Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Rashad Evans (21-1-1) vs. [#12] Phil Davis (9-0-0)
Rashad Evans is the All-Time #6 ranked Light Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rashad Evans (3-0-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#18LHW] Tito Ortiz (17-10-1) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2010-05-29: W vs. [#5LHW] Quinton Jackson (32-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-01-02: W vs. [#17LHW] Thiago Silva (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Phil Davis (3-0-0)
2011-03-26: W vs. [#11LHW] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-11-20: W vs. [#26MW] Tim Boetsch (14-4-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:55 of round 2
2010-08-07: W vs. [#69MW] Rodney Wallace (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rashad Evans 175, Phil Davis 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#2] Chael Sonnen (26-11-1) vs. [#9] Michael Bisping (22-3-0)
Chael Sonnen is the All-Time #6 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Michael Bisping is the All-Time #20 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Chael Sonnen (2-1-0)
2011-10-08: W vs. [#13MW] Brian Stann (11-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:51 of round 2
2010-08-07: L vs. [#1MW/#1DD] Anderson Silva (31-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 3:10 of round 5
2010-02-06: W vs. [#8MW] Nate Marquardt (31-10-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Bisping (3-0-0)
2011-12-03: W vs. [#63MW] Jason Miller (24-8-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches) in 3:34 of round 3
2011-02-27: W vs. [#54MW] Jorge Rivera (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2010-10-16: W vs. [#64MW] Yoshihiro Akiyama (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chael Sonnen 112, Michael Bisping 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#10] Demian Maia (15-3-0) vs. [#21] Chris Weidman (7-0-0)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (2-1-0)
2011-10-08: W vs. [#25MW] Jorge Santiago (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-06-11: L vs. [#4MW] Mark Munoz (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2010-12-04: W vs. [#33MW] Kendall Grove (14-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Weidman (3-0-0)
2011-11-19: W vs. [#92MW] Tom Lawlor (7-4-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:07 of round 1
2011-06-11: W vs. [#114MW] Jesse Bongfeldt (21-8-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:54 of round 1
2011-03-03: W vs. [#39MW] Alessio Sakara (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 112, Chris Weidman 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#66] Dwayne Lewis (13-7-0) vs. [*] Wilson Gouveia (12-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Dwayne Lewis (2-1-0)
2011-02-25: L vs. [#19LHW] Ryan Jimmo (16-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:13 of round 3
2010-11-12: W vs. [#91LHW] Razak Al Hassan (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2010-09-10: W vs. [#149LHW] Mike Nickels (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Wilson Gouveia (0-3-0)
2010-05-07: L vs. [#19LHW] Ryan Jimmo (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2009-12-12: L vs. [#16MW] Alan Belcher (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2009-02-21: L vs. [#8MW] Nate Marquardt (31-10-2) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:10 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dwayne Lewis 336, Wilson Gouveia 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#11] Brian Cobb (19-6-0) vs. [#36] Antonio McKee (26-4-2)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Cobb (3-0-0)
2011-06-10: W vs. [#101WW] Drew Fickett (41-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2011-05-20: W vs. [#101LW] Rad Martinez (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 2
2010-10-30: W vs. [#31FW] Kazunori Yokota (14-5-3) via SD (28-28, 29-30, 28-28)

Last 3 Fights: Antonio McKee (2-1-0)
2011-08-26: W vs. [#323LW] Jai Bradney (12-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:54 of round 1
2011-01-01: L vs. [#20LW] Jacob Volkmann (14-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2010-09-10: W vs. [#177LW] Luciano Azevedo (16-9-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:11 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Cobb 231, Antonio McKee 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#387] Ryan McGillivray (11-5-1) vs. [#562] Diego Bautista (7-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan McGillivray (2-1-0)
2011-06-04: L vs. [#246WW] Shamar Bailey (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-09-10: W vs. [#602WW] Markhaile Wedderburn (10-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:42 of round 2
2010-07-09: W vs. [#181WW] Andrew Buckland (14-8-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Diego Bautista (3-0-0)
2011-01-02: W vs. [#316WW] Preston Scharf (14-13-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2010-09-24: W vs. [NA] Tony Dalton (2-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:23 of round 1
2010-07-24: W vs. [NA] John Mowry (2-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:35 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan McGillivray 237, Diego Bautista 390
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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When gambling on an MMA fight, it is essential to keep tabs on the betting odds for MMA.  Anything can happen in such a volatile sport, but knowing who the consistent fighters are, as well as when the available odds understate their chance of winning will maximize your chances of earning money.

We’ve had a bit of a break from these gambling articles, but all four previous posts were 100% accurate in predicting the victor and extremely close in the type of victory.  Taking a look at the upcoming main event on Friday, Jim Miller vs. Melvin Guillard, in this author’s opinion, is a moderately good bet.

Jim Miller is one of the most consistent fighters in the UFC Lightweight division.  In all three fights he’s lost, he’s lost by decision, and in two of those losses, he’s lost to elite fighters within the division — with the jury still being out on Ben Henderson.  Not only this, but he’s fought nearly his entire career in the same division, another mark of consistency.  Guillard, has not been the mark of consistency, which can also make him a risky play.  The current betting line on Miller is -213, which means you get a return of $100 for every $213 you bet on Miller.  Without compensating for “the juice”, this line suggests Miller has a 68% chance of winning.  I’d put Miller’s odds of winning closer to 75% and therefore, I think he is a good play for a moderate bet to win.  I’ll take him by 2nd round submission.

[#151 WW] Habib Nurmagomedov (16-0) will be accomplishing many firsts on Friday.  Not only is he debuting in the UFC, but it is also his first fight outside of Russia and Ukraine.  Furthermore, he’s dropping to Lightweight for the first time according to our records.  He’s also never faced an opponent as legit as [#53] Kamal Shalrous (7-1-2), whose record is much better than Nurmagomedov’s average opponent — roughly 4-2, and let’s not even discuss THEIR collective opposition.

Will the Russian prospect start his career at 17-0?  How about 17 wins without a split or majority decision?  Or will he also walk away with his first loss?

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#6DD] Jose Aldo (20-1-0) vs. [#5] Chad Mendes (11-0-0)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (3-0-0)
2011-10-08: W vs. [#3FW] Kenny Florian (14-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2011-04-30: W vs. [#26FW] Mark Hominick (20-10-0) via UD (48-45, 48-46, 49-46)
2010-09-30: W vs. [#20FW] Manny Gamburyan (11-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (3-0-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#29FW] Rani Yahya (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-02-05: W vs. [#32FW] Michihiro Omigawa (13-10-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-11-11: W vs. [#23FW] Javier Vazquez (16-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 98, Chad Mendes 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#8] Vitor Belfort (20-9-0) vs. [#11WW] Anthony Johnson (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Belfort (2-1-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#63MW] Yoshihiro Akiyama (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 1
2011-02-05: L vs. [#1MW/#1DD] Anderson Silva (31-4-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2009-09-19: W vs. [#13LHW] Rich Franklin (28-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Johnson (2-1-0)
2011-10-01: W vs. [#32WW] Charlie Brenneman (14-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:49 of round 1
2011-03-26: W vs. [#44WW] Dan Hardy (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2009-11-21: L vs. [#5WW] Josh Koscheck (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:47 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Belfort 161, Anthony Johnson 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#25] Mike Pyle (21-8-1) vs. [#241] Ricardo Funch (8-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Pyle (2-1-0)
2011-08-06: L vs. [#13WW] Rory MacDonald (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 1
2011-03-19: W vs. [#30WW] Ricardo Almeida (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-10-16: W vs. [#39WW] John Hathaway (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Funch (1-2-0)
2011-12-03: W vs. [#318WW] Ryan Quinn (6-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-06-12: L vs. [#37WW] Claude Patrick (14-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2009-12-12: L vs. [#7WW] Johny Hendricks (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Pyle 161, Ricardo Funch 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#15LHW] Keith Jardine (17-10-2) vs. [#12] Luke Rockhold (8-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Keith Jardine (2-0-1)
2011-04-09: D vs. [#8LHW] Gegard Mousasi (32-3-2) via Draw in 5:00 of round 3
2011-03-04: W vs. [#290LHW] Aron Lofton (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:30 of round 1
2010-12-11: W vs. [#89LHW] Francisco France (7-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (3-0-0)
2011-09-10: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (14-3-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2010-02-26: W vs. [#99WW] Paul Bradley (18-4-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body) in 2:24 of round 1
2009-11-06: W vs. [#29MW] Jesse Taylor (20-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:42 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Keith Jardine 273, Luke Rockhold 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#23] Robbie Lawler (18-8-0) vs. [#30] Adlan Amagov (9-1-1)
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (1-2-0)
2011-07-30: L vs. [#10MW] Tim Kennedy (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-01-29: L vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2010-12-04: W vs. [#75MW] Matt Lindland (22-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Adlan Amagov (3-0-0)
2011-11-18: W vs. [#53MW] Anthony Smith (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 1
2011-07-22: W vs. [#283MW] Ronald Stallings (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2010-12-18: W vs. [#539HW+] Evgeny Erohin (1-1-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:28 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 161, Adlan Amagov 50
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Muhammed Lawal (8-1-0) vs. [#57] Lorenz Larkin (12-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Muhammed Lawal (2-1-0)
2011-09-10: W vs. [#23LHW] Roger Gracie (4-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2010-08-21: L vs. [#18LHW] Rafael Cavalcante (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:14 of round 3
2010-04-17: W vs. [#8LHW] Gegard Mousasi (32-3-2) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (3-0-0)
2011-09-23: W vs. [#96LHW] Nick Rossborough (20-15-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2011-06-24: W vs. [#158LHW] Gian Villante (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-04-01: W vs. [#249LHW] Scott Lighty (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muhammed Lawal 119, Lorenz Larkin 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#12] Fedor Emelianenko (32-4-0) vs. [#45LHW] Satoshi Ishii (4-1-1)
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (1-2-0)
2011-11-20: W vs. [#36HW+] Jeff Monson (43-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-07-30: L vs. [#2LHW/#8DD] Dan Henderson (29-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2011-02-12: L vs. [#10HW+] Antonio Silva (16-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Satoshi Ishii (2-0-1)
2011-09-14: D vs. [#61LHW] Paulo Filho (22-4-2) via Draw in 5:00 of round 3
2010-12-31: W vs. [#282HW+] Jerome Le Banner (3-2-0) via UD ()
2010-11-08: W vs. [#672MW] Katsuyori Shibata (4-11-1) via Technical Submission (Kimura) in 3:30 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fedor Emelianenko 41, Satoshi Ishii 108
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#80] Ryo Chonan (20-12-0) vs. [#106] Hayato Sakurai (35-12-2)
Hayato Sakurai is the All-Time #12 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryo Chonan (2-1-0)
2011-10-29: W vs. [#1167WW] Naoki Samukawa (1-1-0) via UD ()
2011-06-24: W vs. [#192WW] Shigetoshi Iwase (11-14-3) via KO (Punch) in 4:45 of round 1
2010-12-30: L vs. [#95WW] Taisuke Okuno (11-6-2) via KO (Punch) in 0:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hayato Sakurai (0-3-0)
2010-12-31: L vs. [#33WW] Jason High (15-3-0) via SD ()
2010-05-29: L vs. [#2WW] Nick Diaz (26-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:54 of round 1
2009-12-31: L vs. [*] Akihiro Gono (32-16-7) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:56 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryo Chonan 63, Hayato Sakurai 365
Previous Match-up Record: Ryo Chonan leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryo Chonan leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#6] Shinya Aoki (29-5-0) vs. [#33] Satoru Kitaoka (29-10-9)
Shinya Aoki is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Shinya Aoki (3-0-0)
2011-09-24: W vs. [#206LW] Rob McCullough (19-8-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 4:57 of round 1
2011-05-29: W vs. [#170WW] Rich Clementi (41-21-1) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 2:17 of round 2
2011-04-09: W vs. [#81LW] Lyle Beerbohm (15-2-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Satoru Kitaoka (3-0-0)
2011-09-24: W vs. [#99LW] Willamy Freire (19-5-0) via SD ()
2011-04-22: W vs. [#240LW] Jutaro Nakao (23-17-4) via UD ()
2010-10-03: W vs. [#51LW] Kuniyoshi Hironaka (19-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:22 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shinya Aoki 98, Satoru Kitaoka 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Brock Lesnar (5-2-0) vs. [#4] Alistair Overeem (35-11-0)
Brock Lesnar is the All-Time #11 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #21 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brock Lesnar (2-1-0)
2010-10-23: L vs. [#2HW+] Cain Velasquez (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2010-07-03: W vs. [#9HW+] Shane Carwin (12-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:19 of round 2
2009-07-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Frank Mir (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (3-0-0)
2011-06-18: W vs. [#7HW+] Fabricio Werdum (14-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2010-12-31: W vs. [#68HW+] Todd Duffee (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2010-05-15: W vs. [#22HW+] Brett Rogers (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brock Lesnar 433, Alistair Overeem 195
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#7] Donald Cerrone (17-3-0) vs. [#11] Nate Diaz (14-7-0)

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (3-0-0)
2011-10-29: W vs. [#20LW] Dennis Siver (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2011-08-14: W vs. [#104LW] Charles Oliveira (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2011-06-11: W vs. [#208LW] Vagner Rocha (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2011-09-24: W vs. [#43LW] Takanori Gomi (32-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:27 of round 1
2011-04-30: L vs. [#12WW] Rory MacDonald (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2011-01-01: L vs. [#30WW] Dong Hyun Kim (14-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 62, Nate Diaz 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#4] Jon Fitch (23-3-1) vs. [#25] Johny Hendricks (11-1-0)
Jon Fitch is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #19 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Fitch (2-0-1)
2011-02-27: D vs. [#7WW] BJ Penn (16-8-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2010-08-07: W vs. [#19WW] Thiago Alves (19-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-03-27: W vs. [#46WW] Ben Saunders (12-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Johny Hendricks (2-1-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#26WW] Mike Pierce (13-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-03-26: W vs. [#82WW] TJ Waldburger (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2010-12-04: L vs. [#23WW] Rick Story (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Fitch 306, Johny Hendricks 146
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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