Event Previews – Page 8

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway (10-26-2024)

Posted on October 21, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#9P4P] Ilia Topuria (15-0-0, -259) vs. [#2/#5DD] Max Holloway (26-7-0, +196)
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#3FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#19FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 3
2023-04-15: W vs. [#8FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ilia Topuria	-259		68.10%
Elo K170	Max Holloway	2389.60	+186.18	74.49%
Elo Modified	Max Holloway	2334.27	+172.79	73.00%
Glicko-1	Max Holloway	2442.70	+198.75	75.84%
WHR	Ilia Topuria	2182.45	+12.38	51.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 252, Max Holloway 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#4] Khamzat Chimaev (13-0-0, -221) vs. [#6] Robert Whittaker (26-7-0, +181)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#17MW] Kevin Holland (26-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [#10WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#42MW] Ikram Aliskerov (15-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1MW/#6DD/#3P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Khamzat Chimaev	-221		65.92%
Elo K170	Robert Whittaker	2209.78	+0.38	50.06%
Elo Modified	Robert Whittaker	2190.84	+12.69	51.83%
Glicko-1	Robert Whittaker	2273.79	+18.20	52.62%
WHR	Khamzat Chimaev	2062.13	+3.35	50.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 371, Robert Whittaker 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18] Lerone Murphy (14-0-1, -206) vs. [#20] Dan Ige (18-8-0, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#132FW] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#71FW] Gabriel Santos (11-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:43 of round 1
2023-09-23: L vs. [#19FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Lerone Murphy	-206		64.59%
Elo K170	Lerone Murphy	1980.63	+186.55	74.53%
Elo Modified	Lerone Murphy	1925.45	+152.96	70.69%
Glicko-1	Lerone Murphy	1953.50	+115.21	66.00%
WHR	Lerone Murphy	1879.30	+110.66	65.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 161, Dan Ige 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 17, 2024 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 15, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#17] Michel Pereira (32-11-0, +125) vs. [#25] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#80MW] Ihor Potieria (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:54 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#41MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-10-14: W vs. [#49MW] Andre Petroski (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#53MW] Roman Kopylov (13-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#48MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-09-17: W vs. [#38MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:53 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-152		57.57%
Elo K170	Michel Pereira	2007.89	+128.77	67.73%
Elo Modified	Michel Pereira	1975.95	+71.18	60.10%
Glicko-1	Michel Pereira	2046.14	+87.61	62.35%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	1906.78	+51.07	57.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Pereira 168, Anthony Hernandez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Kyler Phillips (12-2-0, -347) vs. [#16] Rob Font (20-8-0, +268)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#18BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-12: W vs. [*] Marcelo Rojo (17-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 1:48 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#4BW/#9P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#7BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#56BW] Adrian Yanez (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kyler Phillips	-347		74.07%
Elo K170	Kyler Phillips	1860.64	+28.08	54.03%
Elo Modified	Kyler Phillips	1882.25	+86.67	62.22%
Glicko-1	Kyler Phillips	1954.83	+75.99	60.76%
WHR	Kyler Phillips	1866.25	+145.47	69.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyler Phillips 224, Rob Font 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kyler Phillips leads 1-0
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Flyweight (125)
[#15] Charles Johnson (16-6-0, -223) vs. [#258] Su Mudaerji (16-6-0, +182)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (3-0-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#32FLY] Joshua Van (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#110BW] Jake Hadley (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#79FLY] Azat Maksum (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#22FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Charles Johnson	-223		66.06%
Elo K170	Charles Johnson	1727.60	+338.88	87.55%
Elo Modified	Charles Johnson	1731.40	+327.51	86.82%
Glicko-1	Charles Johnson	1798.25	+406.55	91.22%
WHR	Charles Johnson	1634.06	+309.95	85.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 98, Su Mudaerji 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Caged Steel 38: Main Event Announced

Posted on October 15, 2024 by Oleg

On December 7th, 2024, Caged Steel presents Caged Steel 38 in Doncaster UK, an exciting event featuring professional and amateur MMA fights, as well as caged boxing bouts. To purchase tickets to Caged Steel 38, enter coupon code fightmatrix at checkout.

The following bout will serve as the main event of Caged Steel 38:

Professional MMA – Bantamweight (61.2KG) Title Bout – 3×5 rounds

[#488 BW] (C) Adam Bramhald vs Altamiro de Jesus

Altamiro de Jesus Pereira (10-2-3)

Gym: Tata Fight Team

Country: Brazil

Adam Bramhald (13-3-0)

Gym: AVT MMA

Country: England

Rank: #15 Bantamweight in UK

Here are the additional matchups announced so far:

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Fight Matrix Program – PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 14, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0, -304) vs. [#10] Renan Ferreira (13-3-0, +227)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #7 ranked Heavyweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Renan Ferreira (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#14HW+] Ryan Bader (31-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2023-11-24: W vs. [#11HW+] Denis Goltsov (35-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-08-18: W vs. [#77HW+] Maurice Greene (11-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Francis Ngannou	-304		71.10%
Elo K170	Francis Ngannou	2348.99	+414.44	91.58%
Elo Modified	Francis Ngannou	2324.70	+383.08	90.07%
Glicko-1	Francis Ngannou	2461.72	+393.23	90.58%
WHR	Francis Ngannou	2176.44	+203.35	76.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 1001, Renan Ferreira 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (27-2-0, +101) vs. [#2/#7DD/#9P4P] Larissa Pacheco (23-4-0, -127)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#5FW] Cat Zingano (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#4FW] Arlene Blencowe (16-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#15FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (3-0-0)
2023-11-24: W vs. [#6FW] Marina Mokhnatkina (11-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-18: W vs. [#10FW] Olena Kolesnyk (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:14 of round 1
2023-06-16: W vs. [#25FW] Amber Leibrock (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Larissa Pacheco	-127		52.93%
Elo K170	Cristiane Justino	1963.55	+176.07	73.37%
Elo Modified	Cristiane Justino	1967.15	+155.03	70.94%
Glicko-1	Cristiane Justino	2042.11	+203.17	76.31%
WHR	Cristiane Justino	1987.08	+184.79	74.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 378, Larissa Pacheco 330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0, -597) vs. [#14] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0, +391)
Johnny Eblen is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Eblen (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#10LHW] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#14MW] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-02-04: W vs. [#31MW] Anatoly Tokov (32-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Fabian Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-03-22: W vs. [#29MW] Aaron Jeffery (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#7MW] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-05-12: W vs. [*] Gegard Mousasi (49-9-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Johnny Eblen	-597		80.78%
Elo K170	Johnny Eblen	2138.82	+253.61	81.15%
Elo Modified	Johnny Eblen	2065.88	+186.25	74.50%
Glicko-1	Johnny Eblen	2146.28	+197.48	75.71%
WHR	Johnny Eblen	2005.68	+207.98	76.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Eblen 238, Fabian Edwards 211
Previous Match-up Record: Johnny Eblen leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT PREDICTION: BRANDON ROYVAL VS TATSURO TAIRA

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Joshua Okeke

Saturday, October 12, 2024

04:00 PM ET

UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Streaming: TNT SPORTS, ESPN+

Welcome to another Saturday with activities in the Octagon. The Flyweight division presents the Last main card fight of thirteen scheduled for the day between [#2 FLW] Brandon Royval and [#7 FLW] Tatsuro Taira. This fight made the headliner with both fighters on their sixteen wins. All odds are available via fightodds.io.

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Joshua Okeke

Joshua Okeke’s journey in sports writing began with lively debates about football’s greatest players, eventually leading to a career with top publications in the US and India. His work has been featured on the front pages of newspapers like Nordonia Hills, praised for its clarity and engagement. Specializing in SEO, sports analytics, video editing, and digital content management, he crafts articles that resonate with fans, simplifying complex topics. Committed to helping aspiring writers and promoting remote opportunities in journalism, he shares practical advice on LinkedIn while pursuing a master’s in Mining Geophysics.

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UFC FIGHT NIGHT PREDICTION: ABDUL RAZAK ALHASSAN VS JOSH FREMD

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Joshua Okeke

Saturday, October 12, 2024

06:00 PM EST

UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Streaming: ESPN+

UFC Fight Night 244 will have a middleweight division bout scheduled as the main card event. This bout will be between [#76 MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan and [#109 MW] Josh Fremd at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, United States. Both fighters are seeking a form of redemption since recording just two wins in five bouts with the last being a year ago. All odds are available via fightodds.io.

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Joshua Okeke

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Caged Steel 38: Matchup Announcements

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Oleg

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UFC 308 Showdown: Topuria vs. Holloway Betting Odds, Tips & Where to Watch Live

Posted on October 9, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Early autumn and late October are when dreams will be made for both some fans and fighters in the UFC. The UFC 308 event will be one of the best events in recent memory, headlined by an amazing duel between Ilia Topuria and Max Holloway. The former will be looking to defend his title against one of the most decorated UFC fighters of the last decade. The Featherweight division was always one to watch, and this bout promised a lot of good fighting.

While this fight will have the eyes of the world on itself, this is not all that UFC 308 has to offer. The co-main event is also an interesting fight, where Robert Whittaker is going to take on Khamzat Chimaev. UFC decided to make this October event one of the best events before winter as other names on the card include the likes of Ankalaev, Volkov, and Gane. If you’re interested in this event, and you already know that you can’t miss it for anything in the world, all fights will be streamed live at Stake where you’ll also find some of the best betting options out there.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira (10-12-2024)

Posted on October 7, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0, +174) vs. [#7] Tatsuro Taira (16-0-0, -212)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#19FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#161FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatsuro Taira	-212		65.05%
Elo K170	Brandon Royval	1975.18	+71.16	60.10%
Elo Modified	Tatsuro Taira	1890.84	+39.41	55.65%
Glicko-1	Tatsuro Taira	1954.71	+56.53	58.07%
WHR	Tatsuro Taira	1868.86	+89.29	62.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 231, Tatsuro Taira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#29] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -173) vs. [#30] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#150MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#22MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#27MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jun Yong Park	-173		60.53%
Elo K170	Jun Yong Park	1741.38	+42.76	56.12%
Elo Modified	Jun Yong Park	1787.40	+70.69	60.03%
Glicko-1	Jun Yong Park	1831.45	+104.68	64.62%
WHR	Jun Yong Park	1741.93	+79.86	61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 308, Brad Tavares 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#24] Grant Dawson (21-2-1, -403) vs. [*] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#121LW] Joe Solecki (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#68LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#119LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#286LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#29LW] Drakkar Klose (15-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Grant Dawson	-403		76.44%
Elo K170	Grant Dawson	1980.01	+198.85	75.86%
Elo Modified	Grant Dawson	1946.71	+196.16	75.57%
Glicko-1	Grant Dawson	1987.73	+199.54	75.92%
WHR	Grant Dawson	1852.73	+133.77	68.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 133, Rafa Garcia 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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UFC 307 PREDICTION: ALEX PEREIRA VS KHALIL ROUNTREE JR

Posted on October 3, 2024 by Joshua Okeke

Saturday, October 5, 2024

10:00 PM EDT

Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States

Streaming: TNT SPORTS, ESPN+

Cheers!! On Saturday, Salt Lake City will host another UFC Octagon blockbuster Light Heavyweight division fight. The scheduled bout would have [#1 LHW/#6 P4P] (C) Alex Pereira try to defend his UFC Light Heavyweight Championship for the third time against “The War Horse,” [#8 LHW] Khalil Rountree Jr. All odds are available via fightodds.io

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Joshua Okeke

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree (10-05-2024)

Posted on September 30, 2024 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#6P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0, -516) vs. [#8] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0, +370)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#16LHW] Anthony Smith (38-20-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#51HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alex Pereira	-516		79.74%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2285.08	+383.74	90.11%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2248.01	+376.65	89.73%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2376.35	+462.46	93.48%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2157.07	+356.75	88.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 98, Khalil Rountree 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#2/#8P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0, -183) vs. [*] Julianna Pena (11-5-0, +151)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #31 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#16BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9FW] Sara McMann (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raquel Pennington	-183		61.87%
Elo K170	Raquel Pennington	1850.31	+119.69	66.57%
Elo Modified	Raquel Pennington	1788.98	+61.43	58.75%
Glicko-1	Julianna Pena	1773.92	+5.02	50.72%
WHR	Julianna Pena	1759.76	+89.61	62.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 259, Julianna Pena 798
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julianna Pena leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Jose Aldo (32-8-0, +143) vs. [#24] Mario Bautista (14-2-0, -174)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#17BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#82BW] DaMon Blackshear (14-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Guido Cannetti (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mario Bautista	-174		60.67%
Elo K170	Jose Aldo	2100.98	+178.86	73.69%
Elo Modified	Jose Aldo	2092.23	+179.06	73.71%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2145.13	+205.35	76.53%
WHR	Jose Aldo	2015.17	+219.95	78.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 154, Mario Bautista 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis (09-28-2024)

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1, +218) vs. [#17] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#16LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#40LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Benoit St. Denis	-272		69.92%
Elo K170	Renato Carneiro	1997.08	+52.63	57.52%
Elo Modified	Renato Carneiro	1984.31	+38.77	55.56%
Glicko-1	Renato Carneiro	2046.80	+33.15	54.76%
WHR	Renato Carneiro	1911.47	+47.84	56.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 168, Benoit St. Denis 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#6] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0, -225) vs. [#11] Brendan Allen (24-5-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#13MW] Roman Dolidze (13-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#23MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Nassourdine Imavov	-225		66.04%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	2130.54	+113.17	65.73%
Elo Modified	Brendan Allen	2063.38	+74.49	60.56%
Glicko-1	Brendan Allen	2136.30	+86.22	62.16%
WHR	Brendan Allen	1948.37	+29.73	54.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 112, Brendan Allen 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#24] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1, -267) vs. [#97] William Gomis (13-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#66FW] Jack Shore (17-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#63FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#156FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#408BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#332LW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#173FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joanderson Brito	-267		69.55%
Elo K170	Joanderson Brito	1947.55	+229.55	78.94%
Elo Modified	Joanderson Brito	1930.17	+268.04	82.39%
Glicko-1	Joanderson Brito	2009.15	+351.54	88.32%
WHR	Joanderson Brito	1887.20	+292.73	84.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 147, William Gomis 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Khalil Rountree and Health Awareness

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Heather

On October 5th 2024, UFC Light Heavyweight champion [#1] Alex ‘Poatan’ Pereira will be defending his title against a 15-fight UFC veteran, [#8] Khalil Rountree Jr. Rountree had a somewhat rocky start to his UFC career; however he is currently on five-fight win streak with four finishes. While Khalil is an underdog in this fight, with the current odds having Pereira as -500 favorite, Rountree’s Muay Thai skills and power make him a dangerous opponent to even such a decorated striker as Poatan. It will be an uphill battle for Khalil, but I am hoping to see an entertaining stand-up fight while it lasts.

I think Khalil Rountree is a great Muay Thai fighter and wonderful mental health advocate and inspirational person. During a press conference, he opened up about how he had struggled with being depressed and overweight in the past. This hits hard to home for a lot of people in the United States and worldwide. He’s a very relatable individual to so many of us out there. With mental health illnesses still having a stigma, it’s impressive to see a public figure being so open and emotional on live TV, regarding his life struggles with depression and obesity.

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Heather

MMA & Boxing Writer | Business Development Consultant
I have been an avid viewer of Boxing and MMA for decades. Judo is the martial art that I most admire. As a teenager I practiced for a bit. This piqued my interest in MMA since 2001. Now I am on a new journey, to hit the dojo when possible. Learning how to methodically adapt to Judo as a current white belt.For 25 years I’ve worked in healthcare, and now am trying to make something that was a hobby, into a full-time endeavor.

www.fightmatrix.com

UFC 307: Glory (Kickboxing) vs Muay Thai

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Austin Petti

Why did I choose Khalil as the ambassador for Muay Thai? He is married and got married in Thailand. He enjoys training at Tiger Muay Thai & MMA in Phuket. First, we have the Wai Kru, a dance that Khalil does. He does a much quicker version of the Wai Khru, as it is a big part of the muay Thai show. It is the dance, which may be similar to John Wayne Parr in which you pull out your invisible guns, much like the original John Wayne. This is where you can be a little creative or insert part of your personality. I noticed his last fight with Anthony Smith, he did a similar Wai Khru, which provides protection, shows honor and gives you heart.

If you want to see a Muay Thai clinic you should watch his fight with Eryk Anders. He nearly knocks him out via leg kicks with Anders falling due to them throughout the fight. Most of the Fight was spent, by Khalil, having Anders stand back up using the low kick to provide his victory.

Khalil would be considered more of a Muay Mat type fighter. It is normal for foreigners to take this style, as it is more based on boxing and ending combinations with low kicks or entering starting with the low kick to keep you confused about low and high attacks . This is the link to the actual fight, but it is a Muay Thai clinic without one answer.

When watching these fights, you can notice in the first minute, he is bringing his front leg light and puts most of the weight on the back foot. You can also see him target the low kick and moving into the second round he picks up the pace to try to finish the fight. This goes on for round two and three. Eryk Anders, comments that Anders should throw in the towel. Noticing how Khalil has a leg strong kicks and mid kick defense, he uses the shield he brings the leg up connects his knee to elbow to make the power disperse over a larger mass shows we need to keep a look for his defense coming up with Pereira every fighter says the leg kick is so hard. Which segues us into Alex Pereira.

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Austin Petti

My name is Austin Petti. I have been writing short stories and poetry for my whole life. Also, another passion is MMA and Muay Thai. You see I have been doing MMA since I was 19 years old–25. I made my pro debut in Indonesia. I was a Peace Corps Volunteer, which I have many stories. I joined Indonesia because it was the closest country to Thailand and hoped I could find a job in Thailand from another Peace Corps Volunteer and I did it. Now I have been living in Thailand for 8 years I have 16 pro fights. I just want to educate the people who watch MMA like me what is practical and what is different? What is the same between the martial arts and a lot of interesting training tools.