Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
Welterweight (170)
[#2][#7DD][#10P4P][#2UFC] Leon Edwards (22-4-0, +122) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Sean Brady (17-1-0, -146)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean Brady is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#8WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sean Brady | -146 | 56.84% | |
| Elo K170 | Leon Edwards | 2392.96 | +237.48 | 79.69% |
| Elo Modified | Leon Edwards | 2324.27 | +207.69 | 76.78% |
| Glicko-1 | Leon Edwards | 2374.73 | +201.45 | 76.13% |
| WHR | Leon Edwards | 2105.13 | +83.24 | 61.76% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 33.6, Sean Brady 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Sean Brady 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1, +199) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Carlos Ulberg (12-1-0, -243)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#1LHW][#6P4P] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#21LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#11LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#23LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2023-09-09: W vs. [#90LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Ulberg | -243 | 67.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Jan Blachowicz | 2056.71 | +103.47 | 64.47% |
| Elo Modified | Jan Blachowicz | 2123.58 | +165.15 | 72.12% |
| Glicko-1 | Jan Blachowicz | 2218.42 | +217.42 | 77.75% |
| WHR | Jan Blachowicz | 2026.68 | +94.14 | 63.23% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 42.1, Carlos Ulberg 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 602, Carlos Ulberg 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#27][#21UFC] Kevin Holland (26-13-0, +119) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1, -143)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#20MW] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-10-05: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#51MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#105MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#430WW] Takashi Sato (16-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Gunnar Nelson | -143 | 56.31% | |
| Elo K170 | Gunnar Nelson | 1923.36 | +191.41 | 75.06% |
| Elo Modified | Gunnar Nelson | 1945.14 | +189.29 | 74.83% |
| Glicko-1 | Gunnar Nelson | 2019.31 | +182.81 | 74.12% |
| WHR | Gunnar Nelson | 1906.38 | +141.71 | 69.33% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.4, Gunnar Nelson 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 63, Gunnar Nelson 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +135) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -162)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Marvin Vettori | -162 | 59.23% | |
| Elo K170 | Marvin Vettori | 2009.39 | +57.86 | 58.25% |
| Elo Modified | Marvin Vettori | 1985.59 | +20.87 | 53.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Marvin Vettori | 2053.34 | +4.01 | 50.58% |
| WHR | Roman Dolidze | 1907.49 | +23.92 | 53.44% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 36.6, Marvin Vettori 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -186) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +154)
Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | -186 | 62.28% | |
| Elo K170 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1844.67 | +114.94 | 65.96% |
| Elo Modified | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1838.39 | +95.93 | 63.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1888.49 | +118.79 | 66.46% |
| WHR | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 1808.24 | +131.27 | 68.04% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 38.3, Chidi Njokuani 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -346) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +270)
Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diyar Nurgozhay | -346 | 74.16% | |
| Elo K170 | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1628.60 | +185.41 | 74.41% |
| Elo Modified | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1664.08 | +229.62 | 78.95% |
| Glicko-1 | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1692.56 | +218.75 | 77.89% |
| WHR | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1685.27 | +213.68 | 77.38% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diyar Nurgozhay 27.9, Brendson Ribeiro 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The huge Underdog parlay hit last week! Let’s try again!!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) has a dynamic and ever-evolving ranking system that plays a crucial role in shaping betting odds. Rankings influence how sportsbooks and bettors assess a fighter’s chances of winning, but they don’t always tell the full story. Understanding the relationship between rankings and betting lines can give bettors an edge when wagering on fights.
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alex Pereira | -119 | 51.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Pereira | 2301.88 | +82.59 | 61.67% |
| Elo Modified | Alex Pereira | 2263.89 | +54.04 | 57.71% |
| Glicko-1 | Alex Pereira | 2399.12 | +80.63 | 61.40% |
| WHR | Alex Pereira | 2171.55 | +123.01 | 67.00% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rafael Fiziev | -128 | 53.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Justin Gaethje | 2266.79 | +349.47 | 88.20% |
| Elo Modified | Justin Gaethje | 2211.91 | +306.89 | 85.40% |
| Glicko-1 | Justin Gaethje | 2261.68 | +296.39 | 84.63% |
| WHR | Justin Gaethje | 1976.06 | +103.38 | 64.45% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)
Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Iasmin Lucindo | -128 | 53.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Amanda Lemos | 1706.38 | +34.71 | 54.98% |
| Elo Modified | Amanda Lemos | 1696.13 | +75.21 | 60.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Amanda Lemos | 1693.03 | +90.69 | 62.76% |
| WHR | Amanda Lemos | 1605.17 | +90.53 | 62.74% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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