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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates (11-09-2024)

Posted on November 4, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#27] Neil Magny (29-12-0, +456) vs. [#45] Carlos Prates (20-6-0, -660)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#15WW] Michael Morales (17-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2024-01-20: W vs. [#81WW] Mike Malott (11-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3
2023-08-19: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (15-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#61WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#203WW] Charlie Radtke (9-4-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#157WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:03 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -660 82.83%
Elo K170 Carlos Prates 1897.23 +53.88 57.69%
Elo Modified Carlos Prates 1909.10 +88.61 62.48%
Glicko-1 Carlos Prates 2006.91 +166.86 72.32%
WHR Carlos Prates 1916.29 +180.82 73.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 77, Carlos Prates 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#30] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0, +112) vs. [#31] Miles Johns (16-2-0, -133)
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-16: W vs. [#309BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#100BW] Trevin Jones (15-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#52BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#46BW] Cody Gibson (21-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#203BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miles Johns -133 54.75%
Elo K170 Miles Johns 1857.19 +94.16 63.23%
Elo Modified Miles Johns 1828.28 +78.08 61.05%
Glicko-1 Miles Johns 1852.41 +58.73 58.37%
WHR Miles Johns 1791.94 +155.62 71.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Garbrandt 210, Miles Johns 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#17] Denise Gomes (9-3-0, -446) vs. [#31] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-8-0, +327)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#44FLY] Eduarda Moura (10-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#42SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8SW] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#113SW] Diana Belbita (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#37SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Denise Gomes -446 77.71%
Elo K170 Denise Gomes 1551.78 +92.85 63.05%
Elo Modified Denise Gomes 1527.22 +62.90 58.96%
Glicko-1 Denise Gomes 1527.15 +96.54 63.54%
WHR Denise Gomes 1496.94 +142.76 69.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Denise Gomes 154, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#230] Bernardo Sopai (11-3-0, -210) vs. [#572] Ricky Turcios (12-4-0, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Bernardo Sopai (2-1-0)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#33BW] Vinicius Oliveira (22-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 4:41 of round 3
2023-12-30: W vs. [#726BW] Geovane Vargas (11-5-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 0:00 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#400BW] Julien Lopez (7-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Turcios (1-2-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#121BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (10-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2022-11-19: W vs. [*] Kevin Natividad (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#19BW] Aiemann Zahabi (12-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bernardo Sopai -210 65.48%
Elo K170 Bernardo Sopai 1463.01 +56.07 58.00%
Elo Modified Bernardo Sopai 1506.27 +139.24 69.03%
Glicko-1 Bernardo Sopai 1534.35 +236.69 79.62%
WHR Bernardo Sopai 1532.59 +207.30 76.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bernardo Sopai 252, Ricky Turcios 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#25] Gerald Meerschaert (37-17-0, +226) vs. [#36LHW] Reinier de Ridder (17-2-0, -287)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#50MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (13-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-16: W vs. [#88MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Technical Submission (Face Crank) in 4:23 of round 2
2023-08-19: L vs. [#51MW] Andre Petroski (12-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#185LHW] Magomedmurad Khasaev (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2024-03-01: L vs. [#13LHW] Anatoly Malykhin (14-0-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:16 of round 3
2022-12-02: L vs. [#13LHW] Anatoly Malykhin (14-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -287 70.74%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 1808.54 +73.87 60.47%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 1836.15 +46.75 56.69%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 1886.72 +35.72 55.12%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1804.83 +60.90 58.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 77, Reinier de Ridder 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#11] Gillian Robertson (14-8-0, -263) vs. [#32] Luana Pinheiro (11-3-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#71SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:12 of round 2
2023-06-24: L vs. [#7SW] Tabatha Ricci (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (1-2-0)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#12FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -263 68.98%
Elo K170 Gillian Robertson 1554.94 +138.11 68.89%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1593.18 +184.14 74.27%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1603.64 +231.70 79.15%
WHR Gillian Robertson 1546.02 +254.12 81.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 133, Luana Pinheiro 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#32] Nicolas Dalby (23-6-1, -115) vs. [#48] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (24-8-1, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#21WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#69WW] Gabriel Bonfim (16-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:33 of round 2
2023-06-17: W vs. [#41WW] Muslim Salikhov (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#22WW] Randy Brown (19-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#21WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-06-03: W vs. [*] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (17-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nicolas Dalby -115 50.85%
Elo K170 Nicolas Dalby 1858.16 +26.19 53.76%
Elo Modified Nicolas Dalby 1890.62 +70.01 59.94%
Glicko-1 Nicolas Dalby 1951.62 +88.58 62.48%
WHR Nicolas Dalby 1838.15 +38.75 55.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nicolas Dalby 140, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 161
Previous Match-up Record: Nicolas Dalby leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nicolas Dalby leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Dusko Todorovic (12-4-0, +269) vs. [#207] Mansur Abdul-Malik (6-0-0, -353)

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (1-2-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#76MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:52 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [#191MW] Jordan Wright (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:12 of round 2
2022-05-21: L vs. [#58WW] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mansur Abdul-Malik (3-0-0)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#399MW] Wesley Schultz (6-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:55 of round 2
2024-02-09: W vs. [#1112MW] Allan St-Gelais (1-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
2023-10-07: W vs. [NA] Donelei Benedetto (2-3-0) via TKO in 2:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mansur Abdul-Malik -353 74.19%
Elo K170 Dusko Todorovic 1478.33 +106.51 64.86%
Elo Modified Dusko Todorovic 1535.67 +94.75 63.31%
Glicko-1 Dusko Todorovic 1535.44 +91.14 62.82%
WHR Dusko Todorovic 1472.65 +115.85 66.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dusko Todorovic 602, Mansur Abdul-Malik 88
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#85] Matthew Semelsberger (11-7-0, +130) vs. [#203] Charlie Radtke (9-4-0, -158)

Last 3 Fights: Matthew Semelsberger (0-3-0)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#96WW] Preston Parsons (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#42WW] Uros Medic (10-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Backfist and Punches) in 2:36 of round 3
2023-04-22: L vs. [#63WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Charlie Radtke (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#45WW] Carlos Prates (20-6-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1
2024-02-03: W vs. [#418WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2023-09-09: W vs. [#1045WW] Mike Mathetha (3-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charlie Radtke -158 58.47%
Elo K170 Charlie Radtke 1489.91 +77.35 60.95%
Elo Modified Charlie Radtke 1511.76 +29.95 54.30%
Glicko-1 Matthew Semelsberger 1514.70 +32.40 54.65%
WHR Charlie Radtke 1473.98 +45.99 56.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matthew Semelsberger 301, Charlie Radtke 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#65] Cody Stamann (21-7-1, +208) vs. [#81] DaMon Blackshear (14-7-1, -265)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (1-2-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#35BW] Taylor Lapilus (21-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#52BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Luan Lacerda (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: DaMon Blackshear (1-2-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#25BW] Montel Jackson (14-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-08-19: L vs. [#10BW] Mario Bautista (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#137FLY] Jose Johnson (17-9-0) via Submission (Twister) in 3:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds DaMon Blackshear -265 69.09%
Elo K170 Cody Stamann 1594.36 +50.79 57.26%
Elo Modified Cody Stamann 1591.85 +35.30 55.06%
Glicko-1 Cody Stamann 1640.35 +39.76 55.70%
WHR DaMon Blackshear 1616.48 +36.85 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 154, DaMon Blackshear 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#22] Melissa Mullins (6-1-0, -240) vs. [#39] Klaudia Sygula (6-1-0, +192)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Mullins (2-1-0)
2024-04-06: L vs. [#14BW] Nora Cornolle (8-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Head Kicks) in 3:06 of round 2
2023-10-14: W vs. [#37BW] Irina Alekseeva (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-11-03: W vs. [#43BW] Darya Zheleznyakova (9-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Klaudia Sygula (3-0-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#138BW] Yulia Kutsenko (6-10-0) via TKO in 0:00 of round 2
2022-12-16: W vs. [*] Ana Lobzhanidze (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1
2022-07-29: W vs. [#67FLY] Brena Soares Cardozo (9-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Mullins -240 67.33%
Elo K170 Melissa Mullins 1390.48 +71.40 60.13%
Elo Modified Melissa Mullins 1454.95 +41.51 55.94%
Glicko-1 Melissa Mullins 1397.84 +25.46 53.66%
WHR Melissa Mullins 1345.27 +38.17 55.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melissa Mullins 217, Klaudia Sygula 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#182] Cortavious Romious (9-2-0, -162) vs. [#465] Gaston Bolanos (7-4-0, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Cortavious Romious (2-1-0)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#261BW] Michael Imperato (12-7-0) via UD ()
2024-04-20: W vs. [NA] Erik Vo (15-33-0) via SUB in 0:50 of round 1
2023-10-10: L vs. [#180BW] Ramon Taveras (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gaston Bolanos (2-1-0)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#132BW] Marcus McGhee (9-1-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-04-15: W vs. [*] Aaron Phillips (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Carey (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cortavious Romious -162 58.92%
Elo K170 Cortavious Romious 1368.58 +76.19 60.79%
Elo Modified Cortavious Romious 1427.88 +101.01 64.14%
Glicko-1 Cortavious Romious 1418.70 +79.48 61.24%
WHR Cortavious Romious 1368.92 +92.95 63.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cortavious Romious 81, Gaston Bolanos 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Tresean Gore (4-2-0, -175) vs. [#341] Antonio Trocoli (13-4-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Tresean Gore (1-2-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#116MW] Josh Fremd (11-6-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 2
2022-07-09: L vs. [#92MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2022-02-05: L vs. [#75WW] Bryan Battle (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#19MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tresean Gore -175 60.73%
Elo K170 Antonio Trocoli 1454.42 +55.89 57.97%
Elo Modified Antonio Trocoli 1487.33 +36.43 55.22%
Glicko-1 Antonio Trocoli 1479.10 +50.77 57.25%
WHR Antonio Trocoli 1448.43 +29.68 54.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tresean Gore 742, Antonio Trocoli 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Stored DD Rating: Gillian Robertson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Cody Garbrandt vs. Miles Johns
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2024-11-3

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