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Fight Matrix

McGregor v Poirier: does Notorious still have the will to win?

Posted on May 28, 2021 by A. J. Riot

Conor McGregor v Dustin Poirier headlines UFC 254 in Las Vegas on 10 July, with a packed T-Mobile Arena providing the backdrop. This will be the third and, likely, the final match-up between the Irishman and his long-term American rival. It’s one fight fans, pundits, the media, and bettors are all looking forward to but are struggling to call at this stage.

The leading trading teams covering UFC betting offer odds on the winner of this bout, but you can also make your predictions on several specials. How will the fight be won, points, KO or submission? Will the slugfest go the distance? Will there be a winner in the opening round? There’s something to satisfy all types of gamblers looking to wager on the latest comeback of the world-famous UFC star Notorious.

“McGregor vs Poirier” by Getty is licensed under CC BY 3.0

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Garbrandt (05-22-2021)

Posted on May 17, 2021 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Rob Font (18-4-0, -124) vs. [#9] Cody Garbrandt (12-3-0, +100)
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#29FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#13BW] Sergio Pettis (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#26BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-03-02: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Rob Font 2003.06 +103.05 61.56%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1948.96 +62.84 56.83%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1998.89 +59.80 58.52%
WHR Rob Font 1886.07 +117.44 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 154, Cody Garbrandt 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -159) vs. [#27] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +129)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Hermansson -159 58.43%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1908.02 +137.66 65.22%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1931.73 +183.36 69.06%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2013.37 +249.32 80.77%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1870.17 +234.08 74.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Edmen Shahbazyan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Carla Esparza (17-6-0, +128) vs. [#6] Xiaonan Yan (13-1-0, -156)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #39 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#46SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -156 58.14%
Elo K170 Carla Esparza 1791.53 +87.21 59.83%
Elo Modified Carla Esparza 1702.21 +27.82 53.04%
Glicko-1 Xiaonan Yan 1647.61 +28.55 54.10%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1630.58 +36.65 54.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 301, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler (05-15-2021)

Posted on May 10, 2021 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0, -135) vs. [#6] Michael Chandler (22-5-0, +110)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#4LW] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#12LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#74LW] Jared Gordon (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (3-0-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#8LW] Dan Hooker (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-08-07: W vs. [#89WW] Ben Henderson (28-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2019-12-29: W vs. [#50LW] Sidney Outlaw (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Oliveira -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2239.04 +94.08 60.58%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2198.89 +95.72 60.32%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2303.34 +134.68 68.47%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2092.74 +66.46 57.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 154, Michael Chandler 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#4] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0, +122) vs. [#7] Beneil Dariush (20-4-1, -150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (1-2-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2LW/#9DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#14LW] Diego Ferreira (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#38LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#51LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Beneil Dariush -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2120.50 +14.65 51.67%
Elo Modified Tony Ferguson 2065.73 +35.67 53.90%
Glicko-1 Tony Ferguson 2158.68 +80.36 61.36%
WHR Tony Ferguson 1922.00 +2.59 50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 154, Beneil Dariush 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -173) vs. [#26] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +141)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Hermansson -173 60.43%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1907.99 +137.64 65.22%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1931.70 +183.35 69.05%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2013.52 +249.44 80.78%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1874.77 +237.93 74.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 161, Edmen Shahbazyan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson (05-08-2021)

Posted on May 3, 2021 by Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2, -175) vs. [#10] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0, +150)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #32 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-1-1)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#9FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#3SW/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marina Rodriguez -175 61.40%
Elo K170 Marina Rodriguez 1654.55 +74.96 58.48%
Elo Modified Marina Rodriguez 1692.05 +119.79 62.82%
Glicko-1 Marina Rodriguez 1705.01 +165.47 72.16%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1635.94 +147.45 66.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 105, Michelle Waterson 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0, -111) vs. [#42] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -112)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#34HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#31HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Philipe Lins -112 50.10%
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1706.22 +211.47 72.43%
Elo Modified Ben Rothwell 1711.40 +145.70 65.43%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1755.28 +199.51 75.92%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1638.07 +92.14 60.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 210, Philipe Lins 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (13-9-0, +145) vs. [#15] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#27SW] Ashley Yoder (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Paige VanZant (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:21 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#35SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Ribas -177 61.01%
Elo K170 Amanda Ribas 1502.41 +34.55 53.94%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1567.54 +32.35 53.53%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1573.92 +65.20 59.27%
WHR Amanda Ribas 1533.76 +33.10 53.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 56, Amanda Ribas 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Ribas leads 2-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazcka (05-01-2021)

Posted on April 26, 2021 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#7] Dominick Reyes (12-2-0, +118) vs. [#10] Jiri Prochazka (27-3-1, -143)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (1-2-0)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-08: L vs. [#2LHW/#5P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Chris Weidman (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-31: W vs. [*] C.B. Dollaway (17-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#85HW+] Fabio Maldonado (27-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jiri Prochazka -143 56.19%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2006.71 +81.37 59.19%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 1996.68 +99.00 60.67%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2103.47 +163.93 71.98%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2007.65 +166.04 68.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dominick Reyes 217, Jiri Prochazka 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#14] Cub Swanson (27-11-0, +163) vs. [#39] Giga Chikadze (13-2-0, -200)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #19 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#47FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#19FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#279FW] James Krause-Simmons (7-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#66FW] Omar Morales (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#110BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Giga Chikadze -200 63.68%
Elo K170 Cub Swanson 1824.74 +149.92 66.48%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1869.47 +248.53 74.80%
Glicko-1 Cub Swanson 1902.64 +246.44 80.52%
WHR Cub Swanson 1817.23 +236.84 74.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 140, Giga Chikadze 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32] Dustin Jacoby (14-5-0, +108) vs. [#38] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#122LHW] Justin Ledet (9-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [#127LHW] Ty Flores (7-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#58LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -132 54.20%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1694.24 +112.68 62.59%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1717.29 +110.56 61.87%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1710.60 +74.96 60.62%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1692.06 +115.54 62.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 63, Ion Cutelaba 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal II (04-24-2021)

Posted on April 19, 2021 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0, -414) vs. [#3] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0, +313)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #22 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-07-11: W vs. [#3WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-11-02: W vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -414 76.88%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2482.67 +307.83 80.32%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2412.54 +251.86 75.08%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2517.63 +232.41 79.21%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2265.98 +230.27 74.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 70, Jorge Masvidal 287
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0, -194) vs. [#2/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0, +160)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#9SW] Tecia Torres (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
2018-04-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -194 63.17%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 1925.02 +80.15 59.05%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1847.91 +53.39 55.82%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 1881.59 +131.21 68.03%
WHR Weili Zhang 1794.96 +120.85 63.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 413, Rose Namajunas 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 4-3
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0, -418) vs. [#2/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0, +315)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#5FLY] Liz Carmouche (15-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via KO (Punches to the Body) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -418 77.00%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1941.72 +157.10 67.21%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1941.84 +124.77 63.32%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 1954.85 +114.97 65.97%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 1939.97 +200.06 71.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 154, Jessica Andrade 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 4-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 2: Vettori vs. Holland (2021-04-10)

Posted on April 8, 2021 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#7] Marvin Vettori (15-4-1, -326) vs. [#13] Kevin Holland (21-6-0, +250)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#48MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#62MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2020-10-31: W vs. [#259MW] Charlie Ontiveros (11-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Slam) in 2:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -326 72.81%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 1980.25 +114.21 62.75%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1997.93 +154.71 66.31%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 2053.35 +139.22 69.03%
WHR Marvin Vettori 1958.84 +189.44 70.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 126, Kevin Holland 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#15] Arnold Allen (16-1-0, +109) vs. [#18] Sodiq Yusuff (11-1-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [*] Nik Lentz (30-12-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (3-0-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#27FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#60FW] Gabriel Benitez (22-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [*] Sheymon Moraes (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sodiq Yusuff -134 54.47%
Elo K170 Arnold Allen 1917.33 +70.81 58.02%
Elo Modified Arnold Allen 1903.97 +41.16 54.49%
Glicko-1 Arnold Allen 1938.37 +79.23 61.21%
WHR Arnold Allen 1883.56 +243.89 75.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 441, Sodiq Yusuff 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#38] Aliaskhab Khizriev (13-0-0, -124) vs. [#52] Kyle Daukaus (10-1-0, +100)

Last 3 Fights: Aliaskhab Khizriev (3-0-0)
2020-09-08: W vs. [#128MW] Henrique Shiguemoto (13-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-03-30: W vs. [*] Rousimar Palhares (19-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-09-29: W vs. [#28MW] Yasubey Enomoto (21-12-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#98MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#33MW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#177MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aliaskhab Khizriev -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Aliaskhab Khizriev 1736.03 +65.00 57.37%
Elo Modified Aliaskhab Khizriev 1758.09 +40.41 54.41%
Glicko-1 Aliaskhab Khizriev 1805.45 +83.73 61.82%
WHR Aliaskhab Khizriev 1777.50 +147.56 66.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aliaskhab Khizriev 214, Kyle Daukaus 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 (2021-04-09)

Posted on April 6, 2021 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Lyoto Machida (26-10-0, +233) vs. [#11] Ryan Bader (27-6-0, -304)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #7 ranked Light Heavyweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #17 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (1-2-0)
2020-09-11: L vs. [#5LHW] Phil Davis (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#3MW/#10P4P] Gegard Mousasi (47-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-14: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (31-17-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#3LHW] Vadim Nemkov (13-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:02 of round 2
2019-09-07: NC vs. [#18HW+] Cheick Kongo (30-11-2)
2019-01-26: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (39-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -304 71.47%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2133.85 +226.68 73.80%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2107.76 +118.54 62.69%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2140.41 +56.85 58.11%
WHR Ryan Bader 1952.72 +57.17 56.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 210, Ryan Bader 231
Previous Match-up Record: Lyoto Machida leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-2
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0, -182) vs. [*] Vanessa Porto (22-8-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#48BW] DeAnna Bennett (10-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-08-10: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#12FW] Lucie Pudilova (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Porto (3-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [*] Karina Rodriguez (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#37FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via TUD (39-37, 40-36, 39-37)
2018-01-13: W vs. [#11FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Liz Carmouche -182 61.54%
Elo K170 Liz Carmouche 1596.15 +33.76 53.85%
Elo Modified Liz Carmouche 1634.42 +50.05 55.46%
Glicko-1 Liz Carmouche 1630.93 +49.28 57.05%
WHR Liz Carmouche 1595.68 +49.63 55.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liz Carmouche 209, Vanessa Porto 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#30] Jeremy Kennedy (16-2-0, -119) vs. [#48] Adam Borics (16-1-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Kennedy (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2020-11-19: W vs. [#109FW] Matt Bessette (24-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#43FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [*] Luis Rafael Laurentino (34-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Adam Borics (2-1-0)
2020-10-29: W vs. [#486LW] Erick Sanchez (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#246LW] Mike Hamel (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#16FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeremy Kennedy -119 51.13%
Elo K170 Jeremy Kennedy 1801.92 +23.26 52.65%
Elo Modified Jeremy Kennedy 1822.40 +83.03 58.99%
Glicko-1 Jeremy Kennedy 1861.84 +137.07 68.76%
WHR Jeremy Kennedy 1748.51 +109.29 62.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeremy Kennedy 141, Adam Borics 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – One on TNT 1 (2021-04-07)

Posted on April 5, 2021 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1, -766) vs. [*] Adriano Moraes (18-3-0, +476)
Demetrious Johnson is the All-Time #50 ranked Bantamweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demetrious Johnson (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#54BW] Danny Kingad (14-2-0) via UD ()
2019-08-02: W vs. [#105BW] Tatsumitsu Wada (22-12-2) via UD ()
2019-03-31: W vs. [#61BW] Yuya Wakamatsu (13-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Adriano Moraes (2-1-0)
2019-01-25: W vs. [#102FW] Geje Eustaquio (14-8-0) via UD ()
2018-06-23: L vs. [#102FW] Geje Eustaquio (14-8-0) via SD ()
2017-11-10: W vs. [#54BW] Danny Kingad (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Demetrious Johnson -766 83.59%
Elo K170 Demetrious Johnson 2112.88 +417.41 87.07%
Elo Modified Demetrious Johnson 2128.37 +373.87 83.71%
Glicko-1 Demetrious Johnson 2186.39 +373.37 89.56%
WHR Demetrious Johnson 2082.53 +352.73 83.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demetrious Johnson 543, Adriano Moraes 803
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0, -241) vs. [#117] Iuri Lapicus (14-1-0, +183)
Eddie Alvarez is the All-Time #24 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Alvarez (1-2-0)
2019-08-02: W vs. [#130WW] Eduard Folayang (22-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:16 of round 1
2019-03-31: L vs. [#15WW] Timofey Nastyukhin (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-07-28: L vs. [#1LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (27-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Iuri Lapicus (2-1-0)
2020-10-30: L vs. [#39WW] Christian Lee (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2020-02-07: W vs. [#124WW] Marat Gafurov (18-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-05-17: W vs. [#547LW] Shannon Wiratchai (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:10 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eddie Alvarez -241 66.66%
Elo K170 Eddie Alvarez 1986.31 +415.22 86.96%
Elo Modified Eddie Alvarez 1930.15 +322.79 80.42%
Glicko-1 Eddie Alvarez 1950.65 +295.03 84.53%
WHR Eddie Alvarez 1814.84 +225.35 73.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Alvarez 614, Iuri Lapicus 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#79] Raimond Magomedaliev (7-1-0, -150) vs. [#95] Tyler McGuire (12-1-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Raimond Magomedaliev (2-1-0)
2020-12-25: W vs. [#268MW] Edson Marques (9-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:52 of round 1
2020-01-10: W vs. [*] Joey Pierotti (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2018-11-23: L vs. [#87WW] James Nakashima (12-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tyler McGuire (2-1-0)
2020-12-11: W vs. [#176MW] Agilan Thani (11-5-0) via UD ()
2018-11-17: L vs. [#87MW] Zebaztian Kadestam (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:32 of round 5
2018-07-13: W vs. [*] Luis Santos (65-12-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raimond Magomedaliev -150 56.67%
Elo K170 Raimond Magomedaliev 1624.09 +35.65 54.06%
Elo Modified Raimond Magomedaliev 1655.82 +39.28 54.29%
Glicko-1 Raimond Magomedaliev 1673.96 +50.49 57.21%
WHR Raimond Magomedaliev 1687.52 +140.89 65.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raimond Magomedaliev 103, Tyler McGuire 117
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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State of the UFC’s Lightweight Division

Posted on April 4, 2021 by Oleg

Happy Easter! With a rare off-week for the UFC, it seems like a good time to take a look at the state of the lightweight Top 10 – a division where the title belt was recently vacated by Khabib Nurmagomedov, who is apparently retired for good despite Dana White’s best efforts to bring him back for one more fight. A matchup between Michael Chandler and Charles Oliveira has been scheduled for the vacant title, and a few other exciting matches are pending in the division. Let’s take a look at these upcoming fights, as well as a couple others that aren’t scheduled but make perfect sense in my opinion. And if you want to put a few bucks on your favorite lightweight, you can get a piece of the action at 22Bet.

[#1] Dustin Poirier vs [#13]  Conor McGregor 

Coming off a TKO win over McGregor, the #1 ranked Dustin Poirier should really be fighting for the vacant title. Alas – money talks, the UFC loves ‘rubber matches’, and with Poirier and McGregor both holding a stoppage win over the other, how could they resist a trilogy bout? I would have preferred to see these two in other bouts before a rematch, but the figurative ink on this bout agreement was dry before the official result of the second fight was announced.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou 2 (2021-03-27)

Posted on March 22, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Stipe Miocic (20-3-0, +107) vs. [#2] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0, -131)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-08-17: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2018-07-07: L vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [*] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francis Ngannou -131 53.99%
Elo K170 Stipe Miocic 2402.41 +231.63 74.23%
Elo Modified Stipe Miocic 2381.36 +226.19 72.91%
Glicko-1 Stipe Miocic 2494.16 +203.54 76.35%
WHR Stipe Miocic 2270.90 +224.05 73.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 224, Francis Ngannou 322
Previous Match-up Record: Stipe Miocic leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Tyron Woodley (19-6-1, +212) vs. [#12] Vicente Luque (19-7-1, -267)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (0-3-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5
2020-05-30: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#45WW] Randy Brown (12-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#44WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
2019-11-02: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (16-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -267 69.41%
Elo K170 Tyron Woodley 2060.55 +92.96 60.46%
Elo Modified Tyron Woodley 2024.03 +75.56 58.19%
Glicko-1 Tyron Woodley 2067.76 +33.10 54.75%
WHR Vicente Luque 1892.32 +55.58 56.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 189, Vicente Luque 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tyron Woodley leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#35] Sean OMalley (12-1-0, -311) vs. [#282] Thomas Almeida (22-4-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#16BW] Marlon Vera (17-7-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#75BW] Eddie Wineland (24-15-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:54 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#117BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Almeida (0-3-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#79BW] Jonathan Martinez (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#5BW] Rob Font (18-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2017-07-22: L vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean OMalley -311 72.19%
Elo K170 Sean OMalley 1664.20 +175.96 69.08%
Elo Modified Sean OMalley 1697.20 +155.50 66.39%
Glicko-1 Sean OMalley 1736.05 +152.94 70.69%
WHR Sean OMalley 1586.30 +168.33 68.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 224, Thomas Almeida 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-14-2021)

Posted on March 14, 2021 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 259: Błachowicz vs Adesanya (2021-03-06)

Posted on March 1, 2021 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1MW/#7DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-0-0, -253) vs. [#2] Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0, +203)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #22 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#5MW] Paulo Costa (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [#4MW] Yoel Romero (13-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#2MW/#7P4P] Robert Whittaker (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#6LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-15: W vs. [#11LHW] Corey Anderson (14-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -253 68.47%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2349.59 +167.00 68.20%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2314.69 +177.96 68.54%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2416.50 +177.72 73.56%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2142.24 +161.15 67.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 161, Jan Blachowicz 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0, -1207) vs. [#7] Megan Anderson (11-4-0, +708)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#5FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2BW/#8DD] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#1BW/#6DD/#10P4P] Holly Holm (14-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Megan Anderson (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#37BW] Norma Dumont (5-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1
2019-10-05: W vs. [#21FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-05-18: L vs. [#5FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Nunes -1207 88.17%
Elo K170 Amanda Nunes 2033.81 +534.42 92.00%
Elo Modified Amanda Nunes 2000.24 +464.89 88.44%
Glicko-1 Amanda Nunes 2051.58 +503.21 94.77%
WHR Amanda Nunes 2067.48 +558.30 92.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 273, Megan Anderson 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD] Petr Yan (15-1-0, -135) vs. [#3] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0, +109)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #16 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#4BW] Jose Aldo (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5
2019-12-14: W vs. [#21BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
2019-06-08: W vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#2BW] Cory Sandhagen (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-06-08: W vs. [#8BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -135 54.55%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2166.47 +37.83 54.31%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2138.05 +15.41 51.68%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2197.13 +4.00 50.58%
WHR Petr Yan 2056.13 +27.04 53.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 238, Aljamain Sterling 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gane (2021-02-27)

Posted on February 22, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0, +218) vs. [#7] Ciryl Gane (7-0-0, -275)

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:34 of round 2
2019-12-21: W vs. [#35HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#105HW+] Dontale Mayes (8-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -275 69.98%
Elo K170 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1905.12 +151.80 66.68%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1902.89 +70.19 57.62%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1988.32 +166.69 72.30%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1863.13 +101.06 61.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 196, Ciryl Gane 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#20] Sabina Mazo (9-1-0, -241) vs. [*] Alexis Davis (19-10-0, +192)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sabina Mazo (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#47FLY] Justine Kish (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 3
2020-01-18: W vs. [#42FLY] J.J. Aldrich (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#52FLY] Shana Dobson (4-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-24, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (0-3-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#5FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sabina Mazo -241 67.35%
Elo K170 Sabina Mazo 1518.40 +115.19 62.86%
Elo Modified Sabina Mazo 1541.43 +150.54 65.90%
Glicko-1 Sabina Mazo 1483.02 +107.15 64.95%
WHR Sabina Mazo 1486.82 +75.26 58.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sabina Mazo 168, Alexis Davis 581
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#48] Alex Oliveira (22-9-1, +135) vs. [#49] Randy Brown (12-4-0, -165)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#33WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (13-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-07-25: W vs. [#208WW] Peter Sobotta (17-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#72WW] Max Griffin (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#11WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2019-11-16: W vs. [#55WW] Warlley Alves (14-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#71WW] Bryan Barberena (15-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -165 59.40%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1695.56 +4.88 50.56%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1713.99 +22.72 52.49%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1740.01 +39.48 55.66%
WHR Randy Brown 1666.84 +22.35 52.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 126, Randy Brown 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis (2021-02-20)

Posted on February 15, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0, -347) vs. [#4] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0, +268)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #33 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (33-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#11HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2020-02-08: W vs. [#37HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#17HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -347 74.07%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2113.50 +15.72 51.79%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2101.51 +61.20 56.66%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2189.50 +68.81 59.78%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 2018.63 +120.32 63.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 245, Derrick Lewis 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 5-4
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#8] Ketlen Vieira (11-1-0, -275) vs. [#9] Yana Kunitskaya (13-5-0, +218)

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (2-1-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#12BW] Sijara Eubanks (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#6BW] Irene Aldana (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#8FW] Cat Zingano (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Yana Kunitskaya (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#26BW] Julija Stoliarenko (9-4-2) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#3BW] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-03-09: W vs. [#22BW] Marion Reneau (9-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ketlen Vieira -275 69.98%
Elo K170 Ketlen Vieira 1607.74 +66.57 57.54%
Elo Modified Ketlen Vieira 1602.19 +47.02 55.13%
Glicko-1 Ketlen Vieira 1567.60 +34.04 54.88%
WHR Yana Kunitskaya 1513.40 +34.15 53.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ketlen Vieira 147, Yana Kunitskaya 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#65] Charles Rosa (13-4-0, -176) vs. [#75] Darrick Minner (25-11-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Rosa (2-1-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#103LW] Kevin Aguilar (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#22FW] Bryce Mitchell (14-0-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#127LW] Manny Bermudez (15-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Darrick Minner (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#129FW] T.J. Laramie (12-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#48LW] Grant Dawson (16-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2
2019-12-06: W vs. [#629FW] Charlie DuBray (16-14-0) via Technical Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Rosa -176 60.97%
Elo K170 Charles Rosa 1602.94 +28.47 53.25%
Elo Modified Darrick Minner 1599.46 +25.54 52.79%
Glicko-1 Darrick Minner 1635.48 +74.73 60.59%
WHR Charles Rosa 1561.44 +38.28 54.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Rosa 252, Darrick Minner 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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