Fight Matrix Program – UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka (06-22-2024)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0, -166) vs. [#4] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1, +138)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#27LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alex Pereira | -166 | 59.76% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Pereira | 2222.62 | +94.56 | 63.28% |
| Elo Modified | Alex Pereira | 2187.33 | +76.81 | 60.88% |
| Glicko-1 | Alex Pereira | 2300.85 | +78.25 | 61.08% |
| WHR | Alex Pereira | 2122.78 | +64.07 | 59.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 77, Jiri Prochazka 77
Previous Match-up Record: Alex Pereira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#4] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +120) vs. [#24] Diego Lopes (24-6-0, -145)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-08-05: W vs. [#330FW] Gavin Tucker (13-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Lopes | -145 | 56.56% | |
| Elo K170 | Brian Ortega | 2102.06 | +255.21 | 81.29% |
| Elo Modified | Brian Ortega | 2058.70 | +186.82 | 74.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Brian Ortega | 2118.28 | +161.12 | 71.66% |
| WHR | Brian Ortega | 1971.85 | +131.61 | 68.08% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 126, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0, -145) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (38-19-0, +119)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#6MW] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#15MW] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-09: L vs. [#9LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Roman Dolidze | -145 | 56.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Anthony Smith | 1874.62 | +131.98 | 68.13% |
| Elo Modified | Anthony Smith | 1858.13 | +73.92 | 60.48% |
| Glicko-1 | Anthony Smith | 1898.48 | +21.83 | 53.14% |
| WHR | Roman Dolidze | 1792.14 | +37.10 | 55.32% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Smith 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov (06-22-2024)
Middleweight (185)
[#5] Robert Whittaker (25-7-0, -132) vs. [#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, +109)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#133MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Robert Whittaker | -132 | 54.31% | |
| Elo K170 | Robert Whittaker | 2193.81 | +395.22 | 90.68% |
| Elo Modified | Robert Whittaker | 2171.37 | +335.76 | 87.36% |
| Glicko-1 | Robert Whittaker | 2235.78 | +325.50 | 86.69% |
| WHR | Robert Whittaker | 1997.91 | +119.66 | 66.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 126, Ikram Aliskerov 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-2-0, -214) vs. [#5] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0, +176)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#11HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergei Pavlovich | -214 | 65.29% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Volkov | 2021.69 | +19.09 | 52.75% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkov | 2038.66 | +39.48 | 55.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkov | 2135.60 | +44.88 | 56.42% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 1988.36 | +16.28 | 52.34% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Alexander Volkov 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 4-3
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Welterweight (170)
[#24] Kelvin Gastelum (18-9-0, -239) vs. [#39] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0, +194)
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (17-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10WW] Ian Garry (14-0-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-11-05: L vs. [#19WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3
2022-09-10: W vs. [*] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kelvin Gastelum | -239 | 67.45% | |
| Elo K170 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1859.69 | +76.95 | 60.90% |
| Elo Modified | Kelvin Gastelum | 1865.16 | +110.79 | 65.42% |
| Glicko-1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1912.01 | +127.36 | 67.55% |
| WHR | Kelvin Gastelum | 1767.26 | +79.02 | 61.18% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 203, Daniel Rodriguez 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Been on a bad streak… but have to (pretend) gamble our way out of it!
Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Now for the options…
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira (06-15-2024)
Flyweight (125)
[#11] Alex Perez (25-8-0, +162) vs. [#23] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0, -196)
Alex Perez is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#17FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:16 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#147FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#142FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#84FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tatsuro Taira | -196 | 63.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Tatsuro Taira | 1822.35 | +12.85 | 51.85% |
| Elo Modified | Tatsuro Taira | 1821.80 | +35.83 | 55.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Tatsuro Taira | 1874.42 | +43.37 | 56.21% |
| WHR | Tatsuro Taira | 1786.62 | +49.95 | 57.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 49, Tatsuro Taira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, -917) vs. [*] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, +581)
Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#144MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#134MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [*] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ikram Aliskerov | -917 | 85.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1798.61 | +326.60 | 86.76% |
| Elo Modified | Ikram Aliskerov | 1835.68 | +329.70 | 86.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1910.30 | +401.91 | 91.00% |
| WHR | Ikram Aliskerov | 1877.88 | +395.78 | 90.70% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ikram Aliskerov 238, Antonio Trocoli 937
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#251] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0, -112) vs. [#381] Josh Quinlan (6-2-0, -108)
Last 3 Fights: Adam Fugitt (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#82WW] Mike Malott (10-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#530WW] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:36 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#23WW] Michael Morales (16-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Josh Quinlan (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#180WW] Danny Barlow (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2023-04-29: L vs. [#125WW] Trey Waters (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Adam Fugitt | -112 | 50.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Adam Fugitt | 1432.45 | +149.94 | 70.33% |
| Elo Modified | Adam Fugitt | 1460.37 | +114.93 | 65.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Adam Fugitt | 1475.20 | +144.52 | 69.68% |
| WHR | Adam Fugitt | 1463.81 | +209.24 | 76.93% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Fugitt 371, Josh Quinlan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
The WHR Win % is now age-adjusted, using a formula driven by previous results.
Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Now for the options…
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov (06-08-2024)
Middleweight (185)
[#5] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0, +112) vs. [#14] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0, -136)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #28 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Nassourdine Imavov | -136 | 54.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Jared Cannonier | 2208.53 | +340.23 | 87.63% |
| Elo Modified | Jared Cannonier | 2134.22 | +290.87 | 84.22% |
| Glicko-1 | Jared Cannonier | 2187.74 | +309.63 | 85.60% |
| WHR | Jared Cannonier | 1999.77 | +191.96 | 75.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 357, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jared Cannonier leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#24] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1, -221) vs. [*] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0, +178)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#26LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#40LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-04-15: L vs. [#22LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (0-3-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#25LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-09-26: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dustin Jacoby | -221 | 65.68% | |
| Elo K170 | Dominick Reyes | 1765.14 | +97.81 | 63.71% |
| Elo Modified | Dominick Reyes | 1743.59 | +27.69 | 53.98% |
| Glicko-1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1791.95 | +14.84 | 52.13% |
| WHR | Dustin Jacoby | 1750.04 | +123.29 | 67.03% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 175, Dominick Reyes 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Julian Marquez (9-4-0, -114) vs. [#196] Zachary Reese (6-1-0, -108)
Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#25MW] Gregory Rodrigues (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#127HW+] Sam Alvey (34-18-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Zachary Reese (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#97MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2023-08-22: W vs. [#264MW] Eli Aronov (6-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:14 of round 1
2023-03-24: W vs. [#1163MW] Tommie Britton (5-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Julian Marquez | -114 | 50.64% | |
| Elo K170 | Julian Marquez | 1435.22 | +107.37 | 64.98% |
| Elo Modified | Julian Marquez | 1500.00 | +147.85 | 70.08% |
| Glicko-1 | Julian Marquez | 1538.00 | +189.23 | 74.82% |
| WHR | Julian Marquez | 1485.65 | +184.61 | 74.32% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 462, Zachary Reese 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier (06-01-2024)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0, -632) vs. [#6] Dustin Poirier (30-8-0, +428)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #42 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (34-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#18LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-07-29: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -632 | 82.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2525.11 | +256.29 | 81.39% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2453.78 | +232.02 | 79.18% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2573.50 | +268.38 | 82.42% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2378.24 | +318.86 | 86.24% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 224, Dustin Poirier 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Islam Makhachev leads 3-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#3] Sean Strickland (28-6-0, -221) vs. [#16] Paulo Costa (14-3-0, +180)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #19 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#1MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#57MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (26-6-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6MW] Robert Whittaker (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sean Strickland | -221 | 65.84% | |
| Elo K170 | Sean Strickland | 2086.64 | +138.31 | 68.91% |
| Elo Modified | Sean Strickland | 2129.57 | +178.51 | 73.64% |
| Glicko-1 | Sean Strickland | 2206.22 | +181.22 | 73.95% |
| WHR | Sean Strickland | 2060.68 | +220.28 | 78.04% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 133, Paulo Costa 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sean Strickland leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#17WW] Kevin Holland (25-11-0, -249) vs. [#44] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-7-0, +198)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#13WW] Michael Page (22-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#6WW] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#45WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#19MW] Michel Pereira (32-11-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#75WW] Chidi Njokuani (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2023-04-29: L vs. [#17MW] Caio Borralho (16-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:49 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kevin Holland | -249 | 68.01% | |
| Elo K170 | Kevin Holland | 1836.81 | +130.42 | 67.93% |
| Elo Modified | Kevin Holland | 1874.82 | +156.29 | 71.09% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Holland | 1957.17 | +210.08 | 77.02% |
| WHR | Kevin Holland | 1837.20 | +169.66 | 72.64% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 84, Michal Oleksiejczuk 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs Murphy (05-18-2024)
Featherweight (145)
[#15] Edson Barboza (24-11-0, +132) vs. [#38] Lerone Murphy (13-0-1, -158)
Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#47FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#44FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#16FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#108FW] Joshua Culibao (12-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#116FW] Gabriel Santos (10-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#394LW] Makwan Amirkhani (17-10-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:14 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Lerone Murphy | -158 | 58.69% | |
| Elo K170 | Edson Barboza | 1917.98 | +29.54 | 54.24% |
| Elo Modified | Edson Barboza | 1926.08 | +99.78 | 63.98% |
| Glicko-1 | Edson Barboza | 1973.01 | +127.67 | 67.59% |
| WHR | Edson Barboza | 1795.98 | +1.44 | 50.21% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 217, Lerone Murphy 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#39] Carlston Harris (19-5-0, +118) vs. [#53] Kalinn Williams (14-3-0, -142)
Last 3 Fights: Carlston Harris (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#59WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#62WW] Jared Gooden (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#168WW] Rolando Bedoya (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#23WW] Randy Brown (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-11-13: W vs. [*] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kalinn Williams | -142 | 56.12% | |
| Elo K170 | Carlston Harris | 1886.25 | +136.39 | 68.68% |
| Elo Modified | Carlston Harris | 1884.04 | +140.04 | 69.13% |
| Glicko-1 | Carlston Harris | 1937.50 | +155.94 | 71.05% |
| WHR | Carlston Harris | 1943.64 | +305.55 | 85.31% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlston Harris 287, Kalinn Williams 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlston Harris leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Angela Hill (16-13-0, -157) vs. [#29] Luana Pinheiro (11-2-0, +130)
Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#19SW] Denise Gomes (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#8SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#21SW] Emily Ducote (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#54SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#49SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Angela Hill | -157 | 58.42% | |
| Elo K170 | Angela Hill | 1585.39 | +110.66 | 65.41% |
| Elo Modified | Angela Hill | 1637.50 | +192.11 | 75.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Angela Hill | 1633.90 | +209.18 | 76.92% |
| WHR | Angela Hill | 1519.59 | +153.29 | 70.73% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 196, Luana Pinheiro 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luana Pinheiro leads 2-0
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