Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gane (2021-02-27)

22 Feb , 2021,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0, +218) vs. [#7] Ciryl Gane (7-0-0, -275)

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:34 of round 2
2019-12-21: W vs. [#35HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#105HW+] Dontale Mayes (8-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -275 69.98%
Elo K170 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1905.12 +151.80 66.68%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1902.89 +70.19 57.62%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1988.32 +166.69 72.30%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1863.13 +101.06 61.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 196, Ciryl Gane 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#20] Sabina Mazo (9-1-0, -241) vs. [*] Alexis Davis (19-10-0, +192)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sabina Mazo (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#47FLY] Justine Kish (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 3
2020-01-18: W vs. [#42FLY] J.J. Aldrich (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#52FLY] Shana Dobson (4-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-24, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (0-3-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#5FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sabina Mazo -241 67.35%
Elo K170 Sabina Mazo 1518.40 +115.19 62.86%
Elo Modified Sabina Mazo 1541.43 +150.54 65.90%
Glicko-1 Sabina Mazo 1483.02 +107.15 64.95%
WHR Sabina Mazo 1486.82 +75.26 58.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sabina Mazo 168, Alexis Davis 581
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#48] Alex Oliveira (22-9-1, +135) vs. [#49] Randy Brown (12-4-0, -165)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#33WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (13-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-07-25: W vs. [#208WW] Peter Sobotta (17-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#72WW] Max Griffin (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#11WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2019-11-16: W vs. [#55WW] Warlley Alves (14-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#71WW] Bryan Barberena (15-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -165 59.40%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1695.56 +4.88 50.56%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1713.99 +22.72 52.49%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1740.01 +39.48 55.66%
WHR Randy Brown 1666.84 +22.35 52.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 126, Randy Brown 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15] Nikita Krylov (27-7-0, +262) vs. [#17] Magomed Ankalaev (14-1-0, -342)

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#16LHW] Johnny Walker (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#4LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#29LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#42LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#42LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [#66MW] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -342 73.69%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 1902.25 +78.92 58.92%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 1905.19 +18.01 51.97%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 1982.16 +9.23 51.33%
WHR Nikita Krylov 1856.97 +8.24 50.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nikita Krylov 350, Magomed Ankalaev 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#17] Alexander Hernandez (12-3-0, -195) vs. [#24] Thiago Moises (14-4-0, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#148LW] Chris Gruetzemacher (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:46 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#13LW] Drew Dober (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2019-07-20: W vs. [#15LW] Francisco Trinaldo (26-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#86LW] Michael Johnson (19-17-0) via Submission (Achilles Lock) in 0:25 of round 2
2019-08-31: L vs. [*] Damir Ismagulov (19-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Hernandez -195 63.12%
Elo K170 Thiago Moises 1811.56 +24.77 52.83%
Elo Modified Thiago Moises 1807.37 +16.96 51.85%
Glicko-1 Alexander Hernandez 1839.75 +0.33 50.05%
WHR Alexander Hernandez 1754.12 +27.98 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 119, Thiago Moises 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#30] Maxim Grishin (31-8-2, +145) vs. [#66] Dustin Jacoby (13-5-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Maxim Grishin (1-1-1)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#126LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 2
2020-07-11: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-10-31: D vs. [#37LHW] Jordan Johnson (12-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#125LHW] Justin Ledet (9-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [#133LHW] Ty Flores (7-3-0) via UD ()
2019-06-29: W vs. [*] Cody East (13-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -177 61.01%
Elo K170 Maxim Grishin 1724.74 +150.06 66.50%
Elo Modified Maxim Grishin 1752.25 +142.62 65.12%
Glicko-1 Maxim Grishin 1792.01 +195.63 75.51%
WHR Maxim Grishin 1675.86 +62.29 57.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maxim Grishin 133, Dustin Jacoby 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Macy Chiasson (6-1-0, -213) vs. [#22] Marion Reneau (9-6-1, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#44BW] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#15BW] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#33BW] Sarah Moras (6-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (0-3-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#6BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#8FW] Cat Zingano (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Macy Chiasson -213 64.84%
Elo K170 Macy Chiasson 1474.88 +183.33 69.79%
Elo Modified Macy Chiasson 1595.01 +263.65 76.03%
Glicko-1 Macy Chiasson 1507.61 +150.28 70.37%
WHR Macy Chiasson 1488.74 +113.63 62.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Macy Chiasson 378, Marion Reneau 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#60] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0, -111) vs. [#72] William Knight (9-1-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#29LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#43LHW] Devin Clark (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#24LHW] Paul Craig (14-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Knight (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#102LHW] Aleksa Camur (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-01: W vs. [#206MW] Cody Brundage (6-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:23 of round 1
2020-01-24: W vs. [#196LHW] Rocky Edwards (12-10-1) via TKO in 2:56 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds William Knight -112 50.10%
Elo K170 William Knight 1541.69 +54.86 56.23%
Elo Modified William Knight 1602.03 +52.30 55.70%
Glicko-1 William Knight 1582.49 +14.78 52.13%
WHR William Knight 1519.88 +40.40 54.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 175, William Knight 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#52] Kevin Croom (23-12-0, +185) vs. [#60] Alex Caceres (17-12-0, -233)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Croom (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#85LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:31 of round 1
2020-08-14: W vs. [#489FW] Anderson Hutchinson (7-3-0) via UD ()
2020-02-21: W vs. [#576FW] Adil Benjilany (5-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (3-0-0)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#393LW] Austin Springer (12-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#133FW] Chase Hooper (10-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-20: W vs. [*] Steven Peterson (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Caceres -233 66.60%
Elo K170 Alex Caceres 1654.00 +84.52 59.53%
Elo Modified Alex Caceres 1691.37 +120.64 62.91%
Glicko-1 Alex Caceres 1702.78 +127.94 67.62%
WHR Alex Caceres 1627.00 +149.14 66.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Croom 168, Alex Caceres 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#26] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1-0, -126) vs. [#34] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#61FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1
2020-03-14: L vs. [#16FLY] Maryna Moroz (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#21FLY] Gillian Robertson (9-5-0) via Submission (Ambar) in 4:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#5FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#61FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#23FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -126 52.96%
Elo K170 Mayra Bueno Silva 1445.25 +116.41 62.99%
Elo Modified Mayra Bueno Silva 1459.16 +111.46 61.96%
Glicko-1 Mayra Bueno Silva 1436.76 +103.78 64.51%
WHR Mayra Bueno Silva 1457.84 +181.39 69.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mayra Bueno Silva 161, Montana De La Rosa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#131] Ronnie Lawrence (7-1-0, -165) vs. [#212] Vince Cachero (7-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Ronnie Lawrence (3-0-0)
2020-09-01: W vs. [#201BW] Jose Johnson (12-6-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [#272BW] Garrett Armfield (5-1-0) via UD ()

 

Last 3 Fights: Vince Cachero (1-2-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#89FW] Jamall Emmers (18-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-01-31: W vs. [#559BW] Marvin Garcia (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-08-30: L vs. [*] Liudvik Sholinian (8-1-1) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ronnie Lawrence -165 59.40%
Elo K170 Ronnie Lawrence 1442.09 +123.28 63.72%
Elo Modified Ronnie Lawrence 1502.30 +115.83 62.41%
Glicko-1 Ronnie Lawrence 1466.17 +80.75 61.42%
WHR Ronnie Lawrence 1431.56 +99.56 61.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronnie Lawrence 179, Vince Cachero 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#82] Sam Hughes (5-2-0, -130) vs. [#104] Emily Whitmire (4-4-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (1-2-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#8SW] Tecia Torres (12-5-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-10-16: W vs. [#173FLY] Danielle Hindley (4-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-07-17: L vs. [#81SW] Crystal Vanessa Demopoulo (5-3-0) via Technical Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Emily Whitmire (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#23SW] Polyana Viana (12-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:53 of round 1
2019-06-29: L vs. [#16SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2019-02-17: W vs. [*] Aleksandra Albu (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sam Hughes -130 54.27%
Elo K170 Sam Hughes 1208.25 +120.21 63.40%
Elo Modified Sam Hughes 1246.95 +93.13 60.05%
Glicko-1 Sam Hughes 1211.28 +104.52 64.60%
WHR Sam Hughes 1160.47 +47.20 55.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Hughes 77, Emily Whitmire 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Ciryl Gane
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Ciryl Gane
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-2-21