Well, it was a bad week for the parlays… and the “smart” option has been looking pretty stupid. I’m adding a new requirement for the bets — I must have odds from at least three books to consider a fight. I noticed last week, that a fight only had odds from one book, and it had incredibly wild swings — probably due to a limited amount of betters taking interest in that fight and/or one rich guy spiking the punch bowl. This will limit the parlays tremendously, so I will now start posting individual bets if there is only one viable option. In addition, I’m also going to limit the “smart” parlays to 3 fighters (was 4).
Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Now for the options…














