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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 20, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady (03-22-2025)

Posted on March 17, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#2][#7DD][#10P4P][#2UFC] Leon Edwards (22-4-0, +122) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Sean Brady (17-1-0, -146)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean Brady is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#8WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -146 56.84%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2392.96 +237.48 79.69%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2324.27 +207.69 76.78%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2374.73 +201.45 76.13%
WHR Leon Edwards 2105.13 +83.24 61.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 33.6, Sean Brady 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Sean Brady 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1, +199) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Carlos Ulberg (12-1-0, -243)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#1LHW][#6P4P] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#21LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#11LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#23LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2023-09-09: W vs. [#90LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Ulberg -243 67.93%
Elo K170 Jan Blachowicz 2056.71 +103.47 64.47%
Elo Modified Jan Blachowicz 2123.58 +165.15 72.12%
Glicko-1 Jan Blachowicz 2218.42 +217.42 77.75%
WHR Jan Blachowicz 2026.68 +94.14 63.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 42.1, Carlos Ulberg 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 602, Carlos Ulberg 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#27][#21UFC] Kevin Holland (26-13-0, +119) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#20MW] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-10-05: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#51MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#105MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#430WW] Takashi Sato (16-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gunnar Nelson -143 56.31%
Elo K170 Gunnar Nelson 1923.36 +191.41 75.06%
Elo Modified Gunnar Nelson 1945.14 +189.29 74.83%
Glicko-1 Gunnar Nelson 2019.31 +182.81 74.12%
WHR Gunnar Nelson 1906.38 +141.71 69.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.4, Gunnar Nelson 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 63, Gunnar Nelson 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 2-1
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-16-2025)

Posted on March 16, 2025 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze (03-15-2025)

Posted on March 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +135) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -162)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -162 59.23%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 2009.39 +57.86 58.25%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1985.59 +20.87 53.00%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 2053.34 +4.01 50.58%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1907.49 +23.92 53.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 36.6, Marvin Vettori 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -186) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1844.67 +114.94 65.96%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1838.39 +95.93 63.46%
Glicko-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1888.49 +118.79 66.46%
WHR Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1808.24 +131.27 68.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 38.3, Chidi Njokuani 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -346) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diyar Nurgozhay -346 74.16%
Elo K170 Diyar Nurgozhay 1628.60 +185.41 74.41%
Elo Modified Diyar Nurgozhay 1664.08 +229.62 78.95%
Glicko-1 Diyar Nurgozhay 1692.56 +218.75 77.89%
WHR Diyar Nurgozhay 1685.27 +213.68 77.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diyar Nurgozhay 27.9, Brendson Ribeiro 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 6, 2025 by Jason

The huge Underdog parlay hit last week! Let’s try again!!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev (03-18-2025)

Posted on March 3, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -119 51.83%
Elo K170 Alex Pereira 2301.88 +82.59 61.67%
Elo Modified Alex Pereira 2263.89 +54.04 57.71%
Glicko-1 Alex Pereira 2399.12 +80.63 61.40%
WHR Alex Pereira 2171.55 +123.01 67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -128 53.86%
Elo K170 Justin Gaethje 2266.79 +349.47 88.20%
Elo Modified Justin Gaethje 2211.91 +306.89 85.40%
Glicko-1 Justin Gaethje 2261.68 +296.39 84.63%
WHR Justin Gaethje 1976.06 +103.38 64.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -128 53.63%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1706.38 +34.71 54.98%
Elo Modified Amanda Lemos 1696.13 +75.21 60.66%
Glicko-1 Amanda Lemos 1693.03 +90.69 62.76%
WHR Amanda Lemos 1605.17 +90.53 62.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Predicting Fight Outcomes: How Data Analytics in MMA and Casino Games Intersect

Posted on February 28, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is an unpredictable sport where a single moment can determine victory. Fans, analysts, and even fighters rely on data to assess matchups, predict fight outcomes, and understand performance trends. Similarly, the world of social casino gaming incorporates statistical modeling to create engaging and dynamic experiences. While one is a combat sport and the other is a form of entertainment, both fields leverage analytics to make informed decisions.

For those who enjoy number-driven insights, platforms like Spree provide a range of entertainment options where probability and analytics come into play. But how exactly does data influence both MMA and social casino games? Let’s break it down.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 27, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (03-01-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#8UFC] Manel Kape (20-7-0, -240) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-2-0, +195)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#32FLY] Bruno Silva (14-7-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#207FLY] Jose Johnson (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#134FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -240 67.55%
Elo K170 Asu Almabayev 1906.15 +92.32 62.98%
Elo Modified Asu Almabayev 1867.33 +54.36 57.76%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1889.32 +0.11 50.02%
WHR Manel Kape 1810.43 +47.02 56.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 77, Asu Almabayev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Asu Almabayev leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#100][#51UFC] Cody Brundage (10-6-0, +141) vs. [#238][#70UFC] Julian Marquez (9-5-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#106MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#23MW] Bo Nickal (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (0-3-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-03-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -170 60.27%
Elo K170 Cody Brundage 1418.18 +93.47 63.14%
Elo Modified Cody Brundage 1396.06 +4.68 50.67%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1397.10 +20.82 52.99%
WHR Cody Brundage 1390.71 +60.37 58.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 231, Julian Marquez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Brundage leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#31][#21UFC] William Gomis (14-2-0, -218) vs. [#85][#43UFC] Hyder Amil (10-0-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#32FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#414BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#242FW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#132FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#936FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-08-15: W vs. [#784LW] Emrah Sonmez (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds William Gomis -218 65.58%
Elo K170 William Gomis 1851.45 +174.98 73.25%
Elo Modified William Gomis 1722.26 +73.41 60.41%
Glicko-1 William Gomis 1733.70 +67.07 59.53%
WHR William Gomis 1659.21 +25.17 53.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 154, Hyder Amil 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 20, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs Cejudo (02-22-2025)

Posted on February 17, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#8][#7UFC] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0, +215) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Yadong Song (21-9-1, -268)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#1BW][#4DD][#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#24BW] Chris Gutierrez (21-6-2) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -268 69.64%
Elo K170 Henry Cejudo 2117.01 +208.33 76.84%
Elo Modified Henry Cejudo 2108.85 +197.73 75.73%
Glicko-1 Henry Cejudo 2187.57 +227.06 78.70%
WHR Henry Cejudo 1987.79 +131.57 68.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 371, Yadong Song 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Brendan Allen (24-6-0, +227) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Anthony Hernandez (13-2-0, -286)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#31MW] Michel Pereira (32-12-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#20MW] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#54MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -286 70.78%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2018.80 +24.55 53.53%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 1982.98 +13.50 51.94%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2074.70 +37.34 55.35%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2000.39 +106.00 64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Anthony Hernandez 126
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Hernandez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brendan Allen leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (140)
[#12BW][#11UFCBW] Rob Font (21-8-0, +136) vs. [#37BW][#27UFCBW] Jean Matsumoto (16-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#16BW] Kyler Phillips (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#7BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#45BW] Brad Katona (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#206BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#224BW] Kasey Tanner (8-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Matsumoto -169 59.72%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1924.76 +58.03 58.28%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1907.33 +36.16 55.18%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1975.48 +93.38 63.12%
WHR Rob Font 1785.24 +10.63 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 126, Jean Matsumoto 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 13, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -184 62.01%
Elo K170 Jared Cannonier 1959.16 +106.65 64.88%
Elo Modified Jared Cannonier 1924.11 +33.41 54.79%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 1961.48 +15.14 52.18%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1865.10 +51.89 57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Youssef Zalal -417 76.91%
Elo K170 Calvin Kattar 1874.77 +91.45 62.87%
Elo Modified Calvin Kattar 1863.66 +74.96 60.62%
Glicko-1 Calvin Kattar 1913.70 +39.14 55.61%
WHR Youssef Zalal 1773.62 +19.24 52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ismael Bonfim -148 56.87%
Elo K170 Ismael Bonfim 1858.94 +287.23 83.93%
Elo Modified Ismael Bonfim 1850.07 +246.48 80.52%
Glicko-1 Ismael Bonfim 1894.65 +260.64 81.77%
WHR Ismael Bonfim 1823.27 +239.80 79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Top 6 Fighters with the Most Consecutive UFC Title Defenses

Posted on February 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Credit

Consecutive UFC title defenses are a true mark of greatness in mixed martial arts. Only a handful of champions have managed to hold onto their titles while defeating the best fighters in the world, time and time again.

These athletes not only reach the summit of their division but then fend off a constant stream of hungry contenders eager to dethrone them. Their consistent dominance also makes them key figures in the world of UFC betting BetUS, where fans follow the odds closely when these champions step into the Octagon.  Let’s explore the top UFC champions who achieved this remarkable feat, showcasing their dominance and resilience in the Octagon.

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