Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Perez (2020-11-21)

19 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (19-1-0, -306) vs. [#4] Alex Perez (24-5-0, +241)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alex Perez is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [#27FLY] Tim Elliott (16-11-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#32FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:33 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#189BW] Mark De La Rosa (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -306 71.98%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2120.37 +236.24 74.64%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2080.48 +213.05 71.76%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2167.01 +275.51 83.00%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1962.32 +211.11 72.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 126, Alex Perez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0, -1569) vs. [#4] Jennifer Maia (18-6-1, +860)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#6FLY] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (15-8-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#16FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#12FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -1569 90.02%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1908.70 +247.43 75.59%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1914.24 +265.70 76.19%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 1931.58 +285.00 83.76%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 1913.37 +326.67 81.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 287, Jennifer Maia 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#27] Mike Perry (14-6-0, -153) vs. [#61] Tim Means (30-12-1, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#151WW] Mickey Gall (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#16WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#12WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#93WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#44WW] Daniel Rodriguez (13-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-12-07: W vs. [#89WW] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Perry -153 57.85%
Elo K170 Mike Perry 1737.38 +96.22 60.82%
Elo Modified Mike Perry 1763.09 +87.32 59.44%
Glicko-1 Mike Perry 1814.22 +106.02 64.80%
WHR Mike Perry 1665.05 +37.37 54.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 147, Tim Means 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mike Perry leads 1-0
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0, +214) vs. [#5] Cynthia Calvillo (9-1-1, -267)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (1-2-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#7P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via KO (Punches to the Body) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#21FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (2-0-1)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (15-8-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (12-1-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-02-17: W vs. [#26FLY] Cortney Casey (9-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cynthia Calvillo -267 69.55%
Elo K170 Cynthia Calvillo 1699.09 +83.81 59.46%
Elo Modified Cynthia Calvillo 1706.11 +59.69 56.49%
Glicko-1 Cynthia Calvillo 1686.47 +58.04 58.28%
WHR Cynthia Calvillo 1591.83 +22.91 52.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Katlyn Chookagian 35, Cynthia Calvillo 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cynthia Calvillo leads 2-1
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#24] Mauricio Rua (27-11-1, +146) vs. [#44] Paul Craig (13-4-1, -176)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (2-0-1)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#28LHW] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (23-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-11-16: D vs. [#44LHW] Paul Craig (13-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-12-01: W vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (2-0-1)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#141LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:06 of round 1
2019-11-16: D vs. [#24LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-11-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-09-21: W vs. [#147LHW] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paul Craig -176 61.07%
Elo K170 Mauricio Rua 1849.73 +191.32 70.56%
Elo Modified Mauricio Rua 1795.18 +99.82 60.75%
Glicko-1 Mauricio Rua 1817.55 +81.66 61.54%
WHR Mauricio Rua 1677.47 +83.68 59.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 119, Paul Craig 119
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 0-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mauricio Rua leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#3] Brandon Moreno (17-5-1, -187) vs. [#9] Brandon Royval (12-4-0, +156)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #15 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-0-1)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#26FLY] Kai Kara France (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-21: D vs. [#5FLY] Askar Askarov (12-0-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#26FLY] Kai Kara France (21-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:48 of round 2
2020-05-30: W vs. [#27FLY] Tim Elliott (16-11-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-11-22: W vs. [#191FLY] Nate Williams (30-20-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:23 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -187 62.52%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 1873.61 +145.48 66.03%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 1813.62 +96.03 60.36%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 1864.00 +91.58 62.88%
WHR Brandon Moreno 1725.27 +54.35 56.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 252, Brandon Royval 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#84] Joaquin Buckley (11-3-0, -250) vs. [#90] Jordan Wright (11-0-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#153MW] Impa Kasanganay (8-1-0) via KO (Spinning Back Kick) in 2:03 of round 2
2020-08-08: L vs. [#39MW] Kevin Holland (20-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 3
2020-07-31: W vs. [#353MW] Jackie Gosh (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Wright (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#152LHW] Isaac Villanueva (17-11-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-01-17: W vs. [#152MW] Gabriel Checco (11-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:48 of round 2
2018-06-19: NC vs. [#125MW] Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -250 68.18%
Elo K170 Joaquin Buckley 1573.09 +50.25 55.71%
Elo Modified Joaquin Buckley 1571.30 +24.83 52.71%
Glicko-1 Jordan Wright 1623.35 +70.90 60.06%
WHR Jordan Wright 1606.12 +103.84 61.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 42, Jordan Wright 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#20] Ariane Lipski (13-5-0, +134) vs. [#21] Antonina Shevchenko (8-2-0, -163)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#66FLY] Luana Carolina (6-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#50BW] Isabela de Padua (5-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#33FLY] Molly McCann (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (1-2-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#28BW] Lucie Pudilova (8-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2
2019-04-20: L vs. [#12FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-17-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Antonina Shevchenko -163 59.18%
Elo K170 Ariane Lipski 1498.66 +108.88 62.19%
Elo Modified Ariane Lipski 1533.88 +80.51 58.72%
Glicko-1 Ariane Lipski 1546.81 +82.94 61.71%
WHR Ariane Lipski 1451.17 +20.71 52.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ariane Lipski 126, Antonina Shevchenko 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#44] Daniel Rodriguez (13-1-0, -318) vs. [#64] Nicolas Dalby (18-4-1, +248)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#95WW] Dwight Grant (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#407WW] Gabriel Green (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#61WW] Tim Means (30-12-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#49WW] Jesse Ronson (22-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#56WW] Alex Oliveira (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: NC vs. [#166WW] Ross Houston (8-1-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Rodriguez -318 72.58%
Elo K170 Daniel Rodriguez 1788.03 +168.85 68.38%
Elo Modified Daniel Rodriguez 1814.82 +164.80 67.29%
Glicko-1 Daniel Rodriguez 1862.65 +173.15 73.04%
WHR Daniel Rodriguez 1739.78 +132.65 64.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Rodriguez 91, Nicolas Dalby 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Alan Jouban (16-7-0, -150) vs. [#222] Jared Gooden (17-4-0, +124)

Last 3 Fights: Alan Jouban (1-2-0)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#95WW] Dwight Grant (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#104WW] Ben Saunders (22-13-2) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 2
2017-08-05: L vs. [#35WW] Niko Price (14-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (3-0-0)
2020-07-23: W vs. [#717WW] Trent McCown (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 2
2020-02-29: W vs. [#865MW] Jay Jackson (3-14-0) via SUB in of round 1
2019-10-10: W vs. [#511MW] Marcel Stamps (3-2-0) via SUB in 2:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alan Jouban -150 57.33%
Elo K170 Alan Jouban 1606.84 +173.04 68.79%
Elo Modified Alan Jouban 1688.41 +215.06 71.94%
Glicko-1 Alan Jouban 1718.07 +212.56 77.27%
WHR Alan Jouban 1616.08 +186.75 70.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alan Jouban 588, Jared Gooden 121
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#67] Kyle Daukaus (9-1-0, -311) vs. [#74] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-1-0, +244)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (2-1-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#58LHW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#181MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#280MW] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 0:50 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (3-0-0)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#276MW] Joseph Pyfer (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbow Injury) in 4:21 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [#429MW] Nihad Nasufovic (9-5-0) via SUB in of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#116MW] Jonas Billstein (21-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyle Daukaus -311 72.24%
Elo K170 Dustin Stoltzfus 1608.71 +30.02 53.42%
Elo Modified Kyle Daukaus 1628.38 +14.24 51.56%
Glicko-1 Kyle Daukaus 1649.16 +0.61 50.09%
WHR Dustin Stoltzfus 1598.28 +44.65 55.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Daukaus 147, Dustin Stoltzfus 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#282] Louis Cosce (7-0-0, -433) vs. [#543] Sasha Palatnikov (5-2-0, +323)

Last 3 Fights: Louis Cosce (3-0-0)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#497WW] Victor Reyna (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2019-12-13: W vs. [#1005WW] Art Hernandez (4-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [NA] Bill Smallwood (4-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sasha Palatnikov (2-1-0)
2020-09-25: W vs. [] TBA/Unknown () via TKO in 1:23 of round 1
2019-10-18: L vs. [#105WW] Mounir Lazzez (10-1-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:48 of round 1
2019-06-10: W vs. [*] Sung Won Son (8-7-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Louis Cosce -433 77.45%
Elo K170 Louis Cosce 1402.25 +186.45 70.10%
Elo Modified Louis Cosce 1445.02 +171.44 67.93%
Glicko-1 Louis Cosce 1448.47 +239.39 79.87%
WHR Louis Cosce 1406.60 +163.71 67.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Louis Cosce 95, Sasha Palatnikov 57
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Stored DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Alex Perez
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Alex Perez
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2020-11-19