Fight Matrix Program – UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes (02-08-2020)

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (25-1-0, -450) vs. [#9] Dominick Reyes (12-0-0, +337)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#4LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#14MW] Chris Weidman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 78.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2426.11) [+440.21] – Win%: 88.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2358.60) [+420.93] – Win%: 86.33
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jon Jones (2352.40) [+350.78] – Win%: 92.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 217, Dominick Reyes 113
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (18-3-0, -1226) vs. [#2/#6P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (13-2-0, +722)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #11 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#4FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#7DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#8FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 88.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1854.94) [+134.20] – Win%: 64.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1860.55) [+110.34] – Win%: 61.85
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Valentina Shevchenko (1851.42) [+117.13] – Win%: 70.38
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 182, Katlyn Chookagian 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#173] Juan Adams (5-2-0, -226) vs. [#349] Justin Tafa (3-1-0, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#104HW+] Greg Hardy (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2019-05-04: L vs. [#67HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#230HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#146HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [NA] David Taumoepeau (1-3-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [*] Jeremy Joiner (4-3-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1270.41) [+121.23] – Win%: 63.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Adams (1412.99) [+159.56] – Win%: 66.79
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Juan Adams (1326.52) [+117.55] – Win%: 71.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 203, Justin Tafa 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Mirsad Bektic (13-2-0, -140) vs. [#32] Dan Ige (12-2-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Mirsad Bektic (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#7FW] Josh Emmett (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#18FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#179LW] Godofredo Castro (14-6-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#39FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#137FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:17 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#169FW] Jordan Griffin (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mirsad Bektic – Win%: 55.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Ige (1871.83) [+90.02] – Win%: 60.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dan Ige (1864.95) [+134.74] – Win%: 64.33
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Dan Ige (1865.45) [+106.54] – Win%: 68.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mirsad Bektic 210, Dan Ige 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Derrick Lewis (22-7-0, -279) vs. [#22LHW] Ilir Latifi (14-7-0, +222)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #33 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#11HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#6HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-11-03: L vs. [#2HW+/#8DD/#8P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (1-2-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2018-12-29: L vs. [#8LHW] Corey Anderson (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Derrick Lewis – Win%: 70.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Derrick Lewis (2042.27) [+355.29] – Win%: 83.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Derrick Lewis (1991.91) [+269.28] – Win%: 76.47
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Derrick Lewis (1965.11) [+215.87] – Win%: 83.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 98, Ilir Latifi 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#139] Trevin Giles (11-2-0, -141) vs. [#162] Antonio Arroyo (9-3-0, +116)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (1-2-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#45MW] Gerald Meerschaert (30-12-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-05-18: L vs. [#37MW] Zak Cummings (23-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2017-12-09: W vs. [*] Antonio Braga Neto (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Arroyo (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#76MW] Andre Muniz (19-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-16: W vs. [#262MW] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:31 of round 2
2018-08-10: W vs. [*] Diego Henrique da Silva (8-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Trevin Giles – Win%: 55.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Trevin Giles (1516.00) [+57.94] – Win%: 56.58
Elo Favorite (Modified): Trevin Giles (1570.38) [+72.92] – Win%: 57.91
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Trevin Giles (1530.22) [+46.98] – Win%: 59.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 189, Antonio Arroyo 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#13] Andrea Lee (11-3-0, -346) vs. [#17] Lauren Murphy (11-4-0, +266)

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#8FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#46FLY] Montana De La Rosa (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#66FLY] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Murphy (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#38FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Elbows) in 1:46 of round 3
2018-06-01: L vs. [#23BW] Sijara Eubanks (4-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-12-01: W vs. [*] Barb Honchak (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Andrea Lee – Win%: 73.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andrea Lee (1424.68) [+37.41] – Win%: 54.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andrea Lee (1498.38) [+103.84] – Win%: 61.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Andrea Lee (1465.14) [+77.84] – Win%: 64.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrea Lee 154, Lauren Murphy 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lauren Murphy leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#49] Alex Morono (17-5-0, -239) vs. [#200] Kalinn Williams (10-1-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#69WW] Max Griffin (15-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#140WW] Zak Ottow (17-7-0) via Verbal Submission (Elbows) in 3:34 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#93WW] Kenan Song (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (3-0-0)
2019-11-27: W vs. [#257WW] Jeremie Holloway (10-4-0) via UD ()
2019-10-26: W vs. [#743MW] Bo Yan (8-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 1
2019-09-25: W vs. [#879WW] Ladarious Jackson (6-6-0) via SUB in 4:59 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Morono – Win%: 67.89
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Morono (1752.10) [+254.99] – Win%: 76.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Morono (1759.70) [+256.07] – Win%: 75.41
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alex Morono (1748.94) [+241.50] – Win%: 86.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 119, Kalinn Williams 73
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#102] Miles Johns (10-0-0, -132) vs. [#125] Mario Bautista (7-1-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#182BW] Cole Smith (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-25: W vs. [#383BW] Richie Santiago (8-2-0) via UD ()
2018-11-30: W vs. [#178BW] Adrian Yanez (10-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#159BW] Jin Soo Son (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [#811BW] Juan Pablo Gonzalez (7-3-2) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Miles Johns – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Miles Johns (1653.84) [+194.33] – Win%: 70.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Miles Johns (1598.81) [+115.07] – Win%: 62.33
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Miles Johns (1579.76) [+61.58] – Win%: 61.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miles Johns 147, Mario Bautista 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#208] Domingo Pilarte (8-2-0, -136) vs. [#211] Journey Newson (10-2-0, +111)

Last 3 Fights: Domingo Pilarte (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#188BW] Felipe Dias Colares (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-17: W vs. [#304BW] Vince Morales (9-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 2
2017-03-24: W vs. [#178BW] Adrian Yanez (10-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Journey Newson (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#93FW] Ricardo Ramos (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-10: W vs. [#825BW] Soslan Abanokov (5-4-1) via TKO in 1:20 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#262BW] Chris San Jose (7-1-0) via TKO in 4:41 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Domingo Pilarte – Win%: 54.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Journey Newson (1447.50) [+66.40] – Win%: 57.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Journey Newson (1467.15) [+57.44] – Win%: 56.25
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Journey Newson (1437.34) [+21.90] – Win%: 54.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Domingo Pilarte 203, Journey Newson 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#55] Andre Ewell (15-6-0, -127) vs. [#110] Jonathan Martinez (11-2-0, +105)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Ewell (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#18BW] Marlon Vera (16-5-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-06-22: W vs. [#139BW] Anderson dos Santos (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#23BW] Nathaniel Wood (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#161BW] Pingyuan Liu (15-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:53 of round 3
2019-02-09: W vs. [#671BW] Wuliji Buren (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#108BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Andre Ewell – Win%: 53.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andre Ewell (1547.69) [+63.86] – Win%: 57.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jonathan Martinez (1558.47) [+36.72] – Win%: 54.01
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jonathan Martinez (1546.37) [+36.93] – Win%: 57.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Ewell 119, Jonathan Martinez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#435] Austin Lingo (7-0-0, -255) vs. [#612] Youssef Zalal (7-2-0, +212)

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (3-0-0)
2019-08-02: W vs. [#644FW] Chris Hatley (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1
2019-03-22: W vs. [#1241WW] Angel Cruz (6-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:25 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [NA] Aaron Webb (3-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (1-2-0)
2019-11-22: W vs. [#2162FW] Jaime Hernandez (4-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:15 of round 1
2019-05-03: L vs. [#611FW] Matt Jones (8-4-0) via SD ()
2019-01-18: L vs. [#268FW] Jose Mariscal (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Austin Lingo – Win%: 69.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Austin Lingo (1394.23) [+124.95] – Win%: 63.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Austin Lingo (1428.16) [+35.11] – Win%: 53.84
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Austin Lingo (1385.93) [+29.53] – Win%: 55.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Austin Lingo 190, Youssef Zalal 78
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jon Jones
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jon Jones
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jon Jones vs. Dominick Reyes
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jon Jones vs. Dominick Reyes
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-2-3

Also read: Jon Jones and the state of light-heavyweight division