Event Previews – Page 28

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 159: Rodriguez vs. Stephens (09-21-2019)

Posted on September 16, 2019 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#9] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0, -107) vs. [#27] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0, -116)
Jeremy Stephens is the All-Time #17 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (1-2-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#8FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#7FW] Josh Emmett (15-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#13FW] Chan Sung Jung (15-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 5
2017-05-13: L vs. [#6FW] Frankie Edgar (23-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-01-15: W vs. [#378LW] B.J. Penn (16-14-2) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yair Rodriguez – Win%: 50.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yair Rodriguez (1891.65) [+71.05] – Win%: 58.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yair Rodriguez (1834.66) [+9.57] – Win%: 51.05
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Yair Rodriguez (1846.70) [+7.41] – Win%: 51.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeremy Stephens 203, Yair Rodriguez 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#11] Carla Esparza (14-6-0, +123) vs. [#14] Alexa Grasso (11-2-0, -147)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #49 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (1-2-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#22SW] Virna Jandiroba (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#5SW/#10DD] Tatiana Suarez (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 3
2018-06-09: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (2-1-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#19SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#5SW/#10DD] Tatiana Suarez (8-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#15SW] Randa Markos (9-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexa Grasso – Win%: 57.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Carla Esparza (1609.37) [+79.39] – Win%: 58.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Carla Esparza (1652.02) [+142.16] – Win%: 65.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Carla Esparza (1647.25) [+143.88] – Win%: 75.20
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 147, Alexa Grasso 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#9] Brandon Moreno (15-5-0, +132) vs. [*] Askar Askarov (10-0-0, -156)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #29 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Askar Askarov is the All-Time #40 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2019-06-07: W vs. [#43FLY] Maikel Perez (6-2-0) via TKO in 1:54 of round 4
2018-05-19: L vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (21-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-08-05: L vs. [#6FLY] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Askar Askarov (3-0-0)
2018-05-05: W vs. [#19FLY] Rasul Albaskhanov (9-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:59 of round 2
2017-04-22: W vs. [#108BW] Anthony Leone (17-9-0) via Submission (Twister) in 2:49 of round 3
2016-10-22: W vs. [#92FLY] Jose Maria Tome (39-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:57 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Askar Askarov – Win%: 58.57
Elo Favorite (Standard): Askar Askarov (1740.01) [+123.15] – Win%: 63.71
Elo Favorite (Modified): Askar Askarov (1725.45) [+138.20] – Win%: 64.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Askar Askarov (1724.32) [+121.27] – Win%: 71.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 106, Askar Askarov 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 158: Cowboy vs. Gaethje (09-14-2019)

Posted on September 9, 2019 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0, +159) vs. [#5] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0, -193)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #16 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (2-1-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#2LW/#4DD/#8P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-05-04: W vs. [#8LW] Al Iaquinta (15-5-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#9LW] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#12LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-08-25: W vs. [#34LW] James Vick (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2018-04-14: L vs. [#3LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Justin Gaethje – Win%: 63.04
Elo Favorite (Standard): Justin Gaethje (2106.90) [+53.58] – Win%: 56.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Justin Gaethje (2054.74) [+44.19] – Win%: 54.82
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 98, Justin Gaethje 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 3-2
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#8] Glover Teixeira (29-7-0, -120) vs. [#16] Nikita Krylov (25-6-0, -105)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#44LHW] Ion Cutelaba (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#57MW] Karl Roberson (8-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1
2018-07-22: L vs. [#7LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#28LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-09-15: L vs. [#6LHW] Jan Blachowicz (24-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:41 of round 2
2018-05-19: W vs. [#87HW+] Fabio Maldonado (25-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:33 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Glover Teixeira – Win%: 51.57
Elo Favorite (Standard): Glover Teixeira (1890.90) [+87.72] – Win%: 59.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Glover Teixeira (1923.08) [+94.18] – Win%: 60.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 140, Nikita Krylov 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#14] Uriah Hall (14-9-0, +138) vs. [#24] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-3-0, -166)

Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#157MW] Bevon Lewis (6-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3
2018-07-07: L vs. [#1MW] Paulo Henrique Costa (13-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-09-16: W vs. [#25MW] Krzysztof Jotko (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Carlos Jr. (2-1-0)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#20MW] Ian Heinisch (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#30MW] Tim Boetsch (21-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#100MW] Jack Marshman (23-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Antonio Carlos Jr. – Win%: 59.76
Elo Favorite (Standard): Antonio Carlos Jr. (1791.06) [+74.70] – Win%: 58.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Antonio Carlos Jr. (1803.75) [+16.36] – Win%: 51.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uriah Hall 259, Antonio Carlos Jr. 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier (09-07-2019)

Posted on September 2, 2019 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#3DD/#7P4P] Dustin Poirier (25-5-0, +313) vs. [#3/#7DD] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0, -411)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #11 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Khabib Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (3-0-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#5P4P] Max Holloway (21-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2018-04-14: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Khabib Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2018-04-07: W vs. [#7LW] Al Iaquinta (15-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#11LW] Edson Barboza (20-7-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Khabib Nurmagomedov – Win%: 76.86
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dustin Poirier (2341.89) [+4.39] – Win%: 50.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Khabib Nurmagomedov (2283.16) [+24.95] – Win%: 52.73
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 147, Khabib Nurmagomedov 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khabib Nurmagomedov leads 2-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#9] Paul Felder (16-4-0, +148) vs. [#11] Edson Barboza (20-7-0, -178)
Paul Felder is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#35LW] James Vick (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#26WW] Mike Perry (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#6LW] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#15LW] Dan Hooker (18-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3
2018-04-21: L vs. [#34WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 61.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Edson Barboza (1925.38) [+18.77] – Win%: 52.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Paul Felder (1927.84) [+18.80] – Win%: 52.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Felder 202, Edson Barboza 161
Previous Match-up Record: Edson Barboza leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Edson Barboza leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Islam Makhachev (17-1-0, -303) vs. [#61] Davi Ramos (10-2-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#41LW] Arman Tsarukyan (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#54LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#26LW] Gleison Tibau (34-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Davi Ramos (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#149LW] Austin Hubbard (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#262LW] John Gunther (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Nick Hein (14-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:15 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Islam Makhachev – Win%: 71.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Islam Makhachev (1988.98) [+199.29] – Win%: 71.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Islam Makhachev (1950.59) [+145.50] – Win%: 65.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 140, Davi Ramos 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 157: Andrade vs. Zhang (08-31-2019)

Posted on August 27, 2019 by Jason

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-6-0, -174) vs. [#5/#8P4P] Weili Zhang (19-1-0, +144)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #19 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (3-0-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#6P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-4-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
2018-09-08: W vs. [#18SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:58 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#19SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#19SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#32SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#28SW] Danielle Taylor (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jessica Andrade – Win%: 60.77
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jessica Andrade (1918.46) [+166.98] – Win%: 68.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jessica Andrade (1882.30) [+122.44] – Win%: 63.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 112, Weili Zhang 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (21-5-0, -289) vs. [#81] Jingliang Li (16-5-0, +234)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#43WW] Curtis Millender (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 1
2018-09-22: W vs. [#745WW] Luigi Vendramini (8-1-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2018-05-12: W vs. [#55WW] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#164WW] David Zawada (16-5-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3
2018-06-23: W vs. [#275WW] Daichi Abe (6-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-02-10: L vs. [#86WW] Jake Matthews (14-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos – Win%: 71.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (2026.99) [+302.89] – Win%: 79.96
Elo Favorite (Modified): Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1991.70) [+231.53] – Win%: 73.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 175, Jingliang Li 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos leads 1-0
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Flyweight (125)
[#21] Kai Kara-France (19-7-0, -317) vs. [#32] Mark De La Rosa (11-2-0, +237)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (3-0-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#60FLY] Raulian Paiva (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#116FLY] Elias Garcia (6-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-03-04: W vs. [#1200BW] Xiaoyu Shi (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in ? of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mark De La Rosa (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#50BW] Alex Perez (22-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#70FLY] Joby Sanchez (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#116FLY] Elias Garcia (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kai Kara-France – Win%: 71.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kai Kara-France (1699.81) [+134.01] – Win%: 64.85
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kai Kara-France (1631.62) [+105.62] – Win%: 61.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Kara-France 203, Mark De La Rosa 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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The Lineal Strawweight title will be on the line at Rizin 18

Posted on August 14, 2019 by Richard Mann

Basically all lineal titles and number-one rankings are aligned with the UFC titles these days. However, there are a few key exceptions. One of those exceptions is the lineal strawweight title, which will be on the line at Rizin 18 this weekend.

#1 SW Haruo Ochi enters the event as the top-ranked fighter in the division, which Fight Matrix defines as 121.9 lbs and below. His opponent for the night will be UFC veteran #3 SW Jarred Brooks, who previously made a name for himself on the strawweight scene before moving up to flyweight to fight in the UFC.

Ochi dropped to strawweight in 2015 after competing at higher weight classes. In 2017 he captured the Deep strawweight title with a victory over Kanta Sato. A year later he picked up the biggest win of his career over #11 SW Mitsuhisa Sunabe at Rizin 13. In the process he took over the number-one spot at strawweight and claimed the lineal title. Sunabe had been undefeated since 2011 and was the strawweight King of Pancrase.

Brooks was a nationally ranked high school wrestler who was never really able to make it work on the collegiate level. Instead, he launched an MMA career in 2014. In his eight professional fight, he defeated veteran #23 SW Junji Ito and entered the strawweight rankings at number three. He fought once more in the division, scoring a victory over Jun Nakamura under the Pancrase banner, before moving up to flyweight to sign with the UFC. During his run in the UFC, he went 2-2 with victories over #31 FLW Eric Shelton and #34 FLW Roberto Sanchez. The promotion then released him as part of their ill conceived and ultimately unsuccessful plan to eliminate the flyweight division.

Considering the issues that the flyweight division has had getting over in the U.S., it seems unlikely that the strawweight division will ever really make a ton of headlines. However, the WBA, WBC, IBF and WBO all sponsor multiple boxing divisions under 125 pounds, so there is still a chance that the strawweight division could flourish on the international scene.

Richard Mann is a regular contributor to @ESPNMMA, @FightMetric, @RotoWireMMA and @InterMat. You can follow him on Twitter at @richardamann.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 (08-17-2019)

Posted on August 12, 2019 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0, 236.5lb, -141) vs. [#3] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0, 230.5lb, +117)
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #12 ranked Heavyweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (3-0-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2018-07-07: W vs. [#3HW+] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#3P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#2HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#5HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Daniel Cormier – Win%: 55.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Daniel Cormier (2425.27) [+234.50] – Win%: 74.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Daniel Cormier (2379.98) [+201.59] – Win%: 70.73
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Cormier 287, Stipe Miocic 406
Previous Match-up Record: Daniel Cormier leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#6] Anthony Pettis (22-8-0, 169.5lb, -135) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (19-11-0, 170.0lb, +111)
Anthony Pettis is the All-Time #37 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Pettis (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#10WW] Stephen Thompson (14-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#2LW/#4DD/#8P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-07-07: W vs. [#24WW] Michael Chiesa (16-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (2-1-0)
2016-08-20: L vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0) via MD (47-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-03-05: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2015-12-19: W vs. [#23FW] Michael Johnson (19-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Pettis – Win%: 54.79
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Pettis (2042.82) [+62.60] – Win%: 57.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Pettis (2009.89) [+26.40] – Win%: 52.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Pettis 147, Nate Diaz 1092
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Pettis leads 4-2
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Middleweight (186)
[#2] Yoel Romero (13-3-0, 184.5lb, -140) vs. [#13] Paulo Henrique Costa (12-0-0, 186.0lb, +116)
Yoel Romero is the All-Time #12 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero (1-2-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#1MW/#9P4P] Robert Whittaker (20-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#11LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3
2017-07-08: L vs. [#1MW/#9P4P] Robert Whittaker (20-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Henrique Costa (3-0-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#14MW] Uriah Hall (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Johny Hendricks (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2017-06-03: W vs. [*] Oluwale Bamgbose (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yoel Romero – Win%: 55.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yoel Romero (2143.44) [+285.58] – Win%: 78.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yoel Romero (2167.66) [+279.72] – Win%: 77.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yoel Romero 434, Paulo Henrique Costa 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 14: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 (08-10-2019)

Posted on August 6, 2019 by Jason

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (17-3-0, -1017) vs. [#2] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0, +640)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#4FLY] Jessica Eye (14-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#8DD] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#73FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#47FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#5BW/#10P4P] Jennifer Maia (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#15FLY] Alexis Davis (19-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 87.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1810.62) [+181.20] – Win%: 69.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1830.49) [+180.64] – Win%: 68.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 63, Liz Carmouche 168
Previous Match-up Record: Liz Carmouche leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-1
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0, -148) vs. [#13] Ilir Latifi (14-6-0, +123)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (0-3-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#3LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#3P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#7LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#28LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#52LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Volkan Oezdemir – Win%: 57.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ilir Latifi (1797.74) [+110.23] – Win%: 62.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ilir Latifi (1820.19) [+92.45] – Win%: 59.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 147, Ilir Latifi 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#20] Mike Perry (13-4-0, +180) vs. [#27] Vicente Luque (16-6-1, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#29WW] Alex Oliveira (20-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#9LW] Paul Felder (16-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#93WW] Derrick Krantz (24-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#88WW] Bryan Barberena (14-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:54 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#266LW] Jalin Turner (8-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Vicente Luque – Win%: 65.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Vicente Luque (1900.29) [+62.90] – Win%: 57.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Vicente Luque (1925.79) [+126.51] – Win%: 63.50
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 105, Vicente Luque 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler (08-03-2019)

Posted on July 29, 2019 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#4] Colby Covington (14-1-0, -230) vs. [#17] Robbie Lawler (28-13-0, +184)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #23 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (3-0-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#7WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (27-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)
2017-06-17: W vs. [*] Dong Hyun Kim (22-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (1-2-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#16WW] Ben Askren (19-1-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#7WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Colby Covington – Win%: 66.43
Elo Favorite (Standard): Colby Covington (2189.89) [+152.92] – Win%: 66.79
Elo Favorite (Modified): Colby Covington (2144.16) [+164.70] – Win%: 67.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 420, Robbie Lawler 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Colby Covington leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0, -144) vs. [#13] Ilir Latifi (14-6-0, +116)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#7LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#27LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#51LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Volkan Oezdemir – Win%: 56.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ilir Latifi (1797.74) [+110.24] – Win%: 62.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ilir Latifi (1820.19) [+92.46] – Win%: 59.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 140, Ilir Latifi 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#36] Jim Miller (30-13-0, -180) vs. [#43] Clay Guida (35-18-0, +149)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #39 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Clay Guida is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#401LW] Jason Gonzalez (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#6LW] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2018-09-08: W vs. [#111LW] Alex White (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#376LW] B.J. Penn (16-14-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#6LW] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:18 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [*] Joe Lauzon (27-15-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jim Miller – Win%: 61.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Clay Guida (1755.08) [+88.05] – Win%: 59.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Clay Guida (1751.18) [+89.89] – Win%: 59.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 98, Clay Guida 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 6 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar (07-27-2019)

Posted on July 22, 2019 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#10P4P] Max Holloway (20-4-0, -411) vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1, +317)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#6P4P] Dustin Poirier (25-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-12-02: W vs. [#4FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#34FW] Cub Swanson (25-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#28FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 77.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2246.96) [+155.78] – Win%: 67.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2203.94) [+139.69] – Win%: 64.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 105, Frankie Edgar 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0, -674) vs. [#3] Felicia Spencer (7-0-0, +466)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (18-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#24FW] Pam Sorenson (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4
2018-07-21: W vs. [#60FW] Helena Kolesnyk (5-2-0) via Submission (rear Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 83.13
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cristiane Justino (1801.65) [+282.57] – Win%: 78.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1801.09) [+232.65] – Win%: 73.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 210, Felicia Spencer 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#46] Niko Price (13-2-0, +232) vs. [#54] Geoff Neal (11-2-0, -289)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#77WW] Tim Means (28-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 1
2018-09-08: L vs. [#63WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#76WW] Randy Brown (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (3-0-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#32WW] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#133LW] Frank Camacho (23-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [*] Brian Camozzi (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Geoff Neal – Win%: 71.15
Elo Favorite (Standard): Geoff Neal (1749.14) [+29.06] – Win%: 53.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Niko Price (1759.76) [+31.17] – Win%: 53.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 140, Geoff Neal 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 4: dos Anjos vs. Edwards (07-20-2019)

Posted on July 15, 2019 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Rafael dos Anjos (29-11-0, +106) vs. [#13] Leon Edwards (17-3-0, -131)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#33WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#5DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#18WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-03-17: W vs. [*] Peter Sobotta (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leon Edwards – Win%: 53.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2119.56) [+26.40] – Win%: 53.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (2085.70) [+65.62] – Win%: 57.13
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 63, Leon Edwards 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Alexey Oleynik (59-12-1, +128) vs. [#45] Walt Harris (12-7-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#65HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#88HW+] Sergey Spivak (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#120HW+] Daniel Spitz (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Oleynik (1756.64) [+162.34] – Win%: 67.74
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Oleynik (1789.45) [+83.42] – Win%: 59.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 91, Walt Harris 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexey Oleynik leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#125] Juan Adams (5-1-0, -114) vs. [#144] Greg Hardy (4-1-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#84HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#205HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2018-07-31: W vs. [#264HW+] Shawn Teed (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#317HW+] Dmitry Smoliakov (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#134HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via DQ (Illegal Knee to Grounded Fighter) in 2:28 of round 2
2018-09-29: W vs. [NA] Ray Jones (0-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:53 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1371.43) [+66.20] – Win%: 57.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Greg Hardy (1502.08) [+34.06] – Win%: 53.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 77, Greg Hardy 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 13: De Randamie vs. Ladd (07-13-2019)

Posted on July 9, 2019 by Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#7DD/#8P4P] Germaine de Randamie (8-3-0, +142) vs. [#4] Aspen Ladd (8-0-0, -170)
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (3-0-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-05-08: W vs. [*] Anna Elmose (3-2-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 3:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#12BW] Sijara Eubanks (4-3-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#19BW] Tonya Evinger (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 1
2017-10-21: W vs. [#11BW] Lina Lansberg (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aspen Ladd – Win%: 60.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aspen Ladd (1648.70) [+30.39] – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aspen Ladd (1700.58) [+66.11] – Win%: 57.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Germaine de Randamie 245, Aspen Ladd 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Ricky Simon (16-1-0, -329) vs. [*] Urijah Faber (34-10-0, +261)
Urijah Faber is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (3-0-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#29BW] Rani Yahya (26-10-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#18BW] Montel Jackson (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#31BW] Merab Dvalishvili (9-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Urijah Faber (1-2-0)
2016-12-17: W vs. [*] Brad Pickett (25-14-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2016-09-10: L vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricky Simon – Win%: 73.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ricky Simon (1833.17) [+0.43] – Win%: 50.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ricky Simon (1809.50) [+10.41] – Win%: 51.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 154, Urijah Faber 938
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (14-2-0, +141) vs. [#14] Mirsad Bektic (13-1-0, -168)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#22FW] Michael Johnson (19-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#8FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2
2017-12-16: W vs. [#15FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mirsad Bektic (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#15FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#244LW] Godofredo Castro (14-6-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:47 of round 1
2017-03-04: L vs. [#19FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mirsad Bektic – Win%: 60.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1870.60) [+5.47] – Win%: 50.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1862.54) [+70.67] – Win%: 57.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 105, Mirsad Bektic 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos (07-06-2019)

Posted on July 1, 2019 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (24-1-0, -669) vs. [#6] Thiago Santos (21-6-0, +466)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#2LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#13LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [#28LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#38LHW] Eryk Anders (12-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 83.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2406.65) [+357.14] – Win%: 83.64
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2407.56) [+355.16] – Win%: 82.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 126, Thiago Santos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (17-4-0, -353) vs. [#3/#10DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0, +278)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Holly Holm is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (17-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#18BW] Bethe Correia (10-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:09 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Nunes – Win%: 74.65
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1984.89) [+442.75] – Win%: 88.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Nunes (1938.10) [+373.22] – Win%: 83.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 189, Holly Holm 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 7-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#4] Jorge Masvidal (33-13-0, +187) vs. [#12] Ben Askren (19-0-0, -232)
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #32 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ben Askren is the All-Time #33 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#7WW] Darren Till (17-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2
2017-11-04: L vs. [#9WW] Stephen Thompson (14-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (27-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Askren (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#17WW] Robbie Lawler (28-13-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2017-11-24: W vs. [#111WW] Shinya Aoki (43-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:57 of round 1
2017-09-02: W vs. [#37MW] Zebaztian Kadestam (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ben Askren – Win%: 66.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Askren (2200.38) [+173.66] – Win%: 68.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Askren (2158.83) [+100.22] – Win%: 60.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jorge Masvidal 112, Ben Askren 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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UFC 239 Preview

Posted on June 27, 2019 by Oleg

It’s been almost a year since I’ve done a UFC event preview blog. We are now halfway through 2019 – which will be remembered in MMA history as the start of the UFC & ESPN partnership – and quickly coming up on what is shaping up to be the biggest card of the year so far, assuming all the fighters make it to the opening bell without suffering injuries, failing USADA tests, or any other mishaps.

As UFC 239 approaches, the odds for the two champions on the card, Jon Jones and Amanda Nunes, are getting longer. Jones opened as roughly a -900 favorite against the aging Thiago Santos, but is now closer to -650. Nunes’ dip is less pronounced, going from about -375 to -330 in her bout with dangerous striker Holly Holm. Once fight night rolls round and you want to know a trusted source based on first-hand experiences for UFC betting, look no further than my top sportsbooks lists of sites which are given ratings from users and editors.

The appetizer to the main events, Ben Askren, has seen his odds improve. Initially a -215 favorite against Jorge Masvidal, Askren’s been bet up to -350. Bettors likely see Masvidal, who was taken down four times by Demian Maia, having a huge problem staying off the mat against Askren’s Olympic-level wrestling.

With all that in mind, here is a brief preview of the UFC 239 main card:

(C) [#1 LHW] Jon Jones vs [#6 LHW] Thiago Santos for the UFC Light Heavyweight title

While Jon ‘Bones’ Jones is unarguably one of, if not the greatest fighter in the history of the sport, he is just as unarguably one of the most controversial. Whatever trouble Jones manages to get himself into seems to always roll off him like water off a duck’s back – whether it be PED failures, lawsuits or running afoul of the law, he comes out of every scandal virtually unscathed – only to soon become entangled again in a new set of shenanigans. While his troubles have not been an overall significant detriment to his career, they forced him to take an occasional break from action. Because of this Jones has only fought once a year dating back to 2014. This trend has now been turned around, as he will be defending his title for the second time this year and taking his third fight overall in seven months since regaining the title in a rematch with Alexander Gustaffson at the end of 2018.

Jon’s slated opponent Thiago “Marreta” Santos, much like his previous opponent Anthony Smith, started out his UFC career as a middleweight and had a somewhat spotty record prior to moving up to 205 lbs and winning three in a row before getting a shot at Jones. There, the similarities end. While Anthony Smith is a well rounded fighter who is equally adept at taking his opponents out with strikes as he is at making them tap out, the Brazilian Hammer Santos focuses almost exclusively on destroying his opposition with a wide array of strikes thrown with the most damaging intentions. And while Smith was very passive and almost timid in his fight with Jones, which allowed Jon to effectively neutralize Anthony and cruise to a one-sided decision, I don’t feel that Santos will change his ultra-aggressive style for anyone. Unfortunately for Thiago, his aggression may very well play right into Jon’s hand. Marreta’s path to victory is clear: throw everything including the kitchen sink at Bones in hopes of dealing concussive damage. The longer this fight goes on, the less likely are the odds that Santos lands a knockout strike. And I just can’t pick someone whose best chance is a striker’s chance, to beat Jon Jones. Nor have I seen the type of takedown defense or ground skill from Santos that would allow him to survive until the final bell without Bones choking him out or destroying his face with brutal elbows from the top position as he’s done to many of his past opponents.

The real burning question headed into this fight is how many picograms of Turinabol will show up in Jon’s bloodstream this time around. I wonder if there are any sportsbooks taking prop bets on this action.

Prediction: Jon Jones by submission or TKO (ground and pound).

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 3: N’Gannou vs. dos Santos (06-29-2019)

Posted on June 26, 2019 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0, -260) vs. [#4] Junior dos Santos (21-5-0, +209)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#10HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#8HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-07-07: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#14HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2119.78) [+73.54] – Win%: 58.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2127.20) [+90.78] – Win%: 59.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 132, Junior dos Santos 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Junior dos Santos leads 3-2
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Flyweight (125)
[#1] Jussier Formiga (23-5-0, +152) vs. [#2] Joseph Benavidez (27-5-0, -182)
Jussier Formiga is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jussier Formiga (3-0-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#5FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#57BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#121BW] Ben Nguyen (16-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#4FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#44BW] Alex Perez (22-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#57BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 61.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (1983.70) [+9.59] – Win%: 51.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (1978.27) [+22.41] – Win%: 52.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jussier Formiga 98, Joseph Benavidez 161
Previous Match-up Record: Joseph Benavidez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 6-4
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Welterweight (170)
[#16] Demian Maia (26-9-0, -198) vs. [#22] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-4-0, +164)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #16 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (1-2-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#64WW] Lyman Good (20-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2018-05-19: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Rocco Martin (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#62WW] Sergio Moraes (14-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#78WW] Jake Matthews (14-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#49WW] Ryan LaFlare (14-3-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Demian Maia – Win%: 63.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Rocco Martin (1999.61) [+19.58] – Win%: 52.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Rocco Martin (1995.08) [+34.50] – Win%: 53.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 147, Anthony Rocco Martin 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Contender Series 2019: Week 2 (06-25-2019)

Posted on June 25, 2019 by Jason

Middleweight (178)
[#552WW] Miguel Baeza (6-0-0, 169.5lb) vs. [#553WW] Victor Reyna (10-4-0, 178.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#1908WW] Matthew Colquhoun (4-3-0) via KO in 3:31 of round 1
2017-09-01: W vs. [#957WW] Leo Valdivia (5-4-0) via SD ()
2017-04-07: W vs. [NA] Augustus DAngelo (2-2-0) via TKO in 1:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Victor Reyna (2-1-0)
2018-07-21: L vs. [#185MW] Hayward Charles (17-13-0) via TKO in 0:21 of round 1
2017-12-01: W vs. [#445WW] Daniel Rodriguez (8-2-0) via SD ()
2017-04-20: W vs. [#709BW] Andrew Perez (9-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Miguel Baeza (1366.01) [+57.75] – Win%: 56.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Miguel Baeza (1381.30) [+75.16] – Win%: 58.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 192, Victor Reyna 339
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#170] Alton Cunningham (7-1-0, 205.5lb) vs. [#250] Tony Johnson (7-2-0, 203.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Alton Cunningham (2-1-0)
2018-12-07: W vs. [#320LHW] Erick Murray (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 2
2018-10-27: W vs. [#621MW] B.J. Lacy (17-26-3) via TKO in 0:53 of round 1
2018-07-10: L vs. [#154MW] Bevon Lewis (6-2-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tony Johnson (3-0-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#456LHW] Jaquis Williams (7-10-0) via MD ()
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Mike Ortega (2-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:49 of round 2
2013-02-02: W vs. [#942WW] Justin Baesman (18-21-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 28-29)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alton Cunningham (1347.65) [+69.38] – Win%: 57.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alton Cunningham (1445.63) [+207.72] – Win%: 71.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alton Cunningham 200, Tony Johnson 241
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#125] Justin Gonzales (9-0-0, 146.0lb) vs. [#471WW] Zach Zane (12-7-0, 146.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gonzales (3-0-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#1380FW] Bruno Ferreira (8-2-0) via TKO in of round 1
2018-12-01: W vs. [#332FW] Drew Brokenshire (18-9-0) via DEC ()
2018-05-19: W vs. [NA] Andy Brossett (2-6-0) via TKO in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Zach Zane (3-0-0)
2019-03-22: W vs. [#1707WW] Kealii Kanekoa (2-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:23 of round 1
2019-02-13: W vs. [NA] Kris Berberich (2-5-0) via SUB in 2:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#1813LW] Cesar Gonzalez (2-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Justin Gonzales (1599.04) [+202.55] – Win%: 71.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Justin Gonzales (1648.20) [+236.34] – Win%: 73.78
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gonzales 59, Zach Zane 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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