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Fight Matrix

MMA Current Records & Stats: Comprehensive Fighter Data for Next Year

Posted on December 10, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a sport driven by precision, performance, and historical achievements. Statistics and records play a vital role in shaping fan engagement, sports betting, and fighter analysis. Whether it is the number of wins, finishes, or knockout records, MMA stats provide a comprehensive view of the sport’s dynamics and legacy.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley (12-14-2024)

Posted on December 9, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Colby Covington (17-4-0, +212) vs. [#9] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0, -264)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Leon Edwards (22-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#80WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#18WW] Vicente Luque (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -264 69.35%
Elo K170 Colby Covington 2244.12 +162.96 71.87%
Elo Modified Colby Covington 2179.50 +135.34 68.55%
Glicko-1 Colby Covington 2244.79 +92.60 63.02%
WHR Colby Covington 1960.38 +28.86 54.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 364, Joaquin Buckley 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#40] Cub Swanson (30-14-0, +132) vs. [#44] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0, -159)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#21BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#25FW] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Billy Quarantillo -159 58.75%
Elo K170 Cub Swanson 1678.39 +57.33 58.18%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1726.26 +89.49 62.60%
Glicko-1 Cub Swanson 1764.50 +100.94 64.13%
WHR Cub Swanson 1655.95 +52.07 57.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 168, Billy Quarantillo 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#13] Manel Kape (19-7-0, -302) vs. [#21] Bruno Silva (14-6-2, +239)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#202BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -302 71.80%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1739.07 +45.52 56.51%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1748.75 +64.63 59.20%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1810.78 +61.47 58.75%
WHR Manel Kape 1735.25 +34.18 54.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 140, Bruno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Manel Kape leads 1-0
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on December 5, 2024 by Jason

In the green so far….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura (12-07-2024)

Posted on December 2, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0, -270) vs. [#24BW] Kai Asakura (21-4-0, +218)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#8FLY] Steve Erceg (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (22-8-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (2-1-0)
2023-12-31: W vs. [#74FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:20 of round 2
2023-05-06: W vs. [#83BW] Yuki Motoya (36-12-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 2:25 of round 3
2021-12-31: L vs. [#12FLY] Hiromasa Ougikubo (27-8-2) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -270 69.88%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2142.99 +112.56 65.66%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 2052.29 +81.53 61.52%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2109.18 +81.67 61.54%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 1985.39 +107.26 64.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 217, Kai Asakura 342
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0, -378) vs. [#8] Ian Garry (15-0-0, +287)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the All-Time #31 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #45 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:56 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-06-25: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#17WW] Michael Page (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#12WW] Geoff Neal (16-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#32WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shavkat Rakhmonov -378 75.37%
Elo K170 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2224.04 +75.57 60.71%
Elo Modified Shavkat Rakhmonov 2181.75 +101.44 64.20%
Glicko-1 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2296.22 +192.57 75.19%
WHR Shavkat Rakhmonov 2181.58 +211.63 77.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shavkat Rakhmonov 357, Ian Garry 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0, -324) vs. [#4] Alexander Volkov (38-10-0, +253)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1HW+/#8P4P] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexander Romanov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -324 72.95%
Elo K170 Ciryl Gane 2135.11 +32.94 54.73%
Elo Modified Ciryl Gane 2129.33 +21.62 53.11%
Glicko-1 Ciryl Gane 2218.49 +14.14 52.03%
WHR Alexander Volkov 2062.31 +0.80 50.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 462, Alexander Volkov 168
Previous Match-up Record: Ciryl Gane leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
.
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Fight Matrix Program – PFL 2024 Championships (11-29-2024)

Posted on November 26, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#16] Timur Khizriev (17-0-0, -303) vs. [#17] Brendan Loughnane (29-5-0, +230)

Last 3 Fights: Timur Khizriev (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#25FW] Gabriel Braga (14-2-0) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#46FW] Enrique Barzola (22-9-2) via UD ()
2024-04-19: W vs. [#111FW] Brett Johns (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Loughnane (3-0-0)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#27FW] Kai Kamaka III (14-6-1) via SD ()
2024-06-28: W vs. [#102FW] Justin Gonzales (14-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-04-19: W vs. [#59FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Timur Khizriev -303 71.27%
Elo K170 Timur Khizriev 2007.52 +40.86 55.85%
Elo Modified Timur Khizriev 1940.31 +9.23 51.33%
Glicko-1 Brendan Loughnane 1952.61 +17.86 52.57%
WHR Timur Khizriev 1902.04 +70.67 60.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Timur Khizriev 98, Brendan Loughnane 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#5] Taila Santos (22-3-0, +265) vs. [#18] Dakota Ditcheva (13-0-0, -364)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#9FLY] Liz Carmouche (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-13: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-04-04: W vs. [#52FLY] Ilara Joanne (12-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dakota Ditcheva (3-0-0)
2024-08-02: W vs. [#30FLY] Jena Bishop (7-2-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punch) in 3:54 of round 1
2024-06-13: W vs. [#107FLY] Chelsea Hackett (4-3-1) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 3:22 of round 1
2024-04-04: W vs. [#99FLY] Lisa Mauldin (6-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dakota Ditcheva -364 74.11%
Elo K170 Taila Santos 1826.74 +211.90 77.20%
Elo Modified Taila Santos 1819.02 +157.48 71.23%
Glicko-1 Taila Santos 1851.42 +141.57 69.31%
WHR Taila Santos 1736.73 +128.72 67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 119, Dakota Ditcheva 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0, -165) vs. [#13] Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (24-7-1, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Impa Kasanganay (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#20LHW] Joshua Silveira (13-4-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-04-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Alex Polizzi (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (3-0-0)
2024-08-16: W vs. [#21LHW] Rob Wilkinson (19-3-0) via UD ()
2024-06-21: W vs. [#161LHW] Simon Biyong (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-12: W vs. [#65LHW] Jakob Nedoh (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Impa Kasanganay -165 58.98%
Elo K170 Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 1972.58 +49.14 57.03%
Elo Modified Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 1986.20 +16.98 52.44%
Glicko-1 Impa Kasanganay 2071.76 +65.39 59.30%
WHR Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 1930.01 +25.16 53.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Impa Kasanganay 105, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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All-Time Greatest Bantamweights Through History

Posted on November 24, 2024 by Jason

This past week’s UFC main event was important for the Bantamweight division.  What does the all-time picture look like as we walk through the history?

    • This is entirely different than our All-Time Rankings, and much more simplistic.  Fewer edge cases are handled here.
    • Quarterly ranking data gathered from Generated Historical Rankings.  Snapshots are made on the first of the quarter.
    • 10 points assigned for #1 rank, 6 points for #2, 4 points for #3, 3 points for #4, 2 points for #5, 1 point for #6-10.
    • Weak divisional depth penalty applied to above point totals where necessary.
    • Fighter gets no points for the quarter if they did not win, draw, or have close loss (SD,MD) in the division in the previous 450 days.
    • Fighter no longer accumulates points after retiring.
    • Date format (lower right) is year_month.

 

All-Time Greatest Heavyweights Through History

Posted on November 22, 2024 by Jason

Dana… are you sure Stipe is the best of all-time?

  • This is entirely different than our All-Time Rankings, and much more simplistic.  Fewer edge cases are handled here.
  • Quarterly Heavyweight ranking data gathered from Generated Historical Rankings.  Snapshots are made on the first of the quarter.
  • 10 points assigned for #1 rank, 6 points for #2, 4 points for #3, 3 points for #4, 2 points for #5, 1 point for #6-10.
  • Weak divisional depth penalty applied to above point totals, with a maximum penalty of 33.3%.
  • Fighter gets no points for the quarter if they did not win or draw in the division in the 450 days previous to beginning of the quarter.
  • Yes, there are many “open weight” fighters present in the early years.
  • Date format (lower right) is year_month.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 21, 2024 by Jason

Been on a bit of a skid…. but here we go!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo (11-16-2024)

Posted on November 18, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1, +218) vs. [#5] Petr Yan (17-5-0, -272)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#9BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#31BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#12BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -272 69.92%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2155.09 +147.41 70.03%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2120.13 +51.29 57.33%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2192.42 +59.95 58.54%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 2017.27 +26.21 53.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 112, Petr Yan 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#3/#9DD/#10P4P] Xiaonan Yan (18-4-0, -201) vs. [#7] Tabatha Ricci (11-2-0, +165)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (25-3-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#11FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)

Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#11SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#5SW] Tecia Pennington (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -201 63.89%
Elo K170 Xiaonan Yan 1767.49 +76.09 60.78%
Elo Modified Xiaonan Yan 1758.65 +56.11 58.00%
Glicko-1 Xiaonan Yan 1720.49 +24.72 53.55%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1637.38 +36.91 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 224, Tabatha Ricci 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#63] Mingyang Zhang (17-6-0, -316) vs. [#69] Osman Diaz (9-2-0, +245)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#105LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-06-09: W vs. [#121LHW] George Tokkos (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2021-04-30: W vs. [NA] Changsheng Huo (2-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Osman Diaz (2-1-0)
2024-05-17: W vs. [#213LHW] Bevon Lewis (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2
2024-03-08: W vs. [#90LHW] Chuck Campbell (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-07-26: L vs. [#21MW] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mingyang Zhang -316 72.37%
Elo K170 Mingyang Zhang 1582.94 +100.61 64.09%
Elo Modified Mingyang Zhang 1582.51 +74.07 60.50%
Glicko-1 Mingyang Zhang 1657.38 +104.18 64.56%
WHR Osman Diaz 1604.80 +42.56 56.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Osman Diaz 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 14, 2024 by Jason

Some interesting picks this week…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic (11-16-2024)

Posted on November 11, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[*] Jon Jones (27-1-0, -687) vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0, +465)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #2 ranked Heavyweight and #16 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#3HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
2020-02-08: W vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#34HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Francis Ngannou (18-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-08-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-08-17: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jon Jones -687 83.14%
Elo K170 Jon Jones 2462.88 +195.16 75.46%
Elo Modified Jon Jones 2399.49 +154.72 70.90%
Glicko-1 Jon Jones 2500.75 +150.06 70.34%
WHR Jon Jones 2262.89 +141.53 69.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 623, Stipe Miocic 1330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Stipe Miocic leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (34-10-0, -254) vs. [*] Michael Chandler (23-8-0, +205)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #36 ranked Absolute fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#12LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (1-2-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2022-05-07: W vs. [#107WW] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Oliveira -254 68.63%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2263.99 +192.02 75.13%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2274.77 +241.48 80.06%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2383.15 +289.98 84.15%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2180.90 +312.77 85.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 217, Michael Chandler 735
Previous Match-up Record: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 4-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#23] Paul Craig (17-8-1, +672) vs. [#65] Bo Nickal (6-0-0, -1136)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#11MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bo Nickal (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#93MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#495WW] Valentine Woodburn (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#207MW] Jamie Pickett (13-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bo Nickal -1136 87.65%
Elo K170 Paul Craig 1740.81 +161.64 71.72%
Elo Modified Paul Craig 1762.82 +102.02 64.28%
Glicko-1 Paul Craig 1786.76 +177.19 73.50%
WHR Paul Craig 1723.30 +224.91 78.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 196, Bo Nickal 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 7, 2024 by Jason

Last week was profitable again!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates (11-09-2024)

Posted on November 4, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#27] Neil Magny (29-12-0, +456) vs. [#45] Carlos Prates (20-6-0, -660)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#15WW] Michael Morales (17-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2024-01-20: W vs. [#81WW] Mike Malott (11-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3
2023-08-19: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (15-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#61WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#203WW] Charlie Radtke (9-4-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#157WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:03 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -660 82.83%
Elo K170 Carlos Prates 1897.23 +53.88 57.69%
Elo Modified Carlos Prates 1909.10 +88.61 62.48%
Glicko-1 Carlos Prates 2006.91 +166.86 72.32%
WHR Carlos Prates 1916.29 +180.82 73.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 77, Carlos Prates 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#30] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0, +112) vs. [#31] Miles Johns (16-2-0, -133)
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-16: W vs. [#309BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#100BW] Trevin Jones (15-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#52BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#46BW] Cody Gibson (21-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#203BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miles Johns -133 54.75%
Elo K170 Miles Johns 1857.19 +94.16 63.23%
Elo Modified Miles Johns 1828.28 +78.08 61.05%
Glicko-1 Miles Johns 1852.41 +58.73 58.37%
WHR Miles Johns 1791.94 +155.62 71.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Garbrandt 210, Miles Johns 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#17] Denise Gomes (9-3-0, -446) vs. [#31] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-8-0, +327)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#44FLY] Eduarda Moura (10-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (17-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#42SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8SW] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#113SW] Diana Belbita (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#37SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Denise Gomes -446 77.71%
Elo K170 Denise Gomes 1551.78 +92.85 63.05%
Elo Modified Denise Gomes 1527.22 +62.90 58.96%
Glicko-1 Denise Gomes 1527.15 +96.54 63.54%
WHR Denise Gomes 1496.94 +142.76 69.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Denise Gomes 154, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 31, 2024 by Jason

Both parlays hit last week!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi (11-02-2024)

Posted on October 28, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2, -159) vs. [*] Amir Albazi (17-1-0, +131)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #42 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#4BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (3-0-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#4FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#49FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -159 58.64%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 1898.72 +6.45 50.93%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 1965.97 +147.38 70.02%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2075.69 +212.19 77.23%
WHR Brandon Moreno 1986.22 +183.94 74.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 252, Amir Albazi 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#4] Rose Namajunas (13-6-0, +106) vs. [#5] Erin Blanchfield (12-2-0, -128)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #45 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#16FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#12FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD/#4P4P] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (2-1-0)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD/#4P4P] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#6FLY] Taila Santos (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#10FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Erin Blanchfield -128 53.63%
Elo K170 Rose Namajunas 1890.84 +90.95 62.80%
Elo Modified Rose Namajunas 1850.87 +46.65 56.67%
Glicko-1 Rose Namajunas 1839.32 +3.74 50.54%
WHR Rose Namajunas 1776.05 +55.17 57.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 112, Erin Blanchfield 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#13] Derrick Lewis (28-12-0, +144) vs. [#56] Jhonata Diniz (8-0-0, -174)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#27HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 3
2023-11-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Jailton Almeida (21-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-45)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#25HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jhonata Diniz (3-0-0)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#73HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#137HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#100HW+] Eduardo Neves (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jhonata Diniz -174 60.77%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 1844.56 +230.49 79.03%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 1848.44 +178.08 73.59%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 1903.66 +234.52 79.42%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1773.72 +215.45 77.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 175, Jhonata Diniz 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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