Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green (10-07-2023)

Oct 2, 2023
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Grant Dawson (20-1-1, -396) vs. [#15] Bobby Green (30-14-1, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#54LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 3
2022-04-30: W vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#51LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#27LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -396 75.82%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 2086.64 +233.58 74.40%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 2032.86 +206.76 71.20%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 2098.90 +206.02 76.60%
WHR Grant Dawson 1976.29 +216.11 72.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 98, Bobby Green 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#31] Joseph Pyfer (11-2-0, -412) vs. [#72] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-5-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [#499MW] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#211MW] Osman Diaz (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#152MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#43WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#134MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -412 76.52%
Elo K170 Joseph Pyfer 1605.00 +51.48 55.85%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1617.49 +0.31 50.03%
Glicko-1 Joseph Pyfer 1693.71 +9.20 51.32%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1620.63 +23.05 52.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Pyfer 182, Abdul Razak Alhassan 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Alex Morono (23-8-0, +159) vs. [#43] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (33-15-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#69WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#77WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-09-03: L vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -197 63.20%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1826.35 +107.10 61.99%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1866.43 +160.51 66.88%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1932.49 +159.24 71.43%
WHR Alex Morono 1754.85 +114.87 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 147, Joaquin Buckley 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#27] Drew Dober (26-12-0, -454) vs. [#126] Ricky Glenn (22-7-2, +333)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#24LW] Matt Frevola (11-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1
2022-12-17: W vs. [#15LW] Bobby Green (30-14-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2
2022-07-30: W vs. [#120LW] Rafael Alves (20-12-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 1:30 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Glenn (1-1-1)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#97LW] Christos Giagos (20-11-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:35 of round 1
2021-10-23: D vs. [#14LW] Grant Dawson (20-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2021-06-19: W vs. [#114LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drew Dober -454 78.01%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1791.00 +126.42 64.05%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1777.27 +150.40 65.89%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1828.35 +194.61 75.40%
WHR Drew Dober 1768.90 +202.22 71.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 154, Ricky Glenn 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20] Philipe Lins (17-5-0, +116) vs. [#26] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1, -142)

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (3-0-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#39LHW] Maxim Grishin (32-10-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#43LHW] Ovince St. Preux (26-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#57LHW] Marcin Prachnio (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#66LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:05 of round 1
2022-11-19: L vs. [#32LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-4-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2
2022-09-10: L vs. [#9LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -142 55.89%
Elo K170 Philipe Lins 1774.71 +228.00 73.92%
Elo Modified Philipe Lins 1802.40 +190.81 69.75%
Glicko-1 Philipe Lins 1819.86 +177.50 73.53%
WHR Philipe Lins 1737.46 +108.10 62.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philipe Lins 126, Ion Cutelaba 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ion Cutelaba leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#38] Alexander Hernandez (14-6-0, +111) vs. [#60] Bill Algeo (17-7-0, -137)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#49LW] Jim Miller (36-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#28FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2022-02-12: L vs. [#21LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#130FW] T.J. Brown (17-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2
2022-09-17: L vs. [#59FW] Andre Fili (22-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#266FW] Herbert Burns (11-4-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bill Algeo -137 54.95%
Elo K170 Alexander Hernandez 1707.26 +17.19 51.96%
Elo Modified Bill Algeo 1726.10 +25.58 52.80%
Glicko-1 Bill Algeo 1794.93 +38.52 55.52%
WHR Bill Algeo 1729.90 +86.16 59.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 231, Bill Algeo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#19] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (15-7-0, -171) vs. [#76] Diana Belbita (15-7-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#42SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#83SW] Silvana Gomez Juarez (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-06-04: W vs. [*] Felice Herrig (14-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Diana Belbita (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#127SW] Maria Oliveira (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#101SW] Gloria de Paula (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#117SW] Hannah Goldy (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karolina Kowalkiewicz -171 60.22%
Elo K170 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1534.54 +288.38 78.88%
Elo Modified Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1521.71 +261.05 75.82%
Glicko-1 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1484.30 +256.63 81.41%
WHR Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1401.64 +181.58 69.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karolina Kowalkiewicz 140, Diana Belbita 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Chris Gutierrez (19-5-2, +157) vs. [#27] Montel Jackson (13-2-0, -195)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#11BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1
2022-03-26: W vs. [#229BW] Batgerel Danaa (11-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Backfist and Elbows) in 2:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#83BW] Rani Yahya (28-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#84BW] Julio Arce (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#653BW] J.P. Buys (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -195 62.94%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1849.14 +44.74 55.09%
Elo Modified Montel Jackson 1840.94 +97.21 60.48%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 1908.22 +120.75 66.71%
WHR Montel Jackson 1813.78 +160.39 67.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 175, Montel Jackson 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#235] Johnny Munoz Jr. (12-3-0, -109) vs. [#276] Qileng Aori (25-10-0, -113)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Munoz Jr. (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#70BW] Daniel Santos (13-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#575BW] Liudvik Sholinian (9-3-1) via UD ()
2022-06-04: L vs. [#85BW] Tony Gravely (23-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#108BW] Aiemann Zahabi (10-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2022-08-20: W vs. [#510FW] Jay Perrin (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-23: W vs. [*] Cameron Else (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Qileng Aori -113 50.42%
Elo K170 Johnny Munoz Jr. 1449.09 +37.37 54.26%
Elo Modified Johnny Munoz Jr. 1477.21 +43.41 54.74%
Glicko-1 Johnny Munoz Jr. 1478.94 +42.79 56.13%
WHR Johnny Munoz Jr. 1416.36 +28.01 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Munoz Jr. 126, Qileng Aori 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#42] Vanessa Demopoulos (9-5-0, +262) vs. [*] Kanako Murata (12-2-0, -339)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#19SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#127SW] Maria Oliveira (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#81SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kanako Murata (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#6SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 5:00 of round 2
2020-11-14: W vs. [*] Randa Markos (11-11-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-01: W vs. [#24SW] Emily Ducote (12-8-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kanako Murata -339 73.65%
Elo K170 Kanako Murata 1475.56 +104.30 61.69%
Elo Modified Kanako Murata 1484.21 +115.83 62.41%
Glicko-1 Kanako Murata 1447.07 +116.85 66.21%
WHR Kanako Murata 1451.34 +202.48 71.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 140, Kanako Murata 840
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#167BW] Mateus Mendonca (10-1-0, -245) vs. [#82] Nathan Maness (14-3-0, +192)

Last 3 Fights: Mateus Mendonca (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#44BW] Javid Basharat (14-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-27: W vs. [#607BW] Ashiek Ajim (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2020-10-16: W vs. [#176FLY] Pedro Nobre (22-7-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Nathan Maness (1-2-0)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2022-06-25: L vs. [#16BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (16-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 30-26)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#85BW] Tony Gravely (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateus Mendonca -245 67.46%
Elo K170 Nathan Maness 1616.99 +77.67 58.78%
Elo Modified Nathan Maness 1637.64 +57.75 56.29%
Glicko-1 Nathan Maness 1643.66 +53.32 57.61%
WHR Nathan Maness 1592.18 +110.96 62.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateus Mendonca 266, Nathan Maness 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#40] J.J. Aldrich (12-6-0, -121) vs. [#43] Montana De La Rosa (12-8-1, -101)

Last 3 Fights: J.J. Aldrich (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#165FLY] Na Liang (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:49 of round 2
2023-03-11: L vs. [#26FLY] Ariane Lipski (16-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-04: L vs. [#4FLY/#5P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#4SW/#8DD] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-04-23: L vs. [#7FLY] Maycee Barber (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#26FLY] Ariane Lipski (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds J.J. Aldrich -121 52.14%
Elo K170 J.J. Aldrich 1393.16 +25.47 52.90%
Elo Modified J.J. Aldrich 1437.26 +66.38 57.21%
Glicko-1 J.J. Aldrich 1423.78 +58.10 58.29%
WHR J.J. Aldrich 1412.65 +50.72 55.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: J.J. Aldrich 42, Montana De La Rosa 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Montana De La Rosa leads 2-1
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Grant Dawson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Grant Dawson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2023-10-1

Leave A Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Before asking where a specific fighter is ranked or why they aren't ranked:


- We update the rankings once per week, usually on Sunday or Monday.

- Fighters who have not fought in 450 days or more ARE NOT RANKED UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

- Use the "Fighter Search" option in the upper-right of the page. The fighter may be ranked in a different division.

- Most of the divisions have multiple pages beyond this one. See the clickable ranges above and below the ranking table.

Furthermore, we do not maintain the "next fight" data. This is gathered from Sherdog. Any issues regarding this data should be forwarded to them.