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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Four Rematches Boxing Fans Could See in the Second Half of 2025

Posted on August 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

A boxer on his way to the ring

Unsplash

As we stride into the latter half of 2025, boxing is primed to deliver spectacle after spectacle. Already, the calendar boasts seismic encounters: Canelo Alvarez versus Terence Crawford in Las Vegas on September 13th in a contest between two of the greatest fighters of their generation, with streaming giant Netflix broadcasting worldwide. Two months later, KO artist extraordinaire David Benavidez puts his reputation and WBC light heavyweight title on the line against Britain’s Anthony Yarde in Riyadh. But that’s not all.

But boxing’s heartbeat doesn’t just pulse with fresh matchups; it throbs on the echo of unfinished business. Four blockbuster rematches could also take place before the year is out, each heavy with legacy and possibility. The potential clashes have drifted to the top of every pundit’s wishlist. The stakes? Pride, closure, and a rewrite of the record books.

So, which fighters could be meeting familiar foes in the coming months? Let’s find out.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez (08-09-2025)

Posted on August 4, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0, +258) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0, -323)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (3-0-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#18MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#48MW] Michel Pereira (32-13-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#23MW] Roman Kopylov (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -323 73.21%
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 2085.29 +34.75 54.98%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 2072.54 +25.70 53.69%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2141.02 +11.40 51.64%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2024.77 +89.16 62.55%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 37.0, Anthony Hernandez 31.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Hernandez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roman Dolidze leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#11][#9UFC] Steve Erceg (12-4-0, -400) vs. [#51][#23UFC] Ode Osbourne (13-8-0, +300)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (0-3-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2024-05-04: L vs. [#4DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#99FLY] Luis Gurule (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2024-09-14: L vs. [#91FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#83FLY] Jafel Filho (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -400 76.19%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1640.75 +109.70 65.28%
Elo Modified Steve Erceg 1645.13 +130.71 67.97%
Glicko-1 Steve Erceg 1676.92 +174.36 73.18%
WHR Steve Erceg 1663.23 +209.59 76.97%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 30.0, Ode Osbourne 33.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 133, Ode Osbourne 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12][#11UFC] Angela Hill (18-14-0, +153) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-6-0, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#25SW] Ketlen Souza (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#7SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#38SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#4SW] Amanda Lemos (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#49SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -184 62.10%
Elo K170 Angela Hill 1635.09 +40.21 55.76%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1606.47 +46.65 56.67%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1596.50 +54.19 57.74%
WHR Angela Hill 1541.10 +65.28 59.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Angela Hill 40.6, Iasmin Lucindo 23.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 175, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk: Will There Be a Third Epic Fight?

Posted on August 4, 2025 by A. J. Riot

After two unforgettable battles between Tyson Fury and Oleksandr Usyk, boxing fans are now focused on a potential trilogy. The first bout was decided by a narrow split decision, while the second was clearly won by Usyk. Both fights generated tens of millions of dollars in revenue and record-breaking viewership. The next logical step? A third fight to settle the rivalry once and for all. But will it actually happen?

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 31, 2025 by Jason

We hit a huge parlay last week!  Let’s try again..

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Albazi vs. Taira (08-02-2025)

Posted on July 28, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#7][#6UFC] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0, -279) vs. [#10][#8UFC] Amir Albazi (17-2-0, +224)
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #28 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #43 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#4FLY] Brandon Royval (17-8-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#21FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#144FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#69FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -279 70.46%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1836.07 +27.22 53.91%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1857.25 +85.05 62.00%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1932.01 +105.32 64.71%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1833.89 +95.11 63.36%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tatsuro Taira 25.5, Amir Albazi 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatsuro Taira 294, Amir Albazi 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#40][#22UFC] Mateusz Rebecki (21-2-0, -216) vs. [#106][#50UFC] Chris Duncan (13-2-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Rebecki (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#41LW] Myktybek Orolbai (14-2-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#25LW] Diego Ferreira (19-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2023-11-11: W vs. [#164LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Duncan (2-1-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#251LW] Jordan Vucenic (13-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2024-09-28: W vs. [#190LW] Bolaji Oki (10-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-24: L vs. [#57LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Rebecki -216 65.35%
Elo K170 Mateusz Rebecki 1916.24 +202.63 76.25%
Elo Modified Mateusz Rebecki 1888.01 +187.60 74.65%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Rebecki 1936.54 +209.46 76.95%
WHR Mateusz Rebecki 1863.63 +193.59 75.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Rebecki 32.8, Chris Duncan 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Rebecki 280, Chris Duncan 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#69][#35UFC] Esteban Ribovics (14-2-0, -273) vs. [#95][#46UFC] Elves Brener (16-5-0, +220)

Last 3 Fights: Esteban Ribovics (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#42LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#90LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#128LW] Terrance McKinney (17-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#17LW] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2024-05-04: L vs. [#41LW] Myktybek Orolbai (14-2-2) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#203LW] Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Esteban Ribovics -273 70.07%
Elo K170 Esteban Ribovics 1753.16 +158.92 71.40%
Elo Modified Esteban Ribovics 1762.46 +164.19 72.02%
Glicko-1 Esteban Ribovics 1811.97 +149.62 70.29%
WHR Esteban Ribovics 1707.32 +56.46 58.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Esteban Ribovics 29.2, Elves Brener 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Esteban Ribovics 154, Elves Brener 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder (07-26-2025)

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#6][#6UFC] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0, -162) vs. [#18][#15UFC] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0, +133)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#30MW] Ikram Aliskerov (16-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#34MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -162 59.02%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2124.73 +148.96 70.21%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2110.57 +109.07 65.20%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2173.56 +98.11 63.76%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2000.64 +34.83 55.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Whittaker 34.6, Reinier de Ridder 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 273, Reinier de Ridder 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3][#3UFC] Petr Yan (18-5-0, -375) vs. [#19][#17UFC] Marcus McGhee (10-1-0, +289)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7BW] Yadong Song (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#24BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#365BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] J.P. Buys (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -375 75.43%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2126.82 +441.67 92.70%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2157.81 +467.66 93.66%
Glicko-1 Petr Yan 2214.70 +451.07 93.07%
WHR Petr Yan 2073.60 +465.75 93.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Petr Yan 32.4, Marcus McGhee 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 245, Marcus McGhee 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29][#22UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-1-0, -555) vs. [#42][#30UFC] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0, +400)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#16MW] Michael Page (23-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#100MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#66MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2024-11-02: L vs. [#59MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#19MW] Joe Pyfer (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -555 80.90%
Elo K170 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1853.64 +291.74 84.28%
Elo Modified Sharabutdin Magomedov 1865.19 +242.12 80.12%
Glicko-1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1926.51 +242.50 80.15%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1855.07 +261.83 81.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sharabutdin Magomedov 31.2, Marc-Andre Barriault 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 175, Marc-Andre Barriault 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

🔥 RFP 100 – A Milestone Grand Prix Set for July 31 in Ukraine

Posted on July 20, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Real Fight Promotion (RFP), the leading MMA organization in Ukraine, is set to celebrate a major milestone with its 100th professional event — RFP 100 – Grand Prix: Series 5, taking place on July 31, 2025, at the Lokomotyv Arena in Kolomyia.

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 17, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays are back in the green!  Woohoo!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

I’m Fighting History – Holloway Gets Personal Ahead of UFC 318 Trilogy Finale

Posted on July 16, 2025 by A. J. Riot

UFC legend and Stake Ambassador, Max Holloway, isn’t just chasing a win ahead of UFC 318, he’s chasing the kind of redemption that a true fighter will always take, given the chance. As the highly anticipated UFC 318 trilogy clash with Dustin Poirier approaches, the former featherweight king and current BMF titleholder is eyeing much more than sporting success over an old rival. In the exclusive interview Holloway gave to Stake, the fighter made his position abundantly clear: “I’m not just fighting Poirier,” he said, “I’m fighting history.”

From unfinished business with another UFC all-time great to Holloway’s undoubted championship aspirations, this bout is likely to define the next chapter in the fighter’s already legendary career. And that’s what makes it so compelling, of course, not only for avid followers of UFC bouts but for those who simply like a sporting spectacle when everything is laid on the line. In this regard, Holloway’s take on the fight leaves nothing to the imagination. He’s very honest – brutal, you might even say – about what he expects of himself in this match-up and why it is so important to him. Here’s what we know so far.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 (07-19-2025)

Posted on July 14, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Max Holloway (26-8-0, -126) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0, +104)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #8 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #5 ranked Lightweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2DD][#3P4P][#1LW] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2024-03-09: W vs. [#25LW] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-07-29: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -126 53.21%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2262.92 +25.76 53.70%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2221.02 +46.60 56.67%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2300.02 +40.62 55.82%
WHR Max Holloway 2119.62 +112.04 65.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Max Holloway 33.6, Dustin Poirier 36.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 266, Dustin Poirier 413
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-5
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Paulo Costa (14-4-0, +222) vs. [#22][#19UFC] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0, -272)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #27 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#26WW] Chris Curtis (32-12-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:59 of round 3
2024-06-01: W vs. [#62MW] Cesar Almeida (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#13MW] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roman Kopylov -272 70.18%
Elo K170 Paulo Costa 1895.83 +59.57 58.49%
Elo Modified Paulo Costa 1962.10 +131.01 68.01%
Glicko-1 Paulo Costa 2053.41 +169.37 72.61%
WHR Paulo Costa 1860.66 +24.63 53.54%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paulo Costa 34.2, Roman Kopylov 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paulo Costa 413, Roman Kopylov 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#15][#12UFC] Kevin Holland (28-13-0, -436) vs. [#30][#24UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0, +327)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#21WW] Vicente Luque (23-11-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#47WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#17MW] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#50WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-12: W vs. [#57WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#21MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -436 77.64%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1968.48 +102.06 64.28%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1961.99 +136.07 68.64%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 2064.18 +193.38 75.27%
WHR Kevin Holland 1868.00 +154.25 70.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.7, Daniel Rodriguez 38.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 42, Daniel Rodriguez 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 3-2
.
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🏆 RFP 100 – Grand Prix: Series 5 Set for July 31 in Kolomyia, Ukraine.

Posted on July 8, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Real Fight Promotion (RFP) celebrates its landmark 100th event with a spectacular night of high-level MMA on July 31, 2025, in Kolomyia, Ukraine. The featured attraction: Grand Prix: Series 5 in the Flyweight (57 kg) division – where elite prospects will battle for supremacy in an electrifying tournament format.

Known for launching the careers of fighters such as Nikita Krylov, Roman Dolidze, Daniel Omielańczuk, and Serghei Spivac, RFP remains a cornerstone of Eastern European MMA. RFP 100 continues this tradition, spotlighting rising talent and producing world-class matchups.

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Teixeira (07-12-2025)

Posted on July 7, 2025 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#15][#11UFC] Derrick Lewis (28-12-0, +218) vs. [#83][#24UFC] Tallison Teixeira (8-0-0, -271)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#33HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 3
2023-11-04: L vs. [#7HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-45)
2023-07-29: W vs. [*] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#120HW+] Justin Tafa (7-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 0:35 of round 1
2024-09-17: W vs. [#372HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [NA] Matheus Fonseca (4-3-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tallison Teixeira -271 69.90%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 1844.59 +345.34 87.95%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 1848.20 +318.49 86.21%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 1903.59 +334.86 87.30%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1762.32 +281.70 83.50%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Derrick Lewis 40.4, Tallison Teixeira 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 427, Tallison Teixeira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#19][#15UFC] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1, +292) vs. [#35][#25UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (17-1-0, -381)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #16 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2023-12-16: L vs. [#6WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:56 of round 2
2022-12-03: W vs. [#15WW] Kevin Holland (28-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#73WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#134WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#40WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:33 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -381 75.63%
Elo K170 Gabriel Bonfim 1891.26 +2.32 50.33%
Elo Modified Stephen Thompson 1881.19 +6.42 50.92%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Bonfim 1941.00 +14.64 52.11%
WHR Gabriel Bonfim 1828.97 +35.37 55.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Stephen Thompson 42.4, Gabriel Bonfim 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephen Thompson 280, Gabriel Bonfim 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#21][#16UFC] Steve Garcia (17-5-0, -120) vs. [#42][#27UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-9-0, -101)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #39 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#50FW] Kyle Nelson (16-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#192FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [#32FW] Melquizael Costa (24-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#16FW] Youssef Zalal (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#6FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Garcia -120 52.05%
Elo K170 Steve Garcia 1850.31 +82.39 61.64%
Elo Modified Steve Garcia 1843.03 +73.34 60.40%
Glicko-1 Steve Garcia 1915.93 +83.62 61.81%
WHR Steve Garcia 1812.00 +113.47 65.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.1, Calvin Kattar 37.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 308, Calvin Kattar 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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UFC 318 Picks & Predictions-Dustin Poirier vs. Max Holloway

Posted on July 4, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Third time’s the charm, but for whom? When we get to UFC 318, we will have Dustin Poirier face Max Holloway for the third time in their careers. One is a former featherweight champion, while the other only achieved holding the lightweight interim belt. This time around, no title is on the line, but whoever wins will hold the trivial BMF belt when it’s all said and done. 

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 26, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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UFC 317: Charles Oliveira vs Ilia Topuria

Posted on June 25, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

UFC 317: [#3 LW, #2 UFC] Charles Oliveira vs. [#1 FW, #3 UFC] Ilia Topuria

June 28, 2025 – T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Betting Odds, Tale of the Tape & Analytical Breakdown

The main event of UFC 317 pits two elite finishers against each other in a high-stakes lightweight clash. Former champion and submission specialist Charles Oliveira faces undefeated featherweight king Ilia Topuria, who moves up in search of a second-division legacy.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter Record Age Reach Rank
Charles Oliveira 35–10 (1 NC) 35 74″ #3 LW / #2 UFC
Ilia Topuria 16–0 28 69″ #1 FW / #3 UFC

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

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