Betting on UFC fights can be both thrilling and rewarding, but winning consistently requires more than just blind luck. To make informed wagers, bettors must analyze specific stats and metrics that give a clear picture of a fighter’s strengths, weaknesses, and overall performance. By breaking down these numbers, you can spot trends, identify value, and make smarter bets.
Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a sport driven by precision, performance, and historical achievements. Statistics and records play a vital role in shaping fan engagement, sports betting, and fighter analysis. Whether it is the number of wins, finishes, or knockout records, MMA stats provide a comprehensive view of the sport’s dynamics and legacy.
Welterweight (170)
[#5] Colby Covington (17-4-0, +212) vs. [#9] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0, -264)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Leon Edwards (22-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#80WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#18WW] Vicente Luque (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joaquin Buckley | -264 | 69.35% | |
| Elo K170 | Colby Covington | 2244.12 | +162.96 | 71.87% |
| Elo Modified | Colby Covington | 2179.50 | +135.34 | 68.55% |
| Glicko-1 | Colby Covington | 2244.79 | +92.60 | 63.02% |
| WHR | Colby Covington | 1960.38 | +28.86 | 54.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 364, Joaquin Buckley 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#40] Cub Swanson (30-14-0, +132) vs. [#44] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0, -159)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#21BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#25FW] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Billy Quarantillo | -159 | 58.75% | |
| Elo K170 | Cub Swanson | 1678.39 | +57.33 | 58.18% |
| Elo Modified | Cub Swanson | 1726.26 | +89.49 | 62.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Cub Swanson | 1764.50 | +100.94 | 64.13% |
| WHR | Cub Swanson | 1655.95 | +52.07 | 57.44% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 168, Billy Quarantillo 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#13] Manel Kape (19-7-0, -302) vs. [#21] Bruno Silva (14-6-2, +239)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#202BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Manel Kape | -302 | 71.80% | |
| Elo K170 | Manel Kape | 1739.07 | +45.52 | 56.51% |
| Elo Modified | Manel Kape | 1748.75 | +64.63 | 59.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Manel Kape | 1810.78 | +61.47 | 58.75% |
| WHR | Manel Kape | 1735.25 | +34.18 | 54.90% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 140, Bruno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Manel Kape leads 1-0
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In the green so far….
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0, -270) vs. [#24BW] Kai Asakura (21-4-0, +218)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#8FLY] Steve Erceg (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (22-8-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (2-1-0)
2023-12-31: W vs. [#74FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:20 of round 2
2023-05-06: W vs. [#83BW] Yuki Motoya (36-12-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 2:25 of round 3
2021-12-31: L vs. [#12FLY] Hiromasa Ougikubo (27-8-2) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexandre Pantoja | -270 | 69.88% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexandre Pantoja | 2142.99 | +112.56 | 65.66% |
| Elo Modified | Alexandre Pantoja | 2052.29 | +81.53 | 61.52% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexandre Pantoja | 2109.18 | +81.67 | 61.54% |
| WHR | Alexandre Pantoja | 1985.39 | +107.26 | 64.96% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 217, Kai Asakura 342
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#5] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0, -378) vs. [#8] Ian Garry (15-0-0, +287)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the All-Time #31 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #45 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:56 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-06-25: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#17WW] Michael Page (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Shavkat Rakhmonov | -378 | 75.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Shavkat Rakhmonov | 2224.04 | +75.57 | 60.71% |
| Elo Modified | Shavkat Rakhmonov | 2181.75 | +101.44 | 64.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Shavkat Rakhmonov | 2296.22 | +192.57 | 75.19% |
| WHR | Shavkat Rakhmonov | 2181.58 | +211.63 | 77.18% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shavkat Rakhmonov 357, Ian Garry 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[*] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0, -324) vs. [#4] Alexander Volkov (38-10-0, +253)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1HW+/#8P4P] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexander Romanov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ciryl Gane | -324 | 72.95% | |
| Elo K170 | Ciryl Gane | 2135.11 | +32.94 | 54.73% |
| Elo Modified | Ciryl Gane | 2129.33 | +21.62 | 53.11% |
| Glicko-1 | Ciryl Gane | 2218.49 | +14.14 | 52.03% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 2062.31 | +0.80 | 50.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 462, Alexander Volkov 168
Previous Match-up Record: Ciryl Gane leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
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Featherweight (145)
[#16] Timur Khizriev (17-0-0, -303) vs. [#17] Brendan Loughnane (29-5-0, +230)
Last 3 Fights: Timur Khizriev (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#25FW] Gabriel Braga (14-2-0) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#46FW] Enrique Barzola (22-9-2) via UD ()
2024-04-19: W vs. [#111FW] Brett Johns (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Brendan Loughnane (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#27FW] Kai Kamaka III (14-6-1) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#102FW] Justin Gonzales (14-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-04-19: W vs. [#59FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Timur Khizriev | -303 | 71.27% | |
| Elo K170 | Timur Khizriev | 2007.52 | +40.86 | 55.85% |
| Elo Modified | Timur Khizriev | 1940.31 | +9.23 | 51.33% |
| Glicko-1 | Brendan Loughnane | 1952.61 | +17.86 | 52.57% |
| WHR | Timur Khizriev | 1902.04 | +70.67 | 60.03% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Timur Khizriev 98, Brendan Loughnane 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#5] Taila Santos (22-3-0, +265) vs. [#18] Dakota Ditcheva (13-0-0, -364)
Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#9FLY] Liz Carmouche (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-13: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-04-04: W vs. [#52FLY] Ilara Joanne (12-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dakota Ditcheva (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punch) in 3:54 of round 1
2024-06-13: W vs. [#107FLY] Chelsea Hackett (4-3-1) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 3:22 of round 1
2024-04-04: W vs. [#99FLY] Lisa Mauldin (6-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dakota Ditcheva | -364 | 74.11% | |
| Elo K170 | Taila Santos | 1826.74 | +211.90 | 77.20% |
| Elo Modified | Taila Santos | 1819.02 | +157.48 | 71.23% |
| Glicko-1 | Taila Santos | 1851.42 | +141.57 | 69.31% |
| WHR | Taila Santos | 1736.73 | +128.72 | 67.72% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 119, Dakota Ditcheva 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0, -165) vs. [#13] Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (24-7-1, +131)
Last 3 Fights: Impa Kasanganay (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#20LHW] Joshua Silveira (13-4-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-04-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Alex Polizzi (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#21LHW] Rob Wilkinson (19-3-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#161LHW] Simon Biyong (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-12: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Impa Kasanganay | -165 | 58.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov | 1972.58 | +49.14 | 57.03% |
| Elo Modified | Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov | 1986.20 | +16.98 | 52.44% |
| Glicko-1 | Impa Kasanganay | 2071.76 | +65.39 | 59.30% |
| WHR | Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov | 1930.01 | +25.16 | 53.61% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Impa Kasanganay 105, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This past week’s UFC main event was important for the Bantamweight division. What does the all-time picture look like as we walk through the history?
Dana… are you sure Stipe is the best of all-time?
Been on a bit of a skid…. but here we go!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1, +218) vs. [#5] Petr Yan (17-5-0, -272)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#9BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#31BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#12BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Petr Yan | -272 | 69.92% | |
| Elo K170 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2155.09 | +147.41 | 70.03% |
| Elo Modified | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2120.13 | +51.29 | 57.33% |
| Glicko-1 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2192.42 | +59.95 | 58.54% |
| WHR | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2017.27 | +26.21 | 53.76% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 112, Petr Yan 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#3/#9DD/#10P4P] Xiaonan Yan (18-4-0, -201) vs. [#7] Tabatha Ricci (11-2-0, +165)
Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (25-3-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#11FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#11SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#5SW] Tecia Pennington (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Xiaonan Yan | -201 | 63.89% | |
| Elo K170 | Xiaonan Yan | 1767.49 | +76.09 | 60.78% |
| Elo Modified | Xiaonan Yan | 1758.65 | +56.11 | 58.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Xiaonan Yan | 1720.49 | +24.72 | 53.55% |
| WHR | Xiaonan Yan | 1637.38 | +36.91 | 55.29% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 224, Tabatha Ricci 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#63] Mingyang Zhang (17-6-0, -316) vs. [#69] Osman Diaz (9-2-0, +245)
Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#105LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-06-09: W vs. [#121LHW] George Tokkos (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2021-04-30: W vs. [NA] Changsheng Huo (2-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Osman Diaz (2-1-0)
2024-05-17: W vs. [#213LHW] Bevon Lewis (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2
2024-03-08: W vs. [#90LHW] Chuck Campbell (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-07-26: L vs. [#21MW] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mingyang Zhang | -316 | 72.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Mingyang Zhang | 1582.94 | +100.61 | 64.09% |
| Elo Modified | Mingyang Zhang | 1582.51 | +74.07 | 60.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Mingyang Zhang | 1657.38 | +104.18 | 64.56% |
| WHR | Osman Diaz | 1604.80 | +42.56 | 56.09% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Osman Diaz 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Some interesting picks this week…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
Heavyweight Championship (265)
[*] Jon Jones (27-1-0, -687) vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0, +465)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #2 ranked Heavyweight and #16 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#3HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
2020-02-08: W vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#34HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Francis Ngannou (18-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-08-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-08-17: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jon Jones | -687 | 83.14% | |
| Elo K170 | Jon Jones | 2462.88 | +195.16 | 75.46% |
| Elo Modified | Jon Jones | 2399.49 | +154.72 | 70.90% |
| Glicko-1 | Jon Jones | 2500.75 | +150.06 | 70.34% |
| WHR | Jon Jones | 2262.89 | +141.53 | 69.31% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 623, Stipe Miocic 1330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Stipe Miocic leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (34-10-0, -254) vs. [*] Michael Chandler (23-8-0, +205)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #36 ranked Absolute fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#12LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (1-2-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2022-05-07: W vs. [#107WW] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Charles Oliveira | -254 | 68.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Oliveira | 2263.99 | +192.02 | 75.13% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Oliveira | 2274.77 | +241.48 | 80.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Oliveira | 2383.15 | +289.98 | 84.15% |
| WHR | Charles Oliveira | 2180.90 | +312.77 | 85.82% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 217, Michael Chandler 735
Previous Match-up Record: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 4-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#23] Paul Craig (17-8-1, +672) vs. [#65] Bo Nickal (6-0-0, -1136)
Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#11MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Bo Nickal (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#93MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#495WW] Valentine Woodburn (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#207MW] Jamie Pickett (13-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bo Nickal | -1136 | 87.65% | |
| Elo K170 | Paul Craig | 1740.81 | +161.64 | 71.72% |
| Elo Modified | Paul Craig | 1762.82 | +102.02 | 64.28% |
| Glicko-1 | Paul Craig | 1786.76 | +177.19 | 73.50% |
| WHR | Paul Craig | 1723.30 | +224.91 | 78.49% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 196, Bo Nickal 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Last week was profitable again!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
Welterweight (170)
[#27] Neil Magny (29-12-0, +456) vs. [#45] Carlos Prates (20-6-0, -660)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#15WW] Michael Morales (17-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2024-01-20: W vs. [#81WW] Mike Malott (11-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3
2023-08-19: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (15-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#61WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#203WW] Charlie Radtke (9-4-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#157WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:03 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Prates | -660 | 82.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Carlos Prates | 1897.23 | +53.88 | 57.69% |
| Elo Modified | Carlos Prates | 1909.10 | +88.61 | 62.48% |
| Glicko-1 | Carlos Prates | 2006.91 | +166.86 | 72.32% |
| WHR | Carlos Prates | 1916.29 | +180.82 | 73.90% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 77, Carlos Prates 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#30] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0, +112) vs. [#31] Miles Johns (16-2-0, -133)
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-16: W vs. [#309BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#100BW] Trevin Jones (15-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#52BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#46BW] Cody Gibson (21-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#203BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Miles Johns | -133 | 54.75% | |
| Elo K170 | Miles Johns | 1857.19 | +94.16 | 63.23% |
| Elo Modified | Miles Johns | 1828.28 | +78.08 | 61.05% |
| Glicko-1 | Miles Johns | 1852.41 | +58.73 | 58.37% |
| WHR | Miles Johns | 1791.94 | +155.62 | 71.01% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Garbrandt 210, Miles Johns 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#17] Denise Gomes (9-3-0, -446) vs. [#31] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-8-0, +327)
Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#44FLY] Eduarda Moura (10-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#42SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8SW] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#113SW] Diana Belbita (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#37SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Denise Gomes | -446 | 77.71% | |
| Elo K170 | Denise Gomes | 1551.78 | +92.85 | 63.05% |
| Elo Modified | Denise Gomes | 1527.22 | +62.90 | 58.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Denise Gomes | 1527.15 | +96.54 | 63.54% |
| WHR | Denise Gomes | 1496.94 | +142.76 | 69.46% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Denise Gomes 154, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Both parlays hit last week!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
