Notable Info
- Fluctuations caused by semi-annual community adjustment.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira (06-28-2025)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1DD][#5P4P][#1FW][#1FWUFC] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0, -417) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0, +321)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-02-17: W vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#22LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ilia Topuria | -417 | 77.25% | |
| Elo K170 | Ilia Topuria | 2330.19 | +23.95 | 53.44% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Oliveira | 2305.68 | +31.04 | 54.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Oliveira | 2407.19 | +20.65 | 52.97% |
| WHR | Ilia Topuria | 2276.84 | +94.62 | 63.29% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ilia Topuria 28.4, Charles Oliveira 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 245, Charles Oliveira 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#4P4P][#5DD][#1][#1UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0, -259) vs. [#5][#4UFC] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0, +211)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#14FLY] Kai Asakura (21-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2024-05-04: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#6DD][#2FLY] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2023-06-03: L vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexandre Pantoja | -259 | 69.17% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexandre Pantoja | 2201.64 | +360.73 | 88.86% |
| Elo Modified | Alexandre Pantoja | 2112.27 | +258.94 | 81.62% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexandre Pantoja | 2188.07 | +255.80 | 81.34% |
| WHR | Alexandre Pantoja | 2045.28 | +204.80 | 76.48% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexandre Pantoja 35.2, Kai Kara-France 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 203, Kai Kara-France 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 5-2
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Flyweight (125)
[#13P4P][#6DD][#2][#2UFC] Brandon Royval (17-7-0, -118) vs. [#13][#10UFC] Joshua Van (14-2-0, -102)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #14 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#6FLY] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#4P4P][#5DD][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#38FLY] Bruno Silva (14-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2025-03-08: W vs. [#45FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Brandon Royval | -118 | 51.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Brandon Royval | 2042.96 | +190.25 | 74.93% |
| Elo Modified | Brandon Royval | 1871.32 | +52.49 | 57.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Brandon Royval | 1918.10 | +43.45 | 56.22% |
| WHR | Brandon Royval | 1812.29 | +129.14 | 67.77% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 32.8, Joshua Van 23.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 259, Joshua Van 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
We’re on a losing streak. Gotta get it together!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree (06-21-2025)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6][#6UFC] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0, +132) vs. [#11][#8UFC] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0, -160)
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Khalil Rountree | -160 | 58.81% | |
| Elo K170 | Jamahal Hill | 1926.61 | +42.10 | 56.03% |
| Elo Modified | Jamahal Hill | 1913.55 | +73.14 | 60.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Jamahal Hill | 1990.07 | +96.99 | 63.61% |
| WHR | Jamahal Hill | 1806.38 | +38.93 | 55.58% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamahal Hill 34.1, Khalil Rountree 35.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 154, Khalil Rountree 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16][#12UFC] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0, -113) vs. [#17][#13UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0, -108)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (0-3-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-09-14: W vs. [#56LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-04-06: W vs. [#164LW] Christos Giagos (20-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:34 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rafael Fiziev | -113 | 50.53% | |
| Elo K170 | Rafael Fiziev | 1897.31 | +7.72 | 51.11% |
| Elo Modified | Rafael Fiziev | 1897.44 | +17.85 | 52.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1979.74 | +37.43 | 55.36% |
| WHR | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1881.86 | +39.41 | 55.65% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rafael Fiziev 32.3, Ignacio Bahamondes 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 105, Ignacio Bahamondes 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0, -286) vs. [#71] Rizvan Kuniev (12-2-1, +230)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#9P4P][#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#205HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-4-0)
2022-03-11: W vs. [#227HW+] Anthony Hamilton (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:17 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Curtis Blaydes | -286 | 70.97% | |
| Elo K170 | Curtis Blaydes | 2008.33 | +363.39 | 89.01% |
| Elo Modified | Curtis Blaydes | 2003.36 | +328.99 | 86.92% |
| Glicko-1 | Curtis Blaydes | 2078.02 | +336.12 | 87.38% |
| WHR | Curtis Blaydes | 1975.80 | +212.36 | 77.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Curtis Blaydes 34.3, Rizvan Kuniev 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 329, Rizvan Kuniev 305
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Last week didn’t go so well……… let’s try again!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley (06-14-2025)
Welterweight (170)
[#6][#6UFC] Joaquin Buckley (21-6-0, -273) vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0, +212)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#11WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-10-05: W vs. [#16WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#37MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (0-3-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joaquin Buckley | -273 | 69.54% | |
| Elo K170 | Joaquin Buckley | 2203.42 | +32.44 | 54.65% |
| Elo Modified | Kamaru Usman | 2191.46 | +40.90 | 55.86% |
| Glicko-1 | Kamaru Usman | 2319.42 | +49.08 | 57.02% |
| WHR | Kamaru Usman | 2039.52 | +62.39 | 58.88% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joaquin Buckley 31.1, Kamaru Usman 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 182, Kamaru Usman 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 2-1
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#6][#6UFC] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0, -284) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0, +221)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#9P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#15FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (12-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#31FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#39FLY] Dione Barbosa (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#33FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rose Namajunas | -284 | 70.36% | |
| Elo K170 | Rose Namajunas | 1783.83 | +137.77 | 68.85% |
| Elo Modified | Rose Namajunas | 1762.72 | +85.46 | 62.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Rose Namajunas | 1759.79 | +78.05 | 61.05% |
| WHR | Rose Namajunas | 1718.21 | +93.69 | 63.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rose Namajunas 32.9, Miranda Maverick 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 224, Miranda Maverick 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#45][#32UFC] Andre Petroski (13-3-0, +166) vs. [#65][#42UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0, -208)
Last 3 Fights: Andre Petroski (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#69MW] Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2024-08-24: L vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-23: W vs. [#180MW] A.J. Dobson (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Edmen Shahbazyan | -208 | 64.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Andre Petroski | 1737.48 | +156.61 | 71.13% |
| Elo Modified | Andre Petroski | 1745.67 | +123.15 | 67.02% |
| Glicko-1 | Andre Petroski | 1740.31 | +86.32 | 62.17% |
| WHR | Andre Petroski | 1647.43 | +61.18 | 58.71% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Petroski 34.0, Edmen Shahbazyan 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Petroski 119, Edmen Shahbazyan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andre Petroski leads 2-1
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Keep Reading
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O’Malley 2 (06-07-2025)
Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#4DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0, -287) vs. [#9DD][#2][#2UFC] Sean OMalley (18-2-0, +233)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#9DD][#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#9BW] Henry Cejudo (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#4DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#5FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Merab Dvalishvili | -287 | 71.17% | |
| Elo K170 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2373.66 | +245.72 | 80.44% |
| Elo Modified | Merab Dvalishvili | 2329.17 | +256.18 | 81.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2409.03 | +250.29 | 80.86% |
| WHR | Merab Dvalishvili | 2157.19 | +148.06 | 70.11% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.4, Sean OMalley 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 140, Sean OMalley 266
Previous Match-up Record: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#1][#1UFC] Julianna Pena (12-5-0, +437) vs. [#10P4P][#7DD][#2][#2UFC] Kayla Harrison (18-1-0, -619)
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (16-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#11BW] Holly Holm (15-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2
2023-11-24: W vs. [#5FW] Aspen Ladd (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kayla Harrison | -619 | 82.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Julianna Pena | 1843.78 | +29.76 | 54.27% |
| Elo Modified | Kayla Harrison | 1830.63 | +63.71 | 59.07% |
| Glicko-1 | Kayla Harrison | 1864.54 | +82.19 | 61.61% |
| WHR | Kayla Harrison | 1894.71 | +162.97 | 71.87% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julianna Pena 35.8, Kayla Harrison 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julianna Pena 245, Kayla Harrison 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#18][#16UFC] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0, +292) vs. [#22][#18UFC] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0, -383)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#27WW] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#42MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [*] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#115MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joe Pyfer | -383 | 75.66% | |
| Elo K170 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1926.30 | +200.26 | 76.00% |
| Elo Modified | Kelvin Gastelum | 1918.77 | +162.07 | 71.77% |
| Glicko-1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1964.07 | +109.80 | 65.30% |
| WHR | Kelvin Gastelum | 1848.38 | +101.64 | 64.23% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kelvin Gastelum 33.6, Joe Pyfer 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 350, Joe Pyfer 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs Barber (05-31-2025)
Women Flyweight (125)
[#9P4P][#4][#4UFC] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Maycee Barber (14-2-0, +196)
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7P4P][#8DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#10FLY] Taila Santos (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#23FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2
2023-03-25: W vs. [#35FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Erin Blanchfield | -242 | 67.68% | |
| Elo K170 | Erin Blanchfield | 1906.59 | +66.18 | 59.41% |
| Elo Modified | Erin Blanchfield | 1891.88 | +103.03 | 64.41% |
| Glicko-1 | Erin Blanchfield | 1911.05 | +136.33 | 68.67% |
| WHR | Erin Blanchfield | 1751.23 | +59.89 | 58.53% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Erin Blanchfield 26.0, Maycee Barber 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Erin Blanchfield 210, Maycee Barber 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#8][#8UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0, -166) vs. [#42][#24UFC] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1, +138)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #39 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#16LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#164LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#63LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#486BW] A.J. Cunningham (11-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:36 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mateusz Gamrot | -166 | 59.76% | |
| Elo K170 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2048.58 | +143.23 | 69.52% |
| Elo Modified | Mateusz Gamrot | 2059.16 | +165.11 | 72.12% |
| Glicko-1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2126.82 | +206.41 | 76.64% |
| WHR | Mateusz Gamrot | 1988.49 | +172.34 | 72.95% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 34.4, Ludovit Klein 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 287, Ludovit Klein 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20][#16UFC] Dustin Jacoby (20-9-1, -184) vs. [#63][#30UFC] Bruno Lopes (14-1-0, +153)
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#33LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3
2024-06-08: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-16: L vs. [#24LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Bruno Lopes (3-0-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#112LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#152LHW] Mikheil Sazhiniani (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-01-27: W vs. [#189LHW] Marcos Brigagao (17-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dustin Jacoby | -184 | 62.10% | |
| Elo K170 | Dustin Jacoby | 1712.78 | +48.51 | 56.93% |
| Elo Modified | Dustin Jacoby | 1747.71 | +75.07 | 60.64% |
| Glicko-1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1797.21 | +80.20 | 61.34% |
| WHR | Dustin Jacoby | 1766.68 | +111.90 | 65.57% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Jacoby 37.1, Bruno Lopes 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 168, Bruno Lopes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales (05-17-2025)
Welterweight (170)
[#12][#10UFC] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0, +442) vs. [#14][#11UFC] Michael Morales (17-0-0, -648)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (0-3-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#1WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#30WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-11-18: W vs. [#36WW] Jake Matthews (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#42WW] Max Griffin (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Michael Morales | -648 | 82.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Michael Morales | 1990.74 | +16.07 | 52.31% |
| Elo Modified | Michael Morales | 1970.83 | +20.90 | 53.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Michael Morales | 2040.24 | +47.82 | 56.84% |
| WHR | Michael Morales | 1892.54 | +42.19 | 56.04% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gilbert Burns 38.8, Michael Morales 25.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 252, Michael Morales 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34MW][#27UFCMW] Paul Craig (17-9-1, +352) vs. [#48][#27UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1, -484)
Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (2-0-1)
2025-02-08: D vs. [#40LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-12-02: W vs. [#117MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [#359MW] Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rodolfo Bellato | -484 | 78.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Paul Craig | 1618.37 | +5.61 | 50.81% |
| Elo Modified | Paul Craig | 1662.73 | +16.45 | 52.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Rodolfo Bellato | 1676.47 | +9.38 | 51.35% |
| WHR | Rodolfo Bellato | 1600.97 | +10.00 | 51.44% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paul Craig 37.5, Rodolfo Bellato 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 182, Rodolfo Bellato 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#97FW][#47UFCFW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0, +112) vs. [#114FW][#56UFCFW] Mairon Santos (15-1-0, -138)
Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [#48FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#573FW] Don Shainis (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Mairon Santos (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#254FW] Francis Marshall (8-3-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#287FW] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-03-24: W vs. [#290LW] Rafael Barbosa (15-5-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mairon Santos | -138 | 55.14% | |
| Elo K170 | Mairon Santos | 1746.49 | +56.61 | 58.08% |
| Elo Modified | Sodiq Yusuff | 1722.15 | +37.30 | 55.35% |
| Glicko-1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 1748.08 | +118.47 | 66.42% |
| WHR | Sodiq Yusuff | 1641.69 | +75.37 | 60.68% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sodiq Yusuff 32.0, Mairon Santos 24.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sodiq Yusuff 399, Mairon Santos 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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