Fight Odds: Brown vs Silva
Let me start off by saying that I don’t bet on MMA fights. Mixed Martial Arts is often an unpredictable sport. With so many different ways to win, a fight can be over in a blink of an eye, and a fighter who was dominating early might find himself on the canvass staring at the arena lights and wondering what happened. The unpredictability is a big part of what makes MMA fun to watch… but not so much to bet on. Even when you’re absolutely certain that your guy (or girl) will win, fights often happen to go the distance. At which point you might as well flip a coin, at least that what is seems like the judges do sometimes, judging by how many bizarre decisions and inconsistent scorecards they turn in. On top of that, the bookies who set the betting odds do this stuff for a living and don’t like losing money, so you have to assume that the odds-makers kind of know what they’re doing. Taking all that into consideration, it ‘s not easy to make money betting on fights. In fact you may just be better off trying your luck at GameVillage Bingo, or spending some time here.
That said, every now and then a fight comes along where the betting odds just don’t seem to mesh with the reality. And I believe that the welterweight match up between Matt Brown and Erick Silva, coming up this Saturday at UFC Fight Night in Cincinnati, is one of those fights. [#11] Matt Brown holds a significant rating advantage over [#26] Erick Silva. The official UFC rankings concur (with Brown at #7 and Silva #14). Brown is on a six-win streak, five of those T/KO stoppages inside of two rounds. Silva on the other hand has been alternating wins and losses in his UFC fights, and suffered a brutal KO courtesy of Dong Hyun Kim prior to his most recent win over Takenori Sato. While losses to Kim and Jon Fitch are nothing to be ashamed of, the list of opponents that Brown defeated is more impressive than Silva’s. And Brown is far more experienced in the UFC Octagon. And yet, all major sports betting sites have Erick Silva as a 2-1 favorite over Brown, with odds as high as (-250) Silva and (+206) Brown.
Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
| Thursday, December 31st 2026: Rizin FF Super Rizin 6: Shiwasu no Owarinagoya Gekokujo Matsuri | |||
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina |  [#4 W105] Saori Oshima | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/10/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#18 W105] Rena Kubota Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 7/18/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#13 W105] Ye Ji Lee Last 5: L W L W W | ||
| Sunday, December 13th 2026: Deep - 135 Impact | |||
| [#3 SW] Sukai China | [#4 SW] Jo Arai | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 5/04/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#6 SW] Sora Sugiyama Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 9/13/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#23 SW] Daichi Kitakata Last 5: L L W L W | ||
| Sunday, December 13th 2026: Deep Tokyo Impact 2026 6th Round | |||
| [#6 SW] Sora Sugiyama | [#10 SW] Goal Makino | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/20/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [NR] Musashi Musashi Last 5: W W W L W | Last Fight Date: 9/06/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#42 SW] Toshiya Takashima Last 5: W W W W W | ||
Featured Fighters
| [#18 W125] |  Lucia Szabova | [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev | |
| [#18 LW] |  Renato Carneiro | [#1 FW] |  Alexander Volkanovski | |
| [#13 LW] | Tom Nolan | [#26 WW] |  Jacobe Smith | |
| [#102 W125] | Tainara Lisboa | [#1 LW] | Justin Gaethje | |
| [#2 LW] |  Ilia Topuria | [#8 HW] | Josh Hokit |
Fight Matrix Program: UFC Fight Night – Brown vs. Silva (05-10-2014)
Welterweight (170)
[#11] Matt Brown (18-11-0, +185) vs. [#26] Erick Silva (16-4-0, -228)
Last 3 Fights: Matt Brown (3-0-0)
2013-08-17: W vs. [#17WW] Mike Pyle (26-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1
2013-04-20: W vs. [#24WW] Jordan Mein (28-9-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:00 of round 2
2012-12-08: W vs. [*] Mike Swick (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Erick Silva (2-1-0)
2014-02-15: W vs. [#134WW] Takenori Sato (17-9-7) via KO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 1
2013-10-09: L vs. [#8WW] Dong Hyun Kim (19-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:01 of round 2
2013-06-08: W vs. [#34WW] Jason High (18-4-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 1:11 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Brown 266, Erick Silva 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#18] Costas Philippou (12-4-0, +185) vs. [#25] Lorenz Larkin (14-2-0, -226)
Last 3 Fights: Costas Philippou (1-2-0)
2014-01-15: L vs. [#6MW] Luke Rockhold (12-2-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:31 of round 1
2013-09-21: L vs. [#12MW] Francis Carmont (22-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-12-29: W vs. [#17MW] Tim Boetsch (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (1-2-0)
2014-01-15: L vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-11-06: W vs. [#33MW] Chris Camozzi (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2013-04-20: L vs. [#12MW] Francis Carmont (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Costas Philippou 115, Lorenz Larkin 115
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#76] Daron Cruickshank (14-4-0, +258) vs. [#105] Erik Koch (14-3-0, -329)
Last 3 Fights: Daron Cruickshank (2-1-0)
2014-01-25: W vs. [#258LW] Mike Rio (9-4-0) via TKO (Wheel Kick and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2013-11-09: L vs. [#55LW] Adriano Martins (25-7-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 2:49 of round 2
2013-07-27: W vs. [#57LW] Yves Edwards (42-20-1) via SD (27-30, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Erik Koch (1-2-0)
2014-02-22: W vs. [#274LW] Rafaello Oliveira (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 1
2013-08-31: L vs. [#8FW] Dustin Poirier (16-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2013-01-26: L vs. [#10FW] Ricardo Lamas (13-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:32 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daron Cruickshank 105, Erik Koch 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
All-Time MMA Rankings: The Best Non-ZUFFA Fighters in History
In case you didn’t know, we feature career-long All-Time MMA Rankings. Using monthly snapshots as fuel (that we refresh every month), we derive Top 25s for each division, Women and Absolute. We also have a Peak Divisional Dominance list, but this is quite different as it looks at absolute peak, relative to the state of the division at that sliver of time.
We stop each list at Top 25, partially because every list has to stop somewhere, but mostly because we really don’t want to get into arguments as to why #74 is ranked higher than #76 — the list can get quite noisy once you get beyond the Top 25…. where things become really tight.
In any case, I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the 5 highest-ranking Absolute fighters that never fought in the UFC or any organization that ZUFFA has acquired… and here we go.
Fighters are listed with their career records and all-time rankings:
5. Bibiano Fernandes (16-3 | Bantam: #8 | Feather: #23 | Absolute: #82)
Quite possibly the best fighter in recent history steering clear of the states along with Shinya Aoki, Fernandes has actually made the Top 25 in two divisions within our All-Time MMA Rankings. As these have traditionally been weaker divisions, he is far from the Top 25 within the Absolute list.
Fight Matrix Program: UFC 172 (04-26-2014)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (19-1-0, -526) vs. [#6] Glover Teixeira (22-2-0, +387)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2013-09-21: W vs. [#4LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (16-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#8LHW] Chael Sonnen (28-14-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2012-09-22: W vs. [#3MW/#9DD] Vitor Belfort (24-10-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 0:54 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2013-09-04: W vs. [#12LHW] Ryan Bader (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2013-05-25: W vs. [#20LHW] James Te Huna (16-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2013-01-26: W vs. [#14LHW] Quinton Jackson (34-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 217, Glover Teixeira 234
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Phil Davis (12-1-0, -214) vs. [#13] Anthony Johnson (16-4-0, +175)
Phil Davis is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Phil Davis (3-0-0)
2013-08-03: W vs. [#2MW/#8DD/#7P4P] Lyoto Machida (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#41LHW] Vinny Magalhaes (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2012-10-13: W vs. [#156LHW] Wagner Prado (9-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:29 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Anthony Johnson (3-0-0)
2014-01-18: W vs. [#29LHW] Mike Kyle (20-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2013-03-23: W vs. [#16HW+] Andrei Arlovski (21-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-11-03: W vs. [#40HW+] D.J. Linderman (16-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:58 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Phil Davis 266, Anthony Johnson 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#6] Luke Rockhold (11-2-0, -823) vs. [#17] Tim Boetsch (17-6-0, +548)
Luke Rockhold is the All-Time #16 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (2-1-0)
2014-01-15: W vs. [#18MW] Costas Philippou (12-4-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:31 of round 1
2013-05-18: L vs. [#3MW/#9DD] Vitor Belfort (24-10-0) via KO (Spinning Heel Kick and Punches) in 2:32 of round 1
2012-07-14: W vs. [#7MW] Tim Kennedy (18-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Tim Boetsch (1-2-0)
2013-10-19: W vs. [#28MW] C.B. Dollaway (14-5-0) via SD (30-26, 27-29, 30-26)
2013-07-06: L vs. [#9MW] Mark Munoz (13-4-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-27)
2012-12-29: L vs. [#18MW] Costas Philippou (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luke Rockhold 101, Tim Boetsch 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luke Rockhold leads 1-0
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Keep Reading
Khabib Nurmagomedov Wrestling a Bear
A video of young boys wrestling a bear surfaced in December. One of the boys was rumored to be the undefeated UFC lightweight contender Khabib Nurmagomedov. Recently, Khabib confirmed that he is the boy in the video:
This is just awesome. Confirms my feelings that Nurmagomedov is the next lightweight champion.
Here’s a hilarious review of his bear-wrestling technique (before it was confirmed to be Khabib): My Outrage Over Video of Young Boy Wrestling Bear