Event Previews – Page 58

Fight Matrix Program – Rizin 12 (08-12-2018)

Posted on August 11, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (154)
[#55] Yusuke Yachi (20-6-0) vs. [#293FW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (8-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Yusuke Yachi (3-0-0)
2018-05-06: W vs. [#152LW] Diego Nunes (22-8-0) via SD ()
2017-12-31: W vs. [#128LW] Takanori Gomi (36-15-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:36 of round 1
2017-07-30: W vs. [#167LW] Satoru Kitaoka (41-17-9) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (3-0-0)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#1207FW] Diogo DAvila (6-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#732LW] Renato Amorim (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2016-11-26: W vs. [#666FW] Marcelo Bustos (10-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Yusuke Yachi (1803.82) [+336.44] – Win%: 82.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yusuke Yachi (1759.29) [+257.31] – Win%: 75.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yusuke Yachi 98, Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos 260
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (134)
[#66] Yuki Motoya (20-6-0) vs. [#194] Kazuma Sone (23-15-1)

Last 3 Fights: Yuki Motoya (2-1-0)
2018-06-30: W vs. [#140BW] Jae Hoon Moon (11-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 2
2018-02-24: W vs. [#336BW] Jae Eun Byeon (2-1-0) via UD ()
2017-04-16: L vs. [#9BW] Kyoji Horiguchi (25-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kazuma Sone (3-0-0)
2018-01-28: W vs. [#307BW] Mamoru Uoi (18-6-4) via MD ()
2017-10-15: W vs. [#384BW] Tomohiro Hagino (10-6-0) via UD ()
2017-05-28: W vs. [#1026FW] Keiichiro Keiichiro (6-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Yuki Motoya (1701.45) [+250.96] – Win%: 75.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yuki Motoya (1666.78) [+232.77] – Win%: 73.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yuki Motoya 43, Kazuma Sone 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Yuki Motoya leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#110] Ryuichiro Sumimura (14-5-0) vs. [#133] Kiichi Kunimoto (19-7-2)

Last 3 Fights: Ryuichiro Sumimura (3-0-0)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#258WW] Yoichiro Sato (19-9-2) via UD ()
2017-12-24: W vs. [#1664LW] Jaybo Fredrick (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2017-07-15: W vs. [#166LHW] Ken Hasegawa (16-3-1) via TKO (Punch) in 3:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kiichi Kunimoto (1-2-0)
2017-12-29: W vs. [#167LW] Satoru Kitaoka (41-17-9) via UD ()
2017-06-10: L vs. [#122WW] Zak Ottow (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2015-02-14: L vs. [#10WW] Neil Magny (21-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:22 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1676.47) [+33.66] – Win%: 53.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1682.86) [+52.10] – Win%: 55.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryuichiro Sumimura 106, Kiichi Kunimoto 226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC: Dana White’s Contender Series (08-09-2018)

Posted on August 8, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#55] Augusto Sakai (10-1-1) vs. [#106LHW] Marcos Conrado Jr. (5-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (1-1-1)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#434HW+] Tiago Cardoso (7-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1
2017-05-19: L vs. [#14HW+] Cheick Kongo (28-10-2) via SD ()
2016-05-20: D vs. [#91HW+] Dan Charles (11-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Conrado Jr. (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [NA] Sumit Rangi (0-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in of round 0
2018-02-23: W vs. [#352LHW] Sandeep Kumar Dahiya (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-10-27: W vs. [#331HW+] Vinicius Lima (9-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Augusto Sakai (1528.22) [+166.49] – Win%: 68.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Augusto Sakai (1608.65) [+177.65] – Win%: 68.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Augusto Sakai 271, Marcos Conrado Jr. 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#26] Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (9-0-0) vs. [#22AW] Maria de Oliveira Neta (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2017-12-22: W vs. [#97FLY] Natalia Cristina Miranda (8-5-1) via UD ()
2017-12-10: W vs. [#86SW] Amanda Torres Sardinha (8-5-0) via UD ()
2017-04-28: W vs. [#112SW] Samara Santos Cunha (11-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Maria de Oliveira Neta (2-1-0)
2017-12-31: L vs. [#3AW] Kanna Asakura (13-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:40 of round 2
2017-10-15: W vs. [#36AW] Alyssa Garcia (3-5-0) via UD ()
2017-07-01: W vs. [NA] Laisa Coimbra (0-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (1488.90) [+215.88] – Win%: 72.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (1503.32) [+266.93] – Win%: 76.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 230, Maria de Oliveira Neta 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#132] Marcio Alexandre Jr. (16-4-0) vs. [#130LHW] Leonardo Silva de Oliveira (12-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marcio Alexandre Jr. (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#301MW] Arymarcel Santos (40-35-0) via TKO in 2:49 of round 1
2017-08-12: L vs. [#146MW] Fabio Aguiar (11-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:03 of round 3
2017-03-18: W vs. [#322MW] Marcus Vinicius Fialho da (8-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Silva de Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-03-24: W vs. [NA] Luan Gabani (3-1-0) via TKO in 2:28 of round 2
2018-03-17: W vs. [#267MW] Cemey dos Santos (3-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#98LHW] Shamil Akhmedov (6-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcio Alexandre Jr. (1483.03) [+57.34] – Win%: 56.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcio Alexandre Jr. (1506.07) [+6.45] – Win%: 50.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcio Alexandre Jr. 110, Leonardo Silva de Oliveira 138
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC: Dana White’s Contender Series (08-07-2018)

Posted on August 5, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#228] Greg Hardy (1-0-0, -695) vs. [#291] Tebaris Gordon (3-0-0, +465)

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (1-0-0)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#312HW+] Austen Lane (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tebaris Gordon (3-0-0)
2017-12-15: W vs. [#478HW+] Marvin Skipper (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 2
2017-07-21: W vs. [#677HW+] Chandler Cole (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2016-05-20: W vs. [NA] Micah Barr (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:44 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Greg Hardy – Win%: 83.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tebaris Gordon (1244.17) [+99.45] – Win%: 61.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tebaris Gordon (1383.07) [+134.87] – Win%: 64.35
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Greg Hardy 56, Tebaris Gordon 235
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#119] Kennedy Nzechukwu (5-0-0, -556) vs. [#174] Dennis Bryant (5-1-0, +394)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (3-0-0)
2018-05-25: W vs. [NA] Corey Johnson (0-1-0) via TKO in of round 2
2018-03-10: W vs. [NA] Andre Kavanaugh (7-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2017-08-22: W vs. [#125LHW] Anton Berzin (5-2-0) via SD (29-27, 28-29, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Bryant (3-0-0)
2017-11-15: W vs. [NA] Onosai Moana (3-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 1
2017-03-22: W vs. [#581MW] John Stern (3-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:55 of round 2
2016-04-13: W vs. [#391LHW] Dillin Wiggins (15-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kennedy Nzechukwu – Win%: 80.72
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kennedy Nzechukwu (1336.51) [+74.84] – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kennedy Nzechukwu (1396.52) [+124.70] – Win%: 63.32
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 74, Dennis Bryant 265
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#105] Joseph Lowry (8-0-0, -157) vs. [#198] Devonte Smith (7-1-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Lowry (3-0-0)
2018-06-16: W vs. [#188LW] Zach Fears (9-3-0) via UD ()
2017-10-21: W vs. [#568LW] Richard Patishnock (7-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:53 of round 1
2017-05-20: W vs. [#516LW] Mike Pope (7-3-0) via TKO in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Devonte Smith (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#431WW] Justin Edwards (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2017-11-18: W vs. [#933LW] Nick Gehrts (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 4
2017-07-29: W vs. [#1452LW] Damonte Robinson (4-1-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:35 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Lowry – Win%: 58.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Lowry (1614.26) [+146.79] – Win%: 66.16
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Lowry (1628.62) [+96.50] – Win%: 60.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Lowry 52, Devonte Smith 157
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 (08-04-2018)

Posted on July 29, 2018 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#3DD/#5P4P] T.J. Dillashaw (15-3-0, -120) vs. [#3] Cody Garbrandt (11-1-0, -104)
T.J. Dillashaw is the All-Time #2 ranked Bantamweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Dillashaw (3-0-0)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#3BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2
2016-12-30: W vs. [#4BW] John Lineker (31-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2016-07-09: W vs. [#6BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1BW/#3DD/#5P4P] T.J. Dillashaw (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2
2016-12-30: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-47)
2016-08-20: W vs. [#77BW] Takeya Mizugaki (22-13-2) via TKO in 0:48 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): T.J. Dillashaw (2149.95) [+240.23] – Win%: 74.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): T.J. Dillashaw (2138.42) [+236.24] – Win%: 73.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: T.J. Dillashaw 273, Cody Garbrandt 273
Previous Match-up Record: T.J. Dillashaw leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 1-0
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (27-2-1, -511) vs. [#2] Henry Cejudo (12-2-0, +373)
Demetrious Johnson is the All-Time #1 ranked Flyweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demetrious Johnson (3-0-0)
2017-10-07: W vs. [#7FLY] Ray Borg (11-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:15 of round 5
2017-04-15: W vs. [#15FLY] Wilson Reis (22-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:49 of round 3
2016-12-03: W vs. [#40BW] Tim Elliott (15-8-1) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (2-1-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#4FLY] Sergio Pettis (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#15FLY] Wilson Reis (22-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 2
2016-12-03: L vs. [#5FLY] Joseph Benavidez (25-5-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 30-26)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Demetrious Johnson (2214.44) [+317.05] – Win%: 80.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Demetrious Johnson (2175.21) [+295.48] – Win%: 78.47
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demetrious Johnson 301, Henry Cejudo 245
Previous Match-up Record: Demetrious Johnson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Demetrious Johnson leads 4-2
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Cub Swanson (25-9-0, +334) vs. [#17] Renato Carneiro (12-1-1, -436)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #14 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Brian Ortega (14-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-04-22: W vs. [#97FW] Artem Lobov (13-14-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#37FW] Calvin Kattar (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Brian Ortega (14-0-0) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3
2017-04-15: W vs. [#5FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Renato Carneiro (1882.25) [+20.79] – Win%: 52.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cub Swanson (1854.58) [+38.31] – Win%: 54.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 105, Renato Carneiro 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on FOX 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier

Posted on July 22, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (156)
[#1/#7DD] Eddie Alvarez (29-5-0, 155.0lb, +140) vs. [#5] Dustin Poirier (23-5-0, 156.0lb, -167)
Eddie Alvarez is the All-Time #2 ranked Lightweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Alvarez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:59 of round 3
2017-05-13: NC vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (23-5-0)
2016-11-12: L vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-11-11: W vs. [#6LW] Anthony Pettis (21-7-0) via Submission (Body Triangle) in 2:08 of round 3
2017-05-13: NC vs. [#1LW/#7DD] Eddie Alvarez (29-5-0)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Eddie Alvarez (2216.03) [+100.95] – Win%: 64.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eddie Alvarez (2110.13) [+54.37] – Win%: 57.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Alvarez 238, Dustin Poirier 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#3] Jose Aldo (26-4-0, 146.0lb, +102) vs. [#5] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0, 144.0lb, -125)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #1 ranked Featherweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jeremy Stephens is the All-Time #16 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-07-09: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (3-0-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#9FW] Josh Emmett (13-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2
2018-01-14: W vs. [#29FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-09-09: W vs. [#30FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Jose Aldo (2068.88) [+89.41] – Win%: 62.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jose Aldo (2056.90) [+59.46] – Win%: 58.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 238, Jeremy Stephens 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jose Aldo leads 4-2
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#3/#7DD/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-2-0, 115.0lb, -297) vs. [#10] Tecia Torres (10-2-0, 115.0lb, +238)
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-82)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#18SW] Michelle Waterson (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#37SW] Juliana Lima (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:53 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1681.00) [+153.27] – Win%: 70.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1685.25) [+130.62] – Win%: 67.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanna Jedrzejczyk 112, Tecia Torres 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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UFC on Fox 30: Preview & Predictions

Posted on July 21, 2018 by Oleg

It’s more than half way through 2018, and the UFC’s broadcast partnership with Fox network is quickly coming to an end. One could say that it was a rocky ride, and with UFC asking for more money while the TV ratings are steadily declining, continuing the relationship was not a winning proposition for Fox. And so in 2019, UFC will be moving on to ESPN as their new broadcast painter, while Fox will be picking up WWE for their brand of sports entertainment. So the UFC on Fox 30 will be one of, if not the last UFC event broadcast on ‘Big Fox’. To commemorate the approaching end of an era, I’ll do something I haven’t done in a while: a preview & predictions for the four fights on the main card.

[#1 LW] Eddie Alvarez vs [#5 LW] Dustin Poirier

Dustin Poirier is a -165 (3/5) favorite over Eddie Alvarez (+135; 4/3) in their rematch at UFC of Fox 30. This is tightly contested rematch and you can see which sports book offers the best odds before betting on this UFC Calgary event; take a look at the sportsbooks which are reviewed on mytopsportsbooks.com. While Alvarez is a former lightweight champ with a longer reach and better wrestling pedigree, Poirier was winning the first fight before illegal knees from Alvarez resulted in a no contest. Poirier had landed almost twice as many significant strikes through the first nine minutes (73-44) and was getting the better of the exchanges both in the clinch and from distance. The 29-year-old Poirier was also able to stifle three of four takedown attempts from the 34-year-old Alvarez.

Despite the betting odds and what the statistics of the first fight show, I’m going to go with the higher ranked fighter in Eddie Alvarez, mainly because I have more confidence in his durability and gas tank. Porrier has never seen a fifth round in his career, while Alvarez has had a couple of five rounders go the distance. Both men were knocked out by Conor McGregor; Porrier has also been stopped by Michael Johnson in 2016, while Eddie’s only T/KO loss besides McGregor was back in 2007. Porrier doesn’t have McGregor’s level of KO power and Alvarez was able to absorb plenty of punishment in their first meeting. And it seems unlikely that either man will be able to submit the other; so unless Dustin somehow manages to land a fight-ending bomb early, I see Alvarez weathering the storm and taking over later in the fight, eventually finishing Porrier in rounds four or five.

Prediction: Eddie Alvarez by TKO.

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UFC Fight Night 134: Shogun vs. Smith (07-22-2018)

Posted on July 20, 2018 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Mauricio Rua (25-10-0, +183) vs. [#11] Anthony Smith (29-13-0, -230)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (3-0-0)
2017-03-11: W vs. [#26LHW] Gian Villante (16-10-0) via TKO in 0:59 of round 3
2016-05-14: W vs. [#15LHW] Corey Anderson (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-08-01: W vs. [*] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [*] Rashad Evans (21-8-1) via KO (Knee) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-02-03: L vs. [#19MW] Thiago Santos (17-6-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2
2017-09-16: W vs. [#47MW] Hector Lombard (34-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 498, Anthony Smith 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Glover Teixeira (27-6-0, -163) vs. [#15] Corey Anderson (10-4-0, +136)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#23LHW] Misha Cirkunov (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-05-28: L vs. [#3LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2017-02-11: W vs. [#64LHW] Jared Cannonier (10-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (1-2-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#24LHW] Patrick Cummins (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#10LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2017-03-18: L vs. [#12LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:05 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 218, Corey Anderson 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Glover Teixeira leads 3-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#104] Vitor Miranda (12-6-0, +164) vs. [*] Abu Azaitar (13-2-1, -199)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Miranda (1-2-0)
2017-06-25: L vs. [#60MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-05-29: L vs. [#55MW] Chris Camozzi (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-03-05: W vs. [*] Marcelo Guimaraes (9-2-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abu Azaitar (3-0-0)
2016-10-07: W vs. [*] Michael Arrant (15-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-04-02: W vs. [#269WW] Danny Davis Jr. (13-12-1) via UD ()
2015-12-20: W vs. [#591WW] Ibragim Tibilov (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Miranda 392, Abu Azaitar 653
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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FightMatrix Program – UFC Fight Night 133: dos Santos vs. Ivanov (07-13-2018)

Posted on July 10, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Junior dos Santos (18-5-0, -175) vs. [#21] Blagoy Ivanov (16-1-0, +146)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (1-2-0)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#2HW+/#10DD/#8P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2016-04-10: W vs. [*] Ben Rothwell (36-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2015-12-19: L vs. [#9HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (3-0-0)
2017-11-02: W vs. [#58HW+] Caio Alencar (11-3-0) via UD ()
2017-03-18: W vs. [*] Shawn Jordan (19-8-0) via TKO in 1:43 of round 1
2016-06-17: W vs. [#74HW+] Josh Copeland (16-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 427, Blagoy Ivanov 254
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Dennis Bermudez (16-8-0, -268) vs. [#48] Rick Glenn (20-5-1, +202)

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Bermudez (0-3-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#24FW] Andre Fili (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#6FW] Darren Elkins (24-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-02-04: L vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (14-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rick Glenn (2-1-0)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#13FW] Myles Jury (17-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#149FW] Gavin Tucker (10-1-0) via UD (30-24, 29-27, 30-25)
2017-02-11: W vs. [*] Phillipe Nover (10-8-1) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dennis Bermudez 168, Rick Glenn 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dennis Bermudez leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#96] Zak Ottow (16-5-0, +115) vs. [#268] Sage Northcutt (10-2-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Zak Ottow (2-1-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#213WW] Mike Pyle (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2017-11-25: L vs. [#84WW] Jingliang Li (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [#131WW] Kiichi Kunimoto (19-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sage Northcutt (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#151LW] Thibault Gouti (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#314LW] Michel Quinones (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-12-17: L vs. [#333WW] Mickey Gall (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zak Ottow 133, Sage Northcutt 146
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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FightMatrix Program – UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier (07-07-2018)

Posted on July 4, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#4DD/#3P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-2-0, -249) vs. [#1LHW/#2DD/#4P4P] Daniel Cormier (20-1-0, +200)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (3-0-0)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#2HW+] Francis Ngannou (11-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2016-09-10: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via TKO in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#6LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#2LHW/#5P4P] Jon Jones (22-1-0)
2017-04-08: W vs. [*] Anthony Johnson (22-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 168, Daniel Cormier 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#2P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0, -149) vs. [#2/#7DD/#9P4P] Brian Ortega (14-0-0, +124)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #35 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-12-10: W vs. [#8LW] Anthony Pettis (20-7-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:50 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#14FW] Cub Swanson (25-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#15FW] Renato Carneiro (12-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 217, Brian Ortega 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#2] Francis Ngannou (11-2-0, -372) vs. [#10] Derrick Lewis (19-5-0, +290)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (2-1-0)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#4DD/#3P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1
2017-01-28: W vs. [#19HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#22HW+] Marcin Tybura (16-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 3
2017-06-10: L vs. [#9HW+] Mark Hunt (13-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 4
2017-02-19: W vs. [#18HW+] Travis Browne (18-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:12 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 168, Derrick Lewis 139
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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FightMatrix Program – UFC TUF 27 Finale: Tavares vs. Adesanya (07-06-2018)

Posted on July 3, 2018 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#12] Brad Tavares (17-4-0, +119) vs. [#46] Israel Adesanya (13-0-0, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#22MW] Krzysztof Jotko (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2017-10-07: W vs. [#33MW] Thales Leites (27-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#15MW] Elias Theodorou (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#63MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#190MW] Rob Wilkinson (11-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2017-11-24: W vs. [#387MW] Stuart Dare (8-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:53 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Tavares 83, Israel Adesanya 83
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Roxanne Modafferi (21-14-0, +145) vs. [#30] Barb Honchak (10-3-0, -172)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #19 ranked Women’s fighter.
Barb Honchak is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#5FLY] Nicco Montano (4-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2017-05-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Sarah DAlelio (11-7-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:37 of round 3
2017-04-01: W vs. [#88FLY] Priscila de Souza (12-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:53 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Barb Honchak (2-1-0)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#29FLY] Lauren Murphy (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2014-11-01: W vs. [#40FLY] Takayo Hashi (16-6-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2013-12-07: W vs. [#7BW] Leslie Smith (10-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roxanne Modafferi 217, Barb Honchak 217
Previous Match-up Record: Barb Honchak leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Barb Honchak leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#62] Julian Marquez (7-1-0, -165) vs. [#117] Alessio Di Chirico (11-2-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (3-0-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#50MW] Darren Stewart (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:42 of round 2
2017-08-01: W vs. [#450MW] Phil Hawes (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:20 of round 2
2017-05-19: W vs. [#163LHW] Cameron Olson (9-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#229MW] Oluwale Bamgbose (6-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:14 of round 2
2017-01-28: L vs. [#64MW] Eric Spicely (10-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2016-08-27: W vs. [*] Garreth McLellan (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 202, Alessio Di Chirico 202
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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