Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 187: Edwards vs Muhammad (2021-03-13)

8 Mar , 2021,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[*] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) vs. [#16] Belal Muhammad (18-3-0)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #46 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#17WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (3-0-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#77WW] Dhiego Lima (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#41WW] Lyman Good (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#71WW] Takashi Sato (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2186.48 +182.43 69.71%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2113.33 +136.95 64.55%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2150.17 +155.57 71.00%
WHR Leon Edwards 1973.89 +111.98 62.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 602, Belal Muhammad 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Leon Edwards leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#25] Ryan Spann (18-6-0) vs. [*] Misha Cirkunov (15-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#16LHW] Johnny Walker (18-5-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1
2020-05-09: W vs. [#33LHW] Sam Alvey (33-14-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#43LHW] Devin Clark (12-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Misha Cirkunov (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#21LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-1-0) via Submission (Peruvian Necktie) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#16LHW] Johnny Walker (18-5-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2018-10-27: W vs. [*] Patrick Cummins (10-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Misha Cirkunov 1726.98 +7.99 50.91%
Elo Modified Misha Cirkunov 1742.71 +28.41 53.10%
Glicko-1 Misha Cirkunov 1779.93 +53.58 57.65%
WHR Misha Cirkunov 1733.74 +86.75 59.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 175, Misha Cirkunov 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#25] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0, -116) vs. [#44] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#28LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#35HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (30-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ben Rothwell -116 50.84%
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1706.56 +211.77 72.46%
Elo Modified Ben Rothwell 1711.63 +145.92 65.45%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1755.83 +199.90 75.96%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1628.35 +90.49 60.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 154, Philipe Lins 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#8] Manel Kape (15-5-0) vs. [*] Matheus Nicolau Pereira (15-2-1)

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-31: W vs. [#29BW] Kai Asakura (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 2
2019-08-18: W vs. [*] Takeya Mizugaki (23-14-2) via KO (Punch) in 1:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau Pereira (2-1-0)
2019-08-30: W vs. [#248BW] Felipe Efrain (14-6-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [*] Alan Gabriel dos Santos (11-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 01:18 of round 1
2018-07-28: L vs. [*] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau Pereira 1691.27 +39.60 54.51%
Elo Modified Matheus Nicolau Pereira 1670.44 +11.14 51.22%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1712.85 +23.29 53.35%
WHR Manel Kape 1671.20 +44.52 55.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 35, Matheus Nicolau Pereira 561
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#11] Dan Ige (14-3-0) vs. [#36] Gavin Tucker (13-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#6FW] Calvin Kattar (22-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#9FW] Edson Barboza (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#50FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Gavin Tucker (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#67FW] Billy Quarantillo (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#215LW] Justin Jaynes (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3
2019-07-27: W vs. [#132FW] Seung Woo Choi (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1889.19 +138.04 65.27%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1812.09 +81.85 58.87%
Glicko-1 Dan Ige 1836.31 +42.90 56.14%
WHR Gavin Tucker 1748.26 +60.12 56.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 241, Gavin Tucker 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#36] Eryk Anders (13-5-0, +154) vs. [#49] Darren Stewart (12-6-0, -189)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#19MW] Krzysztof Jotko (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#46MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-14-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#152LHW] Vinicius Moreira (9-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Darren Stewart (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#11MW] Kevin Holland (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#159MW] Maki Pitolo (13-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2020-03-20: L vs. [#44MW] Bartosz Fabinski (15-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Darren Stewart -189 62.42%
Elo K170 Eryk Anders 1614.07 +50.68 55.76%
Elo Modified Eryk Anders 1640.71 +8.44 50.92%
Glicko-1 Darren Stewart 1668.24 +20.88 53.00%
WHR Eryk Anders 1573.66 +21.33 52.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 301, Darren Stewart 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Angela Hill (12-9-0) vs. [#22] Ashley Yoder (8-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#7SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#33SW] Konklak Suphisara (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ashley Yoder (1-2-0)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#65SW] Miranda Granger (7-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#17SW] Livinha Souza (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#28SW] Randa Markos (10-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Angela Hill 1389.51 +27.45 53.13%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1494.57 +89.39 59.66%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1528.31 +145.16 69.75%
WHR Angela Hill 1452.13 +115.15 62.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 182, Ashley Yoder 119
Previous Match-up Record: Angela Hill leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Angela Hill leads 1-0
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#25] Cortney Casey (9-8-0) vs. [#41] J.J. Aldrich (8-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#20FLY] Gillian Robertson (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:36 of round 3
2020-05-16: W vs. [#61FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:36 of round 1
2019-02-17: L vs. [#8FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: J.J. Aldrich (1-2-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#23BW] Sabina Mazo (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Lauren Mueller (5-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#23FLY] Maycee Barber (8-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:01 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 J.J. Aldrich 1335.29 +0.23 50.03%
Elo Modified J.J. Aldrich 1450.67 +79.59 58.62%
Glicko-1 J.J. Aldrich 1422.46 +65.07 59.26%
WHR Cortney Casey 1338.98 +1.57 50.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cortney Casey 266, J.J. Aldrich 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#59] Nasrat Haqparast (12-3-0) vs. TBA/Unknown (N/A)

Last 3 Fights: Nasrat Haqparast (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#179LW] Alex Munoz (6-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#21LW] Drew Dober (23-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-08-03: W vs. [*] Joaquim Silva (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nasrat Haqparast 217, TBA/Unknown 6
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#36] Rani Yahya (26-10-1, -301) vs. [#127] Ray Rodriguez (16-7-0, +237)
Rani Yahya is the All-Time #30 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rani Yahya (1-1-1)
2020-03-14: D vs. [#33BW] Enrique Barzola (17-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-02-09: L vs. [#26FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#231FW] Luke Sanders (13-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ray Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#65FW] Brian Kelleher (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2019-11-08: W vs. [#767FW] Andrew Perez (9-12-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2019-08-13: L vs. [#62BW] Tony Gravely (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rani Yahya -301 71.67%
Elo K170 Rani Yahya 1670.95 +223.62 73.53%
Elo Modified Rani Yahya 1684.56 +232.39 73.44%
Glicko-1 Rani Yahya 1733.40 +291.68 84.27%
WHR Rani Yahya 1600.61 +237.80 74.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rani Yahya 364, Ray Rodriguez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#62] Charles Jourdain (10-3-1) vs. [*] Marcelo Rojo (16-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-1-1)
2020-10-03: D vs. [#133FW] Joshua Culibao (9-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-06-13: L vs. [#29FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#175FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marcelo Rojo (2-1-0)
2019-09-27: W vs. [*] Victor Hugo Madrigal (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-04-12: L vs. [#58BW] John Castaneda (18-5-0) via SUB in 2:37 of round 3
2018-10-26: W vs. [*] Jesse Strader (5-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Charles Jourdain 1536.66 +55.67 56.33%
Elo Modified Charles Jourdain 1605.94 +78.72 58.53%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1635.12 +93.08 63.08%
WHR Charles Jourdain 1522.77 +28.79 53.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 161, Marcelo Rojo 533
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#60] Jonathan Martinez (13-3-0, -301) vs. [#186] Davey Grant (12-4-0, +236)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#288BW] Thomas Almeida (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#129BW] Frankie Saenz (12-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:57 of round 3
2020-02-08: L vs. [#59BW] Andre Ewell (17-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#706FW] Martin Day (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 3
2019-11-09: W vs. [*] Grigory Popov (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#131LW] Manny Bermudez (15-2-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -301 71.60%
Elo K170 Jonathan Martinez 1622.26 +108.81 62.18%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1696.57 +216.02 72.03%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1728.96 +242.75 80.18%
WHR Jonathan Martinez 1570.43 +141.67 65.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 147, Davey Grant 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#42] Jinh Yu Frey (9-6-0, +134) vs. [#64] Gloria de Paula (5-2-0, -163)
Jinh Yu Frey is the All-Time #37 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jinh Yu Frey (1-2-0)
2020-10-03: L vs. [#33SW] Konklak Suphisara (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#27SW] Kay Hansen (7-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-02-07: W vs. [#9AW] Ashley Cummins (7-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Gloria de Paula (2-1-0)
2020-11-17: W vs. [#133SW] Pauline Macias (4-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Rafaela Rodrigues (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:17 of round 3
2019-03-30: L vs. [*] Isabela de Padua (5-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gloria de Paula -163 59.18%
Elo K170 Gloria de Paula 1282.52 +57.98 56.58%
Elo Modified Gloria de Paula 1298.80 +31.35 53.42%
Glicko-1 Gloria de Paula 1283.39 +77.98 61.04%
WHR Gloria de Paula 1274.37 +134.83 64.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jinh Yu Frey 161, Gloria de Paula 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#98] Jason Witt (18-7-0, +117) vs. [#214] Matthew Semelsberger (7-2-0, -144)

Last 3 Fights: Jason Witt (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#244WW] Cole Williams (11-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2020-06-27: L vs. [#71WW] Takashi Sato (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2020-02-22: W vs. [#341WW] Zak Bucia (18-12-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matthew Semelsberger (3-0-0)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#389LW] Carlton Minus (10-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#524WW] Richard Patishnock (8-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:14 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [*] Kristopher Gratalo (4-3-0) via TKO in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matthew Semelsberger -144 56.15%
Elo K170 Jason Witt 1610.59 +163.91 67.89%
Elo Modified Jason Witt 1613.32 +209.36 71.43%
Glicko-1 Jason Witt 1632.49 +213.03 77.32%
WHR Jason Witt 1522.87 +183.28 69.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jason Witt 133, Matthew Semelsberger 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Leon Edwards
Highest Stored DD Rating: Leon Edwards
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-3-8