Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (2020-06-06)

1 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0, -582) vs. [#6] Felicia Spencer (8-1-0, +417)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#25FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Amanda Nunes 81.52%
Elo K170 Amanda Nunes 2024.67 +498.24 90.69%
Elo Modified Amanda Nunes 1987.37 +417.36 86.14%
Glicko-1 Amanda Nunes 2050.60 +477.15 93.98%
WHR Amanda Nunes 2142.16 +172.97 68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 175, Felicia Spencer 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0, +120) vs. [*] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0, -146)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #20 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (0-3-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Cody Garbrandt 56.63%
Elo K170 Raphael Assuncao 1855.29 +53.47 56.08%
Elo Modified Cody Garbrandt 1825.74 +10.56 51.16%
Glicko-1 Cody Garbrandt 1844.49 +9.92 51.43%
WHR Cody Garbrandt 1940.75 +56.03 56.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Assuncao 294, Cody Garbrandt 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raphael Assuncao leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Aljamain Sterling (18-3-0, -114) vs. [#5] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0, -109)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #23 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#75FW] Cody Stamann (18-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#17BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#68BW] Mario Bautista (8-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Aljamain Sterling 50.53%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2120.72 +176.70 69.15%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2086.47 +207.28 71.25%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2143.59 +220.63 78.08%
WHR Aljamain Sterling 2043.07 +26.15 52.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 364, Cory Sandhagen 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 1-0
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns (2020-05-30)

25 May , 2020,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[*] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1, 170.5lb, -186) vs. [#9] Gilbert Burns (18-3-0, 170.5lb, +154)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#24WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#55WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Tyron Woodley 62.28%
Elo K170 Tyron Woodley 2247.91 +118.23 63.18%
Elo Modified Tyron Woodley 2185.79 +80.41 58.71%
Glicko-1 Tyron Woodley 2251.86 +69.91 59.93%
WHR Gilbert Burns 2036.36 +250.28 75.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 455, Gilbert Burns 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (259)
[#12] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0, 255.5lb, -110) vs. [#27] Augusto Sakai (14-1-1, 259.5lb, -114)

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#43HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#28HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#26HW+] Marcin Tybura (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#70HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Augusto Sakai 50.42%
Elo K170 Blagoy Ivanov 1855.20 +95.84 60.78%
Elo Modified Blagoy Ivanov 1931.69 +175.41 68.31%
Glicko-1 Blagoy Ivanov 2001.18 +201.28 76.9%
WHR Blagoy Ivanov 1866.91 +95.43 60.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 210, Augusto Sakai 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (150)
[#169] Spike Carlyle (9-1-0, 150.0lb, +120) vs. [#170] Billy Quarantillo (13-2-0, 149.5lb, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#264FW] Aalon Cruz (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1807LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#596WW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#236FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-07-23: W vs. [#247FW] Kamuela Kirk (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [*] Adrian Vilaca (8-3-0) via KO in 4:32 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Billy Quarantillo 56.63%
Elo K170 Billy Quarantillo 1670.65 +143.40 65.82%
Elo Modified Billy Quarantillo 1685.99 +105.25 61.32%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1751.74 +132.13 68.15%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1870.58 +94.99 60.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Spike Carlyle 91, Billy Quarantillo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris (05-16-2020)

16 May , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0, +130) vs. [#16] Walt Harris (13-7-0, -158)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#8HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-04-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#34HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [#42HW+] Sergey Spivak (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1836.95) [+120.35] – Win%: 63.41
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1860.35) [+58.47] – Win%: 56.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alistair Overeem (1805.87) [+11.27] – Win%: 52.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 161, Walt Harris 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alistair Overeem leads 3-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0, -194) vs. [#16] Angela Hill (12-7-0, +162)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #30 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#22SW] Randa Markos (10-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6SW] Carla Esparza (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#99SW] Konklak Suphisara (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#43SW] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#54SW] Ariane Carnelossi (12-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 63.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1627.84) [+102.04] – Win%: 61.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1619.37) [+80.08] – Win%: 58.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Claudia Gadelha (1599.79) [+50.98] – Win%: 59.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 315, Angela Hill 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 2-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#14LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0, -132) vs. [#21] Dan Ige (13-2-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#32FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#54FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#153FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Ige (1935.29) [+99.08] – Win%: 61.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1887.89) [+10.73] – Win%: 51.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Edson Barboza (1909.09) [+57.43] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 252, Dan Ige 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira (05-13-2020)

11 May , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Anthony Smith (33-14-0, -173) vs. [#11] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0, +143)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#43MW] Karl Roberson (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Smith – Win%: 60.62
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Smith (2080.27) [+125.09] – Win%: 63.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Smith (2091.57) [+163.18] – Win%: 67.14
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Anthony Smith (2088.13) [+156.02] – Win%: 76.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 347, Glover Teixeira 242
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#30] Ben Rothwell (37-12-0, +124) vs. [#22LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0, -150)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#12HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#47LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-13: L vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ovince St. Preux – Win%: 57.33
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ovince St. Preux (1733.16) [+31.62] – Win%: 53.60
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ovince St. Preux (1757.42) [+18.91] – Win%: 52.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ben Rothwell (1735.59) [+5.80] – Win%: 51.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 158, Ovince St. Preux 228
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) vs. [#35] Drew Dober (22-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#18LW] Francisco Trinaldo (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#50LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#90LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#438FW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#16LW] Beneil Dariush (18-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Hernandez (1843.03) [+75.41] – Win%: 58.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Hernandez (1817.88) [+56.68] – Win%: 56.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexander Hernandez (1824.03) [+53.17] – Win%: 59.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 298, Drew Dober 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Hernandez leads 2-0
.

Read More…

Therapy for the Sports Fans

7 May , 2020,
oleg

We’re now approaching two months into an almost complete lock-down of the United States, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As our nation and the rest of the world are looking to gradually resume normalcy, the state of professional sports is not looking good for the rest of 2020. While NFL is still planning to kick off the 2020-2021 season in the fall, both NBA and NHL likely won’t start their regular seasons until the very end of the year – and that’s the best case scenario. However MMA followers might have it better than the fans of more traditional ball-and-stick team sports: there are only 3 people who have to be in the combat arena at any given time, which makes it far more reasonable to practice some semblance of social distancing. UFC president Dana White has been raring at the bit to bring back violent action in the Octagon. And while UFC 249 had to be postponed from the originally scheduled date of April 18th, it looks like things have finally fallen into place – though we won’t be seeing the long awaited lightweight title bout between Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov just yet, we are going to see some actual MMA fights this Saturday! (Fingers crossed).

Of course in the big scheme of things, lack of professional sports is a comparatively minor problem during a pandemic. Aside from the obvious worrying about infection and illness, a huge number of people are out of work and have a hard time paying the bills or putting food on the table. And even those of us who are lucky to still have a job – and perhaps even an ability to work remotely from the safety of our homes – are bound to be affected by the uncertainty of the current situation.  The anxiety can build up, leading to depression and other psychological issues. If you are struggling with anxiety or depression, please seek professional help. You might think that you can’t afford it, but the cost of therapy may be less than you realize. And while it’s easy to dismiss sports as meaningless entertainment, for those of us who are used to watching MMA fights every weekend – or basketball games several times a week, the change in routine brings additional free time to fill. This is certainly not helping anyone’s mental state. Luckily, Dana White and UFC are coming to the rescue. Let’s take a look at three top-billed fights from each of the three UFC events scheduled in the next ten days.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje (05-09-2020)

3 May , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#2/#6DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0, -179) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0, +150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #10 ranked Lightweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-07: W vs. [#8LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-08-25: W vs. [#113WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Ferguson – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Ferguson (2326.98) [+147.38] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Ferguson (2265.16) [+142.16] – Win%: 65.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tony Ferguson (2285.64) [+124.10] – Win%: 71.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 336, Justin Gaethje 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Justin Gaethje leads 3-2
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#9DD/#2P4P] Henry Cejudo (15-2-0, -222) vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0, +181)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#8BW/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2016-12-30: L vs. [#25BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-47)
2016-06-04: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2016-01-17: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Henry Cejudo – Win%: 65.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Henry Cejudo (2247.66) [+229.12] – Win%: 74.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Henry Cejudo (2163.15) [+213.73] – Win%: 71.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Henry Cejudo (2199.49) [+209.55] – Win%: 81.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 336, Dominick Cruz 1226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dominick Cruz leads 4-2
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0, -285) vs. [#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-0-0, +229)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#6HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#26HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-11-02: W vs. [#38HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#147HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 70.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Francis Ngannou (2149.39) [+337.67] – Win%: 82.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Francis Ngannou (2133.52) [+301.99] – Win%: 78.95
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Francis Ngannou (2117.05) [+278.58] – Win%: 88.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 315, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Read More…

UFC 249: Preview and Prediction for Ferguson-Gaethje

30 Apr , 2020,
A. J. Riot

For the love of all that is holy, finally, we get some real, live sporting action coming up soon.

On May 9th, UFC 249 is supposed to take place. Who knows if local regulations will still permit it a couple of weeks from now; we could see a regression in the control of this outbreak. That said, I really, really, really, sincerely hope we get to see this event.

It’s not Tony Ferguson vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov like we all wanted. But according to Dana White, the winner of this fight will get Nurmagomedov. Khabib withdrew in his scheduled tilt against Ferguson because he was ‘stuck in Russia’ due to the coronavirus – yeah, yeah, a likely story. But Dana says we’ll see Khabib fight the winner of the May 9th fight in the fall, ‘100 percent.’

Dana has gone back on his word many-a-times, so I’m just hoping that this is true. Dana White also said, “The Ferguson vs. Gaethje fight is one of the most violent fights you will see.” – White via ESPN. Ok … I disagree. But we’ll see. But hey, man. I like the hype.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 28: Lee vs. Oliveira (03-14-2020)

9 Mar , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#6] Kevin Lee (18-5-0, -142) vs. [#8] Charles Oliveira (28-8-0, +116)
Kevin Lee is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Lee (1-2-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22LW] Gregor Gillespie (13-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:47 of round 1
2019-05-18: L vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-12-15: L vs. [#13LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#110LW] Jared Gordon (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#47FW] Nik Lentz (30-11-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2019-02-02: W vs. [#46LW] David Teymur (8-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:55 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Lee – Win%: 55.89
Elo Favorite (Standard): Charles Oliveira (2066.44) [+60.69] – Win%: 56.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Charles Oliveira (2065.30) [+97.23] – Win%: 60.49
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Charles Oliveira (2069.93) [+94.71] – Win%: 66.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Lee 133, Charles Oliveira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Demian Maia (28-9-0, +167) vs. [#20] Gilbert Burns (17-3-0, -204)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:54 of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#16WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-5-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#39WW] Lyman Good (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#22WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#49WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#239LW] Mike Davis (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gilbert Burns – Win%: 64.18
Elo Favorite (Standard): Demian Maia (2157.98) [+147.30] – Win%: 66.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Demian Maia (2107.18) [+101.42] – Win%: 60.92
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Demian Maia (2107.75) [+74.81] – Win%: 63.32
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 140, Gilbert Burns 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#15] Randa Markos (10-7-1, +216) vs. [#22] Amanda Ribas (8-1-0, -270)

Last 3 Fights: Randa Markos (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#37SW] Ashley Yoder (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#42SW] Mackenzie Dern (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#70SW] Emily Whitmire (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2016-05-21: W vs. [#54SW] Jennifer Gonzalez Araneda (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:42 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Ribas – Win%: 69.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Ribas (1487.35) [+16.28] – Win%: 51.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Ribas (1553.11) [+119.16] – Win%: 62.75
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Amanda Ribas (1518.47) [+71.74] – Win%: 63.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randa Markos 140, Amanda Ribas 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 248: Adesanya vs Romero (03-07-2020)

2 Mar , 2020,
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#10P4P] Israel Adesanya (18-0-0, -272) vs. [#5] Yoel Romero (13-4-0, +217)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Yoel Romero is the All-Time #10 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2
2019-04-13: W vs. [#9MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-5-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#31MW] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#2MW] Paulo Henrique Costa (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 69.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Israel Adesanya (2300.34) [+296.60] – Win%: 79.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Israel Adesanya (2251.89) [+211.23] – Win%: 71.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Israel Adesanya (2225.31) [+159.88] – Win%: 76.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Yoel Romero 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 3-2
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Weili Zhang (20-1-0, -181) vs. [#3/#7DD/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0, +150)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#7P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#38SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (17-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Weili Zhang – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Weili Zhang (1874.18) [+154.26] – Win%: 66.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Weili Zhang (1848.41) [+128.90] – Win%: 63.74
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Weili Zhang (1874.48) [+168.06] – Win%: 77.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 189, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#18] Beneil Dariush (17-4-1, -164) vs. [#33] Drakkar Klose (11-1-1, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#143LW] Frank Camacho (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#36LW] Drew Dober (22-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2
2018-11-10: W vs. [#115LW] Thiago Moises (12-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#55LW] Christos Giagos (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#75LW] Bobby Green (24-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#34LW] Lando Vannata (11-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Beneil Dariush – Win%: 59.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Beneil Dariush (1895.67) [+62.04] – Win%: 57.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Beneil Dariush (1878.97) [+70.20] – Win%: 57.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Beneil Dariush (1894.69) [+80.73] – Win%: 64.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 133, Drakkar Klose 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 27: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo (02-29-2020)

24 Feb , 2020,
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1] Joseph Benavidez (28-5-0, -129) vs. [#3] Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1-0, +104)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #15 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#9FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#8FLY] Alex Perez (23-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#21FLY] Tim Elliott (15-10-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-07-27: W vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (2067.41) [+119.82] – Win%: 63.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (2051.53) [+134.33] – Win%: 64.29
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Joseph Benavidez (2034.93) [+85.36] – Win%: 65.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 245, Deiveson Figueiredo 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 4-2
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Felicia Spencer (7-1-0, -746) vs. [#24] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-3-0, +510)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#11FW] Pam Sorenson (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Zarah Fairn dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-12-15: W vs. [#215FLY] Izabela Badurek (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#50FLY] Suvi Salmimies (11-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Felicia Spencer – Win%: 84.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Felicia Spencer (1489.70) [+233.01] – Win%: 74.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Felicia Spencer (1535.41) [+222.53] – Win%: 72.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Felicia Spencer (1473.25) [+156.74] – Win%: 77.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felicia Spencer 217, Zarah Fairn dos Santos 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Felicia Spencer leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Magomed Ankalaev (12-1-0, -249) vs. [#30] Ion Cutelaba (15-4-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [#34LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [*] Marcin Prachnio (13-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#42LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-27: L vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#85LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:25 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Ankalaev – Win%: 68.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Magomed Ankalaev (1822.00) [+161.16] – Win%: 67.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Magomed Ankalaev (1825.13) [+138.49] – Win%: 64.71
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Magomed Ankalaev (1793.40) [+89.59] – Win%: 66.39
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 112, Ion Cutelaba 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…