Fight Matrix Program – UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya (04-02-2023)

Apr 3, 2023
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#7DD/#8P4P] Alex Pereira (7-1-0, +115) vs. [#2] Israel Adesanya (23-2-0, -142)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #22 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #20 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2MW] Israel Adesanya (23-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#10MW] Sean Strickland (26-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#48MW] Bruno Silva (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#8P4P] Alex Pereira (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#4MW] Jared Cannonier (16-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (24-6-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -142 55.78%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2228.01 +305.38 80.14%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2206.78 +230.23 73.26%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2228.41 +173.50 73.08%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2046.15 +1.09 50.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 147, Israel Adesanya 147
Previous Match-up Record: Alex Pereira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Gilbert Burns (21-5-0, -498) vs. [#17] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0, +353)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #20 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#12WW] Neil Magny (27-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-04-09: L vs. [#5MW] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#7WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (0-3-0)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gilbert Burns -498 79.04%
Elo K170 Gilbert Burns 2180.56 +98.42 61.05%
Elo Modified Gilbert Burns 2142.64 +67.12 57.29%
Glicko-1 Gilbert Burns 2203.17 +50.87 57.27%
WHR Gilbert Burns 2024.87 +148.44 66.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 77, Jorge Masvidal 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gilbert Burns leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Rob Font (19-6-0, +148) vs. [#56] Adrian Yanez (16-3-0, -184)
Rob Font is the All-Time #43 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (21-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-12-04: L vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#24BW] Cody Garbrandt (13-5-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (3-0-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#266BW] Tony Kelley (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-11-20: W vs. [#27BW] Davey Grant (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#628BW] Randy Costa (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Adrian Yanez -184 61.64%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1875.54 +119.74 63.34%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1851.89 +154.97 66.34%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1922.37 +164.38 72.04%
WHR Rob Font 1777.94 +93.23 60.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 343, Adrian Yanez 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#18] Kevin Holland (23-9-0, -269) vs. [#22] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-6-0, +211)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#7WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-09-10: L vs. [#5MW] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [#38WW] Tim Means (32-14-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#37WW] Alex Morono (22-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32WW] Michel Pereira (29-11-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#9WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -269 69.39%
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1888.81 +95.71 60.76%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 1969.04 +168.69 67.66%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2041.45 +199.37 75.91%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 1837.98 +106.38 61.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 126, Santiago Ponzinibbio 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#174] Raul Rosas Jr. (7-0-0, -239) vs. [#200] Christian Rodriguez (8-1-0, +186)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#376BW] Jay Perrin (10-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:44 of round 1
2022-09-20: W vs. [#674LW] Mando Gutierrez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-24: W vs. [NA] Andres Portocarrero Pined (0-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Christian Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#443BW] Joshua Weems (11-3-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:07 of round 1
2022-02-19: L vs. [#28FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-01-15: W vs. [NA] Ryan McIntosh (17-37-0) via Submission in 1:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -239 66.84%
Elo K170 Raul Rosas Jr. 1451.73 +13.07 51.49%
Elo Modified Raul Rosas Jr. 1492.77 +25.52 52.79%
Glicko-1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1485.48 +15.99 52.30%
WHR Christian Rodriguez 1492.35 +81.69 59.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raul Rosas Jr. 119, Christian Rodriguez 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0, -124) vs. [#22] Chris Curtis (30-9-0, +100)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #30 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#4MW] Jared Cannonier (16-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (24-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-02-13: W vs. [*] Ian Heinisch (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#44MW] Joaquin Buckley (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-07-23: L vs. [#15MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#82MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kelvin Gastelum -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Chris Curtis 1893.57 +73.24 58.29%
Elo Modified Chris Curtis 1914.74 +79.29 58.59%
Glicko-1 Chris Curtis 2004.66 +89.35 62.58%
WHR Chris Curtis 1838.43 +102.37 61.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 595, Chris Curtis 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#14] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-10-0, +140) vs. [*] Luana Pinheiro (10-1-0, -173)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#5SW] Amanda Lemos (13-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2021-05-08: L vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-2-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#8SW] Angela Hill (15-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (3-0-0)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#35SW] Sam Hughes (7-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-01: W vs. [*] Randa Markos (11-11-1) via Disqualification (Illegal Upkick) in 4:16 of round 1
2020-11-10: W vs. [*] Stephanie Frausto (8-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luana Pinheiro -173 60.32%
Elo K170 Luana Pinheiro 1475.07 +20.12 52.30%
Elo Modified Luana Pinheiro 1472.33 +7.56 50.83%
Glicko-1 Luana Pinheiro 1503.23 +76.80 60.88%
WHR Luana Pinheiro 1451.91 +37.20 54.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michelle Waterson-Gomez 266, Luana Pinheiro 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#56] Chris Barnett (23-8-0, +177) vs. [#70] Chase Sherman (16-11-0, -227)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#75HW+] Jake Collier (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2022-04-16: L vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (11-1-0) via TUD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chase Sherman (1-2-0)
2022-11-19: L vs. [#48HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (9-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#93HW+] Jared Vanderaa (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 3
2022-04-30: L vs. [#36HW+] Alexander Romanov (16-2-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 2:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Sherman -227 65.78%
Elo K170 Chris Barnett 1500.01 +150.69 66.56%
Elo Modified Chris Barnett 1516.26 +106.37 61.44%
Glicko-1 Chris Barnett 1552.99 +138.97 69.00%
WHR Chris Barnett 1476.46 +98.29 61.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Barnett 210, Chase Sherman 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chris Barnett leads 4-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#24] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0, +155) vs. [#135] Joseph Pyfer (10-2-0, -194)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#48MW] Bruno Silva (22-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 3
2022-04-30: L vs. [#42LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#116MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#479MW] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#180MW] Osman Diaz (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2021-12-17: W vs. [#362MW] Austin Trotman (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -194 62.72%
Elo K170 Gerald Meerschaert 1801.79 +346.43 82.96%
Elo Modified Gerald Meerschaert 1812.90 +330.97 80.98%
Glicko-1 Gerald Meerschaert 1906.89 +401.47 90.98%
WHR Gerald Meerschaert 1750.78 +293.46 79.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 238, Joseph Pyfer 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gerald Meerschaert leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#27FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-5-1, +208) vs. [#19] Lupita Godinez (8-3-0, -270)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (0-3-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#16FLY] Andrea Lee (13-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-09-25: L vs. [#4SW/#9DD] Jessica Andrade (24-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Lupita Godinez (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#8SW] Angela Hill (15-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#41SW] Ariane Carnelossi (14-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#17SW] Konklak Suphisara (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lupita Godinez -270 69.20%
Elo K170 Lupita Godinez 1383.54 +28.79 53.28%
Elo Modified Cynthia Calvillo 1448.79 +23.63 52.58%
Glicko-1 Cynthia Calvillo 1441.68 +14.95 52.15%
WHR Lupita Godinez 1422.86 +30.81 53.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cynthia Calvillo 238, Lupita Godinez 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#85] Ignacio Bahamondes (14-4-0, -290) vs. [#120] Trey Ogden (16-5-0, +232)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (2-1-0)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#140LW] Zhu Rong (22-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:40 of round 3
2021-08-21: W vs. [#116LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-4-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 4:55 of round 3
2021-04-10: L vs. [#127LW] John Makdessi (18-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Trey Ogden (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#245LW] Daniel Zellhuber (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#137LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-11-14: W vs. [*] J.J. Okanovich (8-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ignacio Bahamondes -290 71.17%
Elo K170 Ignacio Bahamondes 1633.69 +27.02 53.08%
Elo Modified Trey Ogden 1667.10 +30.30 53.31%
Glicko-1 Trey Ogden 1708.03 +6.92 51.00%
WHR Trey Ogden 1608.54 +17.61 52.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ignacio Bahamondes 406, Trey Ogden 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#64] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-10-0, -220) vs. [#102] Steve Garcia (13-5-0, +173)

Last 3 Fights: Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (3-0-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#108FW] Darrick Minner (26-14-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#96FW] T.J. Brown (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#341LW] Sean Soriano (14-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#195FW] Chase Hooper (11-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-06-11: L vs. [#194LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:14 of round 1
2021-10-09: W vs. [#786LW] Charlie Ontiveros (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nuerdanbieke Shayilan -220 65.24%
Elo K170 Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 1661.61 +129.30 64.35%
Elo Modified Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 1650.97 +67.96 57.38%
Glicko-1 Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 1671.82 +74.37 60.54%
WHR Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 1555.84 +69.32 57.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 154, Steve Garcia 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#35] Sam Hughes (7-5-0, +201) vs. [#40] Jaqueline Amorim (6-0-0, -258)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#13SW] Piera Rodriguez (9-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#65SW] Elise Reed (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2022-04-16: W vs. [#148SW] Istela Nunes (6-4-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jaqueline Amorim (3-0-0)
2022-09-16: W vs. [#130SW] Ashley Nichols (4-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1
2022-02-25: W vs. [#143SW] Lovethpatra Young (3-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:26 of round 1
2021-07-02: W vs. [*] Megan Owen (1-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jaqueline Amorim -258 68.44%
Elo K170 Jaqueline Amorim 1371.64 +47.44 55.40%
Elo Modified Jaqueline Amorim 1431.35 +104.39 61.23%
Glicko-1 Jaqueline Amorim 1425.88 +153.85 70.80%
WHR Jaqueline Amorim 1351.07 +111.46 62.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Hughes 175, Jaqueline Amorim 204
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alex Pereira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alex Pereira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alex Pereira vs. Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alex Pereira vs. Israel Adesanya
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2023-4-2

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