Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 18: Kattar vs. Ige (2020-07-15)

14 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Featherweight (146)
[#8] Calvin Kattar (21-4-0, 146.0lb, -312) vs. [#10] Dan Ige (14-2-0, 145.0lb, +244)

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#17FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-11-09: L vs. [#6FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (18-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#19FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#18FW] Edson Barboza (20-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#34FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#111LW] Kevin Aguilar (17-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Calvin Kattar -312 72.26%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1996.74 +96.28 60.82%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1890.44 +5.11 50.56%
Glicko-1 Calvin Kattar 1964.66 +69.50 59.87%
WHR Calvin Kattar 1869.12 +149.54 66.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 67, Dan Ige 60
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dan Ige leads 1-0
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Flyweight (126)
[#57] Tim Elliott (15-11-1, 125.0lb, -125) vs. [#70] Ryan Benoit (10-6-0, 126.0lb, +101)
Tim Elliott is the All-Time #48 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (0-3-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#13FLY] Brandon Royval (11-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2020-01-18: L vs. [#8FLY] Askar Askarov (11-0-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#1FLY/#10DD] Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Benoit (1-2-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#133BW] Heili Alateng (14-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#844BW] Ashkan Mokhtarian (13-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:38 of round 3
2016-12-03: L vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (17-5-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tim Elliott -125 52.75%
Elo K170 Tim Elliott 1522.08 +155.25 67.02%
Elo Modified Tim Elliott 1525.71 +67.90 57.38%
Glicko-1 Tim Elliott 1539.76 +49.78 57.12%
WHR Tim Elliott 1470.38 +22.14 52.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 46, Ryan Benoit 207
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#30] Cody Stamann (19-2-1, 145.0lb, +114) vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0, 145.0lb, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (2-0-1)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#57FW] Brian Kelleher (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#15BW] Yadong Song (16-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-03-02: W vs. [#43BW] Alejandro Perez (21-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmie Rivera (1-2-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#10P4P] Petr Yan (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (21-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmie Rivera -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Cody Stamann 1889.26 +68.81 57.80%
Elo Modified Cody Stamann 1838.42 +30.68 53.35%
Glicko-1 Jimmie Rivera 1863.80 +9.12 51.31%
WHR Jimmie Rivera 1789.13 +90.21 60.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 39, Jimmie Rivera 403
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Molly McCann (10-2-0, 125.0lb, -127) vs. [*] Taila Santos (15-1-0, 125.0lb, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#115FLY] Diana Belbita (13-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#30FLY] Ariane Lipski (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#53FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#59FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [*] Estefani Almeida (8-2-0) via UD ()
2016-08-13: W vs. [NA] Laisa Coimbra (0-10-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 1:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Molly McCann -127 53.05%
Elo K170 Molly McCann 1512.51 +110.60 62.37%
Elo Modified Molly McCann 1511.15 +39.51 54.31%
Glicko-1 Taila Santos 1524.80 +18.01 52.59%
WHR Molly McCann 1414.85 +1.91 50.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Molly McCann 271, Taila Santos 529
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (174)
[*] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0, 174.0lb, -335) vs. [#258] Mounir Lazzez (9-1-0, 171.0lb, +260)

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (3-0-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#51WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#153WW] Sabah Homasi (13-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:47 of round 1
2017-12-02: W vs. [#153WW] Sabah Homasi (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mounir Lazzez (2-1-0)
2020-02-07: W vs. [#743WW] Arber Murati (10-9-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#794WW] Piotr Danelski (5-3-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:48 of round 1
2019-04-19: L vs. [*] Eldar Eldarov (12-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abdul Razak Alhassan -335 73.48%
Elo K170 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1702.31 +228.23 73.94%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1749.12 +208.32 71.34%
Glicko-1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1801.45 +246.78 80.54%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1752.87 +195.61 70.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abdul Razak Alhassan 676, Mounir Lazzez 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (186)
[#119] Khamzat Chimaev (6-0-0, 186.0lb, -344) vs. [#139] John Phillips (22-9-0, 186.0lb, +266)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#316MW] Mzwandile Hlongwa (4-2-0) via SUB in of round 2
2019-04-19: W vs. [#196MW] Ikram Aliskerov (9-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:26 of round 1
2018-12-22: W vs. [*] Sidney Wheeler (8-4-0) via Submission (Strikes) in 0:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: John Phillips (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#300MW] Alen Amedovski (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 1
2019-03-16: L vs. [#108MW] Jack Marshman (23-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#44MW] Kevin Holland (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -344 73.93%
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 1519.05 +46.50 55.29%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 1608.77 +68.96 57.49%
Glicko-1 John Phillips 1598.62 +22.85 53.29%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 1527.96 +54.11 56.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 285, John Phillips 291
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#86] Ricardo Ramos (14-2-0, 145.0lb, -155) vs. [#231] Lerone Murphy (8-0-1, 146.0lb, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#247FW] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#196BW] Journey Newson (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#41BW] Said Nurmagomedov (13-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 2:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (2-0-1)
2019-09-07: D vs. [#45FW] Zubaira Tukhugov (19-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-05-18: W vs. [#483FW] Manolo Scianna (8-4-0) via TKO in 2:22 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#537BW] Ayton De Paepe (10-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricardo Ramos -155 58.19%
Elo K170 Ricardo Ramos 1744.15 +250.82 75.88%
Elo Modified Ricardo Ramos 1729.32 +203.74 70.93%
Glicko-1 Ricardo Ramos 1744.24 +236.44 79.59%
WHR Ricardo Ramos 1661.57 +172.65 68.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricardo Ramos 242, Lerone Murphy 312
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (206)
[#77] Andreas Michailidis (12-3-0, 206.0lb, +178) vs. [#80] Modestas Bukauskas (10-2-0, 205.0lb, -222)

Last 3 Fights: Andreas Michailidis (3-0-0)
2019-12-13: W vs. [#222LHW] Arymarcel Santos (41-38-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 1
2019-04-26: W vs. [#270MW] Marcel Fortuna (9-4-0) via TKO in 4:26 of round 1
2017-12-10: W vs. [#251MW] Tomas Bolo (9-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (3-0-0)
2019-11-22: W vs. [#219LHW] Riccardo Nosiglia (8-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:51 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#187LHW] Marthin Hamlet (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 4
2019-03-02: W vs. [#113LHW] Marcin Wojcik (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Modestas Bukauskas -222 65.71%
Elo K170 Andreas Michailidis 1568.68 +81.31 59.18%
Elo Modified Andreas Michailidis 1610.49 +97.27 60.49%
Glicko-1 Andreas Michailidis 1654.12 +107.73 65.02%
WHR Andreas Michailidis 1654.38 +139.96 65.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andreas Michailidis 215, Modestas Bukauskas 236
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (149)
[#106LW] Jared Gordon (15-4-0, 145.0lb, -147) vs. [#138] Chris Fishgold (18-3-1, 149.0lb, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#5LW] Charles Oliveira (29-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#148LW] Dan Moret (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#117LW] Joaquim Silva (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chris Fishgold (1-2-0)
2019-06-01: L vs. [#50FW] Makwan Amirkhani (16-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2019-02-23: W vs. [#342FW] Daniel Teymur (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:10 of round 2
2018-10-27: L vs. [#8FW] Calvin Kattar (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jared Gordon -147 56.91%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1588.84 +34.39 53.92%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1597.02 +14.07 51.54%
Glicko-1 Chris Fishgold 1593.90 +22.61 53.25%
WHR Jared Gordon 1584.42 +50.78 55.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 242, Chris Fishgold 410
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (126)
[#58BW] Liana Jojua (7-3-0, 126.0lb, +141) vs. [#115] Diana Belbita (13-5-0, 125.0lb, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Liana Jojua (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#29BW] Sarah Moras (6-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 3
2018-02-22: W vs. [*] Marina Mokhnatkina (4-2-0) via MD ()
2017-12-29: W vs. [NA] Viktoriya Shalimova (3-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Diana Belbita (2-1-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#19FLY] Molly McCann (10-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-05-13: W vs. [#158FLY] Ana Maria Pal (2-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:26 of round 2
2018-12-10: W vs. [NA] Milena Bojic (0-2-0) via TKO in 0:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diana Belbita -171 60.33%
Elo K170 Diana Belbita 1235.82 +34.45 53.93%
Elo Modified Diana Belbita 1255.10 +15.30 51.67%
Glicko-1 Diana Belbita 1263.47 +70.97 60.07%
WHR Diana Belbita 1209.10 +64.72 57.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liana Jojua 312, Diana Belbita 271
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (136)
[#44] Jack Shore (12-0-0, 136.0lb, -694) vs. [#188] Aaron Phillips (12-3-0, 135.0lb, +474)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Shore (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#167BW] Nohelin Hernandez (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:51 of round 3
2019-04-27: W vs. [#738BW] Scott Malone (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:28 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [#265BW] Mike Ekundayo (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Phillips (3-0-0)
2019-11-07: W vs. [#892FW] Ariston Franca (10-6-0) via TKO in 1:16 of round 1
2019-03-21: W vs. [#1169FW] Devante Sewell (7-5-0) via UD ()
2018-11-10: W vs. [*] Anthony Retic (6-7-0) via SUB in 1:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Shore -694 83.38%
Elo K170 Jack Shore 1701.54 +250.63 75.86%
Elo Modified Jack Shore 1713.09 +258.45 75.61%
Glicko-1 Jack Shore 1744.46 +256.93 81.44%
WHR Jack Shore 1651.59 +200.12 71.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Shore 291, Aaron Phillips 251
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Calvin Kattar
Highest Stored DD Rating: Calvin Kattar
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-7-14