The UFC returns on June 7, 2025, with a high-stakes rematch in the bantamweight division as reigning champion Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili defends his title against former champ “Sugar” Sean O’Malley at UFC 316 inside Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey.
Their first meeting at UFC 306 was a one-sided display of grappling pressure, where Dvalishvili neutralized O’Malley en route to a dominant unanimous decision. However, with both men claiming full health and renewed preparation, the rematch promises fresh dynamics.
FightMatrix & UFC Stats
According to FightMatrix.com, the current bantamweight rankings are:
- #1 BW: Merab Dvalishvili (19-4)
- #2 BW: Sean OMalley (18-2, 1 NC)
Form Trends (via FightMatrix)
- Dvalishvili: 12-fight win streak, dominant control time and volume, 11 Decision/1 KO wins.
- O’Malley: 6-1-0-1 in last 8 bouts; 4 KO/TKO wins.
Betting Odds (as of May 27, 2025)
- Merab Dvalishvili: -275 (favorite)
- Sean O’Malley: +225 (underdog)
These odds reflect public confidence in Merab’s cardio, wrestling and durability, while respecting O’Malley’s lethal striking and unpredictable timing.
Keys to Victory
Merab Dvalishvili:
- Chain wrestling and cage control will be crucial.
- Keep O’Malley on his back foot and wear him down.
- Utilize his iron cardio over five rounds.
Sean O’Malley:
- Maintain distance and strike at angles.
- Improve takedown defense (was taken down 6 times in their first fight).
- Counterpunch when Merab overextends on entries.
Prediction
O’Malley has the tools to win this rematch – but only if he can maintain distance and avoid the fence. Merab’s relentless pace, chain wrestling, and positional control are among the best in the UFC.
Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili via Unanimous Decision
(Prop: Fight Goes to Decision – Yes, Over 3.5 Rounds)
Recommended bet: Dvalishvili ML or Dvalishvili Decision
However, a sharper and injury-free O’Malley may surprise if he finds his rhythm early and punishes failed takedown attempts.
MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst
I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.