Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida (05-13-2023)

May 8, 2023
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-4-0) vs. [#29] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #46 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#15HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-06-04: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#101HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2022-09-10: W vs. [#133LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2022-05-21: W vs. [#91HW+] Parker Porter (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1835.43 +12.37 51.41%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1844.36 +8.18 50.90%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 1944.00 +43.38 56.21%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1828.19 +60.92 56.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 154, Jailton Almeida 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Johnny Walker (20-7-0, -120) vs. [#15] Anthony Smith (36-17-0, -104)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#20LHW] Paul Craig (16-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-09-10: W vs. [#29LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2022-02-19: L vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#5LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#13LHW] Ryan Spann (21-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-04-24: W vs. [#35LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Johnny Walker -120 51.69%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1926.55 +103.88 61.65%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1941.46 +109.43 61.75%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 2018.34 +103.60 64.48%
WHR Anthony Smith 1844.25 +26.01 52.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 112, Anthony Smith 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#29] Daniel Rodriguez (17-3-0, +194) vs. [#87] Ian Garry (11-0-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#13WW] Neil Magny (27-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3
2022-09-10: W vs. [#30WW] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#41WW] Kevin Lee (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#364WW] Kenan Song (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 3
2022-07-02: W vs. [#164WW] Gabriel Green (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#201MW] Darian Weeks (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -247 67.66%
Elo K170 Daniel Rodriguez 1906.62 +174.10 68.90%
Elo Modified Daniel Rodriguez 1863.40 +79.45 58.61%
Glicko-1 Daniel Rodriguez 1895.72 +88.91 62.52%
WHR Ian Garry 1755.25 +1.10 50.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Rodriguez 189, Ian Garry 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#8] Angela Hill (15-12-0, +151) vs. [#10] Mackenzie Dern (12-3-0, -183)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#16SW] Emily Ducote (12-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#14SW] Lupita Godinez (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#7SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (1-2-0)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#4SW/#10DD/#8P4P] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#11SW] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -183 61.87%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1590.25 +27.59 53.15%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1610.54 +23.52 52.57%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1630.37 +12.16 51.75%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1579.93 +53.54 56.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 161, Mackenzie Dern 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mackenzie Dern leads 7-4
.

Welterweight (170)
[#36] Alex Morono (22-8-0, -231) vs. [#37] Tim Means (32-14-1, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#31WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#56WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#150WW] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (1-2-0)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#25WW] Max Griffin (19-9-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#11WW] Kevin Holland (24-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2021-06-26: W vs. [#48WW] Nicolas Dalby (21-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Morono -231 66.38%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1766.27 +105.08 61.77%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1801.16 +55.61 56.06%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1843.26 +30.94 54.44%
WHR Alex Morono 1700.83 +57.20 56.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 154, Tim Means 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Morono leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#69] Matt Brown (23-19-0, +150) vs. [#90] Court McGee (21-11-0, -185)
Matt Brown is the All-Time #46 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matt Brown (1-2-0)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#49WW] Bryan Barberena (18-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-06-19: W vs. [*] Dhiego Lima (15-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:02 of round 2
2021-01-16: L vs. [*] Carlos Condit (32-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Court McGee (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#42WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:34 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#241WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#154WW] Claudio Silva (14-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Court McGee -185 61.87%
Elo K170 Matt Brown 1611.20 +50.37 55.73%
Elo Modified Matt Brown 1666.95 +71.08 57.72%
Glicko-1 Matt Brown 1706.57 +92.27 62.98%
WHR Court McGee 1565.93 +6.52 50.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Brown 413, Court McGee 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Matt Brown leads 2-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#69] Chase Sherman (16-11-0, +314) vs. [#110] Karl Williams (8-1-0, -416)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Sherman (1-2-0)
2022-11-19: L vs. [#48HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#94HW+] Jared Vanderaa (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 3
2022-04-30: L vs. [#38HW+] Alexander Romanov (16-2-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 2:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Karl Williams (3-0-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#168HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (8-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2022-09-06: W vs. [#252HW+] Jimmy Lawson (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#626LHW] Simon Marini (9-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karl Williams -416 76.94%
Elo K170 Karl Williams 1494.63 +145.32 66.02%
Elo Modified Karl Williams 1557.38 +147.49 65.60%
Glicko-1 Karl Williams 1519.84 +105.80 64.77%
WHR Karl Williams 1404.96 +26.28 53.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Sherman 175, Karl Williams 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#29] Cody Stamann (21-5-1, -128) vs. [#60] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-5-0, +103)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#113BW] Luan Lacerda (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Eddie Wineland (24-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2022-01-22: L vs. [#21BW] Said Nurmagomedov (17-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#21BW] Said Nurmagomedov (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#52BW] Sergey Morozov (20-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2021-10-02: W vs. [*] Gaetano Pirrello (15-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Stamann -128 53.26%
Elo K170 Cody Stamann 1772.33 +115.65 62.91%
Elo Modified Cody Stamann 1771.85 +105.72 61.37%
Glicko-1 Cody Stamann 1797.50 +80.95 61.44%
WHR Cody Stamann 1717.72 +0.05 50.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 112, Douglas Silva de Andrade 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#54] Carlos Ulberg (8-1-0, -301) vs. [#64] Ihor Potieria (23-3-0, +233)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#81LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#103LHW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2022-02-12: W vs. [#215LHW] Fabio Cherant (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ihor Potieria (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#81LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 3:33 of round 2
2021-09-28: W vs. [#159LHW] Lukasz Sudolski (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Ulberg -301 71.42%
Elo K170 Carlos Ulberg 1615.66 +14.28 51.63%
Elo Modified Carlos Ulberg 1669.33 +75.73 58.21%
Glicko-1 Ihor Potieria 1658.21 +20.25 52.91%
WHR Carlos Ulberg 1688.14 +158.56 67.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Ulberg 182, Ihor Potieria 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Ulberg leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#248] Natan Levy (8-1-0, -286) vs. [#767] Pete Rodriguez (5-1-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Natan Levy (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#561LW] Genaro Valdez (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#378LW] Mike Breeden (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#37LW] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Pete Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#1822WW] Mike Jackson (1-2-0) via KO (Punches and Knee) in 1:33 of round 1
2022-01-22: L vs. [#21WW] Jack Della Maddalena (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2021-06-11: W vs. [NA] Roberto Uriel Pixley Nava (2-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Natan Levy -286 70.84%
Elo K170 Natan Levy 1533.54 +242.65 75.19%
Elo Modified Natan Levy 1555.44 +187.36 69.43%
Glicko-1 Natan Levy 1527.82 +222.96 78.30%
WHR Natan Levy 1468.77 +247.26 75.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Natan Levy 161, Pete Rodriguez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#104] Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2, -258) vs. [#123] Mandy Bohm (7-2-0, +204)

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (0-3-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#18BW] Joselyne Edwards (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-02-26: L vs. [#28FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#36FLY] Molly McCann (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mandy Bohm (1-2-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#62FLY] Victoria Leonardo (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#33FLY] Ariane Lipski (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-10-01: W vs. [*] Griet Eeckhout (6-4-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ji Yeon Kim -258 68.66%
Elo K170 Mandy Bohm 1188.87 +85.08 59.60%
Elo Modified Mandy Bohm 1259.69 +57.67 56.28%
Glicko-1 Mandy Bohm 1222.49 +17.47 52.51%
WHR Ji Yeon Kim 1230.07 +78.00 58.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ji Yeon Kim 287, Mandy Bohm 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#131] Bryan Battle (8-2-0, +102) vs. [#164] Gabriel Green (11-4-0, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (2-1-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#73WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (22-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-27)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#138WW] Takashi Sato (16-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:44 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#173MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Green (2-1-0)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#87WW] Ian Garry (11-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#217WW] Yohan Lainesse (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#58WW] Philip Rowe (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Green -132 53.47%
Elo K170 Bryan Battle 1584.67 +61.09 56.93%
Elo Modified Bryan Battle 1596.29 +22.94 52.51%
Glicko-1 Bryan Battle 1632.07 +22.97 53.30%
WHR Gabriel Green 1556.98 +37.76 54.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Battle 147, Gabriel Green 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#36] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-8-0, -152) vs. [#53] Tainara Lisboa (5-2-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica-Rose Clark (1-2-0)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#25BW] Julija Stoliarenko (10-7-2) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:42 of round 1
2022-02-19: L vs. [#23BW] Stephanie Egger (8-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2021-10-23: W vs. [#18BW] Joselyne Edwards (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tainara Lisboa (3-0-0)
2022-04-08: W vs. [NA] Conceicao Barros Oliveira (1-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:20 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [NA] Gloria Natalia Vaz Amaral (2-2-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:48 of round 1
2021-04-24: W vs. [NA] Leticia Hile (0-1-0) via TKO in 2:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jessica-Rose Clark -152 57.36%
Elo K170 Jessica-Rose Clark 1216.80 +0.49 50.06%
Elo Modified Jessica-Rose Clark 1249.32 +16.41 51.79%
Glicko-1 Tainara Lisboa 1241.20 +26.98 53.87%
WHR Tainara Lisboa 1257.19 +63.74 57.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica-Rose Clark 315, Tainara Lisboa 400
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Angela Hill vs. Mackenzie Dern
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2023-5-7

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