Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira (2020-10-31)

2 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0, +177) vs. [*] Thiago Santos (21-7-0, -219)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (33-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#1LHW/#6DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [*] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Thiago Santos -219 65.53%
Elo K170 Glover Teixeira 2069.52 +38.31 54.37%
Elo Modified Thiago Santos 2087.11 +47.36 55.16%
Glicko-1 Thiago Santos 2208.58 +75.97 60.76%
WHR Thiago Santos 2009.17 +62.92 57.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 178, Thiago Santos 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#27] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0, +206) vs. [#36] Tanner Boser (19-6-1, -258)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#48HW+] Philipe Lins (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-07-20: W vs. [#26HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#83HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2020-06-27: W vs. [#48HW+] Philipe Lins (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2019-12-21: L vs. [#46HW+] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tanner Boser -258 68.80%
Elo K170 Andrei Arlovski 1655.25 +22.64 52.58%
Elo Modified Andrei Arlovski 1708.53 +7.98 50.87%
Glicko-1 Andrei Arlovski 1745.95 +18.47 52.66%
WHR Andrei Arlovski 1696.15 +89.79 60.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 178, Tanner Boser 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#16] Raoni Barcelos (15-1-0) vs. [#83] Khalid Taha (14-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#39BW] Said Nurmagomedov (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#274BW] Carlos Huachin (11-5-3) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:49 of round 2
2018-11-30: W vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (15-4-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#117FLY] Bruno Silva (10-6-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:00 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#544LW] Boston Salmon (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1
2018-07-22: L vs. [#145FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1920.02 +297.73 79.58%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1909.53 +277.03 77.08%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1961.00 +304.70 85.24%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1866.81 +313.13 80.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 322, Khalid Taha 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0, +114) vs. [#26] Brendan Allen (15-3-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Heinisch (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2019-12-14: L vs. [#15MW] Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#11MW] Derek Brunson (21-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#68MW] Kyle Daukaus (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#44MW] Tom Breese (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#37MW] Kevin Holland (20-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 1859.85 +62.49 57.09%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 1872.05 +56.51 56.15%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 1935.50 +46.56 56.66%
WHR Brendan Allen 1791.69 +49.47 55.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Heinisch 154, Brendan Allen 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Claudia Gadelha (18-4-0, +113) vs. [#11] Xiaonan Yan (12-1-0, -139)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #30 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (12-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#23SW] Randa Markos (10-9-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: L vs. [*] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#24SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (12-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-24: W vs. [*] Syuri Kondo (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -139 55.33%
Elo K170 Claudia Gadelha 1688.58 +90.75 60.22%
Elo Modified Claudia Gadelha 1627.66 +39.21 54.28%
Glicko-1 Claudia Gadelha 1596.74 +26.70 53.84%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1579.24 +25.95 52.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 175, Xiaonan Yan 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#46] Giga Chikadze (12-2-0) vs. [#609] James Krause-Simmons (6-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#122FW] Omar Morales (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#119BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#93FW] Jamall Emmers (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: James Krause-Simmons (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#1290FW] Morgan Sickinger (21-13-0) via TKO in 1:04 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [NA] Nick Spina (5-3-0) via TKO in 0:36 of round 1
2019-06-28: L vs. [#212FW] Jake Childers (8-1-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Giga Chikadze 1654.82 +434.05 87.90%
Elo Modified Giga Chikadze 1589.15 +339.68 81.56%
Glicko-1 Giga Chikadze 1606.46 +345.35 87.95%
WHR Giga Chikadze 1530.26 +362.84 83.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Giga Chikadze 28, James Krause-Simmons 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#32] Trevin Giles (12-2-0, -104) vs. [#113] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (1-2-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#29WW] James Krause (28-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-14-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-05-18: L vs. [#34MW] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bevon Lewis (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#211MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#55MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#13MW] Uriah Hall (16-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bevon Lewis -120 51.69%
Elo K170 Trevin Giles 1667.82 +233.18 74.37%
Elo Modified Trevin Giles 1637.81 +144.95 65.35%
Glicko-1 Trevin Giles 1666.06 +207.39 76.74%
WHR Trevin Giles 1572.36 +127.22 64.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 273, Bevon Lewis 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#54] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (17-6-1, +221) vs. [#70] Alexander Romanov (12-0-0, -276)

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#157HW+] Ben Sosoli (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-02-23: L vs. [#40HW+] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 2
2018-11-03: W vs. [*] Adam Wieczorek (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Romanov (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#129HW+] Roque Martinez (15-6-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:22 of round 2
2019-02-16: W vs. [*] Sergio Freitas (6-1-0) via TKO (Submission to Injury) in 2:28 of round 1
2018-11-03: W vs. [#115HW+] Sultan Murtazaliev (9-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Romanov -276 70.20%
Elo K170 Alexander Romanov 1640.07 +66.04 57.49%
Elo Modified Alexander Romanov 1691.93 +81.84 58.86%
Glicko-1 Alexander Romanov 1749.50 +110.71 65.42%
WHR Alexander Romanov 1712.12 +156.54 67.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcos Rogerio de Lima 259, Alexander Romanov 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#40] Darren Elkins (24-9-0, -206) vs. [#232] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (13-1-0, +169)
Darren Elkins is the All-Time #50 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (0-3-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#28FW] Nate Landwehr (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-07-13: L vs. [*] Ryan Hall (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-17: L vs. [*] Ricardo Lamas (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:09 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#127FW] Ricardo Ramos (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-08-10: W vs. [#171LW] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [NA] Stevens Diogo (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Darren Elkins -206 64.42%
Elo K170 Darren Elkins 1593.71 +81.00 59.15%
Elo Modified Darren Elkins 1613.30 +87.77 59.49%
Glicko-1 Darren Elkins 1647.68 +90.85 62.78%
WHR Darren Elkins 1606.09 +115.31 62.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Elkins 175, Luiz Eduardo Garagorri 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#68] Max Griffin (15-8-0, -175) vs. [*] Ramiz Brahimaj (8-2-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Max Griffin (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#54WW] Alex Oliveira (22-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#71WW] Alex Morono (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#341WW] Zelim Imadaev (8-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ramiz Brahimaj (2-1-0)
2019-03-22: W vs. [*] Carlos Martinez (5-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [#246WW] Justin Patterson (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-08-10: W vs. [#285MW] William Macario (10-5-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:34 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Griffin -175 60.92%
Elo K170 Max Griffin 1481.38 +118.49 63.21%
Elo Modified Max Griffin 1567.28 +167.51 67.55%
Glicko-1 Max Griffin 1616.64 +185.67 74.44%
WHR Max Griffin 1533.35 +155.03 67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Griffin 245, Ramiz Brahimaj 596
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Glover Teixeira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Glover Teixeira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Glover Teixeira vs. Thiago Santos
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Glover Teixeira vs. Thiago Santos
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-11-2