Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili (03-11-2023)

Mar 6, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Merab Dvalishvili (15-4-0, +178) vs. [#4] Petr Yan (16-4-0, -226)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #11 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#90FW] Marlon Moraes (23-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2021-05-01: W vs. [#29BW] Cody Stamann (21-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (1-2-0)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (16-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#1BW/#4DD/#5P4P] Aljamain Sterling (22-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (15-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -226 65.84%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 2126.39 +192.10 70.63%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 2104.43 +44.51 54.85%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 2147.43 +1.46 50.21%
WHR Petr Yan 2016.88 +41.90 54.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 203, Petr Yan 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0, -106) vs. [#36] Alexander Romanov (16-1-0, -117)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #30 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#8HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1
2021-10-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Romanov (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#13HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#72HW+] Chase Sherman (16-11-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 2:11 of round 1
2021-10-09: W vs. [#94HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Romanov -117 51.16%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 1936.95 +207.36 72.06%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 1957.05 +193.63 70.01%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2015.88 +161.17 71.66%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1884.26 +72.61 58.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 280, Alexander Romanov 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkov leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Jonathan Martinez (17-4-0, +156) vs. [#17] Said Nurmagomedov (17-2-0, -196)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#32BW] Cub Swanson (28-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#171BW] Vince Morales (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#298FW] Alejandro Perez (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55BW] Saidyokub Kakhramonov (10-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:50 of round 2
2022-07-09: W vs. [#61BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#29BW] Cody Stamann (21-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Said Nurmagomedov -196 62.89%
Elo K170 Said Nurmagomedov 1938.71 +86.11 59.71%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1927.40 +61.18 56.65%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1983.51 +93.44 63.13%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1926.97 +197.64 71.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 147, Said Nurmagomedov 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#84] Vitor Petrino (7-0-0, -148) vs. [#103] Anton Turkalj (8-1-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2022-09-06: W vs. [#172LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 2
2021-09-04: W vs. [#124LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (21-9-0) via KO in 3:36 of round 2
2021-07-18: W vs. [NA] Caike Souza (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anton Turkalj (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#30HW+] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#157HW+] Acacio dos Santos (15-5-0) via UD ()
2021-04-01: W vs. [#1004MW] Konstantin Soldatov (5-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 0:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -148 56.65%
Elo K170 Anton Turkalj 1505.69 +23.91 52.73%
Elo Modified Vitor Petrino 1531.22 +6.44 50.70%
Glicko-1 Vitor Petrino 1536.87 +1.85 50.27%
WHR Vitor Petrino 1544.61 +58.72 56.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Petrino 186, Anton Turkalj 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#73] Ricardo Ramos (16-4-0, -289) vs. [*] Austin Lingo (9-1-0, +222)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#271FW] Danny Chavez (11-5-1) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 1:12 of round 1
2021-10-30: L vs. [#171LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#52FW] Bill Algeo (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#138FW] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#868FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#141FW] Youssef Zalal (11-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricardo Ramos -289 70.51%
Elo K170 Ricardo Ramos 1635.59 +131.11 64.54%
Elo Modified Ricardo Ramos 1659.29 +113.65 62.19%
Glicko-1 Ricardo Ramos 1669.54 +129.74 67.85%
WHR Ricardo Ramos 1687.75 +212.20 72.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricardo Ramos 266, Austin Lingo 567
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Ryan Spann (21-7-0) vs. [#11] Nikita Krylov (29-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#22LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#45LHW] Ion Cutelaba (16-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2021-09-18: L vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#48LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#16LHW] Paul Craig (16-6-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1917.51 +5.97 50.68%
Elo Modified Nikita Krylov 1931.41 +26.50 52.90%
Glicko-1 Nikita Krylov 2003.45 +39.15 55.61%
WHR Nikita Krylov 1834.38 +50.56 55.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 119, Nikita Krylov 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#96] Lukasz Brzeski (9-2-1, +115) vs. [#185] Karl Williams (7-1-0, -142)

Last 3 Fights: Lukasz Brzeski (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (11-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-14: W vs. [#236HW+] Dylan Potter (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:51 of round 3
2020-05-29: W vs. [#448HW+] Michal Piwowarski (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Karl Williams (3-0-0)
2022-09-06: W vs. [#271HW+] Jimmy Lawson (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#586LHW] Simon Marini (9-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2022-06-03: W vs. [NA] Kyle Wright (2-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karl Williams -142 55.78%
Elo K170 Lukasz Brzeski 1454.92 +49.00 55.57%
Elo Modified Lukasz Brzeski 1542.07 +50.25 55.48%
Glicko-1 Lukasz Brzeski 1591.28 +181.35 73.96%
WHR Lukasz Brzeski 1535.20 +218.89 73.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lukasz Brzeski 210, Karl Williams 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#30] J.J. Aldrich (11-5-0, -231) vs. [#52] Ariane Lipski (14-8-0, +180)

Last 3 Fights: J.J. Aldrich (2-1-0)
2022-06-04: L vs. [#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (11-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 2
2022-03-12: W vs. [#31FLY] Gillian Robertson (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#24SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (1-2-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#32FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#115FLY] Mandy Bohm (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#45FLY] Montana De La Rosa (12-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds J.J. Aldrich -231 66.15%
Elo K170 J.J. Aldrich 1464.36 +159.96 67.50%
Elo Modified J.J. Aldrich 1518.27 +161.66 66.99%
Glicko-1 J.J. Aldrich 1468.23 +139.29 69.04%
WHR J.J. Aldrich 1480.06 +225.15 73.66%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: J.J. Aldrich 280, Ariane Lipski 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#45] Mario Bautista (11-2-0, -932) vs. [#204] Guido Cannetti (10-6-0, +554)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#514BW] Benito Lopez (10-2-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 4:54 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#99BW] Brian Kelleher (24-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2022-02-19: W vs. [#372BW] Jay Perrin (10-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Guido Cannetti (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#611BW] Randy Costa (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:04 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#568BW] Kris Moutinho (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2021-08-28: L vs. [#236BW] Leomana Martinez (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mario Bautista -932 85.52%
Elo K170 Mario Bautista 1751.09 +339.17 82.49%
Elo Modified Mario Bautista 1755.50 +275.32 76.95%
Glicko-1 Mario Bautista 1764.94 +272.39 82.75%
WHR Mario Bautista 1660.22 +222.24 73.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mario Bautista 126, Guido Cannetti 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#21] Tyson Nam (21-12-1, +137) vs. [*] Bruno Silva (12-6-2, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Nam (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#122BW] Ode Osbourne (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2021-01-20: L vs. [#24FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-09-19: W vs. [*] Jerome Rivera (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [#245FLY] J.P. Buys (9-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 2:56 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#14FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -170 59.87%
Elo K170 Tyson Nam 1563.75 +67.81 57.68%
Elo Modified Tyson Nam 1615.39 +131.67 64.02%
Glicko-1 Tyson Nam 1663.67 +141.77 69.34%
WHR Tyson Nam 1605.14 +142.42 65.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyson Nam 210, Bruno Silva 658
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#40] Victor Henry (22-6-0, -143) vs. [#83] Tony Gravely (23-8-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Henry (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#23BW] Raphael Assuncao (28-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#47BW] Raoni Barcelos (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#284FW] Albert Morales (12-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tony Gravely (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#41BW] Javid Basharat (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#208BW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1
2022-01-22: W vs. [#340BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Victor Henry -143 55.85%
Elo K170 Victor Henry 1762.04 +132.67 64.70%
Elo Modified Victor Henry 1761.84 +140.59 64.92%
Glicko-1 Victor Henry 1805.10 +132.10 68.14%
WHR Victor Henry 1718.64 +112.66 62.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Henry 147, Tony Gravely 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#95] Carlston Harris (17-5-0, -145) vs. [#112] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (17-3-1, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Carlston Harris (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#6WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (17-0-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#81MW] Impa Kasanganay (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2021-05-08: W vs. [*] Christian Aguilera (14-8-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Abubakar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#357WW] Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#94WW] Jared Gooden (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#109WW] David Zawada (18-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlston Harris -145 56.22%
Elo K170 Carlston Harris 1745.83 +116.30 62.98%
Elo Modified Carlston Harris 1761.02 +89.16 59.63%
Glicko-1 Carlston Harris 1810.02 +122.51 66.93%
WHR Carlston Harris 1828.46 +155.04 67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlston Harris 399, Abubakar Nurmagomedov 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#23] Raphael Assuncao (28-9-0, +134) vs. [#75] Davey Grant (14-6-0, -165)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #23 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (1-2-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#40BW] Victor Henry (22-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#11BW] Ricky Simon (21-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:14 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#26BW] Cody Garbrandt (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (1-2-0)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#229BW] Louis Smolka (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 3
2021-11-20: L vs. [#58BW] Adrian Yanez (16-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (21-7-1) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Davey Grant -165 59.29%
Elo K170 Raphael Assuncao 1825.32 +246.41 75.51%
Elo Modified Raphael Assuncao 1800.65 +185.88 69.29%
Glicko-1 Raphael Assuncao 1808.81 +139.25 69.03%
WHR Raphael Assuncao 1727.43 +85.32 59.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Assuncao 147, Davey Grant 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#139] Sedriques Dumas (8-0-0, -136) vs. [#188] Josh Fremd (9-4-0, +109)

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (3-0-0)
2022-08-30: W vs. [#186MW] Matej Penaz (7-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2022-03-18: W vs. [#347MW] Aaron Highbaugh (11-6-0) via UD ()
2022-01-21: W vs. [#386WW] DeWitt Dixon (3-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Josh Fremd (1-2-0)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#163MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 2
2022-04-09: L vs. [#48MW] Anthony Hernandez (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-06: W vs. [#239MW] Joel Bauman (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sedriques Dumas -136 54.63%
Elo K170 Sedriques Dumas 1485.39 +168.42 68.34%
Elo Modified Sedriques Dumas 1504.78 +136.20 64.48%
Glicko-1 Sedriques Dumas 1517.52 +172.48 72.97%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1509.97 +143.16 65.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sedriques Dumas 193, Josh Fremd 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alexander Volkov
Highest Stored DD Rating: Merab Dvalishvili
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2023-3-5

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