Fight Matrix Program – UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier (07-02-2022)

27 Jun , 2022,
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#5P4P] Israel Adesanya (22-1-0) vs. [#3] Jared Cannonier (15-5-0)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #38 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#2MW] Robert Whittaker (23-6-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#6MW] Derek Brunson (23-8-0) via KO (Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2
2021-08-21: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#2MW] Robert Whittaker (23-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2361.51 +253.44 76.09%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2322.19 +234.35 73.61%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2407.99 +217.38 77.75%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2126.69 +164.22 67.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 140, Jared Cannonier 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 5-3
.

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (24-1-0, -188) vs. [#2/#9DD] Max Holloway (23-6-0, +156)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #17 ranked Absolute fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4
2021-09-25: W vs. [#5FW] Brian Ortega (15-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FW/#9DD] Max Holloway (23-6-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#10FW] Yair Rodriguez (13-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (23-6-0) via UD (50-43, 50-43, 50-42)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (24-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -188 62.56%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2420.12 +198.00 71.19%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2334.13 +102.20 61.00%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2409.89 +100.14 64.02%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2204.23 +99.78 61.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 84, Max Holloway 231
Previous Match-up Record: Alexander Volkanovski leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 3-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#8] Sean Strickland (25-3-0, -104) vs. [#23] Alex Pereira (5-1-0, -118)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (3-0-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (22-7-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#16MW] Uriah Hall (17-10-0) via UD (50-44, 49-46, 50-45)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#21MW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#34MW] Bruno Silva (22-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#333WW] Andreas Michailidis (13-6-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2020-11-20: W vs. [#377MW] Thomas Powell (5-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -118 51.49%
Elo K170 Sean Strickland 2137.84 +544.01 92.31%
Elo Modified Sean Strickland 2063.20 +373.26 83.67%
Glicko-1 Sean Strickland 2080.31 +392.52 90.55%
WHR Sean Strickland 1988.19 +233.25 74.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 147, Alex Pereira 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#12] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0, +201) vs. [#21] Sean OMalley (15-1-0, -250)
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #27 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (1-2-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#8BW] Dominick Cruz (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#2BW] Jose Aldo (31-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-02-27: W vs. [*] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#63BW] Raulian Paiva (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
2021-07-10: W vs. [#491BW] Kris Moutinho (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 3
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Thomas Almeida (22-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:52 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean OMalley -250 68.25%
Elo K170 Sean OMalley 1828.56 +14.18 51.62%
Elo Modified Sean OMalley 1838.42 +0.06 50.01%
Glicko-1 Sean OMalley 1890.24 +1.08 50.16%
WHR Pedro Munhoz 1772.43 +27.14 53.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pedro Munhoz 203, Sean OMalley 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#39] Brad Riddell (10-2-0, -101) vs. [#62] Jalin Turner (12-5-0, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Riddell (2-1-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#12LW] Rafael Fiziev (11-1-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2021-06-12: W vs. [#40LW] Drew Dober (24-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#235LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (3-0-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#111LW] Jamie Mullarkey (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
2021-09-25: W vs. [#181LW] Uros Medic (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 1
2020-09-12: W vs. [#230WW] Brok Weaver (17-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -122 52.23%
Elo K170 Jalin Turner 1698.32 +3.00 50.34%
Elo Modified Jalin Turner 1697.96 +11.92 51.30%
Glicko-1 Jalin Turner 1748.19 +67.66 59.62%
WHR Jalin Turner 1681.85 +50.22 55.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Riddell 210, Jalin Turner 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#55] Robbie Lawler (29-15-0, -122) vs. [#67] Bryan Barberena (17-8-0, +100)
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#730MW] Nick Diaz (26-10-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:44 of round 3
2020-08-29: L vs. [#15WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#2WW/#9P4P] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (2-1-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#69WW] Matt Brown (23-19-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#356WW] Darian Weeks (5-2-0) via UD ()
2021-07-31: L vs. [#158WW] Jason Witt (19-9-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robbie Lawler -122 52.35%
Elo K170 Robbie Lawler 2018.75 +351.79 83.30%
Elo Modified Robbie Lawler 1976.51 +326.88 80.70%
Glicko-1 Robbie Lawler 2048.53 +392.88 90.56%
WHR Robbie Lawler 1714.15 +160.95 67.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 280, Bryan Barberena 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#126] Gabriel Green (11-3-0, +123) vs. [#140] Ian Garry (9-0-0, -149)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Green (2-1-0)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#179WW] Yohan Lainesse (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#103WW] Philip Rowe (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#29WW] Daniel Rodriguez (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#356WW] Darian Weeks (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#405WW] Jordan Williams (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2021-06-26: W vs. [#226WW] Jack Grant (18-7-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Gabriel Green 1610.62 +10.20 51.16%
Elo Modified Ian Garry 1670.94 +7.42 50.81%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Green 1682.99 +5.87 50.84%
WHR Gabriel Green 1622.46 +2.94 50.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Green 63, Ian Garry 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#64] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) vs. [#66LW] Jim Miller (34-16-0)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #46 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#26WW] Alex Morono (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-09-19: NC vs. [#52WW] Niko Price (15-5-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#84LW] Anthony Pettis (25-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#224LW] Nikolas Motta (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-10-16: W vs. [#244LW] Erick Gonzalez (14-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 2
2021-04-10: L vs. [#87LW] Joe Solecki (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1722.65 +10.87 51.24%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1712.61 +8.89 50.97%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1773.65 +42.58 56.10%
WHR Jim Miller 1680.90 +36.18 54.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 420, Jim Miller 133
Previous Match-up Record: Donald Cerrone leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 5-4
.

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Andre Muniz (22-4-0, -248) vs. [#16] Uriah Hall (17-10-0, +198)
Uriah Hall is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andre Muniz (3-0-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#49MW] Eryk Anders (14-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-05-15: W vs. [*] Ronaldo Souza (26-10-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 3:59 of round 1
2020-09-05: W vs. [#73MW] Bartosz Fabinski (15-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (2-1-0)
2021-07-31: L vs. [#8MW] Sean Strickland (25-3-0) via UD (50-44, 49-46, 50-45)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#17MW] Chris Weidman (15-6-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 0:17 of round 1
2020-10-31: W vs. [*] Anderson Silva (34-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Muniz -248 67.98%
Elo K170 Andre Muniz 1922.62 +9.21 51.05%
Elo Modified Andre Muniz 1936.88 +27.09 52.96%
Glicko-1 Andre Muniz 2006.43 +43.53 56.23%
WHR Andre Muniz 1933.50 +91.86 60.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Muniz 203, Uriah Hall 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#16] Maycee Barber (10-2-0, -216) vs. [#46] Jessica Eye (15-10-0, +176)
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #43 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (2-1-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#39FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#24FLY] Miranda Maverick (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#10FLY] Alexa Grasso (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (0-3-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#8FLY] Jennifer Maia (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#22FLY] Joanne Wood (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#19FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-4-1) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Maycee Barber -216 65.35%
Elo K170 Maycee Barber 1592.30 +192.61 70.68%
Elo Modified Maycee Barber 1566.87 +170.43 67.83%
Glicko-1 Maycee Barber 1552.11 +179.87 73.80%
WHR Maycee Barber 1509.40 +172.68 68.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maycee Barber 70, Jessica Eye 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#19] Brad Tavares (19-6-0, -126) vs. [#32] Dricus Du Plessis (16-2-0, +104)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#20LHW] Omari Akhmedov (23-7-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#19LHW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#29MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#132WW] Trevin Giles (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#121MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:22 of round 1
2019-12-14: W vs. [*] Brendan Lesar (3-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brad Tavares -126 53.21%
Elo K170 Brad Tavares 1911.08 +68.93 57.81%
Elo Modified Brad Tavares 1866.35 +6.01 50.66%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 1922.31 +49.26 57.04%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 1868.47 +89.72 60.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Tavares 357, Dricus Du Plessis 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#25] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-7-0, -123) vs. [#42] Julija Stoliarenko (9-6-2, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica-Rose Clark (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#14BW] Stephanie Egger (7-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2021-10-23: W vs. [#24FW] Joselyne Edwards (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#99FLY] Sarah Alpar (9-6-0) via TKO (Punch and Knee) in 4:21 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Julija Stoliarenko (0-3-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#13BW] Alexis Davis (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#15BW] Julia Avila (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 3
2020-08-08: L vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jessica-Rose Clark -123 52.70%
Elo K170 Jessica-Rose Clark 1323.52 +92.15 60.37%
Elo Modified Jessica-Rose Clark 1343.89 +79.21 58.58%
Glicko-1 Jessica-Rose Clark 1330.43 +107.71 65.02%
WHR Jessica-Rose Clark 1312.02 +80.42 59.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica-Rose Clark 133, Julija Stoliarenko 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Jared Cannonier
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2022-6-26