Fight Matrix Program – UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes (06-08-2019)

2 Jun , 2019,
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1FLY/#1DD/#3P4P] Henry Cejudo (14-2-0, +102) vs. [#1] Marlon Moraes (22-5-1, -127)
Marlon Moraes is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#9BW/#4P4P] Demetrious Johnson (28-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#53BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Moraes (3-0-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#8BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-06-01: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-3-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (17-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 1:07 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marlon Moraes – Win%: 53.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marlon Moraes (2162.39) [+0.90] – Win%: 50.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marlon Moraes (2120.83) [+26.82] – Win%: 52.93
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 140, Marlon Moraes 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0, -1423) vs. [#3] Jessica Eye (14-6-0, +783)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #42 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#8DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#69FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (17-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#4FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#44FLY] Jessica-Rose Clark (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#76FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 89.18
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1764.78) [+173.06] – Win%: 68.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1782.65) [+228.21] – Win%: 73.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 182, Jessica Eye 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#3/#9DD/#10P4P] Tony Ferguson (24-3-0, -169) vs. [#4] Donald Cerrone (36-11-0, +141)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #11 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #16 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#6WW] Anthony Pettis (22-8-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-07: W vs. [#34WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3
2016-11-05: W vs. [#5WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-11-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (3-0-0)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#8LW] Al Iaquinta (15-5-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#15LW] Alexander Hernandez (10-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-11-10: W vs. [#21WW] Mike Perry (13-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Ferguson – Win%: 60.22
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Ferguson (2281.71) [+184.22] – Win%: 69.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Ferguson (2221.18) [+167.47] – Win%: 67.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 245, Donald Cerrone 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 4-2
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Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Petr Yan (12-1-0, -339) vs. [#11] Jimmie Rivera (22-3-0, +267)
Jimmie Rivera is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#18BW] John Dodson (20-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#47BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (25-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-09-15: W vs. [#105BW] Jin Soo Son (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmie Rivera (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#18BW] John Dodson (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#1BW] Marlon Moraes (22-5-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Petr Yan – Win%: 73.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Petr Yan (1907.60) [+4.53] – Win%: 50.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Petr Yan (1919.58) [+26.64] – Win%: 52.91
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 105, Jimmie Rivera 111
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Blagoy Ivanov (17-2-0, +146) vs. [#22] Tai Tuivasa (8-1-0, -176)

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#52HW+] Ben Rothwell (36-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#4HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-11-02: W vs. [#54HW+] Caio Alencar (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: L vs. [#4HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-06-09: W vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-10: W vs. [*] Cyril Asker (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:18 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tai Tuivasa – Win%: 61.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Blagoy Ivanov (1898.37) [+256.28] – Win%: 76.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Blagoy Ivanov (1928.58) [+259.03] – Win%: 75.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 91, Tai Tuivasa 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Tatiana Suarez (7-0-0, -1106) vs. [#6] Nina Ansaroff (10-5-0, +665)

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#10SW] Carla Esparza (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 3
2018-05-19: W vs. [#27SW] Alexa Grasso (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#43SW] Viviane Pereira (13-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Nina Ansaroff (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#9SW] Claudia Gadelha (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#12SW] Randa Markos (9-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#17SW] Angela Hill (9-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tatiana Suarez – Win%: 87.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tatiana Suarez (1717.60) [+107.50] – Win%: 62.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tatiana Suarez (1746.78) [+147.58] – Win%: 65.61
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatiana Suarez 273, Nina Ansaroff 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tatiana Suarez leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Pedro Munhoz (18-3-0, +111) vs. [#3] Aljamain Sterling (17-3-0, -135)
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #35 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #24 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#5BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#44BW] Bryan Caraway (21-9-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:39 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#28BW] Brett Johns (15-2-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#15BW] Cody Stamann (18-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-04-21: W vs. [#28BW] Brett Johns (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aljamain Sterling – Win%: 54.79
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aljamain Sterling (2053.56) [+78.52] – Win%: 58.87
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aljamain Sterling (2027.98) [+21.99] – Win%: 52.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pedro Munhoz 98, Aljamain Sterling 111
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-4-0, -155) vs. [#27] Alexa Grasso (10-2-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (1-2-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#8SW] Michelle Waterson (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:58 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [#18SW] Felice Herrig (14-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (1-2-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#12SW] Randa Markos (9-6-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-02-04: L vs. [#18SW] Felice Herrig (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Karolina Kowalkiewicz – Win%: 57.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Karolina Kowalkiewicz (1513.21) [+89.70] – Win%: 60.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Karolina Kowalkiewicz (1464.76) [+22.38] – Win%: 52.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karolina Kowalkiewicz 70, Alexa Grasso 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Karolina Kowalkiewicz leads 5-4
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Ricardo Lamas (19-7-0, +133) vs. [#28] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0, -161)
Ricardo Lamas is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Lamas (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#17FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:09 of round 3
2018-06-09: L vs. [#13FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-12-16: L vs. [#8FW] Josh Emmett (14-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#123FW] Chris Fishgold (18-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 1
2018-04-07: L vs. [#10FW] Renato Carneiro (13-2-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#29FW] Shane Burgos (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Calvin Kattar – Win%: 58.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ricardo Lamas (1889.21) [+91.28] – Win%: 60.28
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ricardo Lamas (1906.97) [+130.88] – Win%: 63.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricardo Lamas 203, Calvin Kattar 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#17] Angela Hill (9-6-0, +160) vs. [#24] Xiaonan Yan (10-1-0, -192)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#50SW] Jodie Esquibel (6-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#12SW] Randa Markos (9-6-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:24 of round 1
2018-08-25: L vs. [#16SW] Cortney Casey (8-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#79SW] Syuri Kondo (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#43SW] Viviane Pereira (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#63SW] Kailin Curran (6-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Xiaonan Yan – Win%: 63.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Xiaonan Yan (1497.27) [+163.51] – Win%: 67.85
Elo Favorite (Modified): Xiaonan Yan (1484.61) [+81.42] – Win%: 58.82
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 42, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#57] Darren Stewart (9-4-0, +192) vs. [#154] Bevon Lewis (6-1-0, -238)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Stewart (2-1-0)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#47MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (9-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#118MW] Charles Byrd (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:17 of round 2
2018-05-27: W vs. [#63MW] Eric Spicely (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bevon Lewis (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#14MW] Uriah Hall (14-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3
2018-07-10: W vs. [#170LHW] Alton Cunningham (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:01 of round 1
2018-04-27: W vs. [#275MW] Collin Huckbody (5-2-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Bevon Lewis – Win%: 67.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darren Stewart (1425.35) [+17.16] – Win%: 51.96
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darren Stewart (1523.79) [+19.44] – Win%: 52.13
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Stewart 190, Bevon Lewis 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#37] Eddie Wineland (23-13-1) vs. [#218] Grigory Popov (13-1-0)
Eddie Wineland is the All-Time #17 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Wineland (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#22BW] Alejandro Perez (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#18BW] John Dodson (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-12-17: W vs. [#84BW] Takeya Mizugaki (23-13-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Grigory Popov (3-0-0)
2018-10-26: W vs. [#862BW] Baxier Tenuliuer (4-5-0) via TKO in 2:08 of round 1
2017-12-02: W vs. [*] Deyu Wang (2-3-0) via Submission (Gogoplata) in 2:32 of round 2
2017-11-11: W vs. [NA] Yundong Chen (0-1-0) via TKO in 0:10 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Eddie Wineland (1606.69) [+102.90] – Win%: 61.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eddie Wineland (1612.02) [+84.00] – Win%: 59.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Wineland 329, Grigory Popov 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#4] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0, -108) vs. [#7] Joanne Calderwood (13-3-0, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#8FLY] Alexis Davis (19-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#18FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Ariane Lipski (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#76FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:57 of round 1
2017-07-16: L vs. [#11SW] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joanne Calderwood – Win%: 50.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Katlyn Chookagian (1539.48) [+21.91] – Win%: 52.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Katlyn Chookagian (1609.44) [+42.58] – Win%: 54.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Katlyn Chookagian 182, Joanne Calderwood 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Tony Ferguson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Henry Cejudo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Tony Ferguson vs. Donald Cerrone
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Henry Cejudo vs. Marlon Moraes
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Massive [****½]
Run Date: 2019-6-2