Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas (03-23-2024)

Mar 18, 2024
Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-6-0, -177) vs. [#6SW] Amanda Ribas (12-4-0, +146)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #10 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (1-2-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#3FLY/#7DD/#8P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-05-07: L vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via SD ()
2021-11-06: W vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (24-3-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-06-24: L vs. [#5FLY] Maycee Barber (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rose Namajunas -177 61.11%
Elo K170 Rose Namajunas 1779.79 +124.26 67.15%
Elo Modified Rose Namajunas 1755.84 +84.86 61.97%
Glicko-1 Rose Namajunas 1735.05 +75.64 60.72%
WHR Rose Namajunas 1699.09 +61.24 58.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 203, Amanda Ribas 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#60] Justin Tafa (7-3-0, +209) vs. [#68] Karl Williams (9-1-0, -267)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#125HW+] Austen Lane (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#125HW+] Austen Lane (12-4-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#120HW+] Parker Porter (13-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Karl Williams (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#69HW+] Chase Sherman (18-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#169HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (8-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2022-09-06: W vs. [*] Jimmy Lawson (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karl Williams -267 69.21%
Elo K170 Karl Williams 1548.72 +32.94 54.73%
Elo Modified Karl Williams 1622.79 +50.33 57.19%
Glicko-1 Justin Tafa 1623.74 +50.05 57.15%
WHR Justin Tafa 1521.04 +53.90 57.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 196, Karl Williams 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#63] Edmen Shahbazyan (12-4-0, -192) vs. [#156] A.J. Dobson (7-2-0, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#25MW] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-12-10: W vs. [*] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#13MW] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: A.J. Dobson (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#175MW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#80MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#107MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edmen Shahbazyan -192 62.73%
Elo K170 Edmen Shahbazyan 1578.86 +173.80 73.12%
Elo Modified Edmen Shahbazyan 1592.60 +100.31 64.05%
Glicko-1 Edmen Shahbazyan 1618.65 +166.34 72.26%
WHR Edmen Shahbazyan 1543.43 +80.90 61.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edmen Shahbazyan 308, A.J. Dobson 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#183] Payton Talbott (7-0-0, -114) vs. [#195] Cameron Saaiman (9-1-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Payton Talbott (3-0-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#865BW] Nick Aguirre (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2023-08-08: W vs. [#618BW] Reyes Cortez Jr. (7-3-0) via UD ()
2023-03-18: W vs. [#128FLY] Cristhian Rivas (10-3-1) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:35 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Cameron Saaiman (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#125FW] Christian Rodriguez (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#621BW] Terrence Mitchell (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#318BW] Leomana Martinez (10-5-0) via MD (29-26, 28-28, 28-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Payton Talbott -114 50.64%
Elo K170 Payton Talbott 1499.85 +2.01 50.29%
Elo Modified Payton Talbott 1583.35 +86.43 62.19%
Glicko-1 Payton Talbott 1552.93 +59.95 58.54%
WHR Payton Talbott 1542.98 +107.63 65.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Payton Talbott 126, Cameron Saaiman 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#26] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) vs. [#121] Youssef Zalal (13-5-1)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#38FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#15FW] Edson Barboza (24-11-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-12-10: W vs. [#77FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [NA] Vadim Zadnipryanyi (0-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2023-01-20: W vs. [#513FW] Jake Childers (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1
2022-11-18: W vs. [#730FW] Edwin Chavez (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Billy Quarantillo 1759.71 +259.62 81.67%
Elo Modified Billy Quarantillo 1755.19 +206.81 76.68%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1811.99 +225.21 78.52%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1704.54 +128.92 67.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Quarantillo 231, Youssef Zalal 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#106] Fernando Padilla (15-5-0, -166) vs. [#205] Luis Pajuelo (8-1-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Fernando Padilla (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#78FW] Kyle Nelson (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#110FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2021-05-16: W vs. [#297FW] Cameron Graves (12-8-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 1:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luis Pajuelo (3-0-0)
2023-08-22: W vs. [#972FW] Robbie Ring (6-1-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-03-16: W vs. [#416FW] Heber Pereyra (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 2
2022-11-18: W vs. [*] Joans Lorca (3-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Fernando Padilla -166 59.56%
Elo K170 Fernando Padilla 1511.14 +17.04 52.45%
Elo Modified Luis Pajuelo 1569.73 +43.42 56.22%
Glicko-1 Luis Pajuelo 1579.46 +24.71 53.55%
WHR Fernando Padilla 1556.77 +60.74 58.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fernando Padilla 189, Luis Pajuelo 214
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#75] Kurt Holobaugh (20-7-0, +121) vs. [#183] Trey Ogden (16-6-0, -147)

Last 3 Fights: Kurt Holobaugh (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#167LW] Austin Hubbard (15-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:39 of round 2
2021-05-28: W vs. [*] Jose Luis Verdugo (20-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:11 of round 2
2020-11-11: W vs. [#441LW] Joziro Boye (20-8-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Trey Ogden (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-11-18: NC vs. [#152LW] Nikolas Motta (14-5-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#95LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#63LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Trey Ogden -147 56.80%
Elo K170 Kurt Holobaugh 1808.01 +277.93 83.20%
Elo Modified Kurt Holobaugh 1803.75 +218.23 77.84%
Glicko-1 Kurt Holobaugh 1865.79 +235.77 79.53%
WHR Kurt Holobaugh 1772.27 +230.64 79.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kurt Holobaugh 217, Trey Ogden 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#110] Julian Erosa (28-11-0, +147) vs. [#120] Ricardo Ramos (16-5-0, -180)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (1-2-0)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#106FW] Fernando Padilla (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-12-17: L vs. [#24FW] Alex Caceres (21-14-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2022-09-10: W vs. [#70FW] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#42FW] Charles Jourdain (15-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:12 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Danny Chavez (11-5-1) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 1:12 of round 1
2021-10-30: L vs. [#156LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricardo Ramos -180 61.35%
Elo K170 Julian Erosa 1581.38 +33.07 54.74%
Elo Modified Ricardo Ramos 1586.29 +1.71 50.25%
Glicko-1 Ricardo Ramos 1588.57 +38.79 55.56%
WHR Ricardo Ramos 1581.20 +50.22 57.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 329, Ricardo Ramos 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julian Erosa leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#53] Cody Gibson (19-9-0) vs. [#72] Miles Johns (14-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Gibson (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#45BW] Brad Katona (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#187FW] Francisco Rivera (16-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:42 of round 3
2022-01-28: L vs. [*] Ray Borg (16-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#143BW] Dan Argueta (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#70BW] Vince Morales (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#39BW] John Castaneda (21-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:38 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Cody Gibson 1697.35 +12.53 51.80%
Elo Modified Cody Gibson 1698.29 +33.18 54.76%
Glicko-1 Cody Gibson 1742.19 +76.22 60.80%
WHR Cody Gibson 1662.87 +25.93 53.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Gibson 217, Miles Johns 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#225] Jarno Errens (13-5-1, +175) vs. [#267] Steven Nguyen (9-1-0, -218)

Last 3 Fights: Jarno Errens (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#90FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#93FW] William Gomis (13-2-0) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#678FW] Alisher Abdulloev (9-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Steven Nguyen (3-0-0)
2023-09-12: W vs. [#742LW] A.J. Cunningham (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2021-09-21: W vs. [*] Theo Rlayang (5-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2021-02-19: W vs. [*] Jorge Juarez (5-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steven Nguyen -218 65.34%
Elo K170 Steven Nguyen 1461.55 +164.99 72.11%
Elo Modified Steven Nguyen 1500.94 +134.39 68.43%
Glicko-1 Steven Nguyen 1494.30 +96.16 63.50%
WHR Steven Nguyen 1461.75 +42.68 56.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jarno Errens 210, Steven Nguyen 193
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Montserrat Rendon (6-0-0, +140) vs. [#38] Dariya Zheleznyakova (8-1-0, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Montserrat Rendon (3-0-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#22BW] Tamires Vidal (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-28: W vs. [#33BW] Brittney Cloudy (6-5-0) via SD ()
2022-03-19: W vs. [#42FW] Claudia Zamora (5-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Dariya Zheleznyakova (2-1-0)
2023-04-07: W vs. [#173FLY] Marie Loiseau (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2022-11-03: L vs. [#7BW] Melissa Dixon (6-0-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-05-20: W vs. [*] Liana Jojua (8-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dariya Zheleznyakova -172 60.28%
Elo K170 Montserrat Rendon 1446.95 +88.73 62.50%
Elo Modified Dariya Zheleznyakova 1434.38 +59.97 58.54%
Glicko-1 Dariya Zheleznyakova 1395.13 +128.37 67.68%
WHR Dariya Zheleznyakova 1345.22 +111.59 65.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montserrat Rendon 182, Dariya Zheleznyakova 351
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#67] Igor da Silva (8-0-0, +134) vs. [#86] Andre Lima (7-0-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Igor da Silva (3-0-0)
2023-09-19: W vs. [#241FLY] Jhonata Silva (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-08-27: W vs. [#395BW] Manoel Rodrigues (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 2
2022-03-27: W vs. [#545FLY] Lucas Kenner Almeida da S (7-7-0) via in 4:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Andre Lima (3-0-0)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#181FLY] Rickson Thai Zenidim Buen (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-07: W vs. [#1161BW] Igor Taylon (10-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-05-28: W vs. [#1070BW] Alexandre Rodrigues (5-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Lima -164 59.24%
Elo K170 Igor da Silva 1574.50 +37.50 55.37%
Elo Modified Igor da Silva 1644.99 +64.23 59.14%
Glicko-1 Igor da Silva 1630.98 +68.35 59.71%
WHR Igor da Silva 1626.20 +184.83 74.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Igor da Silva 186, Andre Lima 165
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#65] Mohammed Usman (10-2-0, +128) vs. [#76] Michael Parkin (8-0-0, -156)

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (3-0-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#101HW+] Jake Collier (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#88HW+] Junior Tafa (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#112LHW] Zac Pauga (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Michael Parkin (3-0-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#126HW+] Caio Machado (8-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#106HW+] Jamal Pogues (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-23: W vs. [#213HW+] Eduardo Neves (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Parkin -156 58.14%
Elo K170 Mohammed Usman 1596.79 +33.46 54.80%
Elo Modified Mohammed Usman 1612.62 +45.94 56.57%
Glicko-1 Mohammed Usman 1576.08 +5.07 50.73%
WHR Michael Parkin 1551.65 +38.09 55.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mohammed Usman 182, Michael Parkin 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Billy Quarantillo
Highest Stored DD Rating: Amanda Ribas
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Billy Quarantillo vs. Youssef Zalal
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Rose Namajunas vs. Amanda Ribas
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2024-3-17

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