Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Felder (2020-11-14)

9 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) vs. [#11] Paul Felder (17-5-0)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Paul Felder is the All-Time #44 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-20: L vs. [*] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#9LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#6LW] Dan Hooker (20-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#10FW] Edson Barboza (21-9-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#122WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Rafael dos Anjos 1923.27 +14.23 51.63%
Elo Modified Paul Felder 1943.93 +41.74 54.56%
Glicko-1 Paul Felder 1984.52 +34.31 54.92%
WHR Rafael dos Anjos 1875.00 +36.14 54.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 294, Paul Felder 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#61] Kalinn Williams (10-1-0, +186) vs. [#127] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-2-0, -231)

Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#72WW] Alex Morono (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 1
2019-11-27: W vs. [#363WW] Jeremie Holloway (10-4-0) via UD ()
2019-10-26: W vs. [#648MW] Bo Yan (8-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#108WW] Mounir Lazzez (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#36WW] Niko Price (14-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#58WW] Sabah Homasi (15-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abdul Razak Alhassan -231 66.61%
Elo K170 Kalinn Williams 1647.41 +73.57 58.33%
Elo Modified Kalinn Williams 1649.39 +14.76 51.62%
Glicko-1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1675.28 +2.01 50.29%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1634.50 +121.77 63.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kalinn Williams 280, Abdul Razak Alhassan 122
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Julian Marquez (7-2-0, -295) vs. [#230] Saparbek Safarov (9-3-0, +234)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: L vs. [#97MW] Alessio Di Chirico (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#55MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:42 of round 2
2017-08-01: W vs. [#145MW] Phil Hawes (9-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:20 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Saparbek Safarov (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#58MW] Rodolfo Vieira (7-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:58 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Nicolae Negumereanu (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-26)
2018-02-10: L vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -295 71.38%
Elo K170 Julian Marquez 1416.04 +10.16 51.16%
Elo Modified Julian Marquez 1511.21 +41.19 54.50%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1549.30 +117.14 66.25%
WHR Julian Marquez 1526.17 +137.85 65.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 862, Saparbek Safarov 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#127] Roque Martinez (15-6-2, +171) vs. [#144] Dontale Mayes (7-4-0, -209)

Last 3 Fights: Roque Martinez (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#45HW+] Alexander Romanov (13-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:22 of round 2
2020-02-21: W vs. [NA] Hideki Sekine (8-5-0) via TKO (Soccer Kicks and Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2019-12-15: W vs. [#254HW+] Seigo Mizuguchi (14-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#132HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento Ferrei (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2019-10-26: L vs. [#47HW+] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3
2019-07-16: W vs. [*] Ricardo Prasel (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dontale Mayes -209 64.70%
Elo K170 Roque Martinez 1386.91 +77.00 58.71%
Elo Modified Roque Martinez 1465.42 +68.13 57.40%
Glicko-1 Roque Martinez 1491.69 +129.60 67.83%
WHR Roque Martinez 1484.80 +164.71 67.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roque Martinez 63, Dontale Mayes 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#26] Brendan Allen (15-3-0) vs. [#41] Sean Strickland (21-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#68MW] Kyle Daukaus (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#43MW] Tom Breese (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#38MW] Kevin Holland (20-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#117MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#109WW] Nordine Taleb (15-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2
2018-05-12: L vs. [#30WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 1859.86 +16.91 51.93%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 1872.05 +62.29 56.77%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 1935.51 +109.39 65.24%
WHR Brendan Allen 1791.89 +27.49 53.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 140, Sean Strickland 14
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#58] Eryk Anders (13-5-0, -145) vs. [#160MW] Antonio Arroyo (9-3-0, +120)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#17MW] Krzysztof Jotko (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-14-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#146LHW] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Arroyo (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#36MW] Andre Muniz (20-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-16: W vs. [#279MW] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:31 of round 2
2018-08-10: W vs. [*] Diego Henrique da Silva (8-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eryk Anders -145 56.56%
Elo K170 Eryk Anders 1613.34 +155.03 67.00%
Elo Modified Eryk Anders 1640.27 +142.79 65.14%
Glicko-1 Eryk Anders 1646.67 +122.29 66.91%
WHR Eryk Anders 1584.52 +143.65 65.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 182, Antonio Arroyo 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#19] Kay Hansen (7-3-0, -224) vs. [#35] Cory McKenna (5-1-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Kay Hansen (3-0-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#45SW] Jinh Yu Frey (9-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-03-06: W vs. [#90SW] Liana Ferreira Pirosin (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#138SW] Nicolle Caliari (4-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:14 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Cory McKenna (3-0-0)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#78SW] Crystal Vanessa Demopoulo (5-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-31: W vs. [#132SW] Giulia Chinello (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#204SW] Fannie Redman (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kay Hansen -224 66.01%
Elo K170 Kay Hansen 1457.76 +77.52 58.76%
Elo Modified Kay Hansen 1517.00 +105.58 61.35%
Glicko-1 Kay Hansen 1514.42 +127.70 67.59%
WHR Kay Hansen 1386.14 +75.98 58.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kay Hansen 140, Cory McKenna 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#34] Ashley Yoder (7-6-0, -112) vs. [#42] Miranda Granger (7-1-0, -111)

Last 3 Fights: Ashley Yoder (1-2-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#11SW] Livinha Souza (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#23SW] Randa Markos (10-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-22: W vs. [*] Syuri Kondo (6-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-24)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Granger (2-1-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#16SW] Amanda Lemos (8-1-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2019-08-03: W vs. [*] Hannah Goldy (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-25: W vs. [*] Heloisa Azevedo (4-2-0) via SUB in 0:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ashley Yoder -112 50.10%
Elo K170 Miranda Granger 1359.00 +107.03 61.98%
Elo Modified Miranda Granger 1438.17 +139.94 64.85%
Glicko-1 Miranda Granger 1360.84 +72.31 60.26%
WHR Miranda Granger 1367.41 +100.19 61.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ashley Yoder 91, Miranda Granger 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#72] Alex Morono (17-6-0, -189) vs. [#229] Rhys McKee (10-3-1, +157)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#61WW] Kalinn Williams (10-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#70WW] Max Griffin (16-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-03-09: W vs. [*] Zak Ottow (17-7-0) via Verbal Submission (Elbows) in 3:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rhys McKee (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#67WW] Khamzat Chimaev (9-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [#634WW] Hakon Foss (9-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#179FW] Perry Goodwin (10-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:30 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Morono -189 62.69%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1616.28 +169.73 68.47%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1651.99 +163.58 67.17%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1658.05 +154.33 70.86%
WHR Alex Morono 1584.52 +143.49 65.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 280, Rhys McKee 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#85] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-4-0, +115) vs. [#137] Louis Smolka (16-7-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Alberto Quinonez (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#32BW] Sean OMalley (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-09-21: W vs. [#279BW] Carlos Huachin (11-5-3) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#128FW] Nathaniel Wood (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (1-2-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#49FW] Casey Kenney (16-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 1
2019-09-14: W vs. [#446BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#14FLY] Matt Schnell (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Louis Smolka -140 55.63%
Elo K170 Jose Alberto Quinonez 1490.12 +10.40 51.19%
Elo Modified Jose Alberto Quinonez 1524.90 +38.28 54.18%
Glicko-1 Jose Alberto Quinonez 1496.10 +5.84 50.84%
WHR Louis Smolka 1463.13 +23.25 52.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Alberto Quinonez 252, Louis Smolka 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#18] Kanako Murata (11-1-0, -167) vs. [#23] Randa Markos (10-9-1, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Kanako Murata (3-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [#27SW] Emily Ducote (9-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)
2019-06-07: W vs. [#90SW] Liana Ferreira Pirosin (7-4-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2019-04-21: W vs. [#79SW] Saray Orozco Rodriguez (5-4-0) via Technical Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Randa Markos (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#15SW] Mackenzie Dern (9-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2020-03-14: L vs. [#10SW] Amanda Ribas (10-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#34SW] Ashley Yoder (7-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kanako Murata -167 59.91%
Elo K170 Kanako Murata 1533.20 +214.32 72.70%
Elo Modified Kanako Murata 1523.41 +185.46 69.25%
Glicko-1 Kanako Murata 1509.66 +220.23 78.03%
WHR Kanako Murata 1451.68 +135.77 65.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kanako Murata 379, Randa Markos 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#69] Tony Gravely (19-6-0, -179) vs. [*] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-5-0, +149)

Last 3 Fights: Tony Gravely (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#20BW] Brett Johns (17-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:53 of round 3
2019-08-13: W vs. [#220FW] Ray Rodriguez (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2019-03-29: W vs. [#223FLY] Darren Mima (10-9-0) via SUB in of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (2-1-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (15-4-2) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#166BW] Felipe Dias Colares (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-11: W vs. [*] Rafael Rafael (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tony Gravely -179 61.50%
Elo K170 Tony Gravely 1623.33 +68.96 57.81%
Elo Modified Tony Gravely 1650.04 +12.64 51.38%
Glicko-1 Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 1685.81 +13.56 51.95%
WHR Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 1619.18 +88.29 59.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Gravely 294, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Paul Felder
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Paul Felder
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-11-9