Category Archives: MMA Statistics

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal (2020-07-11)

9 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#3DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0, -250) vs. [#2] Jorge Masvidal (35-13-0, +199)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
2019-03-02: W vs. [#6WW] Tyron Woodley (19-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#12WW] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -250 68.11%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2396.13 +176.08 69.09%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2317.36 +101.19 60.90%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2384.93 +27.47 53.95%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2146.61 +63.71 57.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 210, Jorge Masvidal 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
.

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0, -217) vs. [#2/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0, +176)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #7 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#3BW] Jose Aldo (28-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#7FW] Frankie Edgar (23-8-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#3LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -217 65.38%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2308.02 +119.40 63.31%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2269.35 +115.50 62.38%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2338.08 +89.98 62.67%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2101.19 +50.64 55.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 210, Max Holloway 210
Previous Match-up Record: Alexander Volkanovski leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#3] Jose Aldo (28-6-0, +180) vs. [#4] Petr Yan (14-1-0, -224)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #40 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#25LW] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
2019-06-08: W vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -224 65.94%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2060.78 +70.94 58.03%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2050.13 +23.41 52.56%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2118.97 +27.90 54.01%
WHR Petr Yan 1993.22 +59.83 56.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 210, Petr Yan 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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WHR Career Histories of Fighters who set All-Time WHR Records

27 Jun , 2020,
Jason

One more fancy graph.  WHR histories for all fighters who set all-time highest WHR records during their career.

In other words… fighters that (by WHR standards) were “the best fighters ever” at some point when they fought.  Josh Barnett is a bit of a surprise… otherwise, names we all expect.

WHR History: Jones, Cormier, Miocic

Jun , 2020,
Jason

Three guys whose careers have been associated with one another… If Jones/Miocic ever happens, it will all come full circle.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker (2020-06-27)

21 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#3/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (25-6-0, -204) vs. [#7] Dan Hooker (20-8-0, +167)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #12 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#3P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#32WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#10LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#11LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#114WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Poirier -204 64.18%
Elo K170 Dustin Poirier 2256.46 +184.10 69.87%
Elo Modified Dustin Poirier 2201.67 +225.37 72.84%
Glicko-1 Dustin Poirier 2259.25 +242.58 80.16%
WHR Dustin Poirier 2130.87 +224.95 73.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 294, Dan Hooker 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#29] Mike Perry (13-6-0, -285) vs. [#149] Mickey Gall (6-2-0, +227)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#21WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#19WW] Vicente Luque (18-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#37WW] Alex Oliveira (21-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#339WW] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (30-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-08-25: W vs. [#206MW] George Sullivan (18-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Perry -285 70.76%
Elo K170 Mike Perry 1697.47 +206.64 71.99%
Elo Modified Mike Perry 1726.18 +204.26 70.97%
Glicko-1 Mike Perry 1783.74 +249.09 80.75%
WHR Mike Perry 1682.91 +204.61 71.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 196, Mickey Gall 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#28] Brendan Allen (14-3-0, -304) vs. [#66] Kyle Daukaus (9-0-0, +248)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#49MW] Tom Breese (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#44MW] Kevin Holland (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-07-16: W vs. [#254MW] Aaron Jeffery (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (3-0-0)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#168MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#255MW] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 0:50 of round 2
2019-06-25: W vs. [#261WW] Michael Lombardo (11-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -304 72.36%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 1818.28 +198.59 71.25%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 1825.72 +152.53 66.10%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 1901.40 +219.83 78.00%
WHR Brendan Allen 1748.31 +133.58 64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 119, Kyle Daukaus 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov (2020-06-20)

14 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0, -332) vs. [#10] Alexander Volkov (31-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #38 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#7HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#19HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [*] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#85HW+] Greg Hardy (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
2018-03-17: W vs. [#14HW+] Fabricio Werdum (23-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -332 73.39%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2049.87 +89.61 60.09%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2055.19 +74.07 58.03%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2128.70 +83.82 61.84%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 2020.68 +150.00 66.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 147, Alexander Volkov 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#6] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, +112) vs. [#20] Shane Burgos (13-1-0, -138)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#34FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#82LW] Michael Johnson (19-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#17FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#57FW] Makwan Amirkhani (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-05-04: W vs. [#24FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#398LW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Burgos -138 55.14%
Elo K170 Josh Emmett 1954.97 +74.15 58.39%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 1925.19 +107.02 61.50%
Glicko-1 Josh Emmett 1992.69 +139.91 69.11%
WHR Josh Emmett 1884.44 +91.81 60.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 343, Shane Burgos 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Raquel Pennington (10-8-0, -139) vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-5-1, +114)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (1-2-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#13BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [*] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#7BW] Sara McMann (12-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raquel Pennington -139 55.44%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1485.54 +141.90 65.66%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1463.43 +69.96 57.60%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1434.04 +4.39 50.63%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1485.75 +86.15 59.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 154, Marion Reneau 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raquel Pennington leads 3-1
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WHR RATING UPDATE (#2)

12 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Notable Info

  • After recent changes were made, extensive testing of the w2 value suggests value used in WHR be changed to 42 (from 10).  WHR ratings updated.

WHR Rating Update

9 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Notable Info

  • It turns out the WHR system that we recently rolled out does not properly handle draws — for every draw, it was adding a win AND loss.  Since I lumped close decisions in with draws based on the research I did w/ the Glicko system, this caused a pretty large ratings issue.  I started noticing strange patterns of fighters in draws and close decisions who both lost considerable points directly after the fight.
    Further research is required to determine if this is a systemic problem or an implementation problem.  In the interim, I updated the WHR ratings and tossed out all draws, along with no contests and disqualifications.  Before, we were also treating split & majority decisions as draws in the WHR ratings, but we will now treat those as wins (for now).  Furthermore, I increased the accuracy as the ratings now run until the convergence is below 0.00001 (vs. 1.0).  Technically, this paints a more “accurate” picture.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo (2020-06-13)

Jun , 2020,
Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3] Jessica Eye (15-7-0, +108) vs. [#8] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-1, -132)
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #43 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#2FLY/#6P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (2-0-1)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#10SW] Marina Rodriguez (12-0-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-02-17: W vs. [#15FLY] Cortney Casey (9-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#42FLY] Poliana Botelho (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cynthia Calvillo -132 54.20%
Elo K170 Jessica Eye 1640.33 +34.72 53.96%
Elo Modified Cynthia Calvillo 1636.08 +33.72 53.68%
Glicko-1 Cynthia Calvillo 1620.39 +56.47 58.06%
WHR Jessica Eye 1601.28 +10.37 51.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Eye 182, Cynthia Calvillo 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#31] Marvin Vettori (13-4-1, -236) vs. [#40] Karl Roberson (9-2-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#63MW] Andrew Sanchez (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#58MW] Cezar Ferreira (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#1MW/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (19-0-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Karl Roberson (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#77MW] Roman Kopylov (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2019-07-13: W vs. [#76MW] Wellington Turman (16-3-0) via UD ()
2019-01-19: L vs. [#6LHW] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -236 67.15%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 1779.04 +37.70 54.29%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1816.14 +25.40 52.78%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 1851.64 +56.88 58.11%
WHR Karl Roberson 1755.09 +18.43 52.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 245, Karl Roberson 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Merab Dvalishvili (10-4-0, -865) vs. [#119] Gustavo Lopez (11-4-0, +567)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#39BW] Casey Kenney (14-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#79BW] Brad Katona (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#363BW] Terrion Ware (17-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Gustavo Lopez (3-0-0)
2019-08-23: W vs. [#496BW] Joey Ruquet (7-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:45 of round 1
2019-03-29: W vs. [#322BW] Jose Alday (12-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2018-12-07: W vs. [*] Vicente Marquez Enriquez (4-6-0) via SUB in 0:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Merab Dvalishvili -865 85.67%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 1744.39 +318.21 81.06%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 1763.62 +330.41 80.95%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 1781.70 +331.43 87.08%
WHR Merab Dvalishvili 1644.58 +355.18 83.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 119, Gustavo Lopez 295
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (2020-06-06)

1 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0, -582) vs. [#6] Felicia Spencer (8-1-0, +417)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#25FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Nunes -582 81.52%
Elo K170 Amanda Nunes 2024.67 +498.24 90.69%
Elo Modified Amanda Nunes 1987.37 +417.36 86.14%
Glicko-1 Amanda Nunes 2050.60 +477.15 93.98%
WHR Amanda Nunes 2142.16 +172.97 68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 175, Felicia Spencer 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0, +120) vs. [*] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0, -146)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #20 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (0-3-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Garbrandt -146 56.63%
Elo K170 Raphael Assuncao 1855.29 +53.47 56.08%
Elo Modified Cody Garbrandt 1825.74 +10.56 51.16%
Glicko-1 Cody Garbrandt 1844.49 +9.92 51.43%
WHR Cody Garbrandt 1940.75 +56.03 56.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Assuncao 294, Cody Garbrandt 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raphael Assuncao leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Aljamain Sterling (18-3-0, -114) vs. [#5] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0, -109)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #24 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#75FW] Cody Stamann (18-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#17BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#68BW] Mario Bautista (8-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aljamain Sterling -114 50.53%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2120.72 +176.70 69.15%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2086.47 +207.28 71.25%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2143.59 +220.63 78.08%
WHR Aljamain Sterling 2043.07 +26.15 52.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 364, Cory Sandhagen 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 1-0
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MMA Rankings Updated (05-30-2020)

31 May , 2020,
Jason

Notable Info

  • “WHR” (Whole History Rating) is now available within the current ranking pages.
      • WHR is yet another mathematical system that is based on Elo, but is drastically different.  While the standard, Elo, and Glicko rating systems are executed once to produce ratings output, where ratings move incrementally after each bout, the WHR system depends on numerous iterations to build the current ratings.  In doing this, the system is able to use knowledge derived from previous iterations to build a supposedly more accurate picture as it can also use what fighters and their chain of opponents did before AND after their respective bouts.  You can read more about that system here -> https://www.remi-coulom.fr/WHR/.  There is also more info in the FAQ page.  Note: The actual WHR ratings have been increased by 1750 points as a display-level modification, so the rating point values match up better with Elo and Glicko for comparison purposes. WHR ratings as posted are likely to change in the coming days as we dig in to try and improve prediction rate.
  • Glicko-1 ratings reduced by 500 points.  This is a display-level modification so the ratings match better with Elo (which start at 1000 instead of 1500) and WHR systems.
  • For the new “Underrated” and “Overrated” designations, we’re moving over to an Olympic-type model by dropping the highest and lowest ranks of the 4 mathematical ranking systems, before making the calculation.