Charles Oliveira currently holds the record in that category with a total of 21 post-fight bonuses in his career to date. CasinoHEX UK prepared a material looking at how he arrived at that figure – and also at the other fighters who could give him a run for his money in this interesting statistic.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo (05-30-2026)
Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#7UFC] Yadong Song (22-10-1, -565) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, +410)
Yadong Song is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#2DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Petr Yan (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#23BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Yadong Song | -565 | 81.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 1992.72 | +25.09 | 53.60% |
| Elo Modified | Yadong Song | 1972.69 | +44.81 | 56.41% |
| Glicko-1 | Yadong Song | 2018.13 | +45.62 | 56.53% |
| WHR | Yadong Song | 1863.96 | +37.64 | 55.40% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadong Song 28.5, Deiveson Figueiredo 38.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 126, Deiveson Figueiredo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27][#17UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-7-0, -250) vs. [#28][#18UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1, +202)
Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-10-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2025-04-26: W vs. [#38HW+] Anthony Smith (39-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#154MW] Osman Diaz (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (21-8-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#42LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#72LHW] Julius Walker (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mingyang Zhang | -250 | 68.32% | |
| Elo K170 | Alonzo Menifield | 1702.61 | +34.91 | 55.01% |
| Elo Modified | Alonzo Menifield | 1697.03 | +21.32 | 53.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Mingyang Zhang | 1731.69 | +27.92 | 54.01% |
| WHR | Mingyang Zhang | 1681.68 | +22.95 | 53.30% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mingyang Zhang 27.8, Alonzo Menifield 38.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Alonzo Menifield 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alonzo Menifield leads 1-0
.
Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0, -552) vs. [#21][#13UFC] Tallison Teixeira (9-1-0, +398)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#8HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-01: W vs. [*] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (40-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (2-1-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#18HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [*] Justin Tafa (7-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 0:35 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergei Pavlovich | -552 | 80.82% | |
| Elo K170 | Sergei Pavlovich | 2056.67 | +455.33 | 93.22% |
| Elo Modified | Sergei Pavlovich | 2046.36 | +416.92 | 91.68% |
| Glicko-1 | Sergei Pavlovich | 2110.26 | +444.78 | 92.82% |
| WHR | Sergei Pavlovich | 1991.70 | +511.85 | 95.01% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 34.0, Tallison Teixeira 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 280, Tallison Teixeira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 2-1
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#15)
Two small wins last week!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#14)
We’ve been struggling as of late…… need to get back on track!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
UFC’s Polymarket Deal Adds a New Layer to Fight Analysis
UFC’s partnership with Polymarket is not just another sponsorship deal. It signals that prediction markets are moving closer to the live fight experience, where fan sentiment, probability shifts and real-time market reactions may become part of how bouts are discussed.
TKO announced Polymarket as the official and exclusive prediction market partner of UFC and Zuffa Boxing, describing the deal as the first integration of prediction market technology directly into the live fan experience. The partnership is expected to include activations across live events, broadcasts and digital content.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#13)
We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland (05-09-2026)
Middleweight Championship (185)
[#3P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (15-0-0, -564) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Sean Strickland (30-7-0, +414)
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-02-08: L vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LHW] Paulo Costa (16-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Khamzat Chimaev | -564 | 81.36% | |
| Elo K170 | Khamzat Chimaev | 2400.67 | +201.21 | 76.10% |
| Elo Modified | Khamzat Chimaev | 2339.86 | +172.16 | 72.93% |
| Glicko-1 | Khamzat Chimaev | 2443.19 | +188.84 | 74.78% |
| WHR | Khamzat Chimaev | 2250.51 | +166.82 | 72.32% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Khamzat Chimaev 32.0, Sean Strickland 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 266, Sean Strickland 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khamzat Chimaev leads 2-0
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#3DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (16-2-0, +147) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0, -176)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #17 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#10DD][#10P4P][#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#30FLY] Bruno Silva (15-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#75FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2024-10-12: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tatsuro Taira | -176 | 61.16% | |
| Elo K170 | Joshua Van | 2116.14 | +118.65 | 66.44% |
| Elo Modified | Joshua Van | 2043.32 | +41.04 | 55.88% |
| Glicko-1 | Joshua Van | 2124.85 | +15.97 | 52.30% |
| WHR | Tatsuro Taira | 1936.96 | +98.88 | 63.86% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.5, Tatsuro Taira 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 154, Tatsuro Taira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joshua Van leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0, -179) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-2-0, +150)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#17HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 2
2025-11-22: W vs. [#44HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2025-11-01: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexander Volkov | -179 | 61.59% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Volkov | 2113.59 | +83.77 | 61.83% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkov | 2101.16 | +63.56 | 59.05% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkov | 2191.29 | +74.86 | 60.61% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 2004.06 | +101.67 | 64.23% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.5, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 196, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#12)
We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates (05-02-2026)
Welterweight (170)
[#3][#3UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-3-0, -101) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Carlos Prates (23-7-0, -120)
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #19 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#1P4P][#1WW] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6WW] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#35WW] Gilbert Burns (22-10-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 2
2025-08-16: W vs. [#25WW] Geoff Neal (16-8-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Prates | -120 | 52.05% | |
| Elo K170 | Jack Della Maddalena | 2272.75 | +124.74 | 67.22% |
| Elo Modified | Jack Della Maddalena | 2171.14 | +57.80 | 58.24% |
| Glicko-1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 2256.95 | +29.96 | 54.30% |
| WHR | Carlos Prates | 2051.80 | +93.12 | 63.09% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jack Della Maddalena 29.6, Carlos Prates 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Della Maddalena 168, Carlos Prates 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#12][#11UFC] Beneil Dariush (23-7-1, +348) vs. [#30][#20UFC] Quillan Salkilld (11-1-0, -464)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (1-2-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#7LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#10LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#3LW] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#148LW] Jamie Mullarkey (18-9-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:02 of round 1
2025-10-25: W vs. [#63LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
2025-06-07: W vs. [#214LW] Yanal Ashmouz (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Quillan Salkilld | -464 | 78.65% | |
| Elo K170 | Beneil Dariush | 2029.90 | +191.41 | 75.06% |
| Elo Modified | Beneil Dariush | 1993.24 | +149.16 | 70.23% |
| Glicko-1 | Beneil Dariush | 2036.51 | +179.09 | 73.71% |
| WHR | Beneil Dariush | 1908.57 | +150.33 | 70.38% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Beneil Dariush 37.0, Quillan Salkilld 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 168, Quillan Salkilld 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#11][#10UFC] Tim Elliott (21-13-1, +316) vs. [#12][#11UFC] Steve Erceg (13-4-0, -412)
Tim Elliott is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#27FLY] Kai Asakura (21-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#33FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2023-10-21: L vs. [#10FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (16-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:03 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#59FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#9FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Steve Erceg | -412 | 76.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Tim Elliott | 1848.77 | +148.68 | 70.18% |
| Elo Modified | Tim Elliott | 1814.63 | +104.54 | 64.61% |
| Glicko-1 | Tim Elliott | 1875.34 | +158.84 | 71.39% |
| WHR | Tim Elliott | 1799.09 | +191.08 | 75.02% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tim Elliott 39.3, Steve Erceg 30.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 259, Steve Erceg 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#11)
We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Why I Started Paying Attention to Fighter Stats Before Placing My Bets
I used to bet on MMA fights based on gut feeling, watching highlight reels and deciding this guy looks tougher than that guy. Lost about $340 in three months doing exactly that.
Then I met Carlos at a gym in Tampa back in March 2023. He’d been betting on fights for 7 years while actually making money—he turned $500 into $2,100 over 14 months. When I asked him how, he pulled up this massive spreadsheet with fighter records, striking accuracy, takedown defense rates, everything. He told me to check out Acebet official because they had some of the best odds for smaller promotions. But more importantly, he said I needed to stop betting like an idiot.
So I did.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal (04-25-2026)
Featherweight (145)
[#5][#5UFC] Aljamain Sterling (25-5-0, +137) vs. [#9][#7UFC] Youssef Zalal (18-5-1, -163)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #47 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#10FW] Brian Ortega (16-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#52FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#24FW] Josh Emmett (19-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1
2025-02-15: W vs. [#52FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-02: W vs. [*] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Youssef Zalal | -163 | 59.49% | |
| Elo K170 | Aljamain Sterling | 2205.95 | +219.84 | 78.00% |
| Elo Modified | Aljamain Sterling | 2100.66 | +140.93 | 69.24% |
| Glicko-1 | Aljamain Sterling | 2142.27 | +89.75 | 62.64% |
| WHR | Aljamain Sterling | 1983.58 | +119.75 | 66.58% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Aljamain Sterling 36.7, Youssef Zalal 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 245, Youssef Zalal 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#7DD][#9P4P][#3][#3UFC] Norma Dumont (13-2-0, -178) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Joselyne Edwards (17-6-0, +148)
Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (3-0-0)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (15-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [*] Irene Aldana (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-06: W vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#22BW] Nora Cornolle (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 2
2025-08-09: W vs. [#46BW] Priscila Cachoeira (13-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2025-04-26: W vs. [#42BW] Chelsea Chandler (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Norma Dumont | -178 | 61.36% | |
| Elo K170 | Norma Dumont | 1886.36 | +313.41 | 85.87% |
| Elo Modified | Norma Dumont | 1847.29 | +256.63 | 81.41% |
| Glicko-1 | Norma Dumont | 1802.31 | +183.60 | 74.21% |
| WHR | Norma Dumont | 1697.92 | +191.48 | 75.07% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Norma Dumont 35.5, Joselyne Edwards 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 175, Joselyne Edwards 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Norma Dumont leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#21][#15UFC] Alexander Hernandez (18-8-0, -149) vs. [#35][#23UFC] Rafa Garcia (18-4-0, +124)
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (3-0-0)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#42LW] Diego Ferreira (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 2
2025-08-16: W vs. [#101LW] Chase Hooper (16-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-03-15: W vs. [#173LW] Kurt Holobaugh (21-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#54LW] Jared Gordon (21-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:27 of round 3
2025-03-29: W vs. [#364LW] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#24LW] Grant Dawson (23-3-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:42 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexander Hernandez | -149 | 57.27% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Hernandez | 1953.76 | +50.18 | 57.17% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Hernandez | 1930.88 | +55.66 | 57.94% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Hernandez | 2013.64 | +107.91 | 65.05% |
| WHR | Rafa Garcia | 1786.24 | +30.94 | 54.44% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Hernandez 33.5, Rafa Garcia 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 224, Rafa Garcia 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Hernandez leads 1-0
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Keep Reading
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
2026 WHR Post #10
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott (04-18-2026)
Welterweight (170)
[#28][#23UFC] Mike Malott (13-2-1, -568) vs. [#29][#24UFC] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0, +404)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (29-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#82WW] Charles Radtke (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [*] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (0-3-0)
2025-05-17: L vs. [#2WW] Michael Morales (19-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1
2024-09-07: L vs. [#8WW] Sean Brady (18-2-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#3WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-3-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mike Malott | -568 | 81.08% | |
| Elo K170 | Gilbert Burns | 1893.63 | +22.77 | 53.27% |
| Elo Modified | Gilbert Burns | 1876.89 | +4.81 | 50.69% |
| Glicko-1 | Gilbert Burns | 1907.36 | +11.99 | 51.73% |
| WHR | Mike Malott | 1848.56 | +66.21 | 59.41% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mike Malott 34.4, Gilbert Burns 39.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Malott 182, Gilbert Burns 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gilbert Burns leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#22][#19UFC] Charles Jourdain (17-8-1, -169) vs. [#26][#23UFC] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0, +139)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#44BW] Davey Grant (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2024-11-02: W vs. [#53BW] Victor Henry (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:43 of round 2
2024-06-29: L vs. [#12FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#17BW] Vinicius Oliveira (24-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: L vs. [#24BW] Rob Font (22-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [*] Pedro Munhoz (20-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Charles Jourdain | -169 | 60.02% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Jourdain | 1789.42 | +68.05 | 59.67% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Jourdain | 1816.89 | +81.43 | 61.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Jourdain | 1898.97 | +91.44 | 62.87% |
| WHR | Charles Jourdain | 1797.93 | +87.95 | 62.39% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Jourdain 30.4, Kyler Phillips 30.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 182, Kyler Phillips 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Jourdain leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#88] Mandel Nallo (14-3-0, -159) vs. [#129][#59UFC] Jai Herbert (13-6-1, +129)
Last 3 Fights: Mandel Nallo (3-0-0)
2025-09-02: W vs. [#187LW] Samuel Silva (13-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2024-08-30: W vs. [#654WW] Robert Seres (8-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:07 of round 1
2024-06-08: W vs. [*] Deivison Francisco Ribeir (27-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jai Herbert (1-2-0)
2025-03-22: L vs. [#67LW] Chris Padilla (17-6-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#452LW] Rolando Bedoya (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#28LW] Fares Ziam (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mandel Nallo | -159 | 58.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Mandel Nallo | 1730.16 | +188.25 | 74.72% |
| Elo Modified | Mandel Nallo | 1744.01 | +131.15 | 68.03% |
| Glicko-1 | Mandel Nallo | 1798.43 | +138.75 | 68.97% |
| WHR | Jai Herbert | 1661.44 | +21.27 | 53.06% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mandel Nallo 36.7, Jai Herbert 37.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mandel Nallo 228, Jai Herbert 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
2026 WHR Post #9
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.