Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic (2020-08-29)

24 Aug , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#13] Anthony Smith (33-15-0, +247) vs. [#20] Aleksandar Rakic (12-2-0, -312)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #39 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#7LHW] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-06-01: W vs. [#22LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#10DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (2-1-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:42 of round 1
2018-12-08: W vs. [#41LHW] Devin Clark (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aleksandar Rakic -312 72.43%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1966.04 +258.58 76.52%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1980.16 +213.74 71.82%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 2047.55 +199.30 75.90%
WHR Anthony Smith 1849.91 +25.88 52.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 108, Aleksandar Rakic 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#10] Neil Magny (23-7-0, -239) vs. [#32] Robbie Lawler (28-14-0, +192)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#17WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#33WW] Jingliang Li (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-17: L vs. [*] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (0-3-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (15-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Neil Magny -239 67.30%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 2105.57 +116.96 63.05%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 2079.73 +142.78 65.14%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 2134.18 +156.22 71.08%
WHR Neil Magny 1926.15 +237.32 74.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 84, Robbie Lawler 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#18SW] Alexa Grasso (11-3-0, -308) vs. [#41] Ji Yeon Kim (9-2-2, +245)

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (1-2-0)
2019-09-21: L vs. [#7SW] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#26SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#5SW] Tatiana Suarez (8-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#141FLY] Nadia Kassem (5-2-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:59 of round 2
2018-11-30: L vs. [#19FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#45BW] Melinda Fabian (5-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexa Grasso -308 72.25%
Elo K170 Alexa Grasso 1464.06 +90.82 60.23%
Elo Modified Alexa Grasso 1503.25 +125.49 63.40%
Glicko-1 Alexa Grasso 1453.37 +92.61 63.02%
WHR Alexa Grasso 1464.01 +145.57 66.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 343, Ji Yeon Kim 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Magomed Ankalaev (13-1-0, -358) vs. [#40] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0, +278)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#40LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [#66LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [#43LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#21LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#45LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-27: L vs. [#7LHW] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -358 74.71%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 1870.40 +257.69 76.45%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 1873.42 +234.85 73.65%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 1933.39 +249.47 80.78%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 1803.82 +204.13 71.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 182, Ion Cutelaba 182
Previous Match-up Record: Magomed Ankalaev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#130] Maki Pitolo (13-6-0, +110) vs. [#149] Impa Kasanganay (7-0-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Maki Pitolo (1-2-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#49MW] Darren Stewart (12-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#183MW] Charles Byrd (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 2
2019-10-05: L vs. [#193WW] Callan Potter (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Impa Kasanganay (3-0-0)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#213MW] Anthony Adams (8-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-08-27: W vs. [#358MW] Kailan Hill (4-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-12: W vs. [#560MW] Devorious Tubbs (4-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Impa Kasanganay -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Impa Kasanganay 1496.96 +64.16 57.28%
Elo Modified Impa Kasanganay 1513.56 +57.10 56.22%
Glicko-1 Maki Pitolo 1482.35 +38.84 55.56%
WHR Maki Pitolo 1411.04 +96.78 60.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maki Pitolo 21, Impa Kasanganay 18
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#57] Mallory Martin (6-3-0, -302) vs. [#64] Hannah Cifers (10-6-0, +240)

Last 3 Fights: Mallory Martin (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#15SW] Virna Jandiroba (16-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 2
2019-11-01: W vs. [#173SW] Cynthia Arceo (5-2-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-08-20: W vs. [#114SW] Micol DiSegni (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hannah Cifers (0-3-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#48FLY] Mariya Agapova (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:42 of round 1
2020-05-30: L vs. [#31SW] Mackenzie Dern (8-1-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:36 of round 1
2020-01-25: L vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (12-8-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mallory Martin -302 71.86%
Elo K170 Mallory Martin 1316.48 +112.88 62.61%
Elo Modified Mallory Martin 1319.09 +99.12 60.68%
Glicko-1 Mallory Martin 1303.05 +133.65 68.34%
WHR Mallory Martin 1302.42 +170.21 68.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mallory Martin 266, Hannah Cifers 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#35] Zak Cummings (23-7-0, -108) vs. [#98] Alessio Di Chirico (12-4-0, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Zak Cummings (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#15MW] Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#34MW] Trevin Giles (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2018-12-15: W vs. [#106MW] Trevor Smith (15-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#42MW] Makhmud Muradov (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#43MW] Kevin Holland (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-06: W vs. [*] Julian Marquez (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alessio Di Chirico -115 50.74%
Elo K170 Zak Cummings 1748.71 +247.19 75.57%
Elo Modified Zak Cummings 1795.19 +317.88 80.08%
Glicko-1 Zak Cummings 1838.82 +344.37 87.90%
WHR Zak Cummings 1746.79 +263.38 76.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zak Cummings 357, Alessio Di Chirico 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#68] Alex Caceres (16-12-0, +197) vs. [#79] Giga Chikadze (11-2-0, -245)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#175FW] Chase Hooper (9-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#134FW] Steven Peterson (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#55FW] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#130BW] Irwin Rivera (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#91FW] Jamall Emmers (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#189FW] Brandon Davis (10-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Giga Chikadze -245 67.83%
Elo K170 Alex Caceres 1604.22 +57.37 56.52%
Elo Modified Alex Caceres 1658.63 +182.29 68.96%
Glicko-1 Alex Caceres 1626.79 +130.94 68.00%
WHR Alex Caceres 1558.20 +127.91 64.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 84, Giga Chikadze 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#75] Polyana Viana (10-4-0, -110) vs. [#77] Emily Whitmire (4-3-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Polyana Viana (0-3-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#52BW] Veronica Macedo (6-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:09 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#64SW] Hannah Cifers (10-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#42FLY] J.J. Aldrich (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Emily Whitmire (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#12SW] Amanda Ribas (10-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2019-02-17: W vs. [#120SW] Aleksandra Albu (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [*] Jamie Moyle (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Emily Whitmire -112 50.21%
Elo K170 Emily Whitmire 1188.91 +64.88 57.36%
Elo Modified Emily Whitmire 1250.21 +17.04 51.86%
Glicko-1 Polyana Viana 1229.12 +34.33 54.92%
WHR Emily Whitmire 1184.28 +12.29 51.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Polyana Viana 385, Emily Whitmire 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Polyana Viana leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#35] Sean Brady (12-0-0, -386) vs. [#130] Christian Aguilera (14-6-0, +299)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#46WW] Ismail Naurdiev (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-27)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#100WW] Court McGee (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-16: W vs. [*] Tajuddin Abdul Hakim (8-2-0) via TKO in 3:36 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Christian Aguilera (3-0-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#184WW] Anthony Ivy (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2020-01-31: W vs. [#769LW] Glaucio Eliziario (9-6-0) via UD ()
2019-10-04: W vs. [#672WW] Krzysztof Kulak (31-18-2) via TKO in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -386 76.01%
Elo K170 Sean Brady 1820.89 +241.97 75.13%
Elo Modified Sean Brady 1834.97 +238.71 73.98%
Glicko-1 Sean Brady 1844.19 +221.96 78.20%
WHR Sean Brady 1768.49 +265.70 77.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Brady 182, Christian Aguilera 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Stored DD Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Neil Magny vs. Robbie Lawler
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Neil Magny vs. Robbie Lawler
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-8-24