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Anthony Johnson Vs. Jimi Manuwa. Why?

What is the idea behind this match-up?

Anthony Johnson looked amazing in his last three victories, overcoming the high-level wrestling of Phil Davis and destroying Rogerio Nogueira and Alexander Gustafsson – all top level Light-Heavyweights, and then looked very good against Daniel Cormier, knocking him down in the first round before succumbing to his overall superior game. I think everybody is very interested in seeing him face some other top light-heavyweight at this point.

Jimi Manuwa has looked pretty good up until a few fights ago, but he hasn’t looked devastatingly good.  He then lost to Gustafsson, and won a boring decision against top-20 (at the time) Blachowicz. What has he done to deserve such a highly ranked opponent as Johnson? And this is not the first time: Manuwa got Gustafsson when Gustafsson was the top contender slated to rematch Jon Jones after their close fight.  It was a very strange match-up then, even though he was undefeated at the time, and it’s a stranger match-up now, after his last two unimpressive performances.

What will the MMA world gain from this fight?  If Johnson would win, as he is expected to, everything would remain the same as it is now. Johnson would remain the number one contender; Manuwa would remain where he is ranked, and nothing would change. I suppose this could be a tune-up fight for Johnson for another shot at Daniel Cormier, but do we really want to see that rematch so quickly? Cormier beat him pretty definitively, and they both have many other top level opponents they haven’t faced, so why make this rematch now? This couldn’t be a tune-up fight for Johnson to face Jon Jones, because when ‘Bones’ returns he would obviously rematch Cormier for the undisputed title.

Continue reading 'Anthony Johnson Vs. Jimi Manuwa'

Posted on September 2, 2015 by Ked Becker

Event Previews, Upcoming Events | Comments (1)


Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)


Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#6DD/#4P4P] Demetrious Johnson (22-2-1) vs. [#4] John Dodson (17-6-0)
Demetrious Johnson is the All-Time #2 ranked Flyweight fighter.
John Dodson is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demetrious Johnson (3-0-0)
2015-04-25: W vs. [#11FLY] Kyoji Horiguchi (15-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:59 of round 5
2014-09-27: W vs. [#26FLY] Chris Cariaso (17-8-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:29 of round 2
2014-06-14: W vs. [#14FLY] Ali Bagautinov (13-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: John Dodson (3-0-0)
2015-05-23: W vs. [#6FLY] Zach Makovsky (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-06-07: W vs. [#12FLY] John Moraga (16-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2013-10-19: W vs. [#119FLY] Darrell Montague (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demetrious Johnson 133, John Dodson 105
Previous Match-up Record: Demetrious Johnson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: John Dodson leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Andrei Arlovski (24-10-0) vs. [#10] Frank Mir (18-9-0)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #12 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Frank Mir is the All-Time #13 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (3-0-0)
2015-05-23: W vs. [#7HW+] Travis Browne (17-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 1
2014-09-13: W vs. [#11HW+] Antonio Silva (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2014-06-14: W vs. [#24HW+] Brendan Schaub (10-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Frank Mir (2-1-0)
2015-07-15: W vs. [#34HW+] Todd Duffee (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:13 of round 1
2015-02-22: W vs. [#11HW+] Antonio Silva (19-7-1) via KO (Elbows) in 1:40 of round 1
2014-02-01: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (39-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 105, Frank Mir 52
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andrei Arlovski leads 5-3
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Anthony Johnson (19-5-0) vs. [#13] Jimi Manuwa (15-1-0)
Anthony Johnson is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Johnson (2-1-0)
2015-05-23: L vs. [#2LHW/#8DD/#7P4P] Daniel Cormier (16-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:39 of round 3
2015-01-24: W vs. [#6LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 1
2014-07-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (21-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jimi Manuwa (2-1-0)
2015-04-11: W vs. [#21LHW] Jan Blachowicz (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2014-03-08: L vs. [#6LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (16-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:18 of round 2
2013-10-26: W vs. [#35LHW] Ryan Jimmo (19-5-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:41 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Johnson 105, Jimi Manuwa 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Johnson leads 1-0
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Continue reading 'Fight Matrix Program: UFC 191 (09-05-2015)'

Posted on August 30, 2015 by jcs

Event Previews, Upcoming Events | Comments (0)


This summer has been a never-ending marathon of UFC events, and the lack of one last week was a welcome break from the non-stop scheduling. This weekend, we’re back in action with a Sunday night fight card: UFC Fight Night 74 – Holloway vs Oliveira.  The event takes place in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada and will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1 (along with two fairly meaningless fights on UFC Fight Pass).  The main event is an excellent top contender bout between two young featherweight prospects, and there are a few other interesting bouts on the card, to make for a very solid Fight Night line-up.

Main Event:  [#6 FW] Max Holloway vs [#7 FW] Charles Oliveira

Worth: $20

Why: I have been, at best, lukewarm on the featherweight division in the recent years as Jose Aldo decimated every contender put in front of him and was starting on the rematch circuit.  Fortunately, some much needed new blood has been recently injected into the Top 10.   With the interim champion Conor McGregor bringing a lot of eyes to the division, the title unification match between McGregor and Aldo scheduled for UFC 194 is certain to be one of the most hyped fights of the year.  And the winner of Holloway vs Oliveira will most likely have to face the currently idle Frankie Edgar for the next shot at the title.

Besides the title implications, this fight is a great matchup of styles between two young and hungry contenders. At 23 years old, Max Holloway is already 9-3 in the Octagon, winning six in a row since his decision loss to McGregor two years ago.  Holloway fights often (four times in 2014, and on his third fight this year) and seems to be improving with every bout.   Primarily a striker, Holloway has a couple of submission wins under his belt – including one in his most recent fight against Cub Swanson.  However he is unlikely to match his opponent’s skills on the ground, and would be wise to keep this fight standing.  Charles ‘do Bronx’ Oliveira is another young veteran – 25 years old with an 8-4 (1 NC) record in the UFC.  Oliveira is a grappling wizard, though his striking defense and chin have been questionable at times; he is also coming into this fight on a four win streak.  This matchup will come down to who is able to better impose their will on the opponent and keep the fight in their comfort zone.

Continue reading 'Bang for Your Buck: UFC Fight Night 74'

Posted on August 19, 2015 by oleg

Event Previews, Upcoming Events | Comments (1)


Featherweight (145)
[#6] Max Holloway (13-3-0) vs. [#7] Charles Oliveira (20-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2015-04-18: W vs. [#10FW] Cub Swanson (21-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:58 of round 3
2015-02-14: W vs. [#44FW] Cole Miller (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2014-10-04: W vs. [*] Akira Corassani (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2015-05-30: W vs. [#15FW] Nik Lentz (25-7-2) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:10 of round 3
2014-12-12: W vs. [#9FW] Jeremy Stephens (24-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2014-06-28: W vs. [#114FW] Hatsu Hioki (27-9-2) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:32 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 127, Charles Oliveira 85
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#19] Erick Silva (18-5-0) vs. [#27] Neil Magny (15-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Erick Silva (2-1-0)
2015-03-21: W vs. [#126WW] Josh Koscheck (17-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:21 of round 1
2014-12-20: W vs. [#242WW] Mike Rhodes (5-4-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2014-05-10: L vs. [#9WW] Matt Brown (20-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2015-08-01: L vs. [#7WW] Demian Maia (21-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:52 of round 2
2015-05-16: W vs. [#70WW] Hyun Gyu Lim (13-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 2
2015-02-14: W vs. [#120WW] Kiichi Kunimoto (18-6-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:22 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Erick Silva 155, Neil Magny 22
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#30] Josh Burkman (27-11-0) vs. [#47] Patrick Cote (21-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Burkman (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2015-05-23: L vs. [#10WW] Dong Hyun Kim (20-3-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:13 of round 3
2015-01-03: NC vs. [#6WW] Hector Lombard (34-4-1)
2014-03-29: W vs. [#50WW] Tyler Stinson (29-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Patrick Cote (2-1-0)
2015-04-25: W vs. [#179WW] Joe Riggs (40-16-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-09-27: L vs. [#14WW] Stephen Thompson (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2014-04-16: W vs. [#100WW] Kyle Noke (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Burkman 92, Patrick Cote 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Continue reading 'Fight Matrix Program: UFC Fight Night 74 – Holloway vs. Oliveira (08-23-2015)'

Posted on August 17, 2015 by jcs

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Recently, the War Machine drama was covered on Real Sports with Bryant Gumbel, along with some other tidbits regarding domestic violence in sports.

In the episode somewhere around the 21 minute mark, they made reference to the fact that American MMA fighters ranked in the Top 200 were over twice as likely to be arrested for domestic violence when compared to a relevant segment of the general population.

I saw no citation or reference, but where else would they get this info?  Jordan Breen assumed as much and Jonathan Snowden from Bleacher Report, apparently got the official confirmation that Fight Matrix was the source.

Not a big deal, but still cool.  I recommend catching the episode as the interview with Mayhem Miller is alone, worth the time spent.

Posted on August 10, 2015 by jcs

MMA Statistics | Comments (3)


No internal changes with this update… but the following is food for thought:

Due to the ongoing problem of controversial decisions, I’ve been tossing around the idea of adding a press score average and factoring it in as a 4th official judge for fights.  MMADecisions.com is a great resource for this info and is almost certainly where I’d get the data.

As a quick relevant example on how this’d work: Last night’s Dariush/Johnson would be treated as a draw in the rating system, because the 4th judge would make it 2-2.

What do you think about this possible change?

Thoughts on a 4th Judge?


  • Thumbs Up: A press score average is just as good, or better than a single judge. (51%)
  • Thumbs Down: It's too subjective. (38%)
  • Undecided (11%)

Thank you for voting!

Loading ... Loading ...

 

In summary, it’d be more work in terms of code changes, data gathering and validation.  Furthermore, fighters’ performances in their next couple bouts tend to negate bad decisions.  However, I think including a press score average provides a more accurate, immediate picture and the “tilt” factor is pretty minimal.

 

Posted on August 9, 2015 by jcs

MMA Ranks | Comments (9)


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