Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot (03-30-2024)

Mar 25, 2024
Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3/#8DD/#8P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0, +116) vs. [#4/#7P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0, -141)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #44 ranked Women’s fighter.
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #48 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#5FLY/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#10FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#12FLY] Jennifer Maia (21-10-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (3-0-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#9FLY] Taila Santos (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#5SW] Jessica Andrade (25-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#34SW] Molly McCann (14-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Erin Blanchfield -141 55.82%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1900.55 +21.15 53.04%
Elo Modified Erin Blanchfield 1903.15 +29.37 54.22%
Glicko-1 Erin Blanchfield 1926.20 +55.87 57.97%
WHR Erin Blanchfield 1797.42 +0.53 50.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 210, Erin Blanchfield 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#11] Vicente Luque (22-9-1, -148) vs. [#25] Joaquin Buckley (17-6-0, +121)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#11LW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-16-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#15WW] Geoff Neal (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2022-04-16: L vs. [#3WW] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#35WW] Alex Morono (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#81WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -148 56.87%
Elo K170 Vicente Luque 2059.66 +230.09 79.00%
Elo Modified Vicente Luque 2021.41 +189.63 74.87%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 2070.41 +188.13 74.70%
WHR Vicente Luque 1890.49 +171.19 72.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 231, Joaquin Buckley 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#32] Bruno Silva (23-10-0, -277) vs. [#66] Chris Weidman (15-7-0, +217)
Chris Weidman is the All-Time #3 ranked Middleweight and #22 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#23MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (13-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#9MW] Brendan Allen (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (20-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Weidman (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-04-24: L vs. [*] Uriah Hall (17-11-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 0:17 of round 1
2020-08-08: W vs. [*] Omari Akhmedov (24-8-1) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -277 69.95%
Elo K170 Chris Weidman 1745.05 +84.73 61.96%
Elo Modified Chris Weidman 1771.85 +85.32 62.04%
Glicko-1 Chris Weidman 1791.07 +54.93 57.84%
WHR Bruno Silva 1683.24 +148.55 70.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 161, Chris Weidman 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Bruno Silva leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#71] Chidi Njokuani (22-10-0, -218) vs. [#116WW] Rhys McKee (13-5-1, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (0-3-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#42MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2023-03-25: L vs. [#70MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rhys McKee (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#95WW] Ange Loosa (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#214WW] Jim Wallhead (33-12-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-06-25: W vs. [#175WW] Justin Burlinson (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chidi Njokuani -218 65.25%
Elo K170 Rhys McKee 1564.93 +2.72 50.39%
Elo Modified Chidi Njokuani 1648.51 +41.27 55.91%
Glicko-1 Chidi Njokuani 1684.70 +37.93 55.44%
WHR Rhys McKee 1608.24 +1.95 50.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chidi Njokuani 217, Rhys McKee 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#49] Nursulton Ruziboev (35-8-2, -291) vs. [#131] Sedriques Dumas (10-1-0, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52MW] Brunno Ferreira (11-1-0) via TKO in 1:17 of round 1
2022-04-10: W vs. [*] Paval Masalski (14-17-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1
2022-02-19: W vs. [*] Luciano Contini (14-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#304MW] Abu Azaitar (14-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#83MW] Cody Brundage (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#119MW] Josh Fremd (11-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nursulton Ruziboev -291 70.81%
Elo K170 Nursulton Ruziboev 1728.95 +168.08 72.46%
Elo Modified Nursulton Ruziboev 1733.55 +133.41 68.31%
Glicko-1 Nursulton Ruziboev 1839.49 +254.06 81.19%
WHR Nursulton Ruziboev 1768.41 +245.62 80.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nursulton Ruziboev 273, Sedriques Dumas 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18] Bill Algeo (18-7-0, -198) vs. [#81] Kyle Nelson (15-5-1, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#82FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#207LW] T.J. Brown (19-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2
2022-09-17: L vs. [#56FW] Andre Fili (23-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (2-0-1)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#90FW] Fernando Padilla (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#217FW] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-02-04: D vs. [#226FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bill Algeo -198 63.42%
Elo K170 Bill Algeo 1779.55 +116.00 66.10%
Elo Modified Bill Algeo 1798.56 +147.40 70.02%
Glicko-1 Bill Algeo 1865.50 +209.60 76.97%
WHR Bill Algeo 1794.80 +195.65 75.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bill Algeo 175, Kyle Nelson 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0, +154) vs. [#10] Lupita Godinez (12-3-0, -189)

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#7SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-3-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#9SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#13FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lupita Godinez (3-0-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#12SW] Tabatha Ricci (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#50SW] Elise Reed (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#21SW] Emily Ducote (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lupita Godinez -189 62.42%
Elo K170 Virna Jandiroba 1678.88 +2.75 50.40%
Elo Modified Virna Jandiroba 1693.85 +65.67 59.34%
Glicko-1 Virna Jandiroba 1691.21 +104.06 64.54%
WHR Virna Jandiroba 1666.23 +154.44 70.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 329, Lupita Godinez 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Virna Jandiroba leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#50] Andre Petroski (10-2-0, +167) vs. [#105] Jacob Malkoun (7-3-0, -206)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Petroski (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#19MW] Michel Pereira (31-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1
2023-08-19: W vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (36-17-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#129WW] Wellington Turman (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jacob Malkoun (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#83MW] Cody Brundage (10-5-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Elbow) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [*] Nick Maximov (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-11: L vs. [#9MW] Brendan Allen (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jacob Malkoun -206 64.25%
Elo K170 Andre Petroski 1681.05 +268.85 82.45%
Elo Modified Andre Petroski 1641.41 +28.28 54.06%
Glicko-1 Andre Petroski 1626.63 +65.38 59.30%
WHR Jacob Malkoun 1592.15 +52.45 57.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Petroski 168, Jacob Malkoun 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#229] Connor Matthews (8-1-0, +110) vs. [#331] Dennis Buzukja (11-4-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Connor Matthews (2-1-0)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#383FW] Jair Farias (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-15: W vs. [#715FW] Andrew Cruz (8-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2022-08-02: L vs. [#381FW] Francis Marshall (7-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Buzukja (1-2-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#144FW] Jamall Emmers (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2023-08-05: L vs. [#41FW] Sean Woodson (11-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-16: W vs. [#952FW] Soslan Abanokov (6-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dennis Buzukja -134 54.59%
Elo K170 Connor Matthews 1420.89 +39.84 55.71%
Elo Modified Connor Matthews 1444.32 +28.44 54.08%
Glicko-1 Connor Matthews 1484.21 +61.28 58.73%
WHR Dennis Buzukja 1427.29 +8.59 51.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Connor Matthews 172, Dennis Buzukja 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#136] Caolan Loughran (8-1-0, -316) vs. [#880FW] Angel Pacheco (8-2-0, +242)

Last 3 Fights: Caolan Loughran (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#75BW] Taylor Lapilus (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#370FLY] Dylan Hazan (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2022-11-04: W vs. [*] Luke Shanks (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Angel Pacheco (2-1-0)
2023-09-26: L vs. [#106FW] Danny Silva (9-1-0) via UD ()
2022-08-26: W vs. [#204BW] Vilson Ndregjoni (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [NA] Zack Schroeder (9-15-0) via TKO (Submission to Strikes) in 1:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caolan Loughran -316 72.20%
Elo K170 Caolan Loughran 1519.47 +263.55 82.01%
Elo Modified Caolan Loughran 1510.70 +198.97 75.87%
Glicko-1 Caolan Loughran 1553.90 +248.46 80.70%
WHR Caolan Loughran 1489.58 +163.28 71.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Caolan Loughran 210, Angel Pacheco 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Julio Arce (18-6-0, -561) vs. [*] Herbert Burns (11-4-0, +382)

Last 3 Fights: Julio Arce (1-2-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#26BW] Montel Jackson (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#70BW] Daniel Santos (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#11BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Herbert Burns (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#18FW] Bill Algeo (18-7-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:50 of round 2
2020-08-15: L vs. [#59FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:37 of round 2
2020-06-06: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-9-1) via Submission Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julio Arce -561 80.35%
Elo K170 Herbert Burns 1600.34 +6.20 50.89%
Elo Modified Julio Arce 1638.65 +5.32 50.77%
Glicko-1 Julio Arce 1664.21 +27.28 53.92%
WHR Julio Arce 1660.88 +64.77 59.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julio Arce 504, Herbert Burns 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#132] Ibo Aslan (12-1-0, -114) vs. [#158] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Ibo Aslan (3-0-0)
2023-08-15: W vs. [#257LHW] Paulo Renato Jr. (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2023-03-18: W vs. [NA] Giorgi Khubejashvili (5-12-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2022-04-02: W vs. [*] Amilcar Alves (17-22-0) via KO in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anton Turkalj (0-3-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2023-03-11: L vs. [#26LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ibo Aslan -114 50.64%
Elo K170 Ibo Aslan 1433.75 +96.16 63.50%
Elo Modified Ibo Aslan 1459.49 +77.64 60.99%
Glicko-1 Ibo Aslan 1501.52 +126.71 67.47%
WHR Ibo Aslan 1468.20 +83.44 61.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ibo Aslan 228, Anton Turkalj 203
Previous Match-up Record: Anton Turkalj leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#22SW] Victoria Dudakova (8-0-0, +129) vs. [#32] Melissa Gatto (8-2-2, -158)

Last 3 Fights: Victoria Dudakova (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#95SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#158SW] Istela Nunes (6-5-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:34 of round 1
2022-08-30: W vs. [#26SW] Maria Silva (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Gatto (1-2-0)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#18FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-8-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#14FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [*] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:45 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Gatto -158 58.37%
Elo K170 Victoria Dudakova 1529.95 +170.89 72.79%
Elo Modified Victoria Dudakova 1581.36 +137.52 68.82%
Glicko-1 Victoria Dudakova 1558.74 +111.04 65.46%
WHR Melissa Gatto 1478.09 +22.86 53.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victoria Dudakova 161, Melissa Gatto 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#45] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0, +162) vs. [#144] Jamall Emmers (20-7-0, -200)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#16FW] Dan Ige (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#262FW] Austin Lingo (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 2
2022-08-13: W vs. [#71FW] David Onama (11-2-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#331FW] Dennis Buzukja (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2023-06-24: L vs. [#143FW] Jack Jenkins (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#636FW] Khusein Askhabov (23-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamall Emmers -200 63.59%
Elo K170 Nate Landwehr 1734.33 +140.91 69.24%
Elo Modified Nate Landwehr 1705.49 +44.42 56.36%
Glicko-1 Nate Landwehr 1745.69 +13.24 51.90%
WHR Jamall Emmers 1668.34 +2.06 50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 294, Jamall Emmers 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Stored DD Rating: Manon Fiorot
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Manon Fiorot vs. Erin Blanchfield
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-3-24

1 Comment

  1. Freed Guess March 26, 2024 at 10:48 am Reply

    Um, Chris Weidman is a mistake.

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