Fight Matrix Program – UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 (06-12-2021)

7 Jun , 2021,
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-1-0, -252) vs. [#4] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1, +201)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #3 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#5MW] Paulo Costa (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Yoel Romero (13-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#9MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#66MW] Karl Roberson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -252 68.30%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2226.52 +188.17 70.26%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2200.59 +157.45 66.58%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2300.65 +200.17 75.99%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2050.24 +50.39 55.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 98, Marvin Vettori 63
Previous Match-up Record: Israel Adesanya leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#5P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1, -250) vs. [#2] Brandon Moreno (18-5-2, +200)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #10 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-0-1)
2020-12-12: D vs. [#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (18-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#6FLY] Alex Perez (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#5FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-0-1)
2020-12-12: D vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#5P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Brandon Royval (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -250 68.18%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2105.92 +130.96 64.53%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2070.65 +139.96 64.86%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2151.08 +164.30 72.03%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1956.30 +115.56 62.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 182, Brandon Moreno 182
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 0-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16] Jamahal Hill (9-0-0, -303) vs. [#21] Paul Craig (14-4-1, +237)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-05-30: W vs. [#42LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#59HW+] Darko Stosic (15-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (2-0-1)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#39LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 2
2020-07-25: W vs. [#130LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:06 of round 1
2019-11-16: D vs. [#39LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-12-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -303 71.70%
Elo K170 Paul Craig 1786.58 +50.54 55.75%
Elo Modified Paul Craig 1795.38 +21.70 52.37%
Glicko-1 Paul Craig 1845.51 +35.00 55.02%
WHR Jamahal Hill 1723.44 +57.08 56.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 189, Paul Craig 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[*] Demian Maia (28-10-0, +196) vs. [#18] Belal Muhammad (18-3-0, -248)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (2-1-0)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:54 of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#14WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#10WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#89WW] Dhiego Lima (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#50WW] Lyman Good (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Belal Muhammad -248 67.84%
Elo K170 Demian Maia 2039.17 +35.09 54.00%
Elo Modified Demian Maia 2007.93 +31.46 53.44%
Glicko-1 Demian Maia 2061.01 +66.33 59.43%
WHR Demian Maia 1919.61 +58.53 56.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 455, Belal Muhammad 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Leon Edwards (18-3-0, -531) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-12-0, +385)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #47 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#18WW] Belal Muhammad (18-3-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#3WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#15LW] Anthony Pettis (24-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-08-20: L vs. [#12LW] Conor McGregor (22-5-0) via MD (47-47, 48-47, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Leon Edwards -531 80.31%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2186.51 +173.25 68.81%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2113.41 +88.98 59.62%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2150.19 +40.66 55.83%
WHR Leon Edwards 1980.01 +73.85 58.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 91, Nate Diaz 588
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Leon Edwards leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#60] Jake Collier (12-5-0, +164) vs. [#80] Carlos Felipe (10-1-0, -203)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Collier (2-1-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#100HW+] Gian Villante (17-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#29HW+] Tom Aspinall (10-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [*] Marcel Fortuna (9-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#141HW+] Justin Tafa (4-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#165HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#31HW+] Sergey Spivak (12-2-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Felipe -203 63.88%
Elo K170 Carlos Felipe 1498.75 +1.69 50.19%
Elo Modified Jake Collier 1537.65 +24.69 52.70%
Glicko-1 Carlos Felipe 1505.56 +8.98 51.29%
WHR Jake Collier 1493.58 +54.62 56.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Collier 189, Carlos Felipe 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#161] Fares Ziam (11-3-0, -116) vs. [#254] Luigi Vendramini (9-1-0, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#93LW] Jamie Mullarkey (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: L vs. [*] Don Madge (9-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#461LW] Yassine Belhadj (7-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:05 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Luigi Vendramini (2-1-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#380LW] Jessin Ayari (16-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2018-09-22: L vs. [#32WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2018-09-07: W vs. [*] Lucas Eurico (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Fares Ziam -116 50.95%
Elo K170 Fares Ziam 1511.86 +49.69 55.65%
Elo Modified Fares Ziam 1558.90 +93.92 60.14%
Glicko-1 Fares Ziam 1585.38 +78.50 61.11%
WHR Fares Ziam 1534.02 +51.77 55.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 238, Luigi Vendramini 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#19] Movsar Evloev (14-0-0, -260) vs. [#47] Hakeem Dawodu (12-1-1, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Movsar Evloev (3-0-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [*] Nik Lentz (30-12-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#86FW] Mike Grundy (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] Enrique Barzola (17-5-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#118LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (19-5-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2019-11-02: W vs. [*] Julio Arce (16-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#149FW] Yoshinori Horie (10-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:09 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Movsar Evloev -260 68.84%
Elo K170 Movsar Evloev 1941.96 +113.92 62.73%
Elo Modified Movsar Evloev 1876.34 +129.85 63.84%
Glicko-1 Movsar Evloev 1881.23 +177.08 73.49%
WHR Movsar Evloev 1798.78 +137.79 65.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Movsar Evloev 140, Hakeem Dawodu 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6] Lauren Murphy (14-4-0, +110) vs. [#9] Joanne Calderwood (15-5-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Murphy (3-0-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#56FLY] Liliya Shakirova (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 2
2020-06-20: W vs. [#18FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-18-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#13FLY] Andrea Lee (12-5-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#16FLY] Jessica Eye (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [#13FLY] Andrea Lee (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanne Calderwood -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Lauren Murphy 1620.62 +46.60 55.30%
Elo Modified Lauren Murphy 1598.94 +41.28 54.50%
Glicko-1 Lauren Murphy 1579.01 +60.38 58.60%
WHR Lauren Murphy 1537.29 +39.30 54.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lauren Murphy 231, Joanne Calderwood 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#128] Matt Frevola (8-2-1, -202) vs. [#180] Frank Camacho (23-9-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#25LW] Arman Tsarukyan (15-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#105LW] Luis Pena (9-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#142WW] Jalin Turner (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Frank Camacho (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#244FW] Justin Jaynes (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2019-10-26: L vs. [#4LW] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Nick Hein (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Frevola -202 63.84%
Elo K170 Matt Frevola 1578.05 +180.66 69.54%
Elo Modified Matt Frevola 1560.49 +158.42 66.68%
Glicko-1 Matt Frevola 1532.28 +136.54 68.70%
WHR Matt Frevola 1463.87 +90.38 60.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Frevola 140, Frank Camacho 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#19] Drew Dober (23-10-0, -135) vs. [#75] Brad Riddell (9-1-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#10LW] Islam Makhachev (19-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:37 of round 3
2020-05-13: W vs. [#21LW] Alexander Hernandez (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2020-01-18: W vs. [#49LW] Nasrat Haqparast (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Riddell (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#193LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (21-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Magomed Mustafaev (14-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-82)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#93LW] Jamie Mullarkey (14-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drew Dober -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1824.18 +171.26 68.62%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1818.74 +179.44 68.69%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1851.93 +216.20 77.63%
WHR Drew Dober 1786.59 +208.81 72.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 98, Brad Riddell 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#132] Chase Hooper (10-1-1, +110) vs. [*] Steven Peterson (18-9-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#413FW] Peter Barrett (11-5-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 3:02 of round 3
2020-06-06: L vs. [#34FW] Alex Caceres (18-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [*] Daniel Teymur (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Steven Peterson (1-2-0)
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Martin Bravo (11-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 1:31 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#34FW] Alex Caceres (18-12-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#105LW] Luis Pena (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steven Peterson -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Chase Hooper 1495.70 +76.22 58.62%
Elo Modified Chase Hooper 1554.27 +90.75 59.80%
Glicko-1 Chase Hooper 1562.44 +40.49 55.80%
WHR Chase Hooper 1471.12 +37.36 54.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 182, Steven Peterson 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#39] Eryk Anders (13-5-0, -146) vs. [#49] Darren Stewart (12-6-0, +120)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#49MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#26MW] Krzysztof Jotko (22-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#37MW] Gerald Meerschaert (32-14-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Stewart (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#39MW] Eryk Anders (13-5-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#162MW] Maki Pitolo (13-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eryk Anders -146 56.63%
Elo K170 Eryk Anders 1614.20 +51.29 55.83%
Elo Modified Eryk Anders 1640.91 +8.93 50.98%
Glicko-1 Darren Stewart 1667.89 +20.35 52.92%
WHR Eryk Anders 1578.47 +37.85 54.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 91, Darren Stewart 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#8] Pannie Kianzad (14-5-0, -221) vs. [#12] Alexis Davis (20-10-0, +176)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#13BW] Sijara Eubanks (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#18BW] Bethe Correia (11-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#17BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#21BW] Sabina Mazo (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Pannie Kianzad -221 65.52%
Elo K170 Pannie Kianzad 1560.44 +45.02 55.12%
Elo Modified Pannie Kianzad 1595.14 +80.07 58.68%
Glicko-1 Pannie Kianzad 1542.18 +69.15 59.82%
WHR Alexis Davis 1525.80 +33.73 53.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 175, Alexis Davis 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexis Davis leads 3-0
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2021-6-7