MMA Statistics – Page 30

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 136: Hunt vs. Oleinik (09-15-2018)

Posted on September 10, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Mark Hunt (13-12-1, -231) vs. [#19] Alexey Oleynik (58-11-1, +187)
Mark Hunt is the All-Time #23 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mark Hunt (1-2-0)
2018-02-10: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (10-1-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-06-10: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 4
2017-03-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via KO (Knee) in 1:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#41HW+] Junior Albini (14-4-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (10-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 2
2017-07-08: W vs. [#21HW+] Travis Browne (18-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mark Hunt – Win%: 66.70
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mark Hunt (1793.13) [+81.80] – Win%: 59.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mark Hunt (1804.31) [+23.74] – Win%: 52.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mark Hunt 217, Alexey Oleynik 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mark Hunt leads 2-1
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Jan Blachowicz (22-7-0, -111) vs. [#12] Nikita Krylov (24-5-0, -111)

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (3-0-0)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#14LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#67LHW] Jared Cannonier (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#63LHW] Devin Clark (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (3-0-0)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#34LHW] Fabio Maldonado (24-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:33 of round 2
2017-10-13: W vs. [#66LHW] Emanuel Newton (26-13-1) via KO (Knee) in 0:43 of round 1
2017-08-26: W vs. [#171LHW] Maro Perak (26-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jan Blachowicz – Win%: 50.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nikita Krylov (1815.71) [+4.85] – Win%: 50.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jan Blachowicz (1834.07) [+1.45] – Win%: 50.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 182, Nikita Krylov 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#50] Marcin Prachnio (13-3-0, +280) vs. [#64] Magomed Ankalaev (10-1-0, -360)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Prachnio (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#13LHW] Sam Alvey (33-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:23 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#86LHW] Gilberto Galvao (30-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:23 of round 1
2016-08-27: W vs. [#181LHW] Jake Butler (7-3-0) via TKO (Knees) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#41LHW] Paul Craig (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:59 of round 3
2017-10-04: W vs. [#417LHW] Celso Ricardo da Silva (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2017-05-21: W vs. [#73LHW] Wagner Prado (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Ankalaev – Win%: 74.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcin Prachnio (1636.26) [+88.74] – Win%: 60.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcin Prachnio (1616.62) [+4.64] – Win%: 50.51
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Prachnio 203, Magomed Ankalaev 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till (09-08-2018)

Posted on September 2, 2018 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#5DD/#5P4P] Tyron Woodley (18-3-1, -113) vs. [#3] Darren Till (17-0-1, -111)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Darren Till is the All-Time #36 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (2-0-1)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#11WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-03-04: W vs. [#5WW] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1) via MD (48-47, 47-47, 48-47)
2016-11-12: D vs. [#5WW] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Darren Till (3-0-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#5WW] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#15WW] Donald Cerrone (33-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1
2017-09-02: W vs. [#118WW] Bojan Velickovic (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tyron Woodley – Win%: 50.20
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tyron Woodley (2341.84) [+288.48] – Win%: 78.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tyron Woodley (2256.54) [+221.33] – Win%: 72.49
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 406, Darren Till 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#6DD/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (15-3-0, -1312) vs. [#4/#9P4P] Nicco Montano (4-2-0, +740)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #26 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#16FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-01-28: W vs. [*] Julianna Pena (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nicco Montano (2-1-0)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#12FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (22-14-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2017-01-07: L vs. [#37BW] Julia Avila (5-1-0) via UD (49-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2016-10-08: W vs. [#157FLY] Jamie Milanowski (2-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 88.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1653.80) [+140.52] – Win%: 65.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1688.37) [+113.47] – Win%: 62.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 217, Nicco Montano 281
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Zabit Magomedsharipov (15-1-0) vs. [#158] Brandon Davis (9-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Zabit Magomedsharipov (3-0-0)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#145FW] Kyle Bochniak (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#85FW] Sheymon Moraes (10-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:30 of round 3
2017-09-02: W vs. [#212FW] Mike Santiago (21-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Davis (1-2-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#45FW] Enrique Barzola (16-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#102FW] Steven Peterson (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#145FW] Kyle Bochniak (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Zabit Magomedsharipov (1861.41) [+453.83] – Win%: 88.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Zabit Magomedsharipov (1846.45) [+441.36] – Win%: 87.35
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zabit Magomedsharipov 154, Brandon Davis 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Zabit Magomedsharipov leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – Invicta FC 31: Jandiroba vs. Morandin (09-01-2018)

Posted on August 27, 2018 by Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#16] Virna Jandiroba (13-0-0) vs. [#47] Janaisa Morandin (10-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2018-03-24: W vs. [#27SW] Mizuki Inoue (13-4-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)
2017-12-08: W vs. [#52SW] Amy Montenegro (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:50 of round 1
2017-04-28: W vs. [#61BW] Ericka Almeida (8-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Janaisa Morandin (2-1-0)
2017-12-08: W vs. [#112SW] Kinberly Tanaka Novaes (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-08-31: L vs. [#5SW] Livia Renata Souza (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-09-10: W vs. [NA] Paula Vieira da Silva (5-8-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Virna Jandiroba (1605.02) [+212.42] – Win%: 72.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Virna Jandiroba (1557.91) [+171.86] – Win%: 67.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 161, Janaisa Morandin 267
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#30] Daiane Firmino (10-2-0) vs. [#42] Pearl Gonzalez (8-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Daiane Firmino (3-0-0)
2018-07-21: W vs. [#66BW] Mariana Morais (13-9-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:04 of round 3
2017-12-16: W vs. [#61FLY] Jennifer Gonzalez Araneda (10-5-0) via Submisson (Armbar) in 2:40 of round 1
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Vanessa Santos (1-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Pearl Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2018-05-04: W vs. [#139FLY] Barbara Acioly (4-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:30 of round 1
2018-03-24: W vs. [#72SW] Kali Robbins (6-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#17SW] Poliana Botelho (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Daiane Firmino (1372.48) [+33.04] – Win%: 53.77
Elo Favorite (Modified): Daiane Firmino (1416.61) [+15.97] – Win%: 51.75
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daiane Firmino 42, Pearl Gonzalez 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Shanna Young (4-0-0) vs. [#64] Lisa Spangler (2-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Shanna Young (3-0-0)
2016-04-08: W vs. [#10FW] Pam Sorenson (7-2-0) via SD ()
2015-11-21: W vs. [*] Christina Jobe (2-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 3
2015-07-25: W vs. [#29FW] Moriel Charneski (3-4-0) via MD ()

Last 3 Fights: Lisa Spangler (2-0-0)
2018-07-21: W vs. [NA] Kelly Clayton (0-2-0) via MD ()
2018-05-04: W vs. [#77BW] Sarah Kleczka (2-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Shanna Young (1303.40) [+142.73] – Win%: 65.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Shanna Young (1311.33) [+117.06] – Win%: 62.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shanna Young 876, Lisa Spangler 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick (08-25-2018)

Posted on August 19, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0, +130) vs. [#16] James Vick (13-1-0, -157)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#1LW/#7DD/#10P4P] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-12-02: L vs. [#4LW] Eddie Alvarez (29-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:59 of round 3
2017-07-07: W vs. [#35FW] Michael Johnson (17-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: James Vick (3-0-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#19LW] Francisco Trinaldo (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#74LW] Joseph Duffy (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-05-13: W vs. [#138LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): James Vick – Win%: 58.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): James Vick (2007.95) [+87.68] – Win%: 59.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): James Vick (1967.94) [+85.42] – Win%: 59.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 133, James Vick 188
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Andre Fili (18-5-0, +121) vs. [#35] Michael Johnson (17-13-0, -147)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#40FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#97FW] Artem Lobov (13-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#38FW] Calvin Kattar (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (0-3-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#12FW] Darren Elkins (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2017-07-07: L vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:48 of round 2
2016-11-12: L vs. [#3LW] Khabib Nurmagomedov (26-0-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:31 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Johnson – Win%: 56.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andre Fili (1756.34) [+1.39] – Win%: 50.16
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Johnson (1748.14) [+44.04] – Win%: 54.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Fili 210, Michael Johnson 223
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (8-4-0, -144) vs. [#21] Cortney Casey-Sanchez (7-6-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#29SW] Maryna Moroz (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-11: L vs. [#10SW] Nina Ansaroff (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#59SW] Ashley Yoder (5-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey-Sanchez (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#19SW] Michelle Waterson (15-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#13SW] Felice Herrig (14-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#24SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Angela Hill – Win%: 56.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Angela Hill (1450.81) [+126.44] – Win%: 64.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cortney Casey-Sanchez (1452.81) [+13.17] – Win%: 51.44
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 182, Cortney Casey-Sanchez 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Rizin 12 (08-12-2018)

Posted on August 11, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (154)
[#55] Yusuke Yachi (20-6-0) vs. [#293FW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (8-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Yusuke Yachi (3-0-0)
2018-05-06: W vs. [#152LW] Diego Nunes (22-8-0) via SD ()
2017-12-31: W vs. [#128LW] Takanori Gomi (36-15-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:36 of round 1
2017-07-30: W vs. [#167LW] Satoru Kitaoka (41-17-9) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (3-0-0)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#1207FW] Diogo DAvila (6-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#732LW] Renato Amorim (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2016-11-26: W vs. [#666FW] Marcelo Bustos (10-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Yusuke Yachi (1803.82) [+336.44] – Win%: 82.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yusuke Yachi (1759.29) [+257.31] – Win%: 75.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yusuke Yachi 98, Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos 260
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (134)
[#66] Yuki Motoya (20-6-0) vs. [#194] Kazuma Sone (23-15-1)

Last 3 Fights: Yuki Motoya (2-1-0)
2018-06-30: W vs. [#140BW] Jae Hoon Moon (11-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 2
2018-02-24: W vs. [#336BW] Jae Eun Byeon (2-1-0) via UD ()
2017-04-16: L vs. [#9BW] Kyoji Horiguchi (25-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kazuma Sone (3-0-0)
2018-01-28: W vs. [#307BW] Mamoru Uoi (18-6-4) via MD ()
2017-10-15: W vs. [#384BW] Tomohiro Hagino (10-6-0) via UD ()
2017-05-28: W vs. [#1026FW] Keiichiro Keiichiro (6-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Yuki Motoya (1701.45) [+250.96] – Win%: 75.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yuki Motoya (1666.78) [+232.77] – Win%: 73.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yuki Motoya 43, Kazuma Sone 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Yuki Motoya leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#110] Ryuichiro Sumimura (14-5-0) vs. [#133] Kiichi Kunimoto (19-7-2)

Last 3 Fights: Ryuichiro Sumimura (3-0-0)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#258WW] Yoichiro Sato (19-9-2) via UD ()
2017-12-24: W vs. [#1664LW] Jaybo Fredrick (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2017-07-15: W vs. [#166LHW] Ken Hasegawa (16-3-1) via TKO (Punch) in 3:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kiichi Kunimoto (1-2-0)
2017-12-29: W vs. [#167LW] Satoru Kitaoka (41-17-9) via UD ()
2017-06-10: L vs. [#122WW] Zak Ottow (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2015-02-14: L vs. [#10WW] Neil Magny (21-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:22 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1676.47) [+33.66] – Win%: 53.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1682.86) [+52.10] – Win%: 55.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryuichiro Sumimura 106, Kiichi Kunimoto 226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Elo Rating Updates

Posted on July 30, 2018 by Jason

We detailed our intentions to add some alternate rating systems for comparison in a previous post.

We got several comments and questions about this, with two common questions being:

1 – I thought the system in use was a version of Elo?

2 – What’s the point of adding alternate rating systems?

Addressing #1, the current rating system does share a few things with Elo, most notably, the core formula that manages the movement. However, it has also borrowed elements from the Glicko rating system and has tons and tons of additional code in place to make it better equipped for MMA, which is still a very disorganized and unpredictable sport, in terms of not only the matches but the matchmaking as well. Systems like Elo and Glicko were made for chess, a sport (game?) where competitors can play dozens of matches in a month where none of them get kicked in the head by their opponent.

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FightMatrix Program – UFC Fight Night 131: Rivera/Moraes (06-01-2018)

Posted on May 28, 2018 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Marlon Moraes (20-5-1, 135.4lb, -114) vs. [#6] Jimmie Rivera (21-1-0, 134.6lb, -109)
Marlon Moraes is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Jimmie Rivera is the All-Time #22 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Moraes (2-1-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#8BW] Aljamain Sterling (15-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#9BW] John Dodson (20-9-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 27-30)
2017-06-03: L vs. [#7BW] Raphael Assuncao (26-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmie Rivera (3-0-0)
2017-07-22: W vs. [#52BW] Thomas Almeida (21-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-09-10: W vs. [*] Urijah Faber (34-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-01-30: W vs. [#15BW] Iuri Alcantara (35-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Moraes 174, Jimmie Rivera 314
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#42] Jake Ellenberger (31-13-0, 170.4lb, -171) vs. [#81] Ben Saunders (21-9-2, 169.4lb, +143)
Jake Ellenberger is the All-Time #23 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jake Ellenberger (1-2-0)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#36WW] Mike Perry (11-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:05 of round 2
2016-12-03: L vs. [#9WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via TKO in 4:05 of round 1
2016-07-30: W vs. [#23WW] Matt Brown (21-16-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ben Saunders (1-2-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#41WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 2
2017-05-28: L vs. [#67WW] Peter Sobotta (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 2:29 of round 2
2017-01-15: W vs. [#99WW] Court McGee (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Ellenberger 405, Ben Saunders 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#26] Nik Lentz (28-8-2, 155.4lb) vs. [*] Leonardo Santos (16-3-2)

Last 3 Fights: Nik Lentz (2-1-0)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#40LW] Will Brooks (18-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2017-02-11: L vs. [#33LW] Islam Makhachev (15-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-25)
2016-09-10: W vs. [#528LW] Michael McBride (8-3-0) via TKO in 4:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Santos (3-0-0)
2016-10-08: W vs. [#84LW] Adriano Martins (28-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-12-12: W vs. [#4LW] Kevin Lee (17-3-0) via TKO in 3:26 of round 1
2015-03-21: W vs. [#58WW] Tony Martin (13-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nik Lentz 195, Leonardo Santos 601
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fighters Missing Weight: Win Percentage?

Posted on May 26, 2018 by Jason

On the topic of Darren Till coming in overweight again, I’ve seen more than a few instances of people citing statistics where fighters won at an astoundingly high rate in bouts where they missed weight.

Acquiring good data on MMA is hard enough, so we don’t have specifics on the intended divisional limit for all bouts. However, we do have a ton of bouts with weigh-in data for both fighters.

I first retrieved a count of all pro MMA bouts that ended in a win, where we have actual weigh-in data that shows that both fighters were between 100 and 212 pounds (26,383). The idea here is to exclude instances of bad data and Heavyweights.

Of these, I then looked at bouts where one fighter weighed between 1.75 and 6 pounds more than the other fighter. This range seems arbitrary, but I was trying to avoid “freak show” type of matches, while also excluding cases where one fighter may be 169.5 and another at 171 (for example). I got a surprisingly high count — 5,719.

Of these 5,719 bouts, the heavier fighter won 3,120 – 54.55%

When I change that window to a range of 1.25 pounds to 5 pounds, the win rate changes to 55.14%.

Fight Matrix Program: UFC 222 (03-03-2018)

Posted on February 27, 2018 by Jason

Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Cristiane Justino (19-1-0, -1663) vs. [#14BW] Yana Kunitskaya (10-3-0, +927)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#4FW] Holly Holm (11-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3
2016-09-24: W vs. [#18BW] Lina Lansberg (7-3-0) via TKO in 2:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yana Kunitskaya (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2017-08-31: W vs. [#28BW] Raquel Paaluhi (6-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-03-25: L vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 2
2016-11-18: NC vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 63, Yana Kunitskaya 184
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#3] Frankie Edgar (22-5-1, -174) vs. [#5] Brian Ortega (13-0-0, +145)
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #10 ranked Featherweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #34 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#35FW] Yair Rodriguez (10-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2016-11-12: W vs. [#4FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#2FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#13FW] Cub Swanson (25-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#16FW] Renato Carneiro (11-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3
2016-06-04: W vs. [#25LW] Clay Guida (34-17-0) via TKO in 4:40 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Edgar 294, Brian Ortega 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#47] Andre Soukhamthath (12-5-0, -129) vs. [#79] Sean OMalley (9-0-0, +105)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Soukhamthath (1-2-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#73BW] Luke Sanders (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2017-08-05: L vs. [#20BW] Alejandro Perez (19-6-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-04: L vs. [#129BW] Albert Morales (6-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#132BW] Terrion Ware (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-18: W vs. [#348BW] Alfred Khashakyan (8-4-0) via TKO in 4:14 of round 1
2017-05-05: W vs. [#552BW] David Nuzzo (9-2-0) via KO (Wheel Kick) in 2:15 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Soukhamthath 84, Sean OMalley 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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2017 Awards: Men’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 3, 2018 by Jason

As a recap, most “Fighter of the Year” awards on other sites are really “Breakout Fighter of the Year” awards in that fighters who win, were usually not top fighters in the beginning of the year, but became so by the end of the year.

A fighter like this can and has won our FotY awards, but our award is more about maintaining a high standing during the award year by performing well a sufficient number of times and against a sufficient quality of opponents. It is more comparable to a season MVP in major team sports, not a playoffs/surprise MVP.

Winners (Tie): Demetrious Johnson, Max Holloway

A very tight call, too tight to call… so we’re going with co-winners for the first time. DJ gets the nod with the #1 ranking for all 365 days, while Holloway twice beat an all-time great, albeit the same fighter.

3rd Place: Tyron Woodley

Like DJ, Woodley keeps churning out the quality performances and reigns over an even deeper division. But this year, he takes a backseat to DJ and Holloway.

2017 Awards: Women’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 2, 2018 by Jason

Winner: Cristiane Justino

With her win over Holm, Cyborg is right on Rousey’s heels for the title of best female MMA fighter ever. For now, she’ll have to settle with being the best of 2017.

Runner-Up: Rose Namajunas

Rose was looking like the winner, right until the last weekend of the year.

3rd Place: Livia Renata Souza

Winning more than once and being one of the best fighters outside of the UFC is good enough to earn Souza the third position.

2017 Awards: Rookies of the Year

Posted on January 1, 2018 by Jason

Men: Shamil Amirov

A 3-0-1 career record along with a draw against Rousimar Palhares, earns Amirov the award.

Honorable Mentions: Askhab Zulaev

Women: Liliya Shakirova

Soviet-based fighters tend to win these awards, due to their aggressive early matchmaking. Shakirova’s competition is suspect, but I could see her landing a Flyweight spot on a lackluster Asia/Europe UFC card.

Honorable Mention: Sunna Rannveig Davidsdottir

2017 Awards: Most Improved Fighter

Posted on December 31, 2017 by Jason

Most Improved Fighter of the Year: Volkan Oezdemir

With an ascent similar to that of Junior dos Santos, Oezdemir came out of nowhere to become a title contender in the UFC.

2017 Awards: Upsets of the Year

Posted on December 31, 2017 by Jason

Note: We have two ways that we derive biggest “upsets” based on points difference between winner and loser.

“Most Noteworthy” (X minus Y)
“Most Lopsided” (X divided by Y)

Most Noteworthy: Francis Ngannou KO(1) Alistair Overeem

More of a guard change than an upset. Nevertheless, Ngannou made up a massive point difference in taking Overeem out.

Most Lopsided: Volkan Oezdemir SD(3) Ovince St. Preux

Were the actual outcome a part of this, Emmett/Lamas would get the award. However, this is about proportional point differences and Oezdemir wasn’t even on the map before this fight.

2017 Awards: Most Noteworthy Match of the Year

Posted on December 31, 2017 by Jason

Most Noteworthy Match of the Year:

Max Holloway TKO(3) Jose Aldo II

The “most noteworthy” match of the year isn’t about box office or the popular scene, instead it is a pretty basic calculation — a sum of quality if you will. You can decide between the first or the rematch, they were basically the same fight.