Another special update for the mid-week UFC card.
Fight Matrix Program: UFC Fight Night 28 (09-04-2013)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Glover Teixeira (21-2-0, 206.0lb, -418) vs. [#10] Ryan Bader (15-3-0, 205.0lb, +375)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #23 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2013-05-25: W vs. [#21LHW] James Te Huna (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2013-01-26: W vs. [#14LHW] Quinton Jackson (32-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-10-13: W vs. [#49LHW] Fabio Maldonado (19-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (2-1-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#38LHW] Vladimir Matyushenko (26-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:50 of round 1
2012-08-04: L vs. [#3LHW] Lyoto Machida (19-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2
2012-02-26: W vs. [#14LHW] Quinton Jackson (32-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 102, Ryan Bader 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#4] Yushin Okami (29-7-0, 185.0lb, +236) vs. [#6] Ronaldo Souza (18-3-0, 186.0lb, -240)
Yushin Okami is the All-Time #7 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Ronaldo Souza is the All-Time #20 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Yushin Okami (3-0-0)
2013-03-03: W vs. [#5MW] Hector Lombard (32-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-12-29: W vs. [#17MW] Alan Belcher (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2012-08-11: W vs. [#68MW] Buddy Roberts (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (3-0-0)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#31MW] Chris Camozzi (19-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:37 of round 1
2013-01-12: W vs. [#38MW] Ed Herman (21-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:10 of round 1
2012-08-18: W vs. [#24MW] Derek Brunson (10-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yushin Okami 185, Ronaldo Souza 109
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#2/#8DD] Joseph Benavidez (18-3-0, 126.0lb, -500) vs. [#10] Jussier da Silva (15-2-0, 126.0lb, +444)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #19 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Jussier da Silva is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#11FLY] Darren Uyenoyama (8-4-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:50 of round 2
2013-02-02: W vs. [#5FLY] Ian McCall (12-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-09-22: L vs. [#1FLY/#6DD] Demetrious Johnson (18-2-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Jussier da Silva (2-1-0)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#26FLY] Chris Cariaso (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-10-05: L vs. [#6FLY] John Dodson (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 2
2012-06-29: W vs. [#75FLY] Sidney Lessa de Oliveira (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 137, Jussier da Silva 109
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 2-1
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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
| Friday, October 16th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Chicago 2: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 | |||
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| Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#15 W125] Viviane Araujo Last 5: L W W W W | Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#37 W125] Ariane Lipski da Silva Last 5: W W L W W | ||
| Thursday, December 31st 2026: Rizin FF New Years Eve Event | |||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/10/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#7 FW] A.J. McKee Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 8/11/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#25 FW] Kleber Koike Erbst Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| Saturday, November 14th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Returns to Dubai: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy | |||
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| Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 5/02/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira Last 5: W W L W W | ||

Featured Fighters
| [#49 LW] | Mikuru Asakura |   | [#5 FW] | Rajabali Shaidullaev |
| [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev |   | [#1 FW] | Alexander Volkanovski |
| [#29 FW] | Ren Hiramoto |   | [#1 FLW] | Joshua Van |
| [#33 LW] | Akbar Abdullaev |   | [#4 LW] | Arman Tsarukyan |
| [#9 LW] | Mauricio Ruffy |   | [#4 FW] | Movsar Evloev |
UFC Shows in Brazil — Bet on the Brazilians, but Why?
In the past two years (and one week), we’ve seen 8 UFC shows take place in Brazil, with this amount steadily increasing — 1 in 2011, 3 in 2012, 7 in 2013 (3 still to come).
Given that a large majority of UFC shows and their fighter population reside outside of Brazil, how “fair” is it to these fighters that so many of their fights take place in Brazil against Brazilian opponents? When we say “fair”, we refer to two things — the “hometown advantage” and the matchmaking.
The “hometown advantage” is something we looked at very briefly a couple of years ago, when some bookmakers like Bwin started to claimed that in sports such as Poker, it can give you what you need to win. We found just under a 2% advantage for the home fighter (a hometown fighter with say… 98 rating points would have a 50/50 chance versus an outsider with 100 rating points). However, this included a slew of contests that involved neighboring entities (example — US vs. Canada) and I think we can all agree a United States vs. Brazil or even more extreme, Japan vs. Brazil at Brazil is a far cry from the aforementioned border wars. Plus, the database is much, much more mature now. A detailed re-visit of this analysis of this is better saved for another day.
Using the fighter “nationality” setting you see on our ranking pages, I isolated 60 fights from the 8 previously mentioned UFC shows that involved a Brazil vs. non-Brazil fighter in Brazil, that resulted in non-draw, non-no contest outcomes. Brazilian fighters won 47 of these fights, a win rate of 78.33%. If we expand this window back to 1/1/2010 and include all organizations where we know the nationalities of both fighters (399 fights), this win rate drops significantly to 62.15% — though is still sizable.
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| So, how much of this is the mysterious “hometown advantage” and how much of this is matchmaking? |
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Fight Matrix Program: UFC 164 (08-30-2013)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#6DD] Ben Henderson (19-2-0, -113) vs. [#5] Anthony Pettis (16-2-0, +110)
Ben Henderson is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ben Henderson (3-0-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#2LW] Gilbert Melendez (21-3-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#13LW] Nate Diaz (16-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-43)
2012-08-11: W vs. [#2FW] Frankie Edgar (16-4-1) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Anthony Pettis (3-0-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#16LW] Donald Cerrone (20-6-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:35 of round 1
2012-02-26: W vs. [#33LW] Joe Lauzon (22-9-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2011-10-08: W vs. [#21FW] Jeremy Stephens (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Henderson 133, Anthony Pettis 217
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Pettis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ben Henderson leads 4-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Frank Mir (16-7-0, +158) vs. [#10] Josh Barnett (32-6-0, -169)
Frank Mir is the All-Time #8 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Josh Barnett is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #22 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Frank Mir (1-2-0)
2013-04-20: L vs. [#3HW+] Daniel Cormier (12-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-05-26: L vs. [#2HW+/#10DD] Junior dos Santos (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2011-12-10: W vs. [#12HW+] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-8-1) via Technical Submission (Kimura) in 3:38 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Josh Barnett (2-1-0)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Nandor Guelmino (11-4-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2012-05-19: L vs. [#3HW+] Daniel Cormier (12-0-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2011-09-10: W vs. [*] Sergei Kharitonov (20-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frank Mir 133, Josh Barnett 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Frank Mir leads 3-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#5] Clay Guida (30-13-0, +400) vs. [#6] Chad Mendes (14-1-0, -440)
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#17FW] Hatsu Hioki (26-7-2) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-06-22: L vs. [#11LW] Gray Maynard (11-2-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2011-11-12: L vs. [#1LW/#6DD] Ben Henderson (19-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (3-0-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#9FW] Darren Elkins (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1
2012-12-15: W vs. [#64BW] Yaotzin Meza (20-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#73FW] Cody McKenzie (14-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 0:31 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 217, Chad Mendes 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Recommended YouTube Viewing: “In the Car – UFC Fight Night 27: Main Card Breakdown”
Bryan Stone has another Fight Matrix-fueled preview for the upcoming UFC card. Check out his video below and give him some thumbs up!
Fight Matrix Program: UFC Night 27 (08-28-2013)
Welterweight (170)
[#7] Carlos Condit (28-7-0, -240) vs. [#8] Martin Kampmann (20-6-0, +216)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Martin Kampmann is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (1-2-0)
2013-03-16: L vs. [#2WW] Johny Hendricks (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-11-17: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD] Georges St. Pierre (24-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2012-02-04: W vs. [#11WW] Nick Diaz (26-9-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Martin Kampmann (2-1-0)
2012-11-17: L vs. [#2WW] Johny Hendricks (15-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:46 of round 1
2012-06-01: W vs. [#5WW] Jake Ellenberger (29-7-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2012-03-03: W vs. [*] Thiago Alves (19-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 165, Martin Kampmann 284
Previous Match-up Record: Martin Kampmann leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#8] Rafael dos Anjos (19-6-0, +148) vs. [#14] Donald Cerrone (20-5-0, -161)
Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (3-0-0)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#23LW] Evan Dunham (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-11-17: W vs. [#31LW] Mark Bocek (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-07-11: W vs. [#57LW] Anthony Njokuani (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (2-1-0)
2013-05-25: W vs. [#89LW] K.J. Noons (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2013-01-26: L vs. [#5LW] Anthony Pettis (16-2-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:35 of round 1
2012-08-11: W vs. [#20LW] Melvin Guillard (31-13-2) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:16 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 102, Donald Cerrone 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#65] Brian Melancon (7-2-0, +190) vs. [#202MW] Kelvin Gastelum (6-0-0, -212)
Last 3 Fights: Brian Melancon (2-1-0)
2013-07-06: W vs. [#80WW] Seth Baczynski (18-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2011-09-23: W vs. [*] Felipe Portela (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2011-06-18: L vs. [#34LW] Isaac Vallie-Flagg (14-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (3-0-0)
2013-04-13: W vs. [#214MW] Uriah Hall (7-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-07-20: W vs. [NA] Mike Ashford (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#627LHW] Bill Smallwood (2-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Melancon 53, Kelvin Gastelum 137
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (08-25-2013)
FYI – We’ll likely have a mid-week update to accommodate the UFC show on Wednesday night.
Current MMA Rankings Updated (08-18-2013)
Notable Info
- Travis Browne finally realizes his potential by removing Alistair Overeem from his senses. As a result, he moves up to #6 in the HW+ rankings.
- Also at Heavyweight, Steve Mocco improves to 3-0 and jumps into the Top 100 at #82 by beating Lew Polley, who gained some infamy by showing up at 237lbs for a 205lb fight on August 9th. Perhaps gluttony got the best of Polley again, as he gained another 18lb in 7 days — weighing in at 255lb for the Mocco fight! James Toney, eat your heart out… but no seconds.
- Chael Sonnen found the Top 10, this time at Light Heavyweight with a first-round submission of Mauricio Rua. This puts Sonnen at #8 and Rua at #11.
- Mike Thomas Brown plummets down the Featherweight rankings at the hands of Steven Siler. Now sitting at #65, a re-retirement seems eminent.
- Pedro Munhoz‘s win over Jeff Curran made our All-Time Unusual Decisions list. Although Munhoz received 50-45 and 49-46 scores, Curran managed a 48-47 in his favor. Subsequently, Jeff Curran retired and is apparently abandoning his Flyweight run — this fight was at Bantamweight.
