MMA Statistics – Page 4

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales (05-17-2025)

Posted on May 12, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#12][#10UFC] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0, +442) vs. [#14][#11UFC] Michael Morales (17-0-0, -648)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (0-3-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#1WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#30WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-11-18: W vs. [#36WW] Jake Matthews (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#42WW] Max Griffin (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Michael Morales	-648		82.44%
Elo K170	Michael Morales	1990.74	+16.07	52.31%
Elo Modified	Michael Morales	1970.83	+20.90	53.00%
Glicko-1	Michael Morales	2040.24	+47.82	56.84%
WHR	Michael Morales	1892.54	+42.19	56.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gilbert Burns 38.8, Michael Morales 25.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 252, Michael Morales 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34MW][#27UFCMW] Paul Craig (17-9-1, +352) vs. [#48][#27UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1, -484)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (2-0-1)
2025-02-08: D vs. [#40LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-12-02: W vs. [#117MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [#359MW] Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rodolfo Bellato	-484		78.93%
Elo K170	Paul Craig	1618.37	+5.61	50.81%
Elo Modified	Paul Craig	1662.73	+16.45	52.37%
Glicko-1	Rodolfo Bellato	1676.47	+9.38	51.35%
WHR	Rodolfo Bellato	1600.97	+10.00	51.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paul Craig 37.5, Rodolfo Bellato 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 182, Rodolfo Bellato 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#97FW][#47UFCFW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0, +112) vs. [#114FW][#56UFCFW] Mairon Santos (15-1-0, -138)

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [#48FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#573FW] Don Shainis (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mairon Santos (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#254FW] Francis Marshall (8-3-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#287FW] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-03-24: W vs. [#290LW] Rafael Barbosa (15-5-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mairon Santos	-138		55.14%
Elo K170	Mairon Santos	1746.49	+56.61	58.08%
Elo Modified	Sodiq Yusuff	1722.15	+37.30	55.35%
Glicko-1	Sodiq Yusuff	1748.08	+118.47	66.42%
WHR	Sodiq Yusuff	1641.69	+75.37	60.68%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sodiq Yusuff 32.0, Mairon Santos 24.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sodiq Yusuff 399, Mairon Santos 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-11-2025)

Posted on May 11, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 8, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 315: Muhammad vs Maddalena (05-10-2025)

Posted on May 5, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#6DD][#6P4P][#1][#1UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0, -184) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0, +154)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #9 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#3WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#12WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#2WW][#9P4P] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#12WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-09-16: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (27-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#87WW] Bassil Hafez (9-5-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Belal Muhammad	-184		62.20%
Elo K170	Belal Muhammad	2484.29	+328.67	86.90%
Elo Modified	Belal Muhammad	2421.68	+384.07	90.12%
Glicko-1	Belal Muhammad	2478.40	+370.72	89.41%
WHR	Belal Muhammad	2161.18	+240.63	79.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 36.8, Jack Della Maddalena 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 287, Jack Della Maddalena 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2P4P][#6DD][#1][#1UFC] Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1, +113) vs. [#5P4P][#7DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0, -134)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (1-1-1)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#3FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-4-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#3FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: L vs. [#3FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-4-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#20FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manon Fiorot	-134		54.94%
Elo K170	Manon Fiorot	1981.52	+7.02	51.01%
Elo Modified	Manon Fiorot	1958.00	+16.76	52.41%
Glicko-1	Manon Fiorot	1962.11	+14.37	52.07%
WHR	Manon Fiorot	1879.44	+6.91	50.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valentina Shevchenko 37.2, Manon Fiorot 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 238, Manon Fiorot 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#3][#3UFC] Alexa Grasso (16-4-1, +204) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Natalia Silva (18-5-1, -247)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (1-1-1)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#1FLY][#6DD][#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#1FLY][#6DD][#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: W vs. [#1FLY][#6DD][#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (24-4-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Natalia Silva (3-0-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#12FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#34FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Natalia Silva	-247		68.39%
Elo K170	Natalia Silva	1843.41	+43.44	56.22%
Elo Modified	Natalia Silva	1845.63	+55.18	57.87%
Glicko-1	Natalia Silva	1848.26	+46.25	56.62%
WHR	Natalia Silva	1811.92	+58.88	58.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexa Grasso 31.7, Natalia Silva 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 238, Natalia Silva 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 1, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo (05-03-2025)

Posted on April 28, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#6UFC] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0, -462) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1, +340)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#34BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cory Sandhagen	-462		78.34%
Elo K170	Cory Sandhagen	2048.73	+12.57	51.81%
Elo Modified	Deiveson Figueiredo	2031.40	+16.09	52.31%
Glicko-1	Deiveson Figueiredo	2099.14	+23.45	53.37%
WHR	Deiveson Figueiredo	1947.32	+40.35	55.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cory Sandhagen 33.0, Deiveson Figueiredo 37.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 273, Deiveson Figueiredo 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#20][#17UFC] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0, +221) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Bo Nickal (7-0-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (27-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#54MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3
2024-07-27: W vs. [#200LHW] Magomedmurad Khasaev (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bo Nickal (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#33MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#92MW] Cody Brundage (11-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#323MW] Valentine Woodburn (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bo Nickal	-272		70.12%
Elo K170	Reinier de Ridder	1942.11	+242.92	80.19%
Elo Modified	Reinier de Ridder	1965.26	+206.16	76.62%
Glicko-1	Reinier de Ridder	2037.99	+310.16	85.64%
WHR	Reinier de Ridder	1929.73	+285.60	83.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 34.6, Bo Nickal 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 105, Bo Nickal 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#32][#24UFC] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-8-0, +103) vs. [#35][#26UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (18-5-0, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#71WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 3
2024-07-13: L vs. [#31WW] Muslim Salikhov (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (27-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#53WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#7WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Daniel Rodriguez	-125		53.00%
Elo K170	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1790.35	+11.83	51.70%
Elo Modified	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1873.46	+139.61	69.08%
Glicko-1	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1943.42	+208.84	76.89%
WHR	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1789.97	+170.53	72.74%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Santiago Ponzinibbio 38.6, Daniel Rodriguez 38.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 112, Daniel Rodriguez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on April 24, 2025 by Jason

We have a pretty crazy dog parlay this week. Time to get rich!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garry vs Prates (04-26-2025)

Posted on April 21, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7][#7UFC] Ian Garry (15-1-0, -128) vs. [#21][#18UFC] Carlos Prates (21-6-0, +108)
Ian Garry is the All-Time #47 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#4WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#16MW] Michael Page (23-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#11WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (3-0-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#30WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1
2024-08-17: W vs. [#61WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#79WW] Charlie Radtke (10-4-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ian Garry	-128		53.86%
Elo K170	Ian Garry	2081.70	+112.46	65.64%
Elo Modified	Ian Garry	2024.92	+57.76	58.24%
Glicko-1	Carlos Prates	2065.62	+1.61	50.23%
WHR	Ian Garry	1985.17	+19.55	52.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ian Garry 27.4, Carlos Prates 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Garry 140, Carlos Prates 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15][#12UFC] Anthony Smith (38-21-0, +348) vs. [#40][#26UFC] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0, -472)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #32 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2024-06-29: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#32LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#108MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#57LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-06-09: W vs. [#147LHW] George Tokkos (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mingyang Zhang	-472		78.71%
Elo K170	Anthony Smith	1690.23	+47.58	56.81%
Elo Modified	Anthony Smith	1701.29	+74.23	60.52%
Glicko-1	Anthony Smith	1731.85	+3.29	50.47%
WHR	Mingyang Zhang	1688.21	+7.91	51.14%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Anthony Smith 36.7, Mingyang Zhang 26.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 140, Mingyang Zhang 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#16][#14UFC] Giga Chikadze (15-4-0, +148) vs. [#53][#34UFC] David Onama (13-2-0, -176)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#45FW] Alex Caceres (21-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-01-15: L vs. [#21FW] Calvin Kattar (23-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#383FW] Roberto Romero (8-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#81FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#62FW] Gabriel Santos (12-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	David Onama	-176		61.26%
Elo K170	Giga Chikadze	1852.89	+98.51	63.81%
Elo Modified	Giga Chikadze	1830.57	+45.40	56.50%
Glicko-1	Giga Chikadze	1880.41	+49.14	57.03%
WHR	Giga Chikadze	1762.08	+7.22	51.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Giga Chikadze 36.6, David Onama 30.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Giga Chikadze 273, David Onama 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on April 10, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays in the green for the year.. let’s see if we can keep this going!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes (04-12-2025)

Posted on April 7, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#2][#2UFC] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0, -147) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Diego Lopes (26-6-0, +123)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#1FW][#1DD][#5P4P] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-10-21: L vs. [#1LW][#2DD][#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#8FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#7FW] Brian Ortega (16-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#22FW] Dan Ige (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#86FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkanovski	-147		57.02%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkanovski	2183.05	+119.20	66.51%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkanovski	2141.50	+92.43	63.00%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkanovski	2192.63	+71.19	60.10%
WHR	Alexander Volkanovski	2122.76	+174.10	73.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkanovski 36.5, Diego Lopes 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 420, Diego Lopes 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#11][#10UFC] Michael Chandler (23-9-0, +132) vs. [#17][#13UFC] Paddy Pimblett (22-3-0, -158)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (1-2-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2022-05-07: W vs. [#109LW] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#41LW] Bobby Green (32-17-1) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:22 of round 1
2023-12-16: W vs. [#109LW] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#53LW] Jared Gordon (20-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Paddy Pimblett	-158		58.69%
Elo K170	Michael Chandler	2029.67	+21.86	53.14%
Elo Modified	Michael Chandler	2002.44	+18.20	52.62%
Glicko-1	Michael Chandler	2069.17	+13.77	51.98%
WHR	Paddy Pimblett	1964.27	+108.81	65.17%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Chandler 38.9, Paddy Pimblett 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 147, Paddy Pimblett 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#19][#13UFC] Bryce Mitchell (17-2-0, +261) vs. [#26][#17UFC] Jean Silva (15-2-0, -337)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#519FW] Kron Gracie (5-3-0) via KO (Slam and Elbows) in 0:39 of round 3
2023-12-16: L vs. [#12FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:57 of round 1
2023-09-23: W vs. [#22FW] Dan Ige (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (3-0-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#267FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#69LW] Drew Dober (27-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-06-29: W vs. [#29BW] Charles Jourdain (16-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jean Silva	-337		73.57%
Elo K170	Bryce Mitchell	1864.26	+23.02	53.31%
Elo Modified	Bryce Mitchell	1863.71	+6.71	50.97%
Glicko-1	Jean Silva	1929.13	+57.06	58.14%
WHR	Jean Silva	1894.00	+101.27	64.18%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bryce Mitchell 30.5, Jean Silva 28.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryce Mitchell 126, Jean Silva 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-06-2025)

Posted on April 6, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on April 3, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy (04-05-2025)

Posted on March 31, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[*] Josh Emmett (19-4-0, +253) vs. [#11][#9UFC] Lerone Murphy (15-0-1, -325)
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #24 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#18FW] Bryce Mitchell (17-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:57 of round 1
2023-06-24: L vs. [#1FW][#1DD][#5P4P] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#8FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#21FW] Dan Ige (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#40FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#132FW] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Lerone Murphy	-325		72.96%
Elo K170	Lerone Murphy	2023.98	+5.24	50.75%
Elo Modified	Josh Emmett	1973.98	+3.02	50.44%
Glicko-1	Josh Emmett	2006.23	+4.50	50.65%
WHR	Lerone Murphy	1904.33	+51.21	57.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josh Emmett 40.1, Lerone Murphy 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 476, Lerone Murphy 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#32][#21UFC] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1, -217) vs. [#48][#30UFC] Pat Sabatini (19-5-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#38FW] William Gomis (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#72FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#79FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#79FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:06 of round 1
2023-11-11: L vs. [#5FW] Diego Lopes (26-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#143FW] Lucas Almeida (15-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:48 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joanderson Brito	-217		65.38%
Elo K170	Joanderson Brito	1813.40	+79.91	61.30%
Elo Modified	Joanderson Brito	1854.18	+88.94	62.53%
Glicko-1	Joanderson Brito	1925.28	+107.78	65.03%
WHR	Joanderson Brito	1803.72	+69.48	59.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joanderson Brito 30.1, Pat Sabatini 34.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 189, Pat Sabatini 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joanderson Brito leads 3-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#114][#53UFC] Chang Ho Lee (10-1-0, -178) vs. [#323][#77UFC] Cortavious Romious (9-3-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Chang Ho Lee (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#115BW] Long Xiao (26-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#377FW] Zhawupasi Daermisi (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 3
2023-05-28: W vs. [#1339FW] Rana Rudra Pratap Singh (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cortavious Romious (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#227BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#289BW] Michael Imperato (12-7-0) via UD ()
2024-04-20: W vs. [NA] Erik Vo (15-34-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Chang Ho Lee	-178		61.16%
Elo K170	Chang Ho Lee	1622.74	+357.78	88.69%
Elo Modified	Chang Ho Lee	1572.40	+229.09	78.90%
Glicko-1	Chang Ho Lee	1576.86	+256.23	81.38%
WHR	Chang Ho Lee	1549.59	+264.76	82.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chang Ho Lee 30.9, Cortavious Romious 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chang Ho Lee 287, Cortavious Romious 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 27, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg (03-29-2025)

Posted on March 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3][#8DD][#3UFC] Brandon Moreno (22-8-2, -201) vs. [#10][#8UFC] Steve Erceg (12-3-0, +166)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#2FLY][#7DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY][#5DD][#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#5FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2024-05-04: L vs. [#1FLY][#5DD][#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#86FLY] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-201		63.98%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	1982.13	+318.02	86.18%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	2012.46	+349.29	88.19%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2112.16	+429.12	92.20%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	2020.54	+356.65	88.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 31.3, Steve Erceg 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 147, Steve Erceg 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#53][#29UFC] Drew Dober (27-14-0, +104) vs. [#125][#53UFC] Manuel Torres (15-3-0, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (1-2-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#24FW] Jean Silva (15-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-02-03: L vs. [#9LW] Renato Carneiro (20-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#299LW] Ricky Glenn (22-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Manuel Torres (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#18LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#126LW] Chris Duncan (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#122LW] Nikolas Motta (15-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manuel Torres	-125		53.12%
Elo K170	Drew Dober	1664.32	+10.78	51.55%
Elo Modified	Drew Dober	1663.93	+16.93	52.43%
Glicko-1	Drew Dober	1717.82	+26.81	53.85%
WHR	Drew Dober	1705.58	+20.44	52.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Drew Dober 36.4, Manuel Torres 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 259, Manuel Torres 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#17][#15UFC] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0, +268) vs. [#23][#19UFC] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0, -344)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#37WW] Daniel Rodriguez (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#2WW][#10P4P] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#24MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#59MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [#19MW] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#109MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joe Pyfer	-344		74.03%
Elo K170	Kelvin Gastelum	1926.26	+200.23	76.00%
Elo Modified	Kelvin Gastelum	1918.73	+162.04	71.76%
Glicko-1	Kelvin Gastelum	1963.95	+109.73	65.29%
WHR	Kelvin Gastelum	1832.08	+89.87	62.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kelvin Gastelum 33.4, Joe Pyfer 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 280, Joe Pyfer 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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