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Will OneFC Become the “One” Where Careers and Legacies Die?

Posted on January 9, 2019 by Jason

With the recent acquisitions of Eddie Alvarez and Demetrious Johnson, One Championship signed two proven legends still in their prime, or at worst, not far removed from it.

That’s the good part.  The bad part is that this may be the start of a trend — one that sees mid to mid-late career high profile fighters leave the UFC for a smooth descent to their careers.

Many will likely see this as a positive, mostly because UFC is a bit of a monopoly as it pertains to the upper echelon of the sport.  However, monopolies can be good in a sport where matchmaking on the lesser levels of the sport is mediocre at best.

This type of lackluster matchmaking is truly on display in Alvarez’s and Johnson’s next fights, neither of which are coming back from major injury or inactivity.

Last 4 Opponents + OneFC Scheduled Bouts

Eddie Alvarez (#4 LW) Demetrious Johnson (#2 FLY)
McGregor (#6 WW) Elliott (#9 FLY)
Poirier (#16 LW) Reis (#7 FLY)
Gaethje (#9 LW) Borg (#4 FLY)
Poirier (#5 LW) Cejudo (#2 FLY)
Nastyukhin (#196 WW) Wakamatsu (#354 BW)

Historical ranks used are from the Generated Historical Rankings set previous to the bout.

Now, I don’t know about you… but it feels like something is wrong with this picture.

Not only is OneFC headquartered on the opposite side of the globe and not only are they responsible for their wonky divisional structure that nobody really 100% understands (at least not the last time I looked) but the opposition quality that Alvarez & Johnson are facing is extremely lacking.  This isn’t the type of crappy matchmaking that plagues the lower levels of MMA — it is far worse.  I seriously doubt that a commission would sanction this match anywhere in the US, outside of say.. one located on a Native American reservation in Montana.

Boxing catches grief, because giant favorites are a common theme, especially on undercards.  MMA is not boxing and upsets happen much more frequently.  I have intimate knowledge of the rating system and database over at BoxRec, as well as the ones used here, obviously, and I estimate that upsets on the relevant level happen about 2.5 times as much in MMA, than they do in boxing.  Having said that, what happens if Alvarez or Johnson lose?  After all, shit happens.  What happens if they win?  Who cares?

I hope the money is worth it.

 

2018 Awards: Men’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 8, 2019 by Jason

As a recap, most “Fighter of the Year” awards on other sites are really “Breakout Fighter of the Year” awards in that fighters who win, were usually not top fighters in the beginning of the year, but became so by the end of the year.

A fighter like this can and has won our FotY awards, but our award is more about maintaining a high standing during the award year by performing well a sufficient number of times and against a sufficient quality of opponents.  It is more comparable to a season MVP in major team sports, not a playoffs/surprise MVP.

 

Winner: Daniel Cormier

I like easy decisions.  Cormier picked up three wins, all in title fights and is now a double champion.  What more can you ask for?

 

Runner-Up: Khabib Nurmagomedov

After Cormier, it gets fuzzy.. you’re basically looking for fighters with two or more wins in major title fights and Nurmagomedov fits the bill.

 

3rd Place: Dustin Poirier

Wins over two highly ranked fighters in a calendar year is a larger rarity than you might think and I hate considering fighters for such a distinction if they only fought once.  Poirier had about as good of year as you can, without challenging for or defending a major title.

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 [#5 W105] Saori Oshima [#11 W105] Keito Oyama
Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#1 W105] Seika Izawa
Last 5: W L L W L
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Last Opponent: [NR] Bo Mi Lee
Last 5: L W W W W
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 [#7 W105] Moeri Suda [#10 W105] Namiko Kawabata
Last Fight Date: 9/15/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#5 W105] Saori Oshima
Last 5: W W W W L
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Last Opponent: [#36 W105] Honoka Shigeta
Last 5: L L L W W
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 [#8 MW] Costello Van Steenis [#13 MW] Fabian Edwards
Last Fight Date: 7/19/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#14 MW] Johnny Eblen
Last 5: W L W W W
Last Fight Date: 8/21/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#29 MW] Dalton Rosta
Last 5: W L W W W

Featured Fighters

[#5 LW]  Justin Gaethje [#11 LW]  Paddy Pimblett
[#1 LW]  Ilia Topuria [#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev
[#2 LW]  Arman Tsarukyan [NR]  Conor McGregor
[NR]  Khabib Nurmagomedov [#174 MW]  Andrey Pulyaev
[#7 BW]  Yadong Song [#3 BW]  Sean OMalley
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2018 Awards: Women’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 7, 2019 by Jason

As a recap, most “Fighter of the Year” awards on other sites are really “Breakout Fighter of the Year” awards in that fighters who win, were usually not top fighters in the beginning of the year, but became so by the end of the year.

A fighter like this can and has won our FotY awards, but our award is more about maintaining a high standing during the award year by performing well a sufficient number of times and against a sufficient quality of opponents.  It is more comparable to a season MVP in major team sports, not a playoffs/surprise MVP.

 

Winner: Amanda Nunes

Only two fights in the calendar year, but is now a double champion and cemented her place in the Top 3 All-Time (Women).

 

Runner-Up: Valentina Shevchenko

Like Nunes, she only fought twice in 2018, but also like Nunes, beat one of the best female fighters of all-time and picked up a championship in doing so.

 

3rd Place: Jessica Andrade

The third position isn’t as definitive as the top two, as you argue other fighters here, such as Ayaka Hamasaki.  However, Andrade has probably established herself as the best non-champion on the female side of the sport.

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Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (01-06-2019)

Posted on January 6, 2019 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Semi-annual community adjustment made for male JP population.
  • Data issue resolved where many TUF bouts were removed from the database.
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2018 Awards: Rookies of the Year

Posted on January 6, 2019 by Jason

Men: Rafal Kijanczuk

You can’t argue with a 7-0 record in a calendar year and his opposition has been very good for a rookie fighter.  We got the most recent win in the DB just a few minutes ago, so I expect him to get in or near the Top 100 on the next update.

Honorable Mentions: Khamzat Chimaev

 

Women: Kayla Harrison

It is tough to get excited over a fighter without an officially recognized division, but her 2018 performances have been good enough to net her this award.

Honorable Mention: Kay Hansen

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2018 Awards: Most Noteworthy Match of the Year

Posted on January 5, 2019 by Jason

Most Noteworthy Match of the Year:

Henry Cejudo SD(5) Demetrious Johnson

The “most noteworthy” match of the year isn’t about box office or popularity, instead it is a pretty basic calculation — a sum of quality.  This year’s choice is hard to argue against.. a #1 P4P fighter vs. a strong top contender for “the” title.  It is a shame that Johnson is going to One, where it seems his career will likely wither away.

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2018 Awards: Comeback & Most Improved Fighter of the Year

Posted on January 3, 2019 by Jason

As a refresher, our “Comeback” award is about coming back from inactivity or major injury (that we know about) and in doing so, really impressing.  You can see more details at the bottom of the post about specific qualifiers.

Comeback Fighter of the Year: Magomed Magomedkerimov

Magomedkerimov comes back in 2018 from nearly 2 years of inactivity, puts up a 5-0 record for 2018 and wins the $1 million prize over Ray Cooper III, who is our most improved fighter of the year.  Chad Mendes had this award in the bag, but his recent loss and retirement freed up the award.

Most Improved Fighter of the Year: Ray Cooper III

A relative unknown, Ray Cooper III went from a basically unranked fighter, to a Top 50 fighter.  Cooper and Magomedkerimov fed off of each other in these awards to some extent, but both are deserving.

2018 Awards: Upsets of the Year

Posted on January 2, 2019 by Jason

Note: We have two ways that we derive biggest “upsets” based on points difference between winner and loser.

“Most Noteworthy” (X minus Y)
“Most Lopsided” (X divided by Y)

 

Most Noteworthy: Vadim Nemkov SD(3) Phil Davis

Nemkov, a virtual unknown, manages to take a close decision over the perennial Top 10, Phil Davis.

 

Most Lopsided: Jared Cannonier TKO(2) David Branch

About 2.5 years prior, Cannonier fought at 241 pounds.  Here, in his Middleweight debut, pulled off quite an impressive upset.

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Current MMA Rankings Updated (12-31-2018)

Posted on January 1, 2019 by Jason

Notable Info

  • End-of-year current rankings update, even though it didn’t finish until 2019.
  • 2018 awards to come in the next week or so.

Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (12-30-2018)

Posted on December 30, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Jon Jones jumped from #5 to #3 on the Absolute list, after his win at last night’s UFC.  He is in a virtual tie with Jose Aldo, Anderson Silva and Fedor Emelianenko for the runner-up position.
  • Regardless of Dana White’s opinions of the All-Time standing of Amanda Nunes, she remains at #3 on the All-Time Women’s list, as her career achievements are not yet at the level of Ronda Rousey or Cris Cyborg. However, last night’s win gave her a comfortable lead over the #4, Joanna Jedrzedczyk, whose name I almost spelled correctly on the first try.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 (12-29-2018)

Posted on December 23, 2018 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[*] Jon Jones (22-1-0, -279) vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-4-0, +223)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Gustafsson is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)
2016-04-23: W vs. [#17LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2015-01-03: W vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Gustafsson (2-1-0)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#5LHW] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2016-09-03: W vs. [#8LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2015-10-03: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 70.39
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2366.85) [+318.97] – Win%: 81.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2367.71) [+291.36] – Win%: 78.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 518, Alexander Gustafsson 580
Previous Match-up Record: Jon Jones leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0, +211) vs. [#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-1-0, -264)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#6BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#5P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-12-30: W vs. [*] Ronda Rousey (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#13BW] Tonya Evinger (19-7-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 69.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1895.59) [+10.50] – Win%: 51.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1890.09) [+45.36] – Win%: 54.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 231, Cristiane Justino 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#41] Carlos Condit (30-12-0, +150) vs. [#33LW] Michael Chiesa (14-4-0, -181)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (0-3-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#20WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-30: L vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-08-27: L vs. [#15WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#10LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2
2017-06-25: L vs. [#7LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2016-04-16: W vs. [#19LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Chiesa – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chiesa (1806.78) [+40.94] – Win%: 54.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chiesa (1781.86) [+3.84] – Win%: 50.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 259, Michael Chiesa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (12-23-2018)

Posted on December 23, 2018 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (12-16-2018)

Posted on December 16, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Fixed bug which incorrectly weighted lopsided decisions.  This affected over 500 bouts, so there will be fluctuations throughout the rankings.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on FOX 31: Iaquinta vs. Lee 2 (12-15-2018)

Posted on December 13, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#6] Kevin Lee (17-3-0, -318) vs. [#16] Al Iaquinta (14-4-1, +250)
Kevin Lee is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Al Iaquinta is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Lee (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#10LW] Edson Barboza (19-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5
2017-10-07: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (24-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3
2017-06-25: W vs. [#31LW] Michael Chiesa (14-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Al Iaquinta (2-1-0)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#8P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#56WW] Diego Sanchez (28-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 1
2015-04-04: W vs. [#11WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Lee – Win%: 72.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kevin Lee (2106.90) [+111.50] – Win%: 62.47
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kevin Lee (2061.22) [+132.84] – Win%: 64.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Lee 238, Al Iaquinta 252
Previous Match-up Record: Al Iaquinta leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Lee leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Edson Barboza (19-6-0, -114) vs. [#17] Dan Hooker (17-7-0, -110)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #27 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#8P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)
2017-03-11: W vs. [#19LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via TKO in 4:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#28LW] Gilbert Burns (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2018-04-21: W vs. [#40LW] Jim Miller (29-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:00 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#182LW] Marc Diakiese (12-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:42 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 50.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Edson Barboza (1943.31) [+93.86] – Win%: 60.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1925.90) [+83.72] – Win%: 59.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 238, Dan Hooker 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#4FLY] Sergio Pettis (17-4-0, +142) vs. [#22] Rob Font (15-4-0, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Sergio Pettis (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#3FLY] Jussier da Silva (22-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#5FLY] Joseph Benavidez (26-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FLY/#6DD/#6P4P] Henry Cejudo (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#6BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#56BW] Thomas Almeida (21-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2017-10-28: L vs. [#11BW] Pedro Munhoz (17-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rob Font – Win%: 60.48
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergio Pettis (1753.24) [+29.37] – Win%: 53.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rob Font (1715.40) [+18.67] – Win%: 52.04
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergio Pettis 70, Rob Font 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (12-09-2018)

Posted on December 9, 2018 by Jason

Posts pagination

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Current MMA Rankings

  • Pound for Pound
  • Division Point Dominance
  • Heavyweight+
  • Light Heavyweight
  • Middleweight
  • Welterweight
  • Lightweight
  • Featherweight
  • Bantamweight
  • Flyweight
  • Strawweight
  • Women’s Pound for Pound
  • Women’s Division Point Dominance
  • Women’s Featherweight+
  • Women’s Bantamweight
  • Women’s Flyweight
  • Women’s Strawweight
  • Women’s Atomweight
  • Unknown Division

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