Fight Matrix Program – UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno (2020-12-12)

Dec 7, 2020
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-0, 124.5lb, -331) vs. [#2] Brandon Moreno (18-5-1, 124.5lb, +256)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #13 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#5FLY] Alex Perez (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#3FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#3FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#11FLY] Brandon Royval (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#27FLY] Kai Kara France (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -331 73.21%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2155.11 +229.31 74.03%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2115.64 +229.78 73.22%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2204.26 +268.41 82.42%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 2003.79 +212.99 72.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 21, Brandon Moreno 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Tony Ferguson (25-4-0, 155.0lb, -167) vs. [#5] Charles Oliveira (29-8-0, 154.5lb, +138)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #40 ranked Absolute fighter.
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1LW/#8DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#21WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#13WW] Anthony Pettis (23-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#10LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#59FW] Jared Gordon (16-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#54FW] Nik Lentz (30-11-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tony Ferguson -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Tony Ferguson 2207.90 +71.11 58.05%
Elo Modified Tony Ferguson 2172.66 +65.87 57.16%
Glicko-1 Tony Ferguson 2242.13 +22.45 53.23%
WHR Tony Ferguson 2025.32 +6.44 50.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 217, Charles Oliveira 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 3-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Virna Jandiroba (16-1-0, 115.0lb, +157) vs. [#18] Mackenzie Dern (9-1-0, 115.0lb, -191)

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#48SW] Felice Herrig (14-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:44 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#38SW] Mallory Martin (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 2
2019-04-27: L vs. [#4SW] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#27SW] Randa Markos (10-10-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#80SW] Hannah Cifers (10-7-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:36 of round 1
2019-10-12: L vs. [#10SW] Amanda Ribas (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -191 62.78%
Elo K170 Virna Jandiroba 1620.34 +102.35 61.48%
Elo Modified Virna Jandiroba 1619.26 +79.25 58.59%
Glicko-1 Virna Jandiroba 1647.38 +127.43 67.56%
WHR Virna Jandiroba 1567.42 +107.65 62.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 119, Mackenzie Dern 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#9] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0, 185.5lb, -118) vs. [#38] Kevin Holland (20-5-0, 185.0lb, -106)
Ronaldo Souza is the All-Time #10 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#13MW] Chris Weidman (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:46 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (3-0-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#277MW] Charlie Ontiveros (11-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Slam) in 2:39 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#52MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#67MW] Joaquin Buckley (12-3-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ronaldo Souza -118 51.26%
Elo K170 Ronaldo Souza 1908.81 +94.15 60.59%
Elo Modified Ronaldo Souza 2007.53 +241.44 74.21%
Glicko-1 Ronaldo Souza 2140.97 +347.82 88.11%
WHR Ronaldo Souza 1960.70 +260.09 76.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Souza 392, Kevin Holland 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (247)
[#8] Junior dos Santos (21-8-0, 246.5lb, +325) vs. [#45] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0, 247.5lb, -437)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (0-3-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#5HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-01-25: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-06-29: L vs. [#2HW+/#10P4P] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#36HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#130HW+] Dontale Mayes (8-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#80HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -437 77.57%
Elo K170 Junior dos Santos 1801.74 +172.61 68.75%
Elo Modified Junior dos Santos 1829.63 +95.31 60.28%
Glicko-1 Junior dos Santos 1866.27 +174.93 73.24%
WHR Junior dos Santos 1812.41 +170.14 68.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 119, Ciryl Gane 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#23] Cub Swanson (26-11-0, 145.0lb, +134) vs. [#32] Daniel Pineda (27-13-0, 145.5lb, -161)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#69FW] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#21FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#22LW] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Pineda (1-0-0, 2 NC)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#50FW] Herbert Burns (11-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:37 of round 2
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#39FW] Jeremy Kennedy (16-2-0)
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#44FW] Movlid Khaybulaev (15-0-1)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Pineda -161 59.07%
Elo K170 Daniel Pineda 1754.25 +19.38 52.21%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1781.06 +18.76 52.05%
Glicko-1 Daniel Pineda 1839.61 +31.88 54.58%
WHR Daniel Pineda 1794.47 +66.29 57.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 427, Daniel Pineda 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#22] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1, 155.0lb, +125) vs. [#61] Rafael Fiziev (8-1-0, 155.5lb, -151)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (1-2-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#80LW] Damir Hadzovic (13-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-06-22: L vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2019-02-02: L vs. [#6BW] Jose Aldo (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#98LW] Marc Diakiese (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#155LW] Alex White (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#97LW] Magomed Mustafaev (14-4-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -151 57.51%
Elo K170 Renato Carneiro 1833.17 +221.38 73.33%
Elo Modified Renato Carneiro 1800.20 +167.25 67.53%
Glicko-1 Renato Carneiro 1803.45 +141.69 69.33%
WHR Renato Carneiro 1769.12 +138.42 65.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 273, Rafael Fiziev 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (146)
[#49] Billy Quarantillo (15-2-0, 145.5lb, -170) vs. [#79] Gavin Tucker (12-1-0, 146.0lb, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#183FW] Kyle Nelson (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:07 of round 3
2020-05-30: W vs. [#157FW] Spike Carlyle (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#220FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gavin Tucker (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#187FW] Justin Jaynes (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3
2019-07-27: W vs. [#259FW] Seung Woo Choi (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2017-09-09: L vs. [*] Rick Glenn (21-6-1) via UD (30-24, 29-27, 30-25)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Billy Quarantillo -170 60.17%
Elo K170 Billy Quarantillo 1759.08 +117.55 63.11%
Elo Modified Billy Quarantillo 1770.88 +142.35 65.09%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1837.39 +154.60 70.89%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1700.97 +62.67 57.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Quarantillo 91, Gavin Tucker 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Tecia Torres (11-5-0, 115.5lb, -625) vs. [#96FLY] Sam Hughes (5-1-0, 115.5lb, +450)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#16SW] Brianna Van Buren (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (12-1-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#3P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (2-1-0)
2020-10-16: W vs. [#185FLY] Danielle Hindley (4-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-07-17: L vs. [#85SW] Crystal Vanessa Demopoulo (5-3-0) via Technical Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 4
2020-01-31: W vs. [#152FLY] Lisa Mauldin (4-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tecia Torres -625 82.58%
Elo K170 Tecia Torres 1515.59 +278.93 78.15%
Elo Modified Tecia Torres 1517.39 +239.22 74.02%
Glicko-1 Tecia Torres 1531.85 +278.61 83.26%
WHR Tecia Torres 1506.73 +327.74 81.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Torres 175, Sam Hughes 57
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#170] Chase Hooper (9-1-1, 145.5lb, -345) vs. [#386] Peter Barrett (11-4-0, 145.5lb, +266)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#65FW] Alex Caceres (17-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#321FW] Daniel Teymur (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 1
2019-06-28: W vs. [*] Luis Gomez (7-4-0) via SUB in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Peter Barrett (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#131FW] Youssef Zalal (10-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-08-27: W vs. [#518WW] Sang Hoon Yoo (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-15: W vs. [#621LW] Zach DiSabatino (6-2-0) via TKO in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -345 73.94%
Elo K170 Chase Hooper 1455.10 +225.74 73.72%
Elo Modified Chase Hooper 1515.40 +209.55 71.45%
Glicko-1 Chase Hooper 1507.35 +216.68 77.68%
WHR Chase Hooper 1435.00 +242.64 75.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 189, Peter Barrett 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Tony Ferguson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Tony Ferguson vs. Charles Oliveira
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2020-12-12

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