Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. dos Santos (01-25-2020)

22 Jan , 2020,
jcs

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0, +197) vs. [#7] Curtis Blaydes (12-2-0, -245)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#44HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#17HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16HW+] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 67.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2018.18) [+70.21] – Win%: 57.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2029.22) [+65.99] – Win%: 57.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Junior dos Santos (2019.20) [+66.54] – Win%: 62.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 210, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#7] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0, -260) vs. [#25] Michael Chiesa (16-4-0, +209)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#5WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (18-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#75WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-07-07: L vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rafael dos Anjos – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2029.40) [+89.18] – Win%: 60.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (1994.37) [+67.74] – Win%: 57.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rafael dos Anjos (2007.12) [+76.27] – Win%: 63.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 189, Michael Chiesa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, -103) vs. [#32] Arnold Allen (15-1-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#26FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#84LW] Michael Johnson (19-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#14FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-17-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#100FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#86FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#81FW] Mads Burnell (13-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 51.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1954.82) [+113.53] – Win%: 62.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1940.09) [+106.52] – Win%: 61.45
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Josh Emmett (1937.01) [+96.57] – Win%: 67.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 196, Arnold Allen 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone (01-18-2020)

13 Jan , 2020,
jcs

Welterweight (170)
[#16] Donald Cerrone (36-13-0, +247) vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0, -316)
Conor McGregor is the All-Time #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (1-2-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#4LW] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-06-08: L vs. [#2LW/#5DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-05-04: W vs. [#12LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Conor McGregor (2-1-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2016-11-12: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2016-08-20: W vs. [#11WW] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via MD (47-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Conor McGregor – Win%: 72.49
Elo Favorite (Standard): Conor McGregor (2172.99) [+190.54] – Win%: 70.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Conor McGregor (2111.55) [+152.79] – Win%: 66.12
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Conor McGregor (2112.86) [+120.48] – Win%: 70.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 126, Conor McGregor 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Conor McGregor leads 3-2
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Holly Holm (12-5-0, -137) vs. [#5] Raquel Pennington (10-7-0, +112)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (1-2-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1FW/#5DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (21-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#6BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#2BW/#8DD] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Holly Holm – Win%: 55.06
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raquel Pennington (1583.55) [+56.64] – Win%: 56.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raquel Pennington (1542.93) [+10.96] – Win%: 51.20
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Holly Holm (1561.35) [+30.00] – Win%: 55.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 196, Raquel Pennington 182
Previous Match-up Record: Holly Holm leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raquel Pennington leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#18] Alexey Oleynik (59-13-1, +110) vs. [#58] Maurice Greene (8-3-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#14HW+] Walt Harris (13-7-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#9HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-09-15: W vs. [#19HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Maurice Greene (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#36HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#72HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#94HW+] Jeff Hughes (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Maurice Greene – Win%: 54.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Oleynik (1634.72) [+94.73] – Win%: 60.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Oleynik (1693.73) [+155.53] – Win%: 66.39
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexey Oleynik (1680.24) [+164.59] – Win%: 78.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 182, Maurice Greene 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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McGregor vs Cerrone – Preview

5 Jan , 2020,
oleg

After taking a couple of weeks off, UFC will be kicking off 2020 with a return of their biggest star of the decade taking on the most decorated veteran and record holder who has never held a title. UFC 246: McGregor vs Cerrone will be one of those events that doesn’t have a star-studded undercard, and is marketed on the strength of the main event alone.

Conor McGregor will be facing Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone at welterweight; and while this is not a particularly meaningful fight from the divisional title perspective and not exactly a ‘Super-Fight’ either, it is an interesting bout which should be competitive and fun for as long as it lasts.  Here, I will be taking a look at the careers of both fighters, the numerous acclaims and records they hold in the UFC, and the stylistic matchup. And if you are into UFC betting, putting some cash on whoever you think will take home the W might make watching this fight even more exciting.

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Fight Matrix Program – PFL 2019 #10 (12-31-2019)

30 Dec , 2019,
jcs

Women Featherweight (154)
[#5] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0, 153.6lb, +711) vs. [#7] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0, 154.8lb, -1245)

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (2-1-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#8FW] Sarah Kaufman (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:31 of round 1
2019-05-09: L vs. [#7FW] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:32 of round 1
2019-07-11: W vs. [#55FW] Morgan Frier (4-3-0) via Submission (Key Lock) in 3:35 of round 1
2019-05-09: W vs. [#5FW] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kayla Harrison – Win%: 88.24
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kayla Harrison (1440.10) [+10.97] – Win%: 51.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kayla Harrison (1547.65) [+50.90] – Win%: 55.55
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kayla Harrison (1481.80) [+14.37] – Win%: 52.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Larissa Pacheco 81, Kayla Harrison 81
Previous Match-up Record: Kayla Harrison leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (169)
[#39] David Michaud (18-5-0, 169.5lb, +113) vs. [#53] Ray Cooper III (19-7-1, 168.6lb, -142)

Last 3 Fights: David Michaud (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#69WW] Glaico Franca (22-6-0) via MD ()
2019-10-11: W vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via UD ()
2019-07-11: W vs. [#80WW] Handesson Ferreira (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ray Cooper III (1-1-1)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#89WW] Chris Curtis (21-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:11 of round 2
2019-10-11: D vs. [#88WW] Sadibou Sy (8-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-07-11: L vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ray Cooper III – Win%: 55.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): David Michaud (1821.04) [+103.32] – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Michaud (1785.77) [+65.77] – Win%: 57.15
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): David Michaud (1763.86) [+5.34] – Win%: 51.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Michaud 81, Ray Cooper III 81
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: David Michaud leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (258)
[#20] Ali Isaev (8-0-0, 258.8lb, -507) vs. [#36] Jared Rosholt (20-7-0, 250.6lb, +366)

Last 3 Fights: Ali Isaev (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#35HW+] Denis Goltsov (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD ()
2019-08-08: W vs. [#138HW+] Carl Seumanutafa (12-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Rosholt (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#86HW+] Muhammed DeReese (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [#55HW+] Satoshi Ishii (22-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ali Isaev – Win%: 79.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ali Isaev (1777.99) [+35.78] – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ali Isaev (1818.91) [+48.46] – Win%: 55.28
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ali Isaev (1799.19) [+51.12] – Win%: 59.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ali Isaev 61, Jared Rosholt 61
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – RIZIN 20 (12-31-2019)

Dec , 2019,
jcs

Women Atomweight Championship (108)
[#1/#6DD/#5P4P] Ayaka Hamasaki (19-2-0, 107.7lb, -106) vs. [#2/#10DD] Seo Hee Ham (22-8-0, 107.8lb, -128)
Ayaka Hamasaki is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.
Seo Hee Ham is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ayaka Hamasaki (3-0-0)
2019-08-18: W vs. [#14AW] Suwanan Boonsorn (4-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:29 of round 1
2019-06-02: W vs. [#3AW] Jinh Yu Frey (8-4-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: W vs. [#8AW] Kanna Asakura (16-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Seo Hee Ham (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#7AW] Miyuu Yamamoto (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2019-07-28: W vs. [#9AW] Tomo Maesawa (13-10-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:14 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#11AW] Jeong Eun Park (7-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Seo Hee Ham – Win%: 52.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ayaka Hamasaki (1721.26) [+148.00] – Win%: 66.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ayaka Hamasaki (1718.22) [+128.62] – Win%: 63.71
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ayaka Hamasaki (1697.97) [+94.67] – Win%: 67.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ayaka Hamasaki 135, Seo Hee Ham 80
Previous Match-up Record: Ayaka Hamasaki leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ayaka Hamasaki leads 6-4
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Lightweight (157)
[#43] Tofiq Musayev (16-3-0, 156.9lb, -170) vs. [#45] Johnny Case (27-6-1, 156.9lb, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Tofiq Musayev (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#87LW] Damien Brown (19-13-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-06-02: W vs. [#119LW] Daron Cruickshank (22-13-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: W vs. [#431LW] Nobumitsu Osawa (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Case (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#129LW] Roberto de Souza (9-1-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 1:15 of round 1
2019-07-28: W vs. [#202LW] Satoru Kitaoka (42-20-9) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2018-12-31: W vs. [#103LW] Yusuke Yachi (21-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tofiq Musayev – Win%: 59.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Johnny Case (1811.05) [+18.84] – Win%: 52.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Johnny Case (1806.39) [+9.23] – Win%: 51.01
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Johnny Case (1802.04) [+8.14] – Win%: 51.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tofiq Musayev 80, Johnny Case 80
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (157)
[#12] Patricky Freire (22-8-0, 156.4lb, -443) vs. [#82] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (10-1-0, 155.8lb, +316)
Patricky Freire is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricky Freire (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#203LW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (37-14-2) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#88LW] Ryan Scope (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#345LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#210LW] Hiroto Uesako (18-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:55 of round 1
2019-04-21: L vs. [#95FW] Mikuru Asakura (12-1-0) via UD ()
2018-08-12: W vs. [#103LW] Yusuke Yachi (21-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Patricky Freire – Win%: 77.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Patricky Freire (1998.49) [+376.15] – Win%: 84.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Patricky Freire (1941.33) [+300.83] – Win%: 78.86
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Patricky Freire (1906.50) [+211.70] – Win%: 83.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricky Freire 80, Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos 80
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 237: Fedor vs. Rampage (12-28-2019)

23 Dec , 2019,
jcs

Heavyweight (265)
[#25] Fedor Emelianenko (38-6-0) vs. [*] Quinton Jackson (38-13-0)
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Quinton Jackson is the All-Time #28 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2019-01-26: L vs. [#7HW+] Ryan Bader (27-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-04-28: W vs. [#33HW+] Frank Mir (19-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Quinton Jackson (1-2-0)
2018-09-29: W vs. [*] Wanderlei Silva (35-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2018-01-20: L vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-31: L vs. [#62LHW] Muhammed Lawal (21-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Fedor Emelianenko (1938.70) [+147.43] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Fedor Emelianenko (1941.39) [+168.05] – Win%: 67.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Fedor Emelianenko (1915.70) [+108.98] – Win%: 69.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fedor Emelianenko 336, Quinton Jackson 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 6 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Michael Chandler (19-5-0) vs. [#66] Sidney Outlaw (14-3-0)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #21 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#4FW] Patricio Freire (30-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-12-14: W vs. [#30LW] Brent Primus (9-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#55LW] Brandon Girtz (16-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sidney Outlaw (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#346LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via UD ()
2019-05-17: W vs. [#565LW] Cesar Balmaceda (6-2-0) via SUB in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [#328LW] Zach Fears (10-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:52 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chandler (1951.78) [+229.17] – Win%: 74.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chandler (1902.13) [+152.42] – Win%: 66.09
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michael Chandler (1893.90) [+124.75] – Win%: 71.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 231, Sidney Outlaw 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23] Lorenz Larkin (21-7-0) vs. [#148] Keita Nakamura (35-10-2)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#36WW] Andrey Koreshkov (22-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-12: W vs. [#162WW] Ion Pascu (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#108WW] Fernando Gonzalez (28-18-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Keita Nakamura (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#427WW] Marcos Yoshio Souza (8-2-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 1:15 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#118WW] Sultan Aliev (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#357WW] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Lorenz Larkin (1967.32) [+366.32] – Win%: 84.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lorenz Larkin (1896.42) [+296.21] – Win%: 78.53
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lorenz Larkin (1883.80) [+242.60] – Win%: 85.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 85, Keita Nakamura 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 165: Edgar vs. Zombie (12-21-2019)

19 Dec , 2019,
jcs

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Frankie Edgar (23-7-1, +151) vs. [#15] Chan Sung Jung (15-5-0, -178)
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #7 ranked Featherweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (1-2-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#24FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (2-1-0)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#19FW] Renato Carneiro (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2018-11-10: L vs. [#10FW] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 5
2017-02-04: W vs. [#100LW] Dennis Bermudez (17-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:49 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chan Sung Jung – Win%: 61.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Frankie Edgar (2040.90) [+203.44] – Win%: 71.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Frankie Edgar (2015.92) [+183.30] – Win%: 69.05
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Frankie Edgar (2016.03) [+176.11] – Win%: 78.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Edgar 147, Chan Sung Jung 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Frankie Edgar leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Volkan Oezdemir (16-4-0, +128) vs. [#18] Aleksandar Rakic (12-1-0, -153)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #40 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (1-2-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#21LHW] Ilir Latifi (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2019-03-16: L vs. [#8LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#3LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (3-0-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [#32LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:42 of round 1
2018-12-08: W vs. [#57LHW] Devin Clark (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-07-22: W vs. [#143LHW] Justin Ledet (9-2-0) via UD (30-24, 30-24, 30-25)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aleksandar Rakic – Win%: 57.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Volkan Oezdemir (1798.80) [+8.88] – Win%: 51.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Volkan Oezdemir (1825.49) [+42.96] – Win%: 54.69
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Volkan Oezdemir (1819.74) [+41.03] – Win%: 57.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 133, Aleksandar Rakic 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#168LW] Charles Jourdain (9-2-0, +234) vs. [*] Doo Ho Choi (14-3-0, -289)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#42LW] Desmond Green (23-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-04-11: W vs. [#234LW] Damien Lapilus (18-12-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 5
2018-12-07: W vs. [#229FW] Alex Morgan (9-4-0) via SUB in 4:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (1-2-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#11FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-17-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:36 of round 2
2016-12-10: L vs. [#24FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-07-08: W vs. [#132LW] Thiago Tavares (22-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Doo Ho Choi – Win%: 71.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Doo Ho Choi (1715.22) [+213.20] – Win%: 72.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Doo Ho Choi (1732.83) [+209.32] – Win%: 71.43
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Doo Ho Choi (1689.63) [+149.97] – Win%: 76.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 217, Doo Ho Choi 706
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington (12-14-2019)

10 Dec , 2019,
jcs

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#5DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0, -183) vs. [#4] Colby Covington (15-1-0, +153)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #13 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Colby Covington is the All-Time #20 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#2WW] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#7WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#9WW] Demian Maia (28-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (3-0-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#17WW] Robbie Lawler (28-14-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#7WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#9WW] Demian Maia (28-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kamaru Usman – Win%: 62.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kamaru Usman (2333.07) [+92.97] – Win%: 60.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kamaru Usman (2254.80) [+68.26] – Win%: 57.42
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kamaru Usman (2293.26) [+79.30] – Win%: 63.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 287, Colby Covington 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#7P4P] Max Holloway (21-4-0, -173) vs. [#2] Alexander Volkanovski (20-1-0, +145)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#6FW] Frankie Edgar (23-7-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#3LW/#6DD] Dustin Poirier (25-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#4FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#32FW] Darren Elkins (24-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 60.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2296.63) [+96.22] – Win%: 60.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2267.25) [+96.15] – Win%: 60.37
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Max Holloway (2277.09) [+94.03] – Win%: 66.34
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 140, Alexander Volkanovski 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 2-1
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (18-4-0, -306) vs. [#2/#6DD/#6P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-3-0, +242)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #29 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#1FW/#5DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (21-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (10-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (3-0-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#4BW] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (10-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Nunes – Win%: 72.04
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1997.02) [+286.29] – Win%: 78.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Nunes (1953.99) [+227.52] – Win%: 73.02
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Amanda Nunes (1971.11) [+248.16] – Win%: 86.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 161, Germaine de Randamie 154
Previous Match-up Record: Amanda Nunes leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 4-2
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 7: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik (12-07-2019)

2 Dec , 2019,
jcs

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Alistair Overeem (45-17-0, -126) vs. [#30] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (9-0-0, +101)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#17HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#39HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#6HW+] Curtis Blaydes (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#45HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#146HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:09 of round 1
2019-02-02: W vs. [#72HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alistair Overeem – Win%: 52.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1983.34) [+318.07] – Win%: 81.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1992.91) [+308.45] – Win%: 79.42
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alistair Overeem (1963.54) [+264.11] – Win%: 87.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 231, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#10] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-0, -102) vs. [#12] Marina Rodriguez (12-0-1, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#20SW] Cortney Casey (8-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#36FLY] Poliana Botelho (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2017-12-30: L vs. [#6SW] Carla Esparza (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (2-0-1)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#19SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#38SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-26)
2018-09-22: D vs. [#15SW] Randa Markos (10-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marina Rodriguez – Win%: 52.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marina Rodriguez (1624.83) [+25.56] – Win%: 52.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cynthia Calvillo (1658.27) [+32.65] – Win%: 53.57
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Marina Rodriguez (1625.53) [+4.57] – Win%: 50.86
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cynthia Calvillo 293, Marina Rodriguez 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#29] Stefan Struve (29-11-0, +115) vs. [#71] Ben Rothwell (36-12-0, -141)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stefan Struve (1-2-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#59HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (16-6-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 2
2018-07-22: L vs. [#32HW+] Marcin Tybura (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#45HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (0-3-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#45HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#11HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-04-10: L vs. [#4HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ben Rothwell – Win%: 55.71
Elo Favorite (Standard): Stefan Struve (1656.95) [+53.61] – Win%: 56.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Stefan Struve (1682.55) [+8.52] – Win%: 50.93
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Stefan Struve (1654.50) [+8.03] – Win%: 51.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stefan Struve 287, Ben Rothwell 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ben Rothwell leads 2-0
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Fight Matrix Program- UFC on ESPN+ 22: Blachowicz vs. Jacare (11-16-2019)

13 Nov , 2019,
jcs

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#8MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-7-0, +172) vs. [#6] Jan Blachowicz (24-8-0, -209)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (1-2-0)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#11MW] Jack Hermansson (20-5-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#14MW] Chris Weidman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:46 of round 3
2018-05-12: L vs. [#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#11LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2019-02-23: L vs. [#2LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15LHW] Nikita Krylov (25-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:41 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jan Blachowicz – Win%: 64.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ronaldo Souza (2000.46) [+27.83] – Win%: 53.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ronaldo Souza (2070.32) [+101.03] – Win%: 60.88
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ronaldo Souza (2043.82) [+88.86] – Win%: 66.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Souza 203, Jan Blachowicz 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jan Blachowicz leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#25] Mauricio Rua (26-11-0, -258) vs. [#66] Paul Craig (12-4-0, +212)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #35 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#52LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 3
2018-07-22: L vs. [#3LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:29 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#46LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO in 0:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (2-1-0)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#160LHW] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:19 of round 1
2019-06-29: L vs. [#48LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#86LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (7-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:20 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mauricio Rua – Win%: 69.21
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mauricio Rua (1836.81) [+327.87] – Win%: 81.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mauricio Rua (1846.21) [+275.63] – Win%: 76.97
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Mauricio Rua (1801.88) [+229.91] – Win%: 85.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 350, Paul Craig 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mauricio Rua leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#7] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0, -357) vs. [#106] Jared Gordon (15-3-0, +284)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#28LW] Nik Lentz (30-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2019-02-02: W vs. [#36LW] David Teymur (8-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:55 of round 2
2018-12-15: W vs. [#27LW] Jim Miller (31-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (1-2-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#279LW] Dan Moret (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 3
2018-02-18: L vs. [#15LW] Diego Ferreira (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Charles Oliveira – Win%: 75.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Charles Oliveira (2054.74) [+454.45] – Win%: 88.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Charles Oliveira (2054.19) [+446.20] – Win%: 87.58
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Charles Oliveira (2038.89) [+426.77] – Win%: 96.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 182, Jared Gordon 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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