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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program: UFC Fight Night – Nogueira/Nelson (04-11-2014)

Posted on April 10, 2014 by Jason

Heavyweight (255)
[#12] Roy Nelson (19-9-0, 255.5lb, -131) vs. [#13] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-8-1, 238.0lb, +106)
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is the All-Time #2 ranked Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (1-2-0)
2013-10-19: L vs. [#7LHW] Daniel Cormier (14-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-06-15: L vs. [#8HW+] Stipe Miocic (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#19HW+] Cheick Kongo (20-9-2) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (1-2-0)
2013-06-08: L vs. [#4HW+] Fabricio Werdum (17-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:41 of round 2
2012-10-13: W vs. [#101HW+] Dave Herman (21-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:31 of round 2
2011-12-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Frank Mir (16-9-0) via Technical Submission (Kimura) in 3:38 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roy Nelson 174, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 307
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira leads 4-3
.

Featherweight (146)
[#10] Clay Guida (30-14-0, 146.0lb, -130) vs. [#19] Tatsuya Kawajiri (33-7-2, 146.0lb, +106)

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2013-08-31: L vs. [#2FW/#10P4P] Chad Mendes (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 3
2013-01-26: W vs. [#24FW] Hatsu Hioki (27-7-2) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-06-22: L vs. [#19LW] Gray Maynard (11-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuya Kawajiri (3-0-0)
2014-01-04: W vs. [#130FW] Sean Soriano (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:50 of round 2
2012-12-31: W vs. [#103FW] Michihiro Omigawa (13-14-1) via UD ()
2012-03-31: W vs. [#129FW] Donald Sanchez (29-14-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:27 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 223, Tatsuya Kawajiri 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Clay Guida leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (171)
[#30] John Howard (22-8-0, 171.0lb, +298) vs. [#32] Ryan LaFlare (10-0-0, 171.0lb, -374)

Last 3 Fights: John Howard (3-0-0)
2013-12-28: W vs. [#41WW] Siyar Bahadurzada (21-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-08-17: W vs. [#29MW] Uriah Hall (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2013-06-07: W vs. [#1658WW] Chris Woodall (1-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ryan LaFlare (3-0-0)
2013-12-14: W vs. [#42WW] Court McGee (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-11-09: W vs. [#173WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-04-06: W vs. [#144WW] Ben Alloway (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Howard 104, Ryan LaFlare 118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Eccentric Aging

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-09-2014)

Posted on April 9, 2014 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Refinement of veteran profiling adjustment due to results of objective analysis.

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Friday, October 16th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Chicago 2: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2
 [#6 W125] Liz Carmouche [#14 W125] Jena Bishop
Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#15 W125] Viviane Araujo
Last 5: L W W W W
Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#37 W125] Ariane Lipski da Silva
Last 5: W W L W W
Thursday, December 31st 2026: Rizin FF New Years Eve Event
 [#5 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev [#16 FW] Kyoma Akimoto
Last Fight Date: 9/10/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#7 FW] A.J. McKee
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 8/11/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#25 FW] Kleber Koike Erbst
Last 5: W W W W W
Saturday, November 14th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Returns to Dubai: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy
 [#6 HW] Vadim Nemkov [#16 HW] Sergey Bilostenniy
Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 5/02/2026 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira
Last 5: W W L W W
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Featured Fighters

[#49 LW]  Mikuru Asakura [#5 FW]  Rajabali Shaidullaev
[#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev [#1 FW]  Alexander Volkanovski
[#29 FW]  Ren Hiramoto [#1 FLW]  Joshua Van
[#33 LW]  Akbar Abdullaev [#4 LW]  Arman Tsarukyan
[#9 LW]  Mauricio Ruffy [#4 FW]  Movsar Evloev

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-06-2014)

Posted on April 6, 2014 by Jason

Notable Info

  • The latest rankings include the initial iteration of “veteran profiling”, which will help prevent continual overrating of experienced fighters.  Although code is in place to prevent this from a general perspective, some experienced late-career fighters creep back up the rankings with incremental point bursts without ever fighting top competition again only to perpetually drop the ball against lower rated competition.
    The belief is that if they did fight top competition, they would lose and have their progress reversed or at least halted more often.  This is evidenced by multiple losses to lower-rated competition, which have been treated consistently across the board… this will no longer be the case, though this initial version is very mild in its effects.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-31-2014)

Posted on March 31, 2014 by Jason
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WSoF 9 – Rousimar Palhares Vs. Steve Carl

Posted on March 30, 2014 by Ked Becker

Watching the fight I was surprised by Carl’s strategy: not only did he let Palhares get the takedown relatively easily, after that he had full guard and yet decided to go for a Triangle choke against one of the best BJJ artists in the game.  It’s not like he got lucky and Palhares fell into a Triangle position and Carl tried to capitalize on it.  He tried to manufacture it out of thin air.

I have to admire him for his courage and risk taking, but this was very foolish against a guy like Palhares.

Palhares, of course, quickly turned the situation into another spectacular heel hook, showing once again his amazing submission skills.

Palhares again seemed to hold a little too long, though nothing that would jeopardize his future in WSOF.  But the fact that even after he was released from the UFC for this behavior he still seems not to be able to entirely not do it, shows, in my opinion, that’s it’s a bit out of his control.  He is so focused on the moment that he is just oblivious to what happens around him.   When most submission artists feel their opponents’ tap they continue to hold the position but release the pressure, waiting for the call by the referee, thus allowing themselves to continue to squeeze in case the referee doesn’t stop the fight, and the opponent tries to continue to fight, which is not such a big risk since the cameras usually catch the tap (Anderson Silva Vs. Chael Sonnen 1).

But not Palhares.   Not only does he continue to squeeze after the tap, it even takes him some time to notice the referee is pulling his hand away.  It’s not done maliciously, but that doesn’t make it any less dangerous.

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Nick Newell’s title opportunity

Posted on March 28, 2014 by Ked Becker

Nick Newell, the one-armed man, was just named the next fighter to fight for the WSOF lightweight title.   So I checked the Lightweight Rankings filtered to WSOF and found, not surprisingly, that Newell is ranked #12 in WSOF, which means there are quite a few fighters more deserving of a title shot than him.

It’s an obvious publicity trick by WSOF, trying to get attention through Newell’s uniqueness, and not his fighting record.  I’m just disappointed with the MMA media which didn’t see fit to call this, and for the most part just reported the news as if it was just another MMA title fight.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-27-2014)

Posted on March 27, 2014 by Jason

Notable Info (Intermediate Release)

  • Fixed bug which affected some newly ranked women to be incorrectly interpreted as men for rating calculation purposes.  Due to division differences, this caused some newly ranked women to be rated higher than they should’ve been for their debut ranking.  This always resolved itself on the second run, but now it is no longer an issue.
  • Very minor tweak with regards to handling of super-elite fighters with a habit of fighting sporadically while keeping a strong opposition profile.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-23-2014)

Posted on March 23, 2014 by Jason

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Henderson (03-23-2014)

Posted on March 17, 2014 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Dan Henderson (29-11-0, +186) vs. [#10] Mauricio Rua (22-8-0, -221)
Dan Henderson is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #6 ranked Light Heavyweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Henderson (0-3-0)
2013-11-09: L vs. [#3MW/#9DD] Vitor Belfort (24-10-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:17 of round 1
2013-06-15: L vs. [#2LHW] Rashad Evans (21-3-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-02-23: L vs. [#2MW/#8DD/#8P4P] Lyoto Machida (21-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (1-2-0)
2013-12-07: W vs. [#21LHW] James Te Huna (16-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2013-08-17: L vs. [#8LHW] Chael Sonnen (28-14-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:47 of round 1
2012-12-08: L vs. [#4LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Henderson 134, Mauricio Rua 106
Previous Match-up Record: Dan Henderson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mauricio Rua leads 8-6
.

Middleweight (185)
[#49] C.B. Dollaway (13-5-0) vs. [#62] Cezar Ferreira (7-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: C.B. Dollaway (2-1-0)
2013-10-19: L vs. [#15MW] Tim Boetsch (17-6-0) via SD (30-26, 27-29, 30-26)
2013-01-19: W vs. [#90MW] Daniel Sarafian (8-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-05-26: W vs. [*] Jason Miller (23-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Cezar Ferreira (3-0-0)
2013-11-09: W vs. [#90MW] Daniel Sarafian (8-4-0) via SD (28-29, 30-28, 30-27)
2013-08-03: W vs. [#235MW] Thiago Santos (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2012-06-23: W vs. [#81WW] Sergio Moraes (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: C.B. Dollaway 155, Cezar Ferreira 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#80WW] Leonardo Santos (12-3-0) vs. [#72] Norman Parke (19-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Santos (3-0-0)
2013-06-08: W vs. [#111WW] William Macario (7-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:43 of round 2
2012-09-01: W vs. [#221LW] Mark Holst (12-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2012-03-10: W vs. [#1165FW] Gilmar Silva Milhorance (2-10-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Norman Parke (3-0-0)
2013-10-26: W vs. [#289LW] Jon Tuck (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2013-07-06: W vs. [#147LW] Kazuki Tokudome (12-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-12-15: W vs. [#187LW] Colin Fletcher (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leonardo Santos 288, Norman Parke 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-16-2014)

Posted on March 16, 2014 by Jason

Notable Info

  • [#31] Konstantin Gluhov, one of the most inconsistent fringe contenders you’ve never heard of, pops back into the Top 50 at Heavyweight for what seems to be the billionth time, with a win over respectable journeyman [#55] Kenny Garner.
  • Speaking of Heavyweight journeymen, [#64] James Thompson returned with a win over now barely ranked, [#232] Colin Robinson.  Amazingly, Thompson is 4-0 with a no contest, in his last 5.  Though 3 of those wins are against former pro wrestlers and musclebound freak-shows.  I don’t know enough about Robinson to categorize him as such.
  • A three-headed dragon has emerged at Welterweight for the top contender spot, between [#2] Rory MacDonald, [#3] Hector Lombard, and [#4] Tyron Woodley.  My gut tells me we’ll see MacDonald get the shot at one of the Canadian shows in September or October.  Lombard/Woodley makes a good “next contender” match, but leaves [#5] Robbie Lawler as the odd man out.
  • Page 3 of the Featherweight rankings yield a “WTF” moment, as one will notice we got a late result for [#147] Alexandre Franca Nogueira who jumped 74 spots. Yes, the same Nogueira that was basically the top Featherweight between 2000 and 2005.
  • It appears the wheels have finally come off of the leftovers from the golden era of the Shooto 56kg division, as [#62] Yasuhiro Urushitani and [#65] Shinchi Kojima both were beaten in their respective bouts this past weekend.  Ratings-wise they were both in nearly 50/50 fights and in all fairness, Kojima’s opponent badly missed weight, but they join [#68] Mamoru Yamaguchi in the same segment of the Flyweight rankings.

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