MMA Statistics – Page 5

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dricus Du Plessis	-206		64.42%
Elo K170	Dricus Du Plessis	2342.57	+202.95	76.28%
Elo Modified	Dricus Du Plessis	2265.23	+161.48	71.70%
Glicko-1	Dricus Du Plessis	2353.76	+176.08	73.37%
WHR	Dricus Du Plessis	2149.81	+110.57	65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-116		51.18%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2044.50	+194.83	75.43%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1998.60	+143.52	69.56%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2019.82	+144.34	69.65%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1911.21	+34.12	54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tallison Teixeira	-154		57.91%
Elo K170	Justin Tafa	1439.06	+32.89	54.72%
Elo Modified	Justin Tafa	1521.83	+89.07	62.54%
Glicko-1	Justin Tafa	1535.44	+83.04	61.73%
WHR	Justin Tafa	1434.77	+27.93	54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Adesanya vs Imavov (02-01-2025)

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Israel Adesanya	-172		60.48%
Elo K170	Nassourdine Imavov	2129.10	+55.48	57.92%
Elo Modified	Nassourdine Imavov	2067.77	+8.80	51.27%
Glicko-1	Nassourdine Imavov	2142.97	+48.45	56.93%
WHR	Israel Adesanya	2001.24	+32.55	54.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sharabutdin Magomedov	-190		62.74%
Elo K170	Michael Page	1975.46	+48.71	56.96%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	1965.28	+29.17	54.19%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2034.18	+37.47	55.37%
WHR	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1928.16	+31.50	54.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sergei Pavlovich	-304		71.83%
Elo K170	Sergei Pavlovich	1922.30	+39.40	55.65%
Elo Modified	Sergei Pavlovich	1930.58	+93.97	63.20%
Glicko-1	Sergei Pavlovich	2022.14	+150.13	70.35%
WHR	Sergei Pavlovich	1914.43	+131.64	68.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (01-26-2025)

Posted on January 26, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 23, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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All-Time Greatest Lightweight Through History

Posted on January 16, 2025 by Jason

Just in time for UFC 311…. #1 is surprising, but this is entirely about longevity at or near the top of the division.

- This is entirely different than our All-Time Rankings, and much more simplistic. Fewer edge cases are handled here.
- Quarterly ranking data gathered from Generated Historical Rankings.
- 10 points awarded for #1 rank, #2 – 6pts, #3 – 4pts, #4 – 3pts, #5 – 2pts, #6 – 1.5pts, reducing 0.25 pt each rank to #10 (0.5 pt).
- Weak divisional depth penalty applied where necessary (early days of division).
- Fighter gets no points for the quarter if they did not win, draw, or have close loss (SD,MD) in the division in the previous 450 days.
- Date format (lower right) is year_month.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 16, 2025 by Jason

Not a great start to 2025. Let’s try again…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2 (01-18-2025)

Posted on January 13, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0, -412) vs. [#2] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, +309)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #3 ranked Lightweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#85LW] Joaquim Silva (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-412		76.69%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2556.76	+254.43	81.22%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2486.06	+287.50	83.96%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2615.44	+351.80	88.34%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2401.98	+275.75	83.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 231, Arman Tsarukyan 280
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0, +260) vs. [#4] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0-0, -339)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#8BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#92BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-339		73.54%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2333.07	+201.36	76.12%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2307.32	+202.31	76.22%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2373.25	+200.67	76.05%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2142.63	+89.04	62.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 126, Umar Nurmagomedov 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1, -109) vs. [#4] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0, -112)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#36HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jamahal Hill	-112		50.32%
Elo K170	Jiri Prochazka	2065.68	+71.39	60.13%
Elo Modified	Jiri Prochazka	2049.92	+56.56	58.07%
Glicko-1	Jiri Prochazka	2147.96	+78.90	61.16%
WHR	Jiri Prochazka	1995.35	+112.11	65.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 203, Jamahal Hill 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 9, 2025 by Jason

And we’re back…. I’m going to wipe the slate clean again, but at the end of the last run in 2024, we were in the green for both Underdog and Safe picks.

To be clear, the goal in the Underdog parlay is to beat the odds, not necessarily to turn a profit. The goal in the Safe parlay is not only to beat the odds, but also to make a profit.

Though one of our last parlays got marred by a bad weight miss, we’re going to continue with the same rules, but I’m thinking of making the bet amount variable in the future…

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Stats and Metrics To Use When Betting On UFC Fights

Posted on January 2, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Picture Credit

Betting on UFC fights can be both thrilling and rewarding, but winning consistently requires more than just blind luck. To make informed wagers, bettors must analyze specific stats and metrics that give a clear picture of a fighter’s strengths, weaknesses, and overall performance. By breaking down these numbers, you can spot trends, identify value, and make smarter bets.

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MMA Current Records & Stats: Comprehensive Fighter Data for Next Year

Posted on December 10, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a sport driven by precision, performance, and historical achievements. Statistics and records play a vital role in shaping fan engagement, sports betting, and fighter analysis. Whether it is the number of wins, finishes, or knockout records, MMA stats provide a comprehensive view of the sport’s dynamics and legacy.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley (12-14-2024)

Posted on December 9, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Colby Covington (17-4-0, +212) vs. [#9] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0, -264)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Leon Edwards (22-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#80WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#18WW] Vicente Luque (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joaquin Buckley	-264		69.35%
Elo K170	Colby Covington	2244.12	+162.96	71.87%
Elo Modified	Colby Covington	2179.50	+135.34	68.55%
Glicko-1	Colby Covington	2244.79	+92.60	63.02%
WHR	Colby Covington	1960.38	+28.86	54.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 364, Joaquin Buckley 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#40] Cub Swanson (30-14-0, +132) vs. [#44] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0, -159)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#21BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#25FW] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Billy Quarantillo	-159		58.75%
Elo K170	Cub Swanson	1678.39	+57.33	58.18%
Elo Modified	Cub Swanson	1726.26	+89.49	62.60%
Glicko-1	Cub Swanson	1764.50	+100.94	64.13%
WHR	Cub Swanson	1655.95	+52.07	57.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 168, Billy Quarantillo 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#13] Manel Kape (19-7-0, -302) vs. [#21] Bruno Silva (14-6-2, +239)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#202BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-302		71.80%
Elo K170	Manel Kape	1739.07	+45.52	56.51%
Elo Modified	Manel Kape	1748.75	+64.63	59.20%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1810.78	+61.47	58.75%
WHR	Manel Kape	1735.25	+34.18	54.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 140, Bruno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Manel Kape leads 1-0
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on December 5, 2024 by Jason

In the green so far….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura (12-07-2024)

Posted on December 2, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0, -270) vs. [#24BW] Kai Asakura (21-4-0, +218)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#8FLY] Steve Erceg (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (22-8-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (2-1-0)
2023-12-31: W vs. [#74FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:20 of round 2
2023-05-06: W vs. [#83BW] Yuki Motoya (36-12-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 2:25 of round 3
2021-12-31: L vs. [#12FLY] Hiromasa Ougikubo (27-8-2) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexandre Pantoja	-270		69.88%
Elo K170	Alexandre Pantoja	2142.99	+112.56	65.66%
Elo Modified	Alexandre Pantoja	2052.29	+81.53	61.52%
Glicko-1	Alexandre Pantoja	2109.18	+81.67	61.54%
WHR	Alexandre Pantoja	1985.39	+107.26	64.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 217, Kai Asakura 342
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#5] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0, -378) vs. [#8] Ian Garry (15-0-0, +287)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the All-Time #31 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #45 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:56 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-06-25: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#17WW] Michael Page (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Shavkat Rakhmonov	-378		75.37%
Elo K170	Shavkat Rakhmonov	2224.04	+75.57	60.71%
Elo Modified	Shavkat Rakhmonov	2181.75	+101.44	64.20%
Glicko-1	Shavkat Rakhmonov	2296.22	+192.57	75.19%
WHR	Shavkat Rakhmonov	2181.58	+211.63	77.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shavkat Rakhmonov 357, Ian Garry 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[*] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0, -324) vs. [#4] Alexander Volkov (38-10-0, +253)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1HW+/#8P4P] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexander Romanov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ciryl Gane	-324		72.95%
Elo K170	Ciryl Gane	2135.11	+32.94	54.73%
Elo Modified	Ciryl Gane	2129.33	+21.62	53.11%
Glicko-1	Ciryl Gane	2218.49	+14.14	52.03%
WHR	Alexander Volkov	2062.31	+0.80	50.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 462, Alexander Volkov 168
Previous Match-up Record: Ciryl Gane leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
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Fight Matrix Program – PFL 2024 Championships (11-29-2024)

Posted on November 26, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#16] Timur Khizriev (17-0-0, -303) vs. [#17] Brendan Loughnane (29-5-0, +230)

Last 3 Fights: Timur Khizriev (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#25FW] Gabriel Braga (14-2-0) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#46FW] Enrique Barzola (22-9-2) via UD ()
2024-04-19: W vs. [#111FW] Brett Johns (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Loughnane (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#27FW] Kai Kamaka III (14-6-1) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#102FW] Justin Gonzales (14-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-04-19: W vs. [#59FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Timur Khizriev	-303		71.27%
Elo K170	Timur Khizriev	2007.52	+40.86	55.85%
Elo Modified	Timur Khizriev	1940.31	+9.23	51.33%
Glicko-1	Brendan Loughnane	1952.61	+17.86	52.57%
WHR	Timur Khizriev	1902.04	+70.67	60.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Timur Khizriev 98, Brendan Loughnane 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#5] Taila Santos (22-3-0, +265) vs. [#18] Dakota Ditcheva (13-0-0, -364)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#9FLY] Liz Carmouche (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-13: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-04-04: W vs. [#52FLY] Ilara Joanne (12-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dakota Ditcheva (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punch) in 3:54 of round 1
2024-06-13: W vs. [#107FLY] Chelsea Hackett (4-3-1) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 3:22 of round 1
2024-04-04: W vs. [#99FLY] Lisa Mauldin (6-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:54 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dakota Ditcheva	-364		74.11%
Elo K170	Taila Santos	1826.74	+211.90	77.20%
Elo Modified	Taila Santos	1819.02	+157.48	71.23%
Glicko-1	Taila Santos	1851.42	+141.57	69.31%
WHR	Taila Santos	1736.73	+128.72	67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 119, Dakota Ditcheva 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0, -165) vs. [#13] Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (24-7-1, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Impa Kasanganay (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#20LHW] Joshua Silveira (13-4-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-04-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Alex Polizzi (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#21LHW] Rob Wilkinson (19-3-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#161LHW] Simon Biyong (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-12: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Impa Kasanganay	-165		58.98%
Elo K170	Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov	1972.58	+49.14	57.03%
Elo Modified	Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov	1986.20	+16.98	52.44%
Glicko-1	Impa Kasanganay	2071.76	+65.39	59.30%
WHR	Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov	1930.01	+25.16	53.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Impa Kasanganay 105, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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