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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos (09-26-2026)

Posted on September 21, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#20][#15UFC] Raoni Barcelos (22-5-0, +154) vs. [#22][#17UFC] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#24BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#46BW] Ricky Simon (22-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#66BW] Cody Garbrandt (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#26BW] Rob Font (22-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#183BW] Vince Morales (16-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#172BW] Qileng Aori (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1998.41 +187.39 74.63%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1953.75 +157.66 71.25%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1983.76 +176.94 73.47%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1854.84 +157.21 71.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Raoni Barcelos 39.4, Raul Rosas Jr. 21.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 154, Raul Rosas Jr. 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#61][#39UFC] Robert Bryczek (18-7-0, -102) vs. [#78][#47UFC] Rodolfo Vieira (11-5-0, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Bryczek (1-2-0)
2026-05-02: L vs. [#40MW] Cameron Rowston (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#64MW] Brad Tavares (21-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 3
2024-02-10: L vs. [#100LHW] Ihor Potieria (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (1-2-0)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#95MW] Eric McConico (11-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#22MW] Bo Nickal (9-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:24 of round 3
2025-08-02: W vs. [#28MW] Tresean Gore (7-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Vieira -116 51.53%
Elo K170 Robert Bryczek 1551.57 +91.85 62.92%
Elo Modified Robert Bryczek 1582.81 +69.09 59.82%
Glicko-1 Robert Bryczek 1658.41 +162.83 71.85%
WHR Robert Bryczek 1559.11 +39.53 55.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Bryczek 36.2, Rodolfo Vieira 37.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Bryczek 147, Rodolfo Vieira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#81][#39UFC] Rinya Nakamura (10-1-0, -334) vs. [*] Brady Hiestand (8-2-0, +257)

Last 3 Fights: Rinya Nakamura (2-1-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#144BW] Nathan Fletcher (11-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:02 of round 1
2025-01-18: L vs. [#54BW] Muin Gafurov (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [*] Carlos Vera (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brady Hiestand (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [*] Garrett Armfield (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Batgerel Danaa (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 3
2022-11-19: W vs. [*] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rinya Nakamura -334 73.31%
Elo K170 Rinya Nakamura 1643.38 +31.81 54.56%
Elo Modified Rinya Nakamura 1687.42 +76.72 60.86%
Glicko-1 Rinya Nakamura 1727.18 +87.98 62.40%
WHR Rinya Nakamura 1636.93 +102.56 64.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rinya Nakamura 31.5, Brady Hiestand 27.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rinya Nakamura 420, Brady Hiestand 833
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#63] Mehemmedali Osmanli (12-1-0, -288) vs. [#161] Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (10-3-0, +227)

Last 3 Fights: Mehemmedali Osmanli (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#212BW] Bakhtovar Yunusov (11-1-1) via NC in 1:57 of round 2
2025-09-13: W vs. [#1353BW] Ali Yousefi (14-17-1) via UD ()
2025-07-24: W vs. [#188FW] Faeez Jacobs (15-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#747BW] Mo Miller (9-8-0) via NC in 2:14 of round 4
2024-10-26: W vs. [NA] Ozodbek Bobokulov (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 1
2024-08-09: L vs. [*] Dzhokhar Eskiev (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mehemmedali Osmanli -288 70.82%
Elo K170 Mehemmedali Osmanli 1790.39 +165.70 72.19%
Elo Modified Mehemmedali Osmanli 1785.54 +120.53 66.68%
Glicko-1 Mehemmedali Osmanli 1834.91 +188.43 74.74%
WHR Mehemmedali Osmanli 1745.19 +198.81 75.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mehemmedali Osmanli 22.1, Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu 23.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mehemmedali Osmanli 315, Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#24] Valesca Machado (15-4-0, +168) vs. [#30] Melissa Amaya (8-0-0, -207)

Last 3 Fights: Valesca Machado (3-0-0)
2024-12-13: W vs. [*] Yasmin Castanho (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-09: W vs. [#172SW] Yulia Ostroverkhova (9-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-23: W vs. [#105FLY] Taylor Mauldin (5-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Amaya (3-0-0)
2025-06-19: W vs. [#207SW] Megumi Sugimoto (12-7-3) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2024-06-08: W vs. [#125FLY] Samantha Jean-Francois (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-04-01: W vs. [NA] Gillian Noll (3-3-0) via MD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Amaya -207 64.37%
Elo K170 Valesca Machado 1662.23 +94.40 63.26%
Elo Modified Valesca Machado 1682.99 +102.34 64.32%
Glicko-1 Valesca Machado 1671.65 +82.72 61.68%
WHR Valesca Machado 1616.59 +69.74 59.90%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valesca Machado 30.4, Melissa Amaya 31.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valesca Machado 652, Melissa Amaya 464
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#170WW][#62WWUFC] Josiah Harrell (11-1-0, -127) vs. [#197][#73UFC] Elves Brener (16-6-0, +108)

Last 3 Fights: Josiah Harrell (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#52WW] Jacobe Smith (12-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2026-01-16: W vs. [#255WW] Bekmyrza Dosmatov (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 3:28 of round 3
2025-08-02: W vs. [#125LW] Kegan Gennrich (13-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener (0-3-0)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#44LW] Esteban Ribovics (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#37WW] Joel Alvarez (23-5-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2024-05-04: L vs. [#28WW] Myktybek Orolbai (16-3-2) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josiah Harrell -127 53.78%
Elo K170 Josiah Harrell 1564.86 +19.24 52.77%
Elo Modified Josiah Harrell 1606.66 +51.93 57.42%
Glicko-1 Elves Brener 1618.04 +1.43 50.21%
WHR Josiah Harrell 1615.60 +50.01 57.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josiah Harrell 27.8, Elves Brener 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josiah Harrell 217, Elves Brener 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57][#28UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1, -171) vs. [#79][#36UFC] Christian Edwards (8-5-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#115LHW] Luke Fernandez (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 1
2025-09-27: L vs. [#7LHW] Navajo Stirling (11-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: NC vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Edwards (1-2-0)
2026-05-16: L vs. [#30LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (21-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#291LHW] Glendal Whitney (4-1-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:22 of round 2
2025-05-24: L vs. [#115LHW] Luke Fernandez (6-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Bellato -171 60.22%
Elo K170 Rodolfo Bellato 1596.25 +276.11 83.06%
Elo Modified Rodolfo Bellato 1650.11 +197.73 75.73%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Bellato 1674.39 +219.60 77.97%
WHR Rodolfo Bellato 1640.40 +229.77 78.96%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rodolfo Bellato 30.6, Christian Edwards 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodolfo Bellato 203, Christian Edwards 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rodolfo Bellato leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#24][#19UFC] Montel Jackson (15-4-0, -197) vs. [#46][#29UFC] Ricky Simon (22-7-1, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (1-2-0)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#20BW] Raoni Barcelos (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-10-11: L vs. [#10BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#19BW] Daniel Marcos (19-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (1-1-1)
2026-03-28: D vs. [#40BW] Adrian Yanez (18-6-1) via NC in 5:00 of round 3
2025-11-08: L vs. [#20BW] Raoni Barcelos (22-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#217BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -197 63.29%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1806.23 +101.11 64.15%
Elo Modified Montel Jackson 1887.38 +185.57 74.43%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 1978.77 +219.01 77.92%
WHR Montel Jackson 1892.84 +182.39 74.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Montel Jackson 34.4, Ricky Simon 34.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montel Jackson 154, Ricky Simon 182
Previous Match-up Record: Ricky Simon leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#112][#54UFC] John Castaneda (21-8-1, -292) vs. [*] Heili Alateng (17-10-2, +229)

Last 3 Fights: John Castaneda (0-2-1)
2026-04-18: D vs. [#192BW] Mark Vologdin (12-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-04-26: L vs. [#36BW] Chris Gutierrez (22-7-2) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#19BW] Daniel Marcos (19-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#51BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [*] Kleydson Rodrigues (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#36BW] Chris Gutierrez (22-7-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds John Castaneda -292 71.01%
Elo K170 Heili Alateng 1586.86 +5.83 50.84%
Elo Modified John Castaneda 1630.81 +45.56 56.52%
Glicko-1 John Castaneda 1676.26 +61.61 58.78%
WHR John Castaneda 1583.48 +100.12 64.02%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: John Castaneda 34.8, Heili Alateng 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Castaneda 161, Heili Alateng 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: John Castaneda leads 1-0
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2][#2UFC] Norma Dumont (13-3-0, +104) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Ailin Perez (13-2-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#10P4P][#8DD][#1BW] Joselyne Edwards (18-6-0) via UD (49-45, 49-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#7DD][#2FW] Ketlen Vieira (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [*] Irene Aldana (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ailin Perez (3-0-0)
2026-02-28: W vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#9BW] Karol Rosa (19-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#22BW] Darya Zheleznyakova (10-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:52 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ailin Perez -128 53.38%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont 1740.48 +53.44 57.63%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont 1721.43 +18.26 52.63%
Glicko-1 Norma Dumont 1685.52 +7.80 51.12%
WHR Ailin Perez 1588.21 +13.17 51.89%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Norma Dumont 36.0, Ailin Perez 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 154, Ailin Perez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ailin Perez leads 4-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#201][#64UFC] Sedriques Dumas (11-5-0, +134) vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-7-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#119MW] Jackson Mcvey (8-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2025-11-01: L vs. [#60MW] Donte Johnson (9-0-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 1:25 of round 2
2025-09-13: NC vs. [#134MW] Zachary Reese (10-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#101WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [*] Bassil Hafez (9-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#17WW] Mike Malott (14-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mickey Gall -161 59.07%
Elo K170 Sedriques Dumas 1264.66 +11.70 51.68%
Elo Modified Sedriques Dumas 1311.24 +0.62 50.09%
Glicko-1 Mickey Gall 1314.46 +31.16 54.47%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1299.19 +5.00 50.72%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sedriques Dumas 31.1, Mickey Gall 34.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sedriques Dumas 154, Mickey Gall 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-8-0, +553) vs. [*] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0, -800)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (0-3-0)
2025-06-14: L vs. [#30FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#22SW] Talita Alencar (8-1-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#23SW] Jaqueline Amorim (11-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yazmin Jauregui (1-2-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#19SW] Ketlen Souza (17-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#33SW] Sam Hughes (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#9P4P][#5SW] Denise Gomes (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yazmin Jauregui -800 85.30%
Elo K170 Yazmin Jauregui 1426.43 +166.41 72.27%
Elo Modified Yazmin Jauregui 1446.85 +191.52 75.07%
Glicko-1 Yazmin Jauregui 1424.29 +204.77 76.47%
WHR Yazmin Jauregui 1413.84 +216.84 77.70%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vanessa Demopoulos 38.0, Yazmin Jauregui 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 469, Yazmin Jauregui 742
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Raoni Barcelos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Norma Dumont
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2026-9-20

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