Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny (2021-01-20)

18 Jan , 2021,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Neil Magny (24-7-0, -140) vs. [#9] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0, +114)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #38 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (3-0-0)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#41WW] Robbie Lawler (28-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#14WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#16WW] Jingliang Li (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#74WW] Diego Sanchez (30-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#28WW] Carlos Condit (32-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Neil Magny -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 2163.12 +116.38 62.99%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 2127.23 +122.98 63.14%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 2180.84 +126.11 67.39%
WHR Neil Magny 1968.83 +51.68 55.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 144, Michael Chiesa 361
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chiesa leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#73] Warlley Alves (13-4-0, +182) vs. [#98] Mounir Lazzez (10-1-0, -227)

Last 3 Fights: Warlley Alves (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#51WW] Randy Brown (12-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-05-11: W vs. [#99MW] Sergio Moraes (14-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 3
2018-08-25: L vs. [#26WW] James Krause (28-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mounir Lazzez (3-0-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#121WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-07: W vs. [#611WW] Arber Murati (10-9-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#270WW] Sasha Palatnikov (6-2-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mounir Lazzez -227 66.18%
Elo K170 Warlley Alves 1672.54 +50.12 55.70%
Elo Modified Warlley Alves 1671.03 +7.29 50.80%
Glicko-1 Warlley Alves 1694.58 +1.16 50.17%
WHR Mounir Lazzez 1653.77 +2.60 50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Warlley Alves 431, Mounir Lazzez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#145] Isaac Villanueva (17-11-0, -139) vs. [*] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Isaac Villanueva (1-2-0)
2020-08-22: L vs. [#133MW] Jordan Wright (11-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#61HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-13: W vs. [#256LHW] Rashad Coulter (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Moreira Castro (0-3-0)
2019-09-21: L vs. [#25LHW] Paul Craig (14-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:19 of round 1
2019-06-29: L vs. [#33MW] Eryk Anders (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#66LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Isaac Villanueva -139 55.44%
Elo K170 Vinicius Moreira Castro 1303.55 +15.98 51.82%
Elo Modified Vinicius Moreira Castro 1387.44 +52.18 55.69%
Glicko-1 Vinicius Moreira Castro 1361.30 +30.40 54.36%
WHR Vinicius Moreira Castro 1363.02 +67.13 57.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Isaac Villanueva 151, Vinicius Moreira Castro 487
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#11] Viviane Araujo (9-2-0, -337) vs. [#14] Roxanne Modafferi (25-17-0, +262)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#35FLY] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-27: W vs. [*] Alexis Davis (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#6FLY] Lauren Murphy (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#17SW] Maycee Barber (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Viviane Araujo -337 73.62%
Elo K170 Viviane Araujo 1551.23 +48.99 55.57%
Elo Modified Viviane Araujo 1562.89 +56.74 56.18%
Glicko-1 Viviane Araujo 1541.32 +19.46 52.80%
WHR Viviane Araujo 1486.72 +37.25 54.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Viviane Araujo 137, Roxanne Modafferi 130
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#15] Matt Schnell (14-5-0, +107) vs. [#45] Tyson Nam (20-11-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (2-1-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#7FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-08-03: W vs. [#29FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:23 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#78BW] Louis Smolka (17-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Nam (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#302BW] Jerome Rivera (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 2
2020-06-13: W vs. [#380FLY] Zarrukh Adashev (3-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:32 of round 1
2020-02-22: L vs. [#25FLY] Kai Kara France (21-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tyson Nam -132 54.08%
Elo K170 Matt Schnell 1655.92 +132.15 64.65%
Elo Modified Matt Schnell 1607.92 +75.34 58.17%
Glicko-1 Matt Schnell 1623.73 +51.58 57.37%
WHR Matt Schnell 1571.51 +61.45 56.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Schnell 396, Tyson Nam 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#83] Douglas Silva de Andrade (26-3-0, +234) vs. [#98] Lerone Murphy (9-0-1, -297)

Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#156FW] Renan Barao (34-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD/#9P4P] Petr Yan (15-1-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#15BW] Marlon Vera (17-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (2-0-1)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#121FW] Ricardo Ramos (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-09-07: D vs. [#111LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (19-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-05-18: W vs. [#415FW] Manolo Scianna (8-4-0) via TKO in 2:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lerone Murphy -297 71.41%
Elo K170 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1635.28 +1.15 50.13%
Elo Modified Douglas Silva de Andrade 1663.53 +16.39 51.79%
Glicko-1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1683.47 +19.76 52.84%
WHR Douglas Silva de Andrade 1701.65 +95.36 60.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Douglas Silva de Andrade 431, Lerone Murphy 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#17] Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1, +130) vs. [#40] Tom Breese (12-2-0, -158)

Last 3 Fights: Omari Akhmedov (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#13MW] Chris Weidman (15-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#18MW] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#32MW] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#113MW] K.B. Bhullar (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#56LHW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Breese -158 58.47%
Elo K170 Omari Akhmedov 1841.39 +131.46 64.58%
Elo Modified Omari Akhmedov 1843.73 +77.49 58.40%
Glicko-1 Omari Akhmedov 1866.98 +41.48 55.94%
WHR Omari Akhmedov 1782.54 +52.76 56.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Omari Akhmedov 165, Tom Breese 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#27] Ricky Simon (17-3-0, -393) vs. [*] Gaetano Pirrello (15-5-1, +301)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (1-2-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#32BW] Ray Borg (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#6BW] Rob Font (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#21BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gaetano Pirrello (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Enzo Maria Iezzi (7-6-0) via TKO in 2:11 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Percy Herrera (8-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:13 of round 1
2018-05-05: L vs. [#420LW] Joziro Boye (15-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricky Simon -393 76.17%
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1792.95 +405.66 86.45%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1720.11 +317.97 80.09%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1722.20 +308.39 85.51%
WHR Ricky Simon 1650.50 +231.10 74.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 252, Gaetano Pirrello 466
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#19] Su Mudaerji (13-4-0, -424) vs. [#380] Zarrukh Adashev (3-2-0, +318)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#75FLY] Malcolm Gordon (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-08-31: W vs. [#102BW] Andre Soukhamthath (14-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#78BW] Louis Smolka (17-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Zarrukh Adashev (2-1-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#45FLY] Tyson Nam (20-11-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:32 of round 1
2019-10-26: W vs. [#634FLY] Tevin Dyce (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2019-02-15: W vs. [#1351BW] Ronie Arana Leon (1-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Mudaerji -424 77.18%
Elo K170 Su Mudaerji 1468.91 +344.73 82.85%
Elo Modified Su Mudaerji 1509.82 +352.53 82.39%
Glicko-1 Su Mudaerji 1516.81 +378.47 89.83%
WHR Su Mudaerji 1463.53 +279.35 78.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Su Mudaerji 53, Zarrukh Adashev 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#75] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0, -140) vs. [#115MW] Markus Perez (12-4-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Dalcha Lungiambula (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#16LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (14-1-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#203MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3
2018-06-23: W vs. [*] Andrew van Zyl (16-6-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Markus Perez (1-2-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#46MW] Dricus Du Plessis (15-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:22 of round 1
2019-11-16: L vs. [#84MW] Wellington Turman (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#120MW] Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dalcha Lungiambula -140 55.63%
Elo K170 Dalcha Lungiambula 1617.80 +194.78 70.89%
Elo Modified Dalcha Lungiambula 1605.02 +127.83 63.64%
Glicko-1 Dalcha Lungiambula 1596.35 +106.76 64.90%
WHR Dalcha Lungiambula 1521.62 +32.06 53.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dalcha Lungiambula 438, Markus Perez 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Francisco Figueiredo (11-3-1, -149) vs. [#302] Jerome Rivera (10-3-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Figueiredo (2-0-1)
2019-09-28: D vs. [*] Eduardo de Souza Silva (14-4-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-04-28: W vs. [#388BW] Manoel Moreira dos Santos (9-4-0) via TKO in ? of round 2
2017-11-30: W vs. [NA] Vitor Leandro (5-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jerome Rivera (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#45FLY] Tyson Nam (20-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 2
2020-08-04: W vs. [#222BW] Luis Ronaldo Rodriguez (13-2-0) via UD ()
2020-01-17: W vs. [#227FLY] Kendrick Latchman (8-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francisco Figueiredo -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Francisco Figueiredo 1458.17 +92.89 60.45%
Elo Modified Francisco Figueiredo 1495.38 +104.46 61.24%
Glicko-1 Francisco Figueiredo 1543.23 +149.41 70.27%
WHR Francisco Figueiredo 1537.54 +132.09 64.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francisco Figueiredo 480, Jerome Rivera 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#62] Mason Jones (10-0-0, +154) vs. [*] Mike Davis (8-2-0, -187)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#187WW] Adam Proctor (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 1
2020-03-20: W vs. [#293LW] Joe McColgan (7-3-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Aleksi Mantykivi (13-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#367LW] Thomas Gifford (17-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:45 of round 3
2019-04-27: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-03-22: W vs. [NA] Carlos Guerra (3-6-0) via SUB in 2:08 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Davis -187 62.33%
Elo K170 Mason Jones 1730.09 +297.77 79.58%
Elo Modified Mason Jones 1758.20 +291.84 78.20%
Glicko-1 Mason Jones 1777.48 +287.21 83.93%
WHR Mason Jones 1703.38 +297.09 79.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 116, Mike Davis 466
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Sergey Morozov (17-4-0, +381) vs. [#75] Umar Nurmagomedov (12-0-0, -524)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Morozov (3-0-0)
2019-10-19: W vs. [*] Josh Rettinghouse (16-5-0) via UD ()
2019-06-28: W vs. [#608FW] Alexander Osetrov (5-2-1) via TKO in 1:40 of round 4
2018-12-15: W vs. [*] Bakytbek Duishobaev (6-2-0) via TKO in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2019-11-23: W vs. [#887BW] Brian Gonzalez (4-1-0) via SUB in 4:34 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#548BW] Taras Gryckiv (19-8-0) via SUB in 2:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Umar Nurmagomedov -524 80.15%
Elo K170 Sergey Morozov 1716.50 +15.27 51.74%
Elo Modified Sergey Morozov 1734.64 +11.33 51.24%
Glicko-1 Sergey Morozov 1739.97 +12.61 51.81%
WHR Umar Nurmagomedov 1646.48 +14.86 51.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergey Morozov 459, Umar Nurmagomedov 424
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#23] Manon Fiorot (5-1-0, -192) vs. [#38] Victoria Leonardo (8-2-0, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2020-11-27: W vs. [#98FLY] Gabriela Campos (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-09-25: W vs. [#124FLY] Naomi Tataroglu (1-2-0) via TKO in 3:00 of round 1
2020-07-31: W vs. [#86FLY] Corinne Laframboise (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Victoria Leonardo (2-1-0)
2020-11-17: W vs. [#102FLY] Chelsea Hackett (3-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 2
2020-09-17: W vs. [#95FLY] Liz Tracy (5-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-07: L vs. [#28FLY] Erin Blanchfield (6-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -192 63.00%
Elo K170 Victoria Leonardo 1387.27 +13.39 51.53%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1449.38 +29.98 53.28%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1438.66 +35.41 55.08%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1369.76 +51.92 55.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 54, Victoria Leonardo 64
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Stored DD Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Neil Magny vs. Michael Chiesa
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Neil Magny vs. Michael Chiesa
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-1-17