquin Buckley 31.1, Kamaru Usman 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 182, Kamaru Usman 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6][#6UFC] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0, -284) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0, +221)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#9P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#15FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (12-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#31FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#39FLY] Dione Barbosa (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#33FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rose Namajunas -284 70.36%
Elo K170 Rose Namajunas 1783.83 +137.77 68.85%
Elo Modified Rose Namajunas 1762.72 +85.46 62.06%
Glicko-1 Rose Namajunas 1759.79 +78.05 61.05%
WHR Rose Namajunas 1718.21 +93.69 63.17%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rose Namajunas 32.9, Miranda Maverick 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 224, Miranda Maverick 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#45][#32UFC] Andre Petroski (13-3-0, +166) vs. [#65][#42UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Petroski (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#69MW] Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2024-08-24: L vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-23: W vs. [#180MW] A.J. Dobson (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edmen Shahbazyan -208 64.24%
Elo K170 Andre Petroski 1737.48 +156.61 71.13%
Elo Modified Andre Petroski 1745.67 +123.15 67.02%
Glicko-1 Andre Petroski 1740.31 +86.32 62.17%
WHR Andre Petroski 1647.43 +61.18 58.71%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Petroski 34.0, Edmen Shahbazyan 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Petroski 119, Edmen Shahbazyan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andre Petroski leads 2-1
.
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BKFC Ice Wars Presents ‘Battle of the Border’ USA vs. Canada

Posted on June 9, 2025 by Oleg

BKFC Ice Wars will host its first ever event, “Battle of the Borders”, a showdown between U.S. and Canadian ice warriors on Saturday, June 14, 2025 at the Soaring Eagle Casino and Resort in Mt. Pleasant, Michigan. The inaugural event is slated to showcase twelve head-to-head bouts and feature twenty-four elite fighters from the United States and Canada who will battle in “The Ice Box,” a 900-square foot ice enclosure designed specifically for ice fighting. Matchups for this can’t miss event will be announced shortly. Ticket information is available at BKFCIW.com. The Soaring Eagle Casino and Resort is located at 6800 Soaring Eagle Blvd., Mt Pleasant, MI 48858.

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UFC 316: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley 2 – Betting Odds, Tale of the Tape, and Analytical Breakdown

Posted on June 4, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

The UFC returns on June 7, 2025, with a high-stakes rematch in the bantamweight division as reigning champion Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili defends his title against former champ “Sugar” Sean O’Malley at UFC 316 inside Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey.

Their first meeting at UFC 306 was a one-sided display of grappling pressure, where Dvalishvili neutralized O’Malley en route to a dominant unanimous decision. However, with both men claiming full health and renewed preparation, the rematch promises fresh dynamics.

FightMatrix & UFC Stats

According to FightMatrix.com, the current bantamweight rankings are:

  • #1 BW: Merab Dvalishvili (19-4)
  • #2 BW: Sean OMalley (18-2, 1 NC)

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst

I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O’Malley 2 (06-07-2025)

Posted on June 2, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#4DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0, -287) vs. [#9DD][#2][#2UFC] Sean OMalley (18-2-0, +233)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#9DD][#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#9BW] Henry Cejudo (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#4DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#5FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Merab Dvalishvili -287 71.17%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 2373.66 +245.72 80.44%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 2329.17 +256.18 81.38%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 2409.03 +250.29 80.86%
WHR Merab Dvalishvili 2157.19 +148.06 70.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.4, Sean OMalley 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 140, Sean OMalley 266
Previous Match-up Record: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#1][#1UFC] Julianna Pena (12-5-0, +437) vs. [#10P4P][#7DD][#2][#2UFC] Kayla Harrison (18-1-0, -619)
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (16-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#11BW] Holly Holm (15-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2
2023-11-24: W vs. [#5FW] Aspen Ladd (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kayla Harrison -619 82.21%
Elo K170 Julianna Pena 1843.78 +29.76 54.27%
Elo Modified Kayla Harrison 1830.63 +63.71 59.07%
Glicko-1 Kayla Harrison 1864.54 +82.19 61.61%
WHR Kayla Harrison 1894.71 +162.97 71.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julianna Pena 35.8, Kayla Harrison 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julianna Pena 245, Kayla Harrison 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#18][#16UFC] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0, +292) vs. [#22][#18UFC] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0, -383)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#27WW] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#42MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [*] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#115MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joe Pyfer -383 75.66%
Elo K170 Kelvin Gastelum 1926.30 +200.26 76.00%
Elo Modified Kelvin Gastelum 1918.77 +162.07 71.77%
Glicko-1 Kelvin Gastelum 1964.07 +109.80 65.30%
WHR Kelvin Gastelum 1848.38 +101.64 64.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kelvin Gastelum 33.6, Joe Pyfer 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 350, Joe Pyfer 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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UFC 316: Fight Predictions, Betting Picks & Quick Analysis (June 7, 2025)

Posted on June 2, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

[#1 W135] Julianna Pena 12-5-0 vs [#2 W135] Kayla Harrison 18-1-0

Pick: Kayla Harrison (TKO/UD)

Analysis: Peña is a seasoned grappler but coming off a long layoff. Harrison, a former Olympic judoka, dominates in the clinch and on the mat.

Recommended bet: Harrison ITD or Harrison TKO/UD

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst

I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Charles Oliviera Predicts UFC 317 Clash With Ilia Topuria Won’t Last Long

Posted on May 28, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Brazilian UFC star Charles Oliveira takes on Ilia Topuria in the big fight at UFC 317 on June 28th in Nevada, and the 35-year-old, who saw off Michael Chandler last November to secure his 35th win, believes he’ll make light work of his unbeaten Georgian-Spanish opponent.

It’s now 17 years since the former undisputed Lightweight champion made his UFC debut in Sao Paulo,  and he will hope that he can take care of a fighter seven years his junior.

UFC fans who want to bet on this fight, or indeed any of the other bouts on the undercard, can make the most of the key info here that helps bettors identify the best sportsbook app to use for their wager, thereby helping to maximize any potential payout.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs Barber (05-31-2025)

Posted on May 26, 2025 by Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9P4P][#4][#4UFC] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Maycee Barber (14-2-0, +196)
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7P4P][#8DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#10FLY] Taila Santos (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#23FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2
2023-03-25: W vs. [#35FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Erin Blanchfield -242 67.68%
Elo K170 Erin Blanchfield 1906.59 +66.18 59.41%
Elo Modified Erin Blanchfield 1891.88 +103.03 64.41%
Glicko-1 Erin Blanchfield 1911.05 +136.33 68.67%
WHR Erin Blanchfield 1751.23 +59.89 58.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Erin Blanchfield 26.0, Maycee Barber 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Erin Blanchfield 210, Maycee Barber 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#8][#8UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0, -166) vs. [#42][#24UFC] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1, +138)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #39 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#16LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#164LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#63LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#486BW] A.J. Cunningham (11-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:36 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -166 59.76%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 2048.58 +143.23 69.52%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 2059.16 +165.11 72.12%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2126.82 +206.41 76.64%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 1988.49 +172.34 72.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 34.4, Ludovit Klein 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 287, Ludovit Klein 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20][#16UFC] Dustin Jacoby (20-9-1, -184) vs. [#63][#30UFC] Bruno Lopes (14-1-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#33LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3
2024-06-08: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-16: L vs. [#24LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Lopes (3-0-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#112LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#152LHW] Mikheil Sazhiniani (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-01-27: W vs. [#189LHW] Marcos Brigagao (17-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -184 62.10%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1712.78 +48.51 56.93%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1747.71 +75.07 60.64%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1797.21 +80.20 61.34%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1766.68 +111.90 65.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Jacoby 37.1, Bruno Lopes 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 168, Bruno Lopes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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The Ultimate Fighter 33 – Fighter Breakdown

Posted on May 26, 2025 by Jason
Flyweights
W-L-D Last Fight Math Avg
[#53] Eduardo Henrique 14-2-0 2024-08-23 1622
[#70] Idiris Alibi 10-0-0 2024-05-18 1675
[#107] Furkatbek Yokubov 15-4-0 2024-11-08 1493
[#126] Imanol Rodriguez 5-0-0 2024-09-22 1429
[#164] Roybert Echeverria 10-2-0 2024-11-17 1431
[#231] Tumelo Manyamala 6-1-0 2024-05-09 1430
[#266] Arshiyan Memon 6-0-0 2024-08-31 1430
[*] Joseph Morales 12-2-0 2023-02-03 1594
Welterweights
W-L-D Last Fight Math Avg
[#155] Jefferson Creighton 11-3-1 2024-08-24 1556
[#165] Richard Martins 9-1-0 2024-11-22 1616
[#170] Rodrigo Sezinando 8-1-0 2024-11-15 1559
[#191] Andreeas Binder 10-2-0 2024-12-08 1548
[#237LW] Daniel Donchenko 11-2-0 2024-11-23 1526
[#298] Alejandro Sanchez 15-3-0 2024-08-02 1506
[#321] Matt Dixon 11-1-0 2024-04-19 1491
[#378] Diego Bianchini 9-1-0 2024-03-08 1486



The Math Avg is the average of the four mathematical rating systems.

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