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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (10-11-2025)

Posted on October 7, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-11-0, +103) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0, -125)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#3P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#43LW] Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#34WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2227.10 +126.49 67.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2236.28 +133.72 68.35%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2306.84 +142.21 69.40%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2123.44 +85.57 62.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.0, Mateusz Gamrot 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 105, Mateusz Gamrot 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1, +227) vs. [#19][#18UFC] Montel Jackson (15-2-0, -283)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (19-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -283 70.72%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1969.71 +15.47 52.22%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1965.31 +33.55 54.81%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 2002.60 +5.10 50.73%
WHR Montel Jackson 1963.94 +109.03 65.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Deiveson Figueiredo 37.8, Montel Jackson 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 161, Montel Jackson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24][#21UFC] Vicente Luque (23-11-1, +375) vs. [#21LW][#14LWUFC] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0, -526)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#105LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#81LW] Marc Diakiese (18-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joel Alvarez -526 79.96%
Elo K170 Joel Alvarez 1973.41 +122.34 66.91%
Elo Modified Joel Alvarez 1963.34 +94.48 63.27%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 2060.11 +167.67 72.42%
WHR Joel Alvarez 2000.06 +261.11 81.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 33.9, Joel Alvarez 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Joel Alvarez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#50][#22UFC] Jhonata Diniz (9-1-0, +105) vs. [#75][#26UFC] Mario Pinto (10-0-0, -127)

Last 3 Fights: Jhonata Diniz (2-1-0)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#123HW+] Alvin Hines (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#54HW+] Karl Williams (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Pinto (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#142HW+] Austen Lane (13-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:39 of round 2
2024-10-08: W vs. [#211HW+] Lucas Triverio Camacho (6-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1
2024-02-18: W vs. [#106HW+] Kasim Aras (10-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mario Pinto -127 53.42%
Elo K170 Jhonata Diniz 1628.09 +29.38 54.22%
Elo Modified Jhonata Diniz 1701.75 +53.43 57.63%
Glicko-1 Mario Pinto 1668.15 +6.26 50.90%
WHR Mario Pinto 1610.09 +83.48 61.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jhonata Diniz 34.3, Mario Pinto 27.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jhonata Diniz 105, Mario Pinto 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#135][#52UFC] Ricardo Ramos (17-7-0, -208) vs. [#286][#69UFC] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (1-2-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#32FW] Jose Mariscal (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#156FW] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#55FW] Julian Erosa (31-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kaan Ofli (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#49FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#101LW] Mairon Santos (16-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-02-24: W vs. [#928FW] Jarrett Wilbraham (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricardo Ramos -208 64.41%
Elo K170 Ricardo Ramos 1539.56 +55.72 57.95%
Elo Modified Ricardo Ramos 1533.62 +31.16 54.47%
Glicko-1 Kaan Ofli 1497.82 +8.51 51.22%
WHR Kaan Ofli 1511.73 +34.53 54.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ricardo Ramos 30.2, Kaan Ofli 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricardo Ramos 224, Kaan Ofli 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#153][#57UFC] Lucas Almeida (15-4-0, +128) vs. [#180][#59UFC] Michael Aswell (10-3-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Almeida (1-2-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#143FW] Danny Silva (10-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#198FW] Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#56FW] Andre Fili (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Aswell (1-2-0)
2025-05-31: L vs. [#203LW] Bolaji Oki (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-12-15: W vs. [#404FW] Dorian Ramos (8-4-0) via SD ()
2024-08-27: L vs. [#121FW] Bogdan Grad (15-3-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Aswell -157 58.20%
Elo K170 Lucas Almeida 1495.40 +93.75 63.18%
Elo Modified Lucas Almeida 1598.63 +171.80 72.89%
Glicko-1 Lucas Almeida 1589.80 +171.90 72.90%
WHR Lucas Almeida 1506.22 +85.18 62.02%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lucas Almeida 34.7, Michael Aswell 25.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucas Almeida 224, Michael Aswell 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#55][#25UFC] Clayton Carpenter (8-1-0, -108) vs. [#86][#38UFC] Jafel Filho (16-4-0, -114)

Last 3 Fights: Clayton Carpenter (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#14FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#97FLY] Lucas Rocha (17-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#375FLY] Juancamilo Ronderos (5-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jafel Filho (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: L vs. [#31FLY] Allan Nascimento (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#50FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#176FLY] Daniel Barez (17-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jafel Filho -114 50.64%
Elo K170 Clayton Carpenter 1579.15 +19.76 52.84%
Elo Modified Clayton Carpenter 1595.15 +2.36 50.34%
Glicko-1 Jafel Filho 1630.57 +11.89 51.71%
WHR Jafel Filho 1637.63 +30.04 54.31%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Clayton Carpenter 29.3, Jafel Filho 32.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clayton Carpenter 266, Jafel Filho 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#44][#19UFC] Vitor Petrino (12-2-0, -265) vs. [#60][#23UFC] Thomas Petersen (11-3-0, +212)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (1-2-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#142HW+] Austen Lane (13-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1
2024-12-14: L vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3
2024-05-04: L vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Petersen (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#74HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#29HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:12 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#87HW+] Mohammed Usman (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -265 69.37%
Elo K170 Vitor Petrino 1626.77 +122.16 66.89%
Elo Modified Vitor Petrino 1674.42 +141.97 69.37%
Glicko-1 Vitor Petrino 1676.76 +164.76 72.08%
WHR Vitor Petrino 1660.52 +161.32 71.68%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vitor Petrino 28.1, Thomas Petersen 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Petrino 91, Thomas Petersen 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#32] Beatriz Mesquita (5-0-0, -627) vs. [#75][#30UFC] Irina Alekseeva (5-3-0, +434)

Last 3 Fights: Beatriz Mesquita (3-0-0)
2025-06-20: W vs. [#93BW] Sierra Lee Dinwoodie (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2
2025-03-06: W vs. [#89BW] Hope Chase (4-3-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Upkick) in 2:20 of round 2
2024-12-06: W vs. [NA] Fernanda Araujo (2-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Irina Alekseeva (1-2-0)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#43BW] Klaudia Sygula (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#25BW] Melissa Mullins (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-04-29: W vs. [*] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Beatriz Mesquita -627 82.15%
Elo K170 Beatriz Mesquita 1351.27 +178.74 73.67%
Elo Modified Beatriz Mesquita 1400.36 +145.03 69.74%
Glicko-1 Beatriz Mesquita 1327.88 +96.41 63.53%
WHR Beatriz Mesquita 1269.77 +84.28 61.90%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Beatriz Mesquita 34.5, Irina Alekseeva 35.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beatriz Mesquita 113, Irina Alekseeva 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#97][#42UFC] Lucas Rocha (17-2-0, +103) vs. [#367][#58UFC] Stewart Nicoll (8-1-0, -126)

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Rocha (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#55FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-10-10: W vs. [#443BW] Davi Bittencourt (18-5-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2023-05-27: W vs. [#143FLY] Matheus Severino (14-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Stewart Nicoll (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#56FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (12-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#477FLY] Issei Kitano (7-2-0) via TKO in 4:45 of round 1
2023-09-16: W vs. [*] Dansheel Moodley (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stewart Nicoll -126 53.09%
Elo K170 Lucas Rocha 1560.14 +138.87 68.98%
Elo Modified Lucas Rocha 1598.13 +150.37 70.38%
Glicko-1 Lucas Rocha 1601.13 +142.52 69.43%
WHR Lucas Rocha 1550.07 +138.94 68.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lucas Rocha 25.1, Stewart Nicoll 30.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucas Rocha 364, Stewart Nicoll 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#34][#16UFC] Valter Walker (14-1-0, -275) vs. [#87][#28UFC] Mohammed Usman (11-4-0, +219)

Last 3 Fights: Valter Walker (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#45HW+] Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-0) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 0:54 of round 1
2025-02-15: W vs. [#74HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:17 of round 1
2024-08-17: W vs. [#150LHW] Junior Tafa (6-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (1-2-0)
2025-06-21: W vs. [#120HW+] Hamdy Abdelwahab (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#60HW+] Thomas Petersen (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#47HW+] Mick Parkin (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valter Walker -275 70.05%
Elo K170 Valter Walker 1687.94 +187.08 74.59%
Elo Modified Valter Walker 1738.07 +222.22 78.23%
Glicko-1 Valter Walker 1780.72 +294.15 84.47%
WHR Valter Walker 1638.39 +211.33 77.14%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valter Walker 27.8, Mohammed Usman 36.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valter Walker 91, Mohammed Usman 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valter Walker leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#41][#27UFC] Julia Polastri (13-5-0, -424) vs. [#49][#30UFC] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0, +315)

Last 3 Fights: Julia Polastri (1-2-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#69SW] Cory McKenna (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2024-06-15: L vs. [#37SW] Josefine Lindgren Knutsso (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (1-2-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#14SW] Denise Gomes (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#10SW] Iasmin Lucindo (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#134FLY] Diana Belbita (15-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julia Polastri -424 77.05%
Elo K170 Julia Polastri 1433.07 +36.92 55.29%
Elo Modified Julia Polastri 1440.29 +39.64 55.68%
Glicko-1 Julia Polastri 1397.06 +20.55 52.95%
WHR Julia Polastri 1399.68 +82.30 61.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julia Polastri 27.6, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 40.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julia Polastri 196, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Luan Lacerda (12-3-0, -248) vs. [#766][#84UFC] Saimon Oliveira (18-6-0, +198)

Last 3 Fights: Luan Lacerda (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#154BW] Cody Stamann (21-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-13: W vs. [#35BW] Marcirley Alves (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Saimon Oliveira (0-3-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#15BW] David Martinez (13-1-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:38 of round 1
2023-01-21: L vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via KO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 2:18 of round 2
2022-01-22: L vs. [*] Tony Gravely (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luan Lacerda -248 67.98%
Elo K170 Luan Lacerda 1462.49 +58.20 58.30%
Elo Modified Luan Lacerda 1481.49 +80.13 61.33%
Glicko-1 Luan Lacerda 1530.63 +125.55 67.32%
WHR Luan Lacerda 1563.47 +250.10 80.84%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Luan Lacerda 32.7, Saimon Oliveira 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luan Lacerda 861, Saimon Oliveira 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-10-5

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